排序方式: 共有28条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
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Christophe E. Menkes Matthieu Lengaigne Patrick Marchesiello Nicolas C. Jourdain Emmanuel M. Vincent Jér?me Lefèvre Fabrice Chauvin Jean-Francois Royer 《Climate Dynamics》2012,38(1-2):301-321
This paper evaluates the performances of four cyclogenesis indices against observed tropical cyclone genesis on a global scale over the period 1979–2001. These indices are: the Genesis Potential Index; the Yearly Genesis Parameter; the Modified Yearly Convective Genesis Potential Index; and the Tippett et al. Index (J Clim, 2011), hereafter referred to as TCS. Choosing ERA40, NCEP2, NCEP or JRA25 reanalysis to calculate these indices can yield regional differences but overall does not change the main conclusions arising from this study. By contrast, differences between indices are large and vary depending on the regions and on the timescales considered. All indices except the TCS show an equatorward bias in mean cyclogenesis, especially in the northern hemisphere where this bias can reach 5°. Mean simulated genesis numbers for all indices exhibit large regional discrepancies, which can commonly reach up to ±50%. For the seasonal timescales on which the indices are historically fitted, performances also vary widely in terms of amplitude although in general they all reproduce the cyclogenesis seasonality adequately. At the seasonal scale, the TCS seems to be the best fitted index overall. The most striking feature at interannual scales is the inability of all indices to reproduce the observed cyclogenesis amplitude. The indices also lack the ability to reproduce the general interannual phase variability, but they do, however, acceptably reproduce the phase variability linked to El Ni?o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)—a major driver of tropical cyclones interannual variations. In terms of cyclogenesis mechanisms that can be inferred from the analysis of the index terms, there are wide variations from one index to another at seasonal and interannual timescales and caution is advised when using these terms from one index only. They do, however, show a very good coherence at ENSO scale thus inspiring confidence in the mechanism interpretations that can be obtained by the use of any index. Finally, part of the gap between the observed and simulated cyclogenesis amplitudes may be attributable to stochastic processes, which cannot be inferred from environmental indices that only represent a potential for cyclogenesis. 相似文献
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垄行作物玉米方向亮温野外测量中视场角影响的简单分析 总被引:3,自引:4,他引:3
基于透视原理、地面试验中对于较高目标的观测存在着一定的偏差。这种偏差随传感器高度、观测角度、视场角大小、观测位置等多个因素改变。由于垄行作物空间结构和温度分布的复杂性 ,在采用较大视场角测量方向亮温的地面实验中 ,将不可避免地存在着误差。采用一个简化的三分量二维结构模型对这种误差进行初步的分析与估算。亮温三分量分别为植被、被阳光照到的亮土和植被阴影下的暗土。作物的结构简化为剖面为矩形的无限长平行体。通过对这三个分量在传感器视场中面积权重的计算来模拟目标结构、传感器高度、位置、视场角大小、观测角度等因素对测量结果产生的影响。模拟结果表明 ,在垂直观测中 ,视场中的植被权重往往被高估 ,偏差随传感器高度的降低急剧增加。在倾斜观测中 ,由于一种互补效应的产生 ,偏差被限制在一个较低的范围内。经过分析 ,减小误差的最有效办法是提高传感器高度。最后 ,实验数据与模拟结果进行了比较。恰当地选取模型输入 ,两种数据能非常好的吻合。 相似文献
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Matthieu Kretzschmar Thierry Dudok de Wit Jean Lilensten Jean-Francois Hochedez Jean Aboudarham Pierre-Olivier Amblard Frederic Auchère Said Moussaoui 《Acta Geophysica》2009,57(1):42-51
The knowledge of solar extreme and far ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance variations is essential for the characterization of the
Earth’s upper atmosphere. For a long time, this knowledge has been based on empirical models, which are themselves based on
proxies of the solar activity. However, the accurate modeling and prediction of the Earth’s upper atmosphere necessitate to
improve the precision on the irradiance and its variations below about 200 nm. Here, we present a review of recent works made
by the authors that aim at quantifying the irradiance variability at these wavelengths, and that lead to new way of monitoring
the solar EUV/FUV irradiance spectrum. In more details, it is shown that the quantification of the high level of redundancy
in the solar spectrum variability allows to envisage measuring only a small portion of the spectrum without losing essential
knowledge. Finally, we discuss what should and could be measured in order to retrieve the solar extreme and far ultraviolet
spectrum. 相似文献
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Don R. Baker Phyllis Lang Jean-Francois Bergevin Liping Bai 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2006,70(7):1821-1838
Bubble growth experiments were performed in a piston-cylinder by hydrating albite melt with ∼11 wt.% H2O at 550 MPa followed by rapid decompression at 1 MPa s−1 to pressures of 450 or 400 MPa. At these conditions the melt was supersaturated with ∼0.5 or ∼1.5 wt.% H2O, respectively, which caused rapid exsolution and bubble growth. Results at 1200 °C demonstrate that portions of the initial cumulative bubble-area distributions may be characterized by a power law with an exponent near 1, but they rapidly evolve to exponential distributions and approach a unimodal distribution after 32 h of growth. This evolution occurs by the growth of larger bubbles at the expense of smaller ones. The growth rate of the average bubble radius in these experiments is described by a power law whose exponent is 0.35, close to the theoretical exponent of 1/3 for phase growth in which coalescence is dominated by Ostwald ripening of the bubbles. Over the range of pressures and water contents investigated at 1200 °C, the bubble-size distributions and growth rate are not significantly affected by changes in the amount of exsolved water or by splitting the decompression path into two steps. Similar decompression experiments at 800 °C are dominated by smaller