Assessing interpolation error for space–time monitoring data     

Luís Margalho  Raquel Menezes  Inês Sousa 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2014,28(5):1307-1321

In Europe, since 1990, a survey on environmental monitoring has been taking place every 5 years, using moss samples to study the distribution of heavy metal concentration and assess contamination sources, resulting on the identification of statistical association of several heavy metal concentrations in mosses. With this work, we propose an extension of an existing spatio-temporal model, introduced in Høst et al. (JASA 90(431):853–861, 1995), allowing for prediction at unsampled locations of pollution data in the presence of covariates related to each country specificities, when separately modelling the spatial mean field, the spatial variance field and the space–time residual field. Moreover, this model allows to estimate an interpolation error, as an accuracy measure, derived dependently on the case study. For a validation purpose, a simulation study is conducted, showing that the use of the proposed model leads to more accurate prediction values. Results obtained by the proposed methodology for the most recent available survey, are compared with results obtained with no temporal information, namely when Ordinary Kriging, according to the definition in Cressie (Statistics for spatial data, Wiley, New York, 1993), is used to derive illustrative prediction maps based only on the most recent data. An exercise of cross-validation is performed relative to each of the scenarios considered and the average interpolation errors are presented. While assessing interpolation errors, we conclude that the monitoring specificities of each country and the information of preceding surveys allow for more accurate prediction results.  相似文献   

Developing a reliable model for aquifer vulnerability   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Cheng-Shin Jang  Chien-Wen Lin  Ching-Ping Liang  Jui-Sheng Chen 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2016,30(1):175-187

The assessment of aquifer vulnerability to pollution is crucial for planning a sound management strategy of groundwater quality protection and farmland fertilizer use. This study establishes a reliable model for aquifer vulnerability assessment with an excellent performance for predicting groundwater nitrate-N contamination in the Choushui River alluvial fan, Taiwan based on the DRASTIC method. To promote the prediction performance of aquifer vulnerability assessment, discriminant analysis (DA) was applied to determine the weights of factors in the DRASTIC model by comparing the model results with the observed nitrate-N data. Key factors influencing the presence of groundwater nitrate-N pollution were characterized for different concentration thresholds. The results of analysis reveal that the modified DRASTIC model using DA significantly improves prediction performance for aquifer vulnerability assessment, and groundwater protection zones can be determined correctly based on the modified DRASTIC index. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the factors in the modified DRASTIC model indicates that the depth to the groundwater and aquifer media are critical when the nitrate-N concentration is less than 3 mg/L, while the impact of the vadose zone plays a vital role in controlling nitrate-N pollution of over 5 mg/L.  相似文献   

Proteomic Analysis of Microbial Community Inhabiting Asian Dust Source Region          下载免费PDF全文

Simranjeet Singh Sekhon  Mina Kim  Hyun‐Ju Um  Fumihisa Kobayashi  Yasunobu Iwasaka  Guangyu Shi  Bin Chen  Sung‐Jin Cho  Yang‐Hoon Kim 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2016,44(1):25-28

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Assessment of groundwater emergency utilization in Taipei Basin during drought     

Cheng-Shin Jang  Chen-Wuing Liu  Yen-Lu Chou 《Journal of Hydrology》2012

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Comparison of scaling methods for waveform inversion     

Ugeun Jang  Dong-Joo Min  Changsoo Shin 《Geophysical Prospecting》2009,57(1):49-59

Waveform inversion can lead to faint images for later times due to geometrical spreading. The proper scaling of the steepest-descent direction can enhance faint images in waveform inversion results. We compare the effects of different scaling techniques in waveform inversion algorithms using the steepest-descent method. For the scaling method we use the diagonal of the pseudo-Hessian matrix, which can be applied in two different ways. One is to scale the steepest-descent direction at each frequency independently. The other is to scale the steepest-descent direction summed over the entire frequency band. The first method equalizes the steepest-descent directions at different frequencies and minimizes the effects of the band-limited source spectrum in waveform inversion. In the second method, since the steepest-descent direction summed over the entire frequency band is divided by the diagonal of the pseudo-Hessian matrix summed over the entire frequency band, the band-limited property of the source wavelet spectrum still remains in the scaled steepest-descent directions. The two scaling methods were applied to both standard and logarithmic waveform inversion. For standard waveform inversion, the method that scales the steepest-descent direction at every frequency step gives better results than the second method. On the other hand, logarithmic waveform inversion is not sensitive to the scaling method, because taking the logarithm of wavefields automatically means that results for the steepest-descent direction at each frequency are commensurate with each other. If once the steepest-descent directions are equalized by taking the logarithm of wavefields in logarithmic waveform inversion, the additional equalizing effects by the scaling method are not as great as in conventional waveform inversion.  相似文献   

Tree-based threshold modeling for short-term forecast of daily maximum ozone level   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Sung Eun Kim 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2010,24(1):19-28

This paper proposes a simple class of threshold autoregressive model for purpose of forecasting daily maximum ozone concentrations in Southern California. Linear time series model has been widely considered in environmental modeling. However, this class of models fails to capture the nonlinearity in ozone process and the complexity of meteorological interactions with ozone. In this article, we used the threshold autoregressive models with two classes of regimes; periodic and meteorological regimes. Days in week were used for the periodic regimes and the regression tree method was used to define the regimes as a function of meteorological variables. As the reference model we used the autoregressive model with lagged ozone and various lagged meteorological variables as the covariates. The proposed models were applied to a 3-year dataset of daily maximum ozone concentrations obtained from five monitoring stations in San Bernardino County, CA and their forecast performances were evaluated using an independent year-long dataset from the same stations. The results showed that the threshold models well capture the nonlinearity in ozone process and remove the nonstationarity in model residuals. The threshold models outperformed the non-threshold autoregressive models in day-ahead forecasts. The tree-based model showed slightly better performance than the periodic threshold model.  相似文献   

