Assessing parameter identifiability for multiple performance criteria to constrain model parameters     

Björn Guse  Jens Kiesel  Matthias Pfannerstill  Nicola Fohrer 《水文科学杂志》2020,65(7):1158-1172

ABSTRACT

Reliable simulations of hydrological models require that model parameters are precisely identified. In constraining model parameters to small ranges, high parameter identifiability is achieved. In this study, it is investigated how precisely model parameters can be constrained in relation to a set of contrasting performance criteria. For this, model simulations with identical parameter samplings are carried out with a hydrological model (SWAT) applied to three contrasting catchments in Germany (lowland, mid-range mountains, alpine regions). Ten performance criteria including statistical metrics and signature measures are calculated for each model simulation. Based on the parameter identifiability that is computed separately for each performance criterion, model parameters are constrained to smaller ranges individually for each catchment. An iterative repetition of model simulations with successively constrained parameter ranges leads to more precise parameter identifiability and improves model performance. Based on these results, a more consistent handling of model parameters is achieved for model calibration.  相似文献   

Effect of an oil spill in Spitzbergen in 1978     

Bjørn Gulliksen  Jens Petter Taasen 《Marine pollution bulletin》1982,13(3):96-98

The oil content in the sediment and the marine life along the arctic shores of Van Mijenfjord, Spitzbergen, were investigated about two years after a spill from diesel storage tanks. High values of oil were recorded in the sediment along the shore near the tanks. The shore fauna is generally poor in these areas and the only biological effect detected was the disappearance of the amphipod Gammarus setosus from the surface layers.  相似文献   

Aquifer vulnerability to pesticide migration through till aquitards   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jørgensen PR  McKay LD  Kistrup JP 《Ground water》2004,42(6-7):841-855

This study investigates the influence of key factors-mainly recharge rate and degradation half-life--on downward migration of the widely used pesticide mecoprop (MCPP) through a typical clayey till aquitard. The study uses the numerical model FRAC3Dvs, which is a three-dimensional discrete fracture/matrix diffusion (DFMD) numerical transport model. The model was calibrated with laboratory and field data from a site near Havdrup, Denmark, but the overall findings are expected to be relevant to many other sites in similar settings. Fracture flow and MCPP transport parameters for the model were obtained through calibration using well-characterized laboratory experiments with large (0.5 m diameter by 0.5 m high) undisturbed columns of the fractured till and a field experiment. A second level of upscaling and sensitivity analysis was then carried out using data on hydraulic head, fracture spacing, and water budget from the field site. The simulations of downward migration of MCPP show that MCPP concentration and mass flux into the underlying aquifer, and hence the aquifer vulnerability to this pesticide compound, is mainly dependent on the degradation rate of the pesticide, the overall aquitard water budget, and the ground water recharge rate into the aquifer. The influence of flow rate, matrix diffusion, and degradation rate are intertwined. This results in one to four orders of magnitude higher MCPP flux into the aquifer from aquifer recharge rates of 20 and 120 mm/yr, respectively, for no degradation and MCPP half-life of 0.5 yr. From a sensitivity analysis it was found that the range of MCPP flux into the aquifer varied less than one order of magnitude due to (1) changing fracture spacing from 1 to 10 m, or (2) preferential flow along inclined thin sand layers, which represent common conditions for the current and other settings of clayey till in Denmark and other glaciated areas in Europe and North America. The results indicate that for aquifers overlain by fractured clayey tills, the vulnerability to contamination with pesticides (pesticide flux into the aquifer) and other widespread agricultural contaminants is going to vary strongly in the watershed as a function of the distribution of aquitard water budget (flow rate) and aquitard redox environment (controlling contaminant degradation rates), even if the thickness of the till is relatively constant. DFMD modeling of cause-effect relationships within such systems has great potential to support decisions in planning, regulation, and contaminant remediation.  相似文献   

Geochemical evidence for mixing of magmatic fluids with seawater,Nisyros hydrothermal system,Greece     

Tatjana?BrombachEmail author  Stefano?Caliro  Giovanni?Chiodini  Jens?Fiebig  Johannes?C.?Hunziker  Brunella?Raco 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2003,65(7):505-516

The chemical and isotopic compositions (δD_H2O, δ¹⁸O_H2O, δ¹⁸O_CO2, δ¹³C_CO2, δ³⁴S, and He/N₂ and He/Ar ratios) of fumarolic gases from Nisyros, Greece, indicate that both arc-type magmatic water and local seawater feed the hydrothermal system. Isotopic composition of the deep fluid is estimated to be +4.9±0.5‰ for δ¹⁸O and ?11±5‰ for δD corresponding to a magmatic water fraction of 0.7. Interpretation of the stable water isotopes was based on liquid–vapor separation conditions obtained through gas geothermometry. The H₂–Ar, H₂–N₂, and H₂–H₂O geothermometers suggest reservoir temperatures of 345±15 °C, in agreement with temperatures measured in deep geothermal wells, whereas a vapor/liquid separation temperature of 260±30 °C is indicated by gas equilibria in the H₂O–H₂–CO₂–CO–CH₄ system. The largest magmatic inputs seem to occur below the Stephanos–Polybotes Micros crater, whereas the marginal fumarolic areas of Phlegeton–Polybotes Megalos craters receive a smaller contribution of magmatic gases.  相似文献   

