QuakeIST<Superscript>®</Superscript> earthquake scenario simulator using interdependencies     

Francisco Mota de Sá  Mónica Amaral Ferreira  Carlos Sousa Oliveira 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2016,14(7):2047-2067

Earthquakes are a permanent threat to urban environments worldwide. The communication of the related risk demands accurate damage model simulations and an interactive visualization of results. The aim of this paper is to provide a realistic problem-solving environment for earthquake discussions among decision makers, stakeholders, and the general public. QuakeIST^® is an integrated earthquake simulator developed by Instituto Superior Técnico (Lisbon University), oriented towards the performance of risk calculations concerning damage propagations that use the Disruption Index concept. This software imports data stored in a GIS environment, handles different ground motion scenarios, and deals with a complex situation of different soils and vulnerabilities of various layers of civil structures (buildings, lifelines, and other urban structures). It models interdependencies between several infrastructures and between infrastructures and the urban tissue. The computer programme is very versatile, written in separate modules, allowing an experimented user to incorporate new formulations. Results can be treated with any statistical application and most common GIS commercial environments can produced their geographic visualization. Current progress and new upcoming are briefly described at the end of the paper.  相似文献   

Adjoint free four-dimensional variational data assimilation for a storm surge model of the German North Sea   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Xiangyang Zheng  Roberto Mayerle  Qianguo Xing  José Manuel Fernández Jaramillo 《Ocean Dynamics》2016,66(8):1037-1050

In this paper, a data assimilation scheme based on the adjoint free Four-Dimensional Variational(4DVar) method is applied to an existing storm surge model of the German North Sea. To avoid the need of an adjoint model, an ensemble-like method to explicitly represent the linear tangent equation is adopted. Results of twin experiments have shown that the method is able to recover the contaminated low dimension model parameters to their true values. The data assimilation scheme was applied to a severe storm surge event which occurred in the North Sea in December 5, 2013. By adjusting wind drag coefficient, the predictive ability of the model increased significantly. Preliminary experiments have shown that an increase in the predictive ability is attained by narrowing the data assimilation time window.  相似文献   

Pelagic resources landings in central-southern Chile under the A2 climate change scenarios     

Eleuterio Yáñez  Francisco Plaza  Claudio Silva  Felipe Sánchez  María Ángela Barbieri  Antonio Aranis 《Ocean Dynamics》2016,66(10):1333-1351

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Long-term Geomechanical Observation in the Jeroným Mine     

Zdenĕk Kaláb  Markéta Lednická 《Acta Geophysica》2016,64(5):1513-1524

Geomechanical measurements have been carried out in the medieval Jeroným Mine since 2001. At first quarterly observation and later also continual monitoring by distributed measurement network were used. The network includes a number of different sensors that have been installed in selected places of underground spaces. There have not been any manifestations documenting dangerous changes of stability during the period of monitoring (2001–2015). The results of accomplished measurements from all convergence profiles confirm the total stability of all underground spaces. However, a number of places have been documented as potentially unstable. Measured values of selected parameters are presented in the paper, namely, movements along fractures, changes of stress tensor and fluctuations in the level of mine water table.  相似文献   

Spatial and Seasonal Patterns of Salinity in a Large and Shallow Tropical Estuary of the Western Caribbean     

Laura Carrillo  Emilio Palacios-Hernández  Mario Yescas  Ana María Ramírez-Manguilar 《Estuaries and Coasts》2009,32(5):906-916

Salinity profiles and meteorological data were analyzed during February, May, and September 2006 in Chetumal Bay, a large, shallow estuary of the Western Caribbean. Local meteorological conditions revealed three seasons: (1) a dry season (March–May); (2) a wet season (June–October); and (3) the nortes season, with northerly wind events (October–February). During the nortes and wet seasons, salinity ranged between 13 and 16 psu, and salinity was highest in the dry season, ranging between 18 and 22 psu over most of the area; a strong stratification and a significant contribution of salty water characterized this season. Strong horizontal gradients were observed near Rio Hondo during the three seasons. Deep and narrow peculiar bathymetric features called the pozas showed a strong stratification and a relatively high salinity. The northern part of Chetumal Bay and probably the entire system are far from being homogeneous.  相似文献   

Return to <Emphasis Type="Italic">Neverland</Emphasis>: Shifting Baselines Affect Eutrophication Restoration Targets     

Carlos M. Duarte  Daniel J. Conley  Jacob Carstensen  María Sánchez-Camacho 《Estuaries and Coasts》2009,32(1):29-36

The implicit assumption of many scientific and regulatory frameworks that ecosystems impacted by human pressures may be reverted to their original condition by suppressing the pressure was tested using coastal eutrophication. The response to nutrient abatement of four thoroughly studied coastal ecosystems that received increased nutrient inputs between the 1970s and the 1980s showed that the trajectories of these ecosystems were not directly reversible. All four ecosystems displayed convoluted trajectories that failed to return to the reference status upon nutrient reduction. This failure is proposed to result from the broad changes in environmental conditions, all affecting ecosystem dynamics, that occurred over the 30 years spanning from the onset of eutrophication to the reduction of nutrient levels. Understanding ecosystem response to multiple shifting baselines is essential to set reliable targets for restoration efforts.  相似文献   

Central Paratethys paleoenvironment during the Badenian (Middle Miocene): evidence from foraminifera and stable isotope (δ<Superscript>13</Superscript>C and δ<Superscript>18</Superscript>O) study in the Vienna Basin (Slovakia)     

Patrícia Kováčová  Laurent Emmanuel  Natália Hudáčková  Maurice Renard 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2009,98(5):1109-1127