Experimental assessment of Posidonia oceanica‐associated gastropods grazing on an early‐successional biofilm community: nutrient availability and species‐specific effects          下载免费PDF全文

Inés Castejón‐Silvo  Jorge Terrados 《Marine Ecology》2017,38(1)

Although grazing is considered an essential process controlling epiphyte biomass on seagrass leaves, there is still a lack of fundamental knowledge about the species‐specific consumption rates of the most common grazers in Mediterranean meadows. This study experimentally assessed the effect of Posidonia oceanica‐associated gastropod grazing on early successional biofilm and the species‐specific relationship between biofilm consumption rates and biofilm biomass. Two biofilms on artificial substrata, both developed in situ (in a P. oceanica meadow), one under ambient conditions and the other under nutrient‐enriched conditions, were offered in aquaria assays to nine species of grazers found in P. oceanica meadows. Biofilm consumption rates and their association with biofilm biomass were assessed. It was found that: (i) there was a positive association between biofilm consumption and biofilm biomass up to 20 mg Chl a·m^?2 for Bittium reticulatum, Gibbula ardens, Jujubinus exasperatus and Tricolia pullus; (ii) Alvania montagui, B. reticulatum and Jujubinus striatus showed the highest consumption rates and are thus expected to be amongst the leading consumers in early‐successional epiphytic communities; (iii) there was not an increase of consumption rate when a substratum colonized under nutrient‐enriched conditions was offered to any of the nine studied species. This study provides species‐specific consumption rates knowledge that is useful for the assessment of the strength of grazer–epiphyte interactions and trophic fluxes in P. oceanica meadows.  相似文献   

Trans-Tasman migration: New Zealanders' explanations for their move     

Alison E. Green  Mary R. Power  Deannah M. Jang 《New Zealand geographer》2008,64(1):34-45

Abstract:  This study investigates why New Zealanders move to Australia. A survey of New Zealanders living in Australia found 'pull' factors, notably greater opportunities and better climate, were the most common reasons. While desire for change or sense of adventure was important, dissatisfaction with life in New Zealand was also a factor. Results indicated a form of transnationalism as migrants felt at home in both countries. They maintained links with New Zealand evident in support for New Zealand sporting teams, expressions of New Zealand nationality, emotional connection and regular contact with New Zealand.  相似文献   

Asia-Pacific mussel watch: monitoring contamination of persistent organochlorine compounds in coastal waters of Asian countries   总被引：27，自引：0，他引：27  

Monirith I  Ueno D  Takahashi S  Nakata H  Sudaryanto A  Subramanian A  Karuppiah S  Ismail A  Muchtar M  Zheng J  Richardson BJ  Prudente M  Hue ND  Tana TS  Tkalin AV  Tanabe S 《Marine pollution bulletin》2003,46(3):281-300

Contamination of persistent organochlorines (OCs) such as PCBs (polychlorinated biphenyls), DDT and its metabolites (DDTs), HCH (hexachlorocyclohexane) isomers (HCHs), chlordane compounds (CHLs), and HCB (hexachlorobenzene) were examined in mussels collected from coastal waters of Asian countries such as Cambodia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Far East Russia, Singapore, and Vietnam in 1994, 1997, 1998, 1999, and 2001 to elucidate the contamination status, distribution and possible pollution sources and to assess the risks on aquatic organisms and human. OCs were detected in all mussels collected from all the sampling sites investigated. Considerable residue levels of p,p(')-DDT and alpha-HCH were found in mussels and the concentrations of DDTs and HCHs found in mussels from Asian developing countries were higher than those in developed nations suggesting present usage of DDTs and HCHs along the coastal waters of Asian developing countries. On the other hand, lower concentrations of PCBs detected in mussels from Asian developing countries than those in developed countries indicate that PCBs contamination in mussels is strongly related to industrial and activities. To our knowledge, this is a first comprehensive report on monitoring OCs pollution in the Asia-Pacific region.  相似文献   

Effects of spilled oil on microbial communities in a tidal flat     

Katayama Y  Oura T  Iizuka M  Orita I  Cho KJ  Chung IY  Okada M 《Marine pollution bulletin》2003,47(1-6):85-90

Effects of spilled oil on microbial communities in tidal flats were examined by use of a simulator for a tidal flat ecosystem. The simulator is composed of a wave generator, a tide control device, and a tidal flat. Sediment for the tidal flat was obtained at a natural tidal flat in Hiroshima Bay, Japan. After stabilizing the benthic organisms, fuel oil C was added to the surface of the flat at 1 lm(-2). Although the total number of micro-organisms remained at 1.5-3.5 x 10(9) cells g(-1) dry sediment irrespective of the addition of oil, bacterial communities which were analyzed based on the 16S rDNA showed clear changes after the addition of fuel oil C and after a subsequent recovery period. Bacterial colonies were randomly isolated from the oil-supplemented sediment during the experiments, and the isolates were examined for susceptibility to hydrocarbons in order to screen the oil-susceptible bacteria. The proportion of oil-susceptible bacteria in the isolates decreased with the addition of the oil. Oil-susceptible bacteria showed an inability to assimilate petroleum compounds as well as an inhibition of growth. The possibility of using oil-susceptible bacteria as an indicator of bioremediation in tidal flats was discussed.  相似文献