Trace element incorporation into quartz: A combined study by ICP-MS, electron spin resonance, cathodoluminescence, capillary ion analysis, and gas chromatography     

Jens Götze  Michael Plötze  Dieter Klaus Hallbauer 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2004,68(18):3741-3759

Pegmatite quartz from different occurrences in Norway and Namibia was investigated by a combination of ICP-MS, Electron Spin Resonance (ESR), Capillary Ion Analysis (CIA) and Gas Chromatography (GC) to quantify trace elements in very low concentrations and to determine their position in the quartz structure.The studied quartz samples show similar geochemical characteristics with low contents of most trace elements. Remarkable are the elevated concentrations of Al (36-636 ppm), Ti (1.6-25.2 ppm), Ge (1.0-7.1 ppm), Na (5.2 to >50 ppm), K (1.6 to >100 ppm) and Li (2.1-165.6 ppm). These elements are preferentially incorporated into the quartz lattice on substitutional (Al, Ti, Ge) and interstitial (Li, Na, K) positions. Li⁺ was found to be the main charge compensating ion for Al, Ge and Ti, whereas some ppm of Na and K may also be hosted by fluid inclusions. Ti may be incorporated as substitutional ion for Si or bound on mineral microinclusions (rutile). The results of the ESR measurements show that there may be a redistribution of alkali ions during irradiation. The diamagnetic [AlO₄/M⁺]⁰ center transforms into the paramagnetic [AlO₄]⁰ center, whilst the compensating ions diffuse away and may be captured by the diamagnetic precursor centers of [GeO₄]⁰ and [TiO₄]⁰ to form paramagnetic centers ([TiO₄/Li⁺]⁰, [GeO₄/Li⁺]⁰).In general, fluid inclusions in pegmatite quartz can be classified as H₂O-CO₂-NaCl type inclusions with water as the predominant volatile. Among the main elements hosted by fluid inclusions in quartz are Na, K, NH₄, Ca, Mg and the anionic complexes Cl⁻, NO₃⁻, HCO₃⁻ and SO₄²⁻. Gas analysis of trapped fluids shows volatile components in the following order of abundance: H₂O > CO₂ > N₂(+) ≥ CH₄ > COS > C₂ and C₃ hydrocarbons. Additionally, traces of Co, Ni, Zn, Pb, and Cu were detected by CIA in fluid inclusions of some samples. There are indications that the REE and Rb are also bound in fluid inclusions, however, the concentrations of these elements are too low to be measured by CIA. Assuming that the REE preferentially occur in fluid inclusions, the typical chondrite normalized REE distribution patterns with tetrad effects and a distinct negative Eu anomaly would reflect the composition of the mineralizing fluid.For a number of elements, especially those with extremely low concentrations, the “type” of incorporation in quartz could not directly be determined. We conclude that these ions either are too large to substitute for the small Si⁴⁺ ion or they are not soluble in the mineralizing fluids to be hosted by fluid inclusions. Some of these elements, which are concentrated in the specific mineralization of certain pegmatites, are not present in elevated concentrations in the paragenetic pegmatite quartz itself. This was observed, for instance, for Be, Cs and Rb in the Li (Be-Cs-Rb) pegmatites of Rubicon or for Nb and Ta for Nb-Ta bearing pegmatites from Norway. It may be concluded that the concentrations of these trace elements in quartz do not reflect the mineralization and that these elements thus, cannot be used as petrogenetic indicator.  相似文献   

A study of the chemistry of pore fluids and authigenic carbonates in methane seep environments: Kodiak Trench, Hydrate Ridge, Monterey Bay, and Eel River Basin   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Joris Gieskes  Chris Mahn  Shelley Day  Jonathan B. Martin  Jens Greinert  Tony Rathburn  Brian McAdoo 《Chemical Geology》2005,220(3-4):329-345

