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281.
Assessment of shallow landslide susceptibility using the transient infiltration flow model and GIS-based probabilistic approach 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
This study proposes a probabilistic analysis method for modeling rainfall-induced shallow landslide susceptibility by combining a transient infiltration flow model and Monte Carlo simulations. The spatiotemporal change in pore water pressure over time caused by rainfall infiltration is one of the most important factors causing landslides. Therefore, the transient infiltration hydrogeological model was adopted to estimate the pore water pressure within the hill slope and to analyze landslide susceptibility. In addition, because of the inherent uncertainty and variability caused by complex geological conditions and the limited number of available soil samples over a large area, this study utilized probabilistic analysis based on Monte Carlo simulations to account for the variability in the input parameters. The analysis was performed in a geographic information system (GIS) environment because GIS can deal efficiently with a large volume of spatial data. To evaluate its effectiveness, the proposed analysis method was applied to a study area that had experienced a large number of landslides in July 2006. For the susceptibility analysis, a spatial database of input parameters and a landslide inventory map were constructed in a GIS environment. The results of the landslide susceptibility assessment were compared with the landslide inventory, and the proposed approach demonstrated good predictive performance. In addition, the probabilistic method exhibited better performance than the deterministic alternative. Thus, analysis methods that account for uncertainties in input parameters are more appropriate for analysis of an extensive area, for which uncertainties may significantly affect the predictions because of the large area and limited data. 相似文献
282.
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284.
Estimation of submarine groundwater discharge in the Il‐Gwang watershed using water budget analysis and 222Rn mass balance
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Yong‐Seok Gwak Sang‐Hyun Kim Yong‐Woo Lee Boo‐Keun Khim Se‐Yeong Hamm Sung‐Wok Kim 《水文研究》2014,28(11):3761-3775
Submarine groundwater discharges (SGD) were investigated in a marine watershed in south‐eastern Korea using water budget analysis and a 222Rn mass balance model. Multi‐layered TOPMODEL added hydrological assumption was used to estimate groundwater components in the water budget analysis. Field observations of soil moisture, rainfall, runoff and groundwater fluctuations were used for calibration and validation of the hydrologic model. Based on observed hydrological data and terrain analyses, parameters for the hydrologic model were delineated and used to describe several hydrologic responses in the watershed. SGD estimations by 222Rn mass balance method were also performed at Il‐Gwang bay in July, 2010, and May, June, July and Nov. 2011. The estimated groundwater through hydrologic modeling and water balance analysis was 1.3x106 m3/year, which rapidly increased during typhoon season due to heavy rainfall and permeable geologic structure. The estimated groundwater was approximately 3.7–27.1% of SGD as evaluated by 222Rn mass balance method ranges 3.44 and 17.45 m3m?2year?1. Even though SGD is predominantly influenced by tide fluctuation, the head gradient (difference) from hydrologic processes associated with heavy rainfalls can also have extra significant influences. Comprehensive understanding of SGD evaluation can be improved through a simultaneous application of both these approaches. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
285.
In this study, a three‐dimensional (3D) non‐hydrostatic circulation model was applied to study the thermal structure, its evolution and water circulation of Yachiyo Lake in Hiroshima, Japan. The simulations were conducted for 1 month during July 2006. The meteorological forcing variables such as wind stress, surface atmospheric pressure and heat flux transfer through the lake surface were provided by an atmospheric mesoscale model run. The vertical mixing process of the lake was calculated using the Mellor‐Yamada turbulence model. The 1‐month numerical simulation revealed the wind‐induced currents of the lake, two gyres in the mid‐layer, and depth‐averaged monthly mean currents. Further numerical experiments studying the mechanism of the two gyres in the lake showed the important role of topography in gyre formation. The thermal structure of the lake and its evolution both in space and in time as predicted by the model showed very good agreement with the observed values and characteristics of Yachiyo Lake. The internal gravity waves, which are crucial for mixing in the stratified lake, are depicted by the vertical fluctuation of isotherms. Using the non‐dimensional gradient Richardson number, Yachiyo Lake was determined to be stable under strong stratification during the study period, and therefore very sensitive to wind stress. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
286.
