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Maxime Souvignet Patrick Laux Jim Freer Hannah Cloke Dang Quang Thinh Tran Thuc Johannes Cullmann Alexandra Nauditt Wolfgang‐Albert Flügel Harald Kunstmann Lars Ribbe 《水文研究》2014,28(4):1587-1601
In this study, change in rainfall, temperature and river discharge are analysed over the last three decades in Central Vietnam. Trends and rainfall indices are evaluated using non‐parametric tests at different temporal levels. To overcome the sparse locally available network, the high resolution APHRODITE gridded dataset is used in addition to the existing rain gauges. Finally, existing linkages between discharge changes and trends in rainfall and temperature are explored. Results are indicative of an intensification of rainfall (+15%/decade), with more extreme and longer events. A significant increase in winter rainfall and a decrease in consecutive dry days provides strong evidence for a lengthening wet season in Central Vietnam. In addition, trends based on APHRODITE suggest a strong orographic signal in winter and annual trends. These results underline the local variability in the impacts of climatic change at the global scale. Consequently, it is important that change detection investigations are conducted at the local scale. A very weak signal is detected in the trend of minimum temperature (+0.2°C/decade). River discharge trends show an increase in mean discharge (31 to 35%/decade) over the last decades. Between 54 and 74% of this increase is explained by the increase in precipitation. The maximum discharge also responds significantly to precipitation changes leading to a lengthened wet season and an increase in extreme rainfall events. Such trends can be linked with a likely increase in floods in Central Vietnam, which is important for future adaptation planning and management and flood preparedness in the region. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
525.
Lars Dyrud Derek Wilson Steiner Boerve Jan Trulsen Hans Pecseli Sigrid Close Chen Chen Yoonjae Lee 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2008,102(1-4):383-394
Recently, meteor head echo detections from high powered large aperture radars (HPLA) have brought new measurements to bear
on the study of sporadic interplanetary meteors. These same observations have demonstrated an ability to observe smaller meteoroids
without some of the geometrical restrictions of specular radar techniques. Yet incorporating data from various radar reflection
types and from different radars into a single consistent model has proven challenging. We believe this arises due to poorly
understood radio scattering characteristics of the meteor plasma, especially in light of recent work showing that plasma turbulence
and instability greatly influences meteor trail properties at every stage of evolution. In order to overcome some of the unknown
relationships between meteoroid characteristics (such as mass and velocity) and the resulting head echo radar cross-sections
(RCS), we present our results on meteor plasma simulations of head echo plasmas using particle in cell (PIC) ions, which show
that electric fields strongly influence early stage meteor plasma evolution, by accelerating ions away from the meteoroid
body at speeds as large as several kilometers per second. We also present the results of finite difference time domain electromagnetic
simulations (FDTD), which can calculate the radar cross-section of the simulated meteor plasma electron distributions. These
simulations have shown that the radar cross-section depends in a complex manner on a number of parameters. In this paper we
demonstrate that for a given head echo plasma the RCS as a function of radar frequency peaks at sqrt (2*peak plasma frequency)
and then decays linearly on a dB scale with increasing radar frequency. We also demonstrate that for a fixed radar frequency,
the RCS increases linearly on a dB scale with increasing head echo plasma frequency. These simulations and resulting characterization
of the head echo radar cross-section will both help relate HPLA radar observations to meteoroid properties and aid in determining
a particular radar facility’s ability to observe various meteoroid populations. 相似文献
526.
Lars E. Sj?berg 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2012,56(4):929-933
Recently it was proved that the classical formula for computing the geoid to quasigeoid separation (GQS) by the Bouguer gravity anomaly needs a topographic correction. Here we generalize the modelling of the GQS not only to Bouguer types of anomalies, but also to arbitrary reductions of topographic gravity. Of particular interest for practical applications should be isostatic and Helmert types of reductions, which provide smaller and smoother components, more suitable for interpolation and calculation, than the Bouguer reduction. 相似文献
527.