bubbles than in the 1200 °C experiments and also demonstrate exponential cumulative size distributions, but consistently contain a small fraction of larger bubbles. The growth rate of these bubble radii cannot be fit with a power law, but a logarithmic dependence of the bubble radii on time is possible, suggesting a difference in the growth mechanisms at low and high temperatures. This difference is attributed to the orders of magnitude changes in melt viscosity and water diffusion in the melt as the temperature varies from 800 to 1200 °C. At 1200 °C the transport properties of albite melt resemble those of natural basaltic melts whereas at 800 °C the properties are similar to those of andesitic to dacitic melts. The decompression rate used in this study exceeds natural rates by one to two orders of magnitude. Thus, these results indicate that natural mafic-to-intermediate magmas supersaturated with only a small excess of water should easily nucleate bubbles during ascent and that bubble growth in mafic magmas will proceed much more rapidly than in andesitic to dacitic magmas. Intermediate composition magmas also may be capable of forming bimodal bubble-size distributions even in the case when only one nucleation event occurred. The rapid evolution of the bubble-size distribution from a power law to an exponential may be useful in constraining the time duration between bubble nucleation and the quenching of natural samples. 相似文献
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Marcin Idczak Patrice Mestayer Jean-Michel Rosant Jean-Francois Sini Michel Violleau 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2007,124(1):25-41
In order to investigate the microclimatic conditions in a street canyon, a physical model was used to conduct the Joint ATREUS-PICADA
Experiment (JAPEX) in situ experimental campaign. Four lines of buildings simulated by steel containers were installed to
form three parallel street canyons at 1:5 scale, with width/height aspect ratio approximately 0.40. The reference wind and
atmospheric conditions were measured, as well as the flow velocity and direction in the street. Preliminary results concern
street canyon ventilation and thermal effects on in-canyon airflow, and show that vortical motions appear for reference wind
directions perpendicular to the street axis. The presence of adjacent rows of buildings did not appear to significantly influence
the flow character within the canyon for the case of a low aspect ratio corresponding to a skimming flow regime. The flow
structure was not significantly affected by the thermal effects although some slight interference occurred in the lower part
of the canyon. An analysis of horizontal temperature gradients indicated that a thin boundary layer develops near the heated
facade. These facts imply that the thermal effects are considerable only very close to the wall. 相似文献
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Nita Sahai Young J. Lee Huifang Xu Jean-Francois Gaillard 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2007,71(13):3193-3210
Natural attenuation of arsenic by simple adsorption on oxyhydroxides may be limited due to competing oxyanions, but uptake by coprecipitation may locally sequester arsenic. We have systematically investigated the mechanism and mode (adsorption versus coprecipitation) of arsenic uptake in the presence of carbonate and phosphate, from solutions of inorganic composition similar to many groundwaters. Efficient arsenic removal, >95% As(V) and ∼55% in initial As(III) systems, occurred over 24 h at pHs 5.5-6.5 when Fe(II) and hydroxylapatite (Ca5(PO4)3OH, HAP) “seed” crystals were added to solutions that had been previously reacted with HAP, atmospheric CO2(g) and O2(g). Arsenic adsorption was insignificant (<10%) on HAP without Fe(II). Greater uptake in the As(III) system in the presence of Fe(II) was interpreted as due to faster As(III) to As(V) oxidation by molecular oxygen in a putative pathway involving Fe(IV) and As(IV) intermediate species. HAP acts as a pH buffer that allows faster Fe(II) oxidation. Solution analyses coupled with high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM), X-ray Energy-Dispersive Spectroscopy (EDS), and X-Ray Absorption Spectroscopy (XAS) indicated the precipitation of sub-spherical particles of an amorphous, chemically-mixed, nanophase, FeIII[(OH)3(PO4)(AsVO4)]·nH2O or FeIII[(OH)3( PO4)(AsVO4)(AsIIIO3)minor]·nH2O, where AsIIIO3 is a minor component.The mode of As uptake was further investigated in binary coprecipitation (Fe(II) + As(III) or P), and ternary coprecipitation and adsorption experiments (Fe(II) + As(III) + P) at variable As/Fe, P/Fe and As/P/Fe ratios. Foil-like, poorly crystalline, nanoparticles of FeIII(OH)3 and sub-spherical, amorphous, chemically-mixed, metastable nanoparticles of FeIII[(OH)3, PO4]·nH2O coexisted at lower P/Fe ratios than predicted by bulk solubilities of strengite (FePO4·2H2O) and goethite (FeOOH). Uptake of As and P in these systems decreased as binary coprecipitation > ternary coprecipitation > ternary adsorption.Significantly, the chemically-mixed, ferric oxyhydroxide-phosphate-arsenate nanophases found here are very similar to those found in the natural environment at slightly acidic to circum-neutral pHs in sub-oxic to oxic systems, such phases may naturally attenuate As mobility in the environment, but it is important to recognize that our system and the natural environment are kinetically evolving, and the ultimate environmental fate of As will depend on the long-term stability and potential phase transformations of these mixed nanophases. Our results also underscore the importance of using sufficiently complex, yet systematically designed, model systems to accurately represent the natural environment. 相似文献