An assessment of Portland cement,cement kiln dust and Class C fly ash for the immobilization of Zn in contaminated soils 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Deok Hyun Moon Ju-Ry Lee Dennis G. Grubb Jeong-Hun Park 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2010,61(8):1745-1750
Zn-contaminated soils obtained from a steel company in the Republic of Korea were stabilized using Portland cement (PC), cement
kiln dust (CKD) and Class C fly ash (FA). The effectiveness of the treatment was evaluated by the United States Environmental
Protection Agency toxicity characteristic leaching procedure (TCLP) and the Universal Treatment Standard (UTS) of 4.3 mg/L.
X-ray powder diffraction (XRPD) analyses were performed to investigate the crystalline phases associated with Zn immobilization.
Scanning electron microscopy (SEM)–energy dispersive X-ray (EDX) analyses were utilized to support the XRPD results. The treatment
results showed that the TCLP-Zn concentrations obtained from the 10 wt% PC and 15 wt% CKD treated samples were less than the
UTS, after 7 days curing. However, the FA treatment (up to 30 wt%) was not effective in meeting the UTS even after 28 days
curing. All PC–CKD treatment combinations were effective in reducing the TCLP-Zn concentrations below the UTS criteria. Moreover,
a 20 wt% dose of a PC-FA treatment combination (75/25 PC-FA) was successful in reducing the TCLP-Zn concentrations below 4.3 mg/L
after 1 day. The XRPD results showed that ettringite and Zn6Al2(OH)16CO3·4H2O were the possible phases associated with Zn immobilization upon PC and CKD treatment. The SEM–EDX results confirmed the
presence of ettringite, while Zn6Al2(OH)16CO3·4H2O was not identified. 相似文献
287.
Recently, a mesh-size insensitive structural stress definition (Battelle structural stress method) has been proposed. This method gives a stress state at a weld toe with a relatively coarse mesh, such as up to 2t (t=plate thickness) or irregular mesh shapes. The structural stress definition is based on the elementary structural mechanics theory and provides an effective measure of a stress state in front of a weld toe. In this present study, a fatigue strength assessment was carried out for a side shell connection of a container vessel using both the hot spot stress and the structural stress methods. A consistent approach to computing extrapolated hot spot stress for design purposes based on converged hot spot stresses is described and current fatigue guidance is evaluated. Fatigue strength predicted by the two methods, i.e. hot spot stress and structural stress approaches, at hot spot locations of a typical ship structure are compared and discussed. 相似文献
288.
Ocean Science Journal - Sands are distributed in a sheet form across the entire shelf of the Yellow and South seas. They are barely several meters thick except for sand waves and ridges, which are... 相似文献
289.
Ocean Science Journal - Anatomical, histological, and histochemical investigations on the olfactory organ of the great blue spotted mudskipper Boleophthalmus pectinirostris were conducted using a... 相似文献
290.
Time‐varying suspended sediment‐discharge rating curves to estimate climate impacts on fluvial sediment transport
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This study presents time‐varying suspended sediment‐discharge rating curves to model suspended‐sediment concentrations (SSCs) under alternative climate scenarios. The proposed models account for hysteresis at multiple time scales, with particular attention given to systematic shifts in sediment transport following large floods (long‐term hysteresis). A series of nested formulations are tested to evaluate the elements embedded in the proposed models in a case study watershed that supplies drinking water to New York City. To maximize available data for model development, a dynamic regression model is used to estimate SSC based on denser records of turbidity, where the parameters of this regression are allowed to vary over time to account for potential changes in the turbidity‐SSC relationship. After validating the proposed rating curves, we compare simulations of SSC among a subset of models in a climate change impact assessment using an ensemble of flow simulations generated using a stochastic weather generator and hydrologic model. We also examine SSC estimates under synthetic floods generated using a peaks‐over‐threshold model. Our results indicate that estimates of extreme SSC under new climate and hydrologic scenarios can vary widely depending on the selected model and may be significantly underestimated if long‐term hysteresis is ignored when simulating impacts under sequences of large storm event. Based on the climate change scenarios explored here, average annual maximum SSC could increase by as much as 2.45 times over historical values. 相似文献