Peter?A.?StaehrEmail author Lars?Baastrup-Spohr Kaj?Sand-Jensen Colin?Stedmon 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》2012,74(1):155-169
We used a comparative data set for 25 lakes in Denmark sampled during summer to explore the influence of lake morphometry,
catchment conditions, light availability and nutrient input on lake metabolism. We found that (1) gross primary production
(GPP) and community respiration (R) decline with lake area, water depth and drainage ratio, and increase with algal biomass
(Chl), dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and total phosphorus (TP); (2) all lakes, especially small with less incident light,
and forest lakes with high DOC, have negative net ecosystem production (NEP < 0); (3) daily variability of GPP decreases with
lake area and water depth as a consequence of lower input of nutrients and organic matter per unit water volume; (4) the influence
of benthic processes on free water metabolic measures declines with increasing lake size; and (5) with increasing lake size,
lake metabolism decreases significantly per unit water volume, while depth integrated areal rates remain more constant due
to a combination of increased light and nutrient limitation. Overall, these meta-parameters have as many significant but usually
weaker relationships to whole-lake and benthic metabolism as have TP, Chl and DOC that are directly linked to photosynthesis
and respiration. Combining water depth and Chl to predict GPP, and water depth and DOC to predict R, lead to stronger multiple
regression models accounting for 57–63% of the variability of metabolism among the 25 lakes. It is therefore important to
consider differences in lake morphometry and catchment conditions when comparing metabolic responses of lakes to human impacts. 相似文献
528.
Only with satellites it is possible to cover the entire Earth densely with gravity field related measurements of uniform quality
within a short period of time. However, due to the altitude of the satellite orbits, the signals of individual local masses
are strongly damped. Based on the approach of Petrovskaya and Vershkov we determine the gravity gradient tensor directly from
the spherical harmonic coefficients of the recent EIGEN-GL04C combined model of the GRACE satellite mission. Satellite gradiometry
can be used as a complementary tool to gravity and geoid information in interpreting the general geophysical and geodynamical
features of the Earth. Due to the high altitude of the satellite, the effects of the topography and the internal masses of
the Earth are strongly damped. However, the gradiometer data, which are nothing else than the second order spatial derivatives
of the gravity potential, efficiently counteract signal attenuation at the low and medium frequencies.
In this article we review the procedure for estimating the gravity gradient components directly from spherical harmonics coefficients.
Then we apply this method as a case study for the interpretation of possible geophysical or geodynamical patterns in Iran.
We found strong correlations between the cross-components of the gravity gradient tensor and the components of the deflection
of vertical, and we show that this result agrees with theory. Also, strong correlations of the gravity anomaly, geoid model
and a digital elevation model were found with the diagonal elements of the gradient tensor. 相似文献
529.
We investigate mixing processes under stratified conditions on the Northwest European Continental shelf using a numerical model (POLCOMS). Our results indicate that convection induced by vertical shearing of horizontal density gradients (‘shear-induced convection’) is a regularly occurring feature in the bottom and surface boundary layers in this open shelf-sea situation. Two types of turbulence models are investigated to study their capability for reproducing the observed location of tidal mixing fronts, and the physical processes occurring in seasonally stratified waters. The first model is a one-equation variant of the Mellor–Yamada model, whereas the second model combines a more recent second-momentum closure with a two-equation model. It is found that generally mean frontal positions (as estimated from ICES data) are predicted more accurately by the two-equation model. The one-equation model reproduces the mean frontal locations to 18.1 km (<3 grid spacings) and the two-equation model to 17.1 km; although in the Celtic Sea the accuracy is ∼33 and ∼12 km, respectively. Comparison with historical tide gauges, current metres, CTD stations, and thermistor chain data from the North Sea Project all show an improvement in accuracy when the two-equation model is used. This is particularly apparent in the model's ability to reproduce the spring–neap variability during stratification. We find that in the presence of shear-induced convection the routinely applied clipping of the turbulent length-scale, previously thought to be a minor ingredient in a turbulence model, has a dramatic effect on the results: if the length-scale clipping is not applied, substantial over-mixing is observed to occur. The causes and possible remedies of this effect are investigated. Overall our results demonstrate a sensitivity to the details of the turbulence model that is significantly greater than previously thought. 相似文献
530.