全文获取类型
收费全文 | 4892篇 |
免费 | 203篇 |
国内免费 | 65篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 139篇 |
大气科学 | 422篇 |
地球物理 | 992篇 |
地质学 | 1898篇 |
海洋学 | 362篇 |
天文学 | 876篇 |
综合类 | 23篇 |
自然地理 | 448篇 |
出版年
2021年 | 55篇 |
2020年 | 78篇 |
2019年 | 97篇 |
2018年 | 120篇 |
2017年 | 127篇 |
2016年 | 154篇 |
2015年 | 125篇 |
2014年 | 160篇 |
2013年 | 242篇 |
2012年 | 166篇 |
2011年 | 241篇 |
2010年 | 223篇 |
2009年 | 307篇 |
2008年 | 249篇 |
2007年 | 261篇 |
2006年 | 229篇 |
2005年 | 220篇 |
2004年 | 184篇 |
2003年 | 144篇 |
2002年 | 144篇 |
2001年 | 107篇 |
2000年 | 105篇 |
1999年 | 88篇 |
1998年 | 79篇 |
1997年 | 76篇 |
1996年 | 74篇 |
1995年 | 60篇 |
1994年 | 49篇 |
1993年 | 45篇 |
1992年 | 42篇 |
1991年 | 53篇 |
1990年 | 36篇 |
1989年 | 32篇 |
1988年 | 43篇 |
1987年 | 44篇 |
1986年 | 32篇 |
1985年 | 44篇 |
1984年 | 39篇 |
1983年 | 38篇 |
1982年 | 43篇 |
1981年 | 46篇 |
1980年 | 39篇 |
1979年 | 26篇 |
1978年 | 24篇 |
1977年 | 28篇 |
1976年 | 32篇 |
1974年 | 31篇 |
1973年 | 36篇 |
1972年 | 23篇 |
1971年 | 24篇 |
排序方式: 共有5160条查询结果,搜索用时 109 毫秒
941.
Claire Granier Bertrand Bessagnet Tami Bond Ariela D��Angiola Hugo Denier van der Gon Gregory J. Frost Angelika Heil Johannes W. Kaiser Stefan Kinne Zbigniew Klimont Silvia Kloster Jean-Fran?ois Lamarque Catherine Liousse Toshihiko Masui Frederik Meleux Aude Mieville Toshimasa Ohara Jean-Christophe Raut Keywan Riahi Martin G. Schultz Steven J. Smith Allison Thompson John van Aardenne Guido R. van der Werf Detlef P. van Vuuren 《Climatic change》2011,109(1-2):163-190
Several different inventories of global and regional anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions are assessed for the 1980?C2010 period. The species considered in this study are carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide and black carbon. The inventories considered include the ACCMIP historical emissions developed in support of the simulations for the IPCC AR5 assessment. Emissions for 2005 and 2010 from the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are also included. Large discrepancies between the global and regional emissions are identified, which shows that there is still no consensus on the best estimates for surface emissions of atmospheric compounds. At the global scale, anthropogenic emissions of CO, NOx and SO2 show the best agreement for most years, although agreement does not necessarily mean that uncertainty is low. The agreement is low for BC emissions, particularly in the period prior to 2000. The best consensus is for NOx emissions for all periods and all regions, except for China, where emissions in 1980 and 1990 need to be better defined. Emissions of CO need better quantification in the USA and India for all periods; in Central Europe, the evolution of emissions during the past two decades needs to be better determined. The agreement between the different SO2 emissions datasets is rather good for the USA, but better quantification is needed elsewhere, particularly for Central Europe, India and China. The comparisons performed in this study show that the use of RCP8.5 for the extension of the ACCMIP inventory beyond 2000 is reasonable, until more global or regional estimates become available. Concerning biomass burning emissions, most inventories agree within 50?C80%, depending on the year and season. The large differences between biomass burning inventories are due to differences in the estimates of burned areas from the different available products, as well as in the amount of biomass burned. 相似文献
942.
Lidia Romero-Viana Ramon Julià Martin Schimmel Antonio Camacho Eduardo Vicente M. Rosa Miracle 《Climatic change》2011,107(3-4):343-361
We present the first winter (December to March) rainfall reconstruction based in a novel proxy, the thickness of annual calcite laminations preserved in Lake La Cruz (central–eastern Spain). A previous calibration analysis between laminae thickness and the instrumental data series (1950 to present) indicated a highly significant correlation with winter rainfall. Therefore this study attempts the winter rainfall reconstruction since the onset of laminations (1579 a.d.) by means of the calibration function previously developed. The verification analysis between inferred annual values and earlier instrumental data (1859–1949) confirms the suitability of this novel proxy and the reliability of the series reconstructed. The reconstructed series show the fluctuating character of winter rainfall in the western Mediterranean area; interdecadal dry periods alternated with wetter periods following, in a board sense, the pattern recorded by documentary sources in other regions of the Iberian Peninsula. At present times regional winter rainfall anomalies are highly correlated with the phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). However the time series analysis showed the dominance of nonstationary components at high frequencies of the climate signal over the last four centuries suggesting that the connection between winter rainfall and the NAO has not been stable over time and also other modes of variability, not only NAO, may have conditioned winter rainfall variability. 相似文献
943.
James D. Ford Tristan Pearce Jason Prno Frank Duerden Lea Berrang Ford Tanya R. Smith Maude Beaumier 《Climatic change》2011,109(3-4):399-415
A survey documenting how climate change is perceived and responded to by Canadian mine operations was administered to a random sample of practitioners working at mine sites across Canada. Key findings include: (1) Mines are sensitive to climatic hazards; (2) There is concern about climate change among mine practitioners, but the majority have not yet noticed climate change to be affecting operations; (3) Future climate change is expected to have negative impacts for mine operations; (4) Mines are responding to climate change mainly through efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions but also through adaptation, although to a lesser degree; and (5) Knowledge of future climate change projections and impacts is limited, potentially constraining understanding of the nature of climate change risks. The survey compliments previous work documenting perceptions among upper level management on climate change in the Canadian mining industry. The results from both surveys are largely consistent, establishing that the mining sector perceives climate change as an emerging risk and is developing response options, but needs to invest more time and resources for adaptation to what are inevitable changes in climate. The results support the need for targeted in-depth research to assess the vulnerability of mining to climate change and to evaluate response options. 相似文献
944.
Observational and model evidence of global emergence of permanent, unprecedented heat in the 20th and 21st centuries 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Given the severe impacts of extreme heat on natural and human systems, we attempt to quantify the likelihood that rising greenhouse gas concentrations will result in a new, permanent heat regime in which the coolest warm-season of the 21(st) century is hotter than the hottest warm-season of the late 20(th) century. Our analyses of global climate model experiments and observational data reveal that many areas of the globe are likely to permanently move into such a climate space over the next four decades, should greenhouse gas concentrations continue to increase. In contrast to the common perception that high-latitude areas face the most accelerated response to global warming, our results demonstrate that in fact tropical areas exhibit the most immediate and robust emergence of unprecedented heat, with many tropical areas exhibiting a 50% likelihood of permanently moving into a novel seasonal heat regime in the next two decades. We also find that global climate models are able to capture the observed intensification of seasonal hot conditions, increasing confidence in the projection of imminent, permanent emergence of unprecedented heat. 相似文献
945.
Martin H?mmerle Tam��s G��l J��nos