Stable isotope data of the foraminiferal carbonate shells and bulk sediment samples from the Central Paratethys were investigated to contribute to better knowledge of the paleoenvironmental changes in Badenian (Middle Miocene). Five benthic (Uvigerina semiornata, U. aculeata, Ammonia beccarii, Elphidium sp. and Heterolepa dutemplei) and three planktonic taxa (Globigerina bulloides, G. diplostoma and Globigerinoides trilobus), characterising the bottom, intermediate and superficial layers of the water column, were selected from the Vienna Basin (W Slovakia). The foraminiferal fauna and its isotope signal point out to temperature-stratified, nutrient-rich and consequently less-oxygenated marine water during the Middle/Late Badenian. Negative carbon isotope ratios indicate increased input of ¹²C-enriched organic matter to the bottom of the Vienna Basin. Positive benthic δ¹⁸O implies that the global cooling tendency recorded in the Middle Miocene has also affected the intramountain Vienna Basin. In this time, the Central Paratethys has been in the process of isolation. Our stable isotope trend suggests that the communication with Mediterranean Sea has been still more or less active on the south of Vienna Basin (Slovak part) in the Late Badenian, whereas the seawater exchange towards north was apparently reduced already during the Middle Badenian.  相似文献   

Web-oriented GIS system for monitoring, conservation and law enforcement of the Brazilian Amazon     

Carlos Moreira Souza Jr.  Kátia Pereira  Victor Lins  Sanae Haiashy  Daniel Souza 《Earth Science Informatics》2009,2(4):205-215

A web GIS (WGIS) system for the Brazilian Amazon, named ImazonGeo and based on open source and public domain data, is presented. ImazonGeo was built following three principles. First, the system is based on Spatial Data Infrastructure architecture and web interface built using free software and public domain data. Second, we went beyond visualization of maps and spatial queries by providing information obtained with spatial analysis models. To do that, we designed a database that stores the results of previously defined spatial analyses and developed customized reports and query tools to facilitate fast access of information by end-users. Finally, the system is application-oriented in the areas of forest monitoring, conservation and forest law enforcement, meaning that it aims to contribute to support the protection of Brazilian Amazon forests. We illustrate these principles by presenting ImazonGeo’s technology, architecture, content and tools. Moreover, we present two successful cases to demonstrate how the system is being used. We conclude the paper discussing the challenges and potential solutions to turning our WGIS-SDI system into an internet hub of geo-information about the Brazilian Amazon.  相似文献   

Application of sugar foam to red soils in a semiarid Mediterranean environment     

F. J. García Navarro  J. A. Amorós Ortiz-Villajos  C. J. Sánchez Jiménez  S. Bravo Martín-Consuegra  E. Márquez Cubero  Raimundo Jiménez Ballesta 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2009,59(3):603-611

The study described here involved evaluating the effects that the application of one by-product (sugar foam waste) has upon red soils in the region of La Mancha (Central Spain). In view of the fact that this is a location where this type of soil abounds, this technique has been a common practice for many years. The principal goal was to investigate the impact of this approach on some of the soil properties and, secondly, on its level of fertility. As a result, this represents an investigation into the effects that this type of waste has on some soil quality parameters. The results showed that, after the addition of by-products over 25 years, sugar foam waste is of agricultural interest mainly due to the increase in organic matter concentration (about 2%) and, to a lesser extent, by increases in calcium carbonate (more than 30%) and P (four times more). The soil pH was also found to increase slightly (1.4), while the electrical conductivity almost did not change. The properties associated with these pedological qualities therefore had a positive effect by improving nutrient availability. As a result, foams arising from sugar industries have a positive effect on soil quality and the application of such foams to soils is beneficial since the need to dispose this residue is also removed.  相似文献   

Photoreduction of Fe(III) in the Acidic Mine Pit Lake of San Telmo (Iberian Pyrite Belt): Field and Experimental Work     

M. Diez Ercilla  E. López Pamo  J. Sánchez España 《Aquatic Geochemistry》2009,15(3):391-419

Light-induced reduction of dissolved and particulate Fe(III) has been observed to occur in the surface waters of the acidic mine pit lake of San Telmo (143,600 m², pH 2.8, Fe_total = 2.72 mM). This photochemical production of Fe(II) is directly related to the intensity of solar radiation and competes with biologically catalyzed reactions (i.e., bacterial re-oxidation of Fe(II)) and physical processes (including ionic diffusion, advection, and convection, which tend to homogenize the epilimnetic concentration of Fe(II) at every moment). Therefore, diel cycles of Fe(II) concentration are observed at the lake surface, with minimum values of 10–20 μM Fe(II) (0.35–0.70% Fe_total) at the sunrise and sunset, and maximum values of 90 μM Fe(II) (3.2% Fe_total) at midday in August 2005. Field and experimental work conducted in San Telmo and other pit lakes of the Iberian Pyrite Belt (IPB) (pH 2.3–3.1, Fe_total = 0.34–17 mM) indicate that the kinetics of the photoreductive reaction is zero-order and is independent of the Fe(III) concentration, but highly dependent on the intensity of solar radiation and temperature. Experimental work conducted with natural Fe(III) minerals (schwertmannite, goethite, and lepidocrocite) suggests that dissolved organic matter is an important factor contributing to the photochemical production of Fe(II). The wavelengths involved in the photoreduction of Fe(III) include not only the spectrum of UV-A radiation (315–400 nm), but also part of the photosynthetically active radiation (PAR, 400–700 nm). This finding is of prime importance for the understanding of the photoreduction processes in the pit lakes of the IPB, because the photo-reactive depth is not limited to the penetration depth of UV-A radiation (upper 1–10 cm of the water column depending on the TDS content), but it is approximately equal to the penetration depth of PAR (e.g., first 4–6 m of the water column in San Telmo on July 2007); thus, increasing the importance of photochemical processes in the hydro(bio)geochemistry of pit lakes.  相似文献