Evaluation of CADISSE a regional storage capacity model     

B. van der Wateren‐De Hoog 《水文研究》1999,13(6):847-863

In this paper the validity of CADISSE, a regional storage capacity model developed to assess the sensitivity of catchment hydrology to climate variability, is examined. In CADISSE, catchment discharge sensitivity is expressed as the ratio of present maximum reservoir storage to catchment storage capacity. Present maximum storage should be interpreted as the maximum amount of water stored in a catchment at present. Catchment storage capacity is defined as the absolute amount of water that can be stored, given the catchment's dimensions and lithological characteristics. With CADISSE, catchment sensitivity can be quantified regionally using limited discharge data and topographic information. Furthermore, storage capacities can be assessed. CADISSE was successfully applied to 15 catchments in the Upper Loire Basin. However, successful application does not necessarily mean that the variables (present maximum storage and storage capacity) represent real world values. Therefore, a two‐step evaluation procedure is presented in this paper. To evaluate CADISSE, (1) the accurate assessment of regionally determined storage capacity, and (2) the importance of present maximum storage for catchment discharge sensitivity is examined with a daily discharge model by comparing observed and simulated catchment storage behaviour for dry and wet periods. The evaluation was carried out using the probability distributed daily discharge model, PDM, and a weather generator for three catchments with different storage capacities and storage behaviour. Results indicate that catchment storage capacity can be correctly quantified with CADISSE and that differences in storage behaviour are indeed important for analyses of catchment sensitivity. Hence, CADISSE has great potential as it can be used to identify flood‐ and drought‐prone catchments under present and future conditions. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

不同实验条件下GPS伪距定位精度分析     

原洪峰  杨龙  蒋德 《全球定位系统》2005,30(5):23-26

研究概括了在不同的实验条件下利用GPS伪距获得较高精度定位结果的方法。实验结果的精度表明,这些方法的定位结果都能比常规的GPS伪距定位法的结果精度高,而且定位效果稳定。同时该方法也可为后续高精度定位及定轨等研究工作打好基础。  相似文献   

基于客观分析的重庆雾的BP神经元网络预报模型研究   总被引：6，自引：4，他引：2  

刘德  李永华  喻桥  何险峰  周国兵 《气象科学》2005,25(3):293-298

本文利用数值预报产品、TTAA报文观测资料及重庆雾(能见度)的实况资料,采用客观分析方法将相关资料处理成二维网格资料,再运用车贝雪夫正交多项式实现二维网格图形的数学定量描述,最后建立重庆雾的BP神经网络方法预测模型,并对重庆雾进行预报试验。检验结果表明,这种方法预报效果较好,基于客观分析的BP神经网络模型进行雾的短期预报具有一定的应用前景。  相似文献   

大别造山带岳西县斜坡变形破坏演化模式     

沈义东  宋铮宇  李德 《中国地质调查》2023,10(1):100-109

岳西县自然斜坡在地球内、外动力共同作用下,容易变形并遭到破坏,造成人员伤亡和财产损失,严重制约了当地的经济发展。通过系统的工程地质调查和浅表生改造理论分析,查明了岳西县斜坡变形破坏特征及其成因,并探讨了其演化模式。结果表明,岳西县不同岩组的抗风化能力和力学特性存在差异,斜坡发生地质灾害的机理也不相同。根据斜坡结构特征,岳西县滑坡分为全风化层滑坡、强风化层滑坡和顺层岩质滑坡：全风化层滑坡的滑面位于全风化层中或全风化层与强风化层的分界线处;强风化层滑坡的滑面主要发育于强风化层与中风化层的分界线处;顺层岩质滑坡主要发育于片麻岩发育的顺向坡中。根据变形破坏方式,岳西县崩塌可分为滑移式崩塌、倾倒式崩塌和坠落式崩塌：滑移式崩塌主要由一组缓倾坡外结构面和另一组陡倾(坡外或者坡内)结构面控制;倾倒式崩塌主要由一组陡倾坡内结构面和另一组近水平发育的结构面控制;坠落式崩塌主要由一组结构面陡倾或近直立发育的结构面控制。岳西县滑坡多发育于风化壳厚度较大、岩体较松散、结构面强度低的地区;崩塌多发育于斜坡高陡、岩质风化程度低、结构面发育的地区。研究成果对岳西县乃至整个大别山地区地质灾害的研究及防治工作具有一定的借...  相似文献   