Analyses of the chemical and isotopic composition of carbonates rocks recovered from methane seepage areas of the Kodiak Trench, Hydrate Ridge, Monterey Bay Clam Flats, and the Eel River Basin, coupled with the studies of the chemistry of the pore fluids, have shown that these carbonates have grown within the sediment column. Geochemical profiles of pore fluids show that, in deep water seeps (Kodiak Trench—4450 m; Monterey Bay—1000 m; Hydrate Ridge—650 m), δ¹³C (DIC) values are low (isotopically light), whereas in the Eel River area ( 350–500 m), δ¹³C (DIC) values are much higher (isotopically heavier). In all cases, the δ¹³C values indicate that processes of methane oxidation, associated with sulfate reduction, are dominant in the shallow sediments. Data on the isotopic composition of authigenic carbonates found at sites in Kodiak Trench, Eel River Basin South, and Eel River Basin North indicate a variable composition and origin in different geochemical environments. Some of the authigenic carbonates from the study sites show a trend in their δ¹³C values similar to those of the pore fluids obtained in their vicinity, suggesting formation at relatively shallow depths, but others indicate formation at greater sediment depths. The latter usually consist of high magnesium calcite or dolomite, which, from their high values of δ¹³C (up to 23‰;) and δ¹⁸O (up to 7.5‰), suggest formation in the deeper horizons of the sediments, in the zone of methanogenesis. These observations are in agreement with observations by other workers at Hydrate Ridge, in Monterey Bay, and in the Eel River Basin.  相似文献   

A New Method for the Determination of Area-Averaged Turbulent Surface Fluxes from Low-Level Flights Using Inverse Models     

Jens Bange  Peter Zittel  Thomas Spieß  Jörg Uhlenbrock  Frank Beyrich 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,119(3):527-561

The low-level flight method (LLF) has been combined with linear inverse models (IM) resulting in an LLF+IM method for the determination of area-averaged turbulent surface fluxes. With this combination, the vertical divergences of the turbulent latent and sensible heat fluxes were calculated from horizontal flights. The statistical errors of the derived turbulent surface fluxes were significantly reduced. The LLF+IM method was tested both in numerical and field experiments. Large-eddy simulations (LES) were performed to compare ‘true’ flux profiles with ‘measurements’ of simulated flights in an idealised convective boundary layer. Small differences between the ‘true’ and the ‘measured’ fluxes were found, but the vertical flux divergences were correctly calculated by the LLF+IM method. The LLF+IM method was then applied to data collected during two flights with the Helipod, a turbulence probe carried by a helicopter, and with the research aircraft Do 128 in the LITFASS-98 field campaign. The derived surface fluxes were compared with results from eddy-covariance surface stations and with large-aperture scintillometer data. The comparison showed that the LLF+IM method worked well for the sensible heat flux at 77 and 200 m flight levels, and also for the latent heat flux at the lowest level. The model quality control indicated failures for the latent heat flux at the 200 m level (and higher), which were probably due to large moisture fluctuations that could not be modelled using linear assumptions. Finally the LLF+IM method was applied to more than twenty low-level flights from the LITFASS-2003 experiment. Comparison with aggregated surface flux data revealed good agreement for the sensible heat flux but larger discrepancies and a higher statistical uncertainty for the latent heat flux  相似文献   

Area-Averaged Surface Fluxes Over the Litfass Region Based on Eddy-Covariance Measurements     

Frank Beyrich  Jens-Peter Leps  Matthias Mauder  Jens Bange  Thomas Foken  Sven Huneke  Horst Lohse  Andreas Lüdi  Wouter M. L. Meijninger  Dmitrii Mironov  Ulrich Weisensee  Peter Zittel 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,121(1):33-65

Micrometeorological measurements (including eddy-covariance measurements of the surface fluxes of sensible and latent heat) were performed during the LITFASS-2003 experiment at 13 field sites over different types of land use (forest, lake, grassland, various agricultural crops) in a 20 × 20 km² area around the Meteorological Observatory Lindenberg (MOL) of the German Meteorological Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst, DWD). Significant differences in the energy fluxes could be found between the major land surface types (forest, farmland, water), but also between the different agricultural crops (cereals, rape, maize). Flux ratios between the different surfaces changed during the course of the experiment as a result of increased water temperature of the lake, changing soil moisture, and of the vegetation development at the farmland sites. The measurements over grass performed at the boundary-layer field site Falkenberg of the MOL were shown to be quite representative for the farmland part of the area. Measurements from the 13 sites were composed into a time series of the area-averaged surface flux by taking into account the data quality of the single flux values from the different sites and the relative occurrence of each surface type in the area. Such composite fluxes could be determined for about 80% of the whole measurement time during the LITFASS-2003 experiment. Comparison of these aggregated surface fluxes with area-averaged fluxes from long-range scintillometer measurements and from airborne measurements showed good agreement.  相似文献   

Using sea-level data to constrain a finite-element primitive-equation ocean model with a local SEIK filter     

Lars Nerger  Sergey Danilov  Wolfgang Hiller  Jens Schröter 《Ocean Dynamics》2006,56(5-6):634-649

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Lessons learned from setting up the NOWESP research data base: Experiences in an interdisciplinary research project     

Günther Radach  Jens Gekeler 《Ocean Dynamics》1996,48(3-4):231-240

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