Turning climate change information into economic and health impacts     

Kirsten Halsnæs  Jesper Kühl  Jørgen E. Olesen 《Climatic change》2007,81(1):145-162

The PRUDENCE project has generated a set of spatially and temporally high-resolution climate data, which provides new opportunities for assessing the impacts of climate variability and change on economic and human systems in Europe. In this context, we initiated the development of new approaches for linking climate change information and economic studies. We have considered a number of case studies that illustrate how linkages can be established between geographically detailed climate data and economic information. The case studies included wheat production in agriculture, where regional climate data has been linked to farm enterprise data in an integrated model of physical conditions, production inputs and outputs, and farm management practices. Similarly, temperature data were used to assess consequences of extreme heat and excess mortality in urban areas. We give an introduction of an analytical approach for assessing economic impacts of climate change and discuss how economic concepts and valuation paradigms can be applied to climate change impact evaluation. A number of methodological difficulties encountered in economic assessments of climate change impacts are described and a number of issues related to social and private aspects of costs are highlighted. It is argued that, in particular, detailed climate information matters in relation to understanding how private agents react to observed climate data.  相似文献   

Erratum to G. Mallmann, and H.St.C. O’Neill (2007) “The effect of oxygen fugacity on the partitioning of Re between crystals and silicate melt during mantle melting”, Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 71, 2837-2857     

G. Mallmann  H.St.C. O’Neill 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2007,71(16):4134

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2003年11月超强磁暴热层大气密度扰动及其与焦耳加热和环电流指数的关系——CHAMP卫星观测   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

周云良  马淑英  Lühr H.  王慧  党戈 《地球物理学报》2007,50(4):986-994

本文利用CHAMP卫星加速度仪测量数据，计算和分析2003年11月20～21日大磁暴期间大气质量密度扰动的全球分布特征；研究暴时变化与极区大尺度对流引起的全球焦耳加热总功率及环电流指数SYM H之间的关系.结果表明，磁暴期间400 km高度上热层大气质量密度大幅度上升， NRLMSISE 00模式预测值与此相比有很大差别；暴时大气密度的增大存在昼/夜半球不对称性：白天强于夜晚，且白天随纬度的分布呈现出比较复杂的图像，在赤道附近和南半球中低纬区（10°N ～50°S）大气密度增大较强，并呈双峰分布，两个峰分别位于0°和45°S，另外在极区也出现大气密度扰动的局部极大，而在夜晚，大气密度变化南北半球比较对称，在赤道低纬区大气密度增大较强；互相关分析表明，中低纬区大气密度变化滞后于全球焦耳加热总功率3～7 h，滞后于环电流指数（SYM H）0～3 h，与二者存在很强的相关，表明极区焦耳加热和赤道环电流过程对暴时热层大气密度扰动有重要影响.  相似文献   

Changes of the cosmic-ray mass composition in the 10–10 eV energy range     

K. Bernlöhr  W. Hofmann  G. Leffers  V. Matheis  M. Panter  R. Zink 《Astroparticle Physics》1998,8(4):253-264

Data taken with ten Cosmic Ray Tracking (CRT) detectors and the HEGRA air-shower array on La Palma, Canary Islands, have been analysed to investigate changes of the cosmic ay mass composition at the ‘knee’ of the cosmic-ray flux spectrum near 10¹⁵ eV energy. The analysis is based on the angular distributions of particles in air showers. HEGRA data provided the shower size, direction, and core position and CRT data the particle track information. It is shown that the angular distribution of muons in air showers is sensitive to the composition over a wide range of shower sizes and, thus, primary cosmic-ray energies with little systematic uncertainties. Results can be easily expressed in terms of ln A of primary cosmic rays. In the lower part of the energy range covered, we have considerable overlap with direct composition measurements by the JACEE collaboration and find compatible results in the observed rise of ln A. Above about 10¹⁵ eV energy we find no or at most a slow further rise of ln A. Simple cosmic-ray composition models are presented which are fully consistent with our results as well as the JACEE flux and composition measurements and the flux measurements of the Tibet ASγ collaboration. Minimal three-parameter composition models defined by the same power-law slope of all elements below the knee and a common change in slope at a fixed rigidity are inconsistent with these data.  相似文献   

Three-dimensional interface modelling with two-dimensional seismic data: the Alpine crust–mantle boundary     

F. Waldhauser  E. Kissling  J. Ansorge  & St. Mueller 《Geophysical Journal International》1998,135(1):264-278

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Westward moving dynamic substorm features observed with the IMAGE magnetometer network and other ground-based instruments   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

H. Lühr  A. Aylward  S. C. Bucher  A. Pajunpää  K. Pajunpää  T. Holmboe  S. M. Zalewski 《Annales Geophysicae》1998,16(4):425-440