四川盆地长宁地区海相页岩吸附气含量演化特征 ——以N201井五峰组—龙马溪组一段为例     

聂舟  衡德  邹源红  肖红纱  陈义才  康宇  彭文秋 《海相油气地质》2021,26(1):43-50

吸附气是页岩气的重要赋存形式和组成部分.为了明确四川盆地长宁地区五峰组—龙马溪组一段页岩在埋藏过程中吸附气含量的演化规律,利用页岩等温吸附实验、钻井现场解吸和测井综合解释资料,建立了页岩吸附气含量与地层温度、地层压力、页岩TOC等主要影响参数的多元回归数学公式,结合典型评价井(N201井)的埋藏史、热史,对不同地质时期...  相似文献   

海浪的特征波陡     

郑桂珍  徐德伦 《海岸工程》1999,18(3):5-12

在现有的海浪要素统计分布的理论框架下具体地推导了二维海浪波良与波长的联合统计分布,波长统计分布以及波陡的统计分布,在此基础上对上特征波陡的定义及期 承风要素的变化规律做了较为细致的讨论。  相似文献   

Probabilistic analysis of risk and mitigation of deepwater well blowouts and oil spills     

Alessandro?Caia  Alberto?Giulio?Di?Lullo  Giambattista?De?Ghetto  Alberto?GuadagniniEmail authorView author&#;s OrcID profile 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2018,32(9):2647-2666

The development of robust risk assessment procedures for offshore oil and gas operations is a major element for the assessment of the potential feedback between planned activities and the environment. We illustrate a methodological and computational framework conducive to (1) a quantitative risk analysis of deepwater well barrier failures and subsequent hydrocarbon release to the environment and (2) the analysis of the value of the deployment of conventional and/or innovative mitigation measures. Our methodological framework is grounded on historical records and combines the use of Dynamic Event Trees and Decision Trees from which we estimate probability of occurrence and impact of post-blowout events. Each sequence of response actions, which are undertaken immediately after the event or in the subsequent days, is considered within the context of appropriately structured event paths. This approach is conducive to an estimate of the expected value of key decisions and underlying technologies, with an emphasis on their potential to reduce the oil spill volume, which can critically impact the environment. Our study yields an original comparative analysis of diverse intervention strategies, and forms a basis to guiding future efforts towards the development and deployment of technologies and operating procedures yielding maximum benefit in terms of safety of operations and environmental protection.  相似文献   

Optimal design and seismic performance of tuned mass damper inerter (TMDI) for structures with nonlinear base isolation systems          下载免费PDF全文

Dario De Domenico  Giuseppe Ricciardi 《地震工程与结构动力学》2018,47(12):2539-2560

The tuned mass damper inerter (TMDI) couples the classical tuned mass damper (TMD) with an inerter, a mechanical device whose generated force is proportional to the relative acceleration between its terminals, thus providing beneficial mass‐amplification effects. This paper deals with a dynamic layout in which the TMDI is installed below the isolation floor of base‐isolated structures in order to enhance the earthquake resilience and reduce the displacement demand. Unlike most of the literature studies that assumed a linearized behavior of the isolators, the aim of this paper is to investigate the effectiveness of the TMDI while accounting for the nonlinearity of the isolators. Two nonlinear constitutive behaviors are considered, a Coulomb friction model and a Bouc‐Wen hysteretic model, representative of friction pendulum and of lead‐rubber‐bearing isolators, respectively. Optimal design is based on the stochastic dynamic analysis of the system, by modeling the base acceleration as a Kanai‐Tajimi filtered stationary random process and resorting to the stochastic linearization technique to handle the nonlinear terms. Different tuning criteria based on displacement, acceleration, and energy‐based performance indices are defined, and their implications in a design process are discussed. It is proven that the improved robustness of the TMDI reduces its performance sensitivity to the tuning frequency and to the earthquake frequency content, which are well‐known shortcomings of TMD‐like systems. This important feature makes the TMDI particularly suitable for nonlinear base‐isolated structures that are affected by unavoidable uncertainties in the isolators' properties and that may experience changes of isolators effective stiffness depending on the excitation level.  相似文献   

Spatial modeling of pyroclastic cover deposit thickness (depth to bedrock) in peri‐volcanic areas of Campania (southern Italy)          下载免费PDF全文

Matteo Del Soldato  Veronica Pazzi  Samuele Segoni  Pantaleone De Vita  Veronica Tofani  Sandro Moretti 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2018,43(9):1757-1767

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Phytoremediation Potential of Jack Bean Plant for Multi‐Element Contaminated Soils From Ribeira Valley,Brazil          下载免费PDF全文

Maíra da Silva  Sara Adrián López de Andrade  Alfredo Borges De‐Campos 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2018,46(6)

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