We present the ground signatures of dynamic substorm features with particular emphasis on the event interpretation capabilities provided by the IMAGE magnetometer network. This array covers the high latitudes from the sub-auroral to the cusp/cleft region. An isolated substorm on 11 Oct. 1993 during the late evening hours exhibited many of well-known features such as the Harang discontinuity, westward travelling surge and poleward leap, but also discrete auroral forms, known as auroral streamers, appeared propagating westward along the centre of the electrojet. Besides the magnetic field measurements, there were auroral observations and plasma flow and conductivity measurements obtained by EISCAT. The data of all three sets of instruments are consistent with the notion of upward field-aligned currents associated with the moving auroral patches. A detailed analysis of the electro-dynamic parameters in the ionosphere, however, reveals that they do not agree with the expectations resulting from commonly used simplifying approximations. For example, the westward moving auroral streamers which are associated with field-aligned current filaments, are not collocated with the centres of equivalent current vortices. Furthermore, there is a clear discrepancy between the measured plasma flow direction and the obtained equivalent current direction. All this suggests that steep conductivity gradients are associated with the transient auroral forms. Also self-induction effects in the ionosphere may play a role for the orientation of the plasma flows. This study stresses the importance of multi-instrument observation for a reliable interpretation of dynamic auroral processes.  相似文献   

Origin of ultramafic inclusions and megacrysts in a monchiquite dyke at Streap,inverness-shire,Scotland     

N.-O. Prægel 《Lithos》1981,14(4):305-322

Spinel lherzolite nodules, composed of olivine (Fo_88.7?89.2), clinepyroxene (6.5% Al₂O₃) and Al-rich spinel, and websterite nodules as well as megacrysts of clinopyroxene, orthopyroxene and magnetite occur in a monchiquite at Streap, Scotland. Petrographic data are given and microprobe analyses of coexisting phases in six spinel lherzolite nodules and one websterite nodule are reported, along with analyses of both types of pyroxene megacrysts. The spinel lherzolites show internal chemical homogeneity, and their mineral chemistries suggest equilibrium conditions of 1100–1200°C and 14–23 kb. The websterite nodules are, on the basis of mineral chemistry and petrography, considered to be crustal material. The megacrysts constitute a separate group, differing in composition from analogous phases in associated lherzolites and websterites as well as from monchiquite phenocryst phases, and show systematic chemical variations corresponding to low pressure crystal fractionation processes.  相似文献   

Natural shock behavior of almandite in metamorphic rocks from the ries crater,Germany     

Volker Stähle 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1975,25(1):71-81

An extensive study of a big number of gneiss specimens with various shock features from the suevite allowed unravelling of the shock behavior of almandite garnets.Almandites in shocked metamorphic rocks show with increasing dynamic pressures strong irregular fracturing. differently oriented sets of planar fractures or elements, brown turbidity and nucleation of minute crystals of an unknown phase in solid garnets. At higher peak pressures garnet was found to break down to (1) orthopyroxene + spinel + glass, and to (2) spinel + glass due to fast shock-melting.Extensive quantitative electron microprobe studies of almandite garnets and their breakdown products were carried out. The breakdown products within the original grain boundaries of the garnets consist of an alumina-rich orthopyroxene (with up to 10 wt. % Al₂O₃), hercynite to pleonaste spinels and a silica and calcium-rich glass matrix. The chemical zonation of magnesium and manganese of the former garnets is inherited in the composition of the newly formed orthopyroxenes.Petrographic evidence and chemical composition suggest a fast breakdown of the almandite garnets after passing of shock waves at rapidly falling pressures and very high post-shock temperatures within the ejected gneissic rock material.  相似文献   

Spectral analysis of oscillations with a time-variable frequency     

Jaroslav Střeštík  Reviewer M. Hvoždara 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1979,23(4):333-348

Summary The paper presents a method of evaluating oscillations with a time-variable frequency using a computer. The given function is first interpolated at points which are not distributed equidistantly in time, but the digitizing step varies with time according to a known optional regularity. The spectrum of the obtained function is computed for various of these interpolations and tests are run to determine when the interpolation best compensates the time variation of the frequency. The initial and terminal frequency in the given sample is then determined. The usability of this method with respect to various types of oscillations with a variable frequency and its accuracy in comparison to sonagrams are discussed.  相似文献   

Geomorphological models as a tool for environmental studies     

Dr. G. Stäblein 《GeoJournal》1979,3(4):379-385

Relief is understood as a fundamental component of the environmental system. The structure of geomorphodynamic processes and of the relief sphere as the main energy transformation surface is a determining factor for environmental conditions of both sites and areas. Modelling is the instrument of the applied and systems analytic approach to geomorphology. Geomorphological tools are appropriate means of determining, structuring, assessing and predicting the geoecological potential of the environment. This is demonstrated by quantitative and multivariate models to describe spatial patterns of the environment (fluvial network analysis) and to evaluate and present environmentally relevant geomorphological disposition (slope stability analysis).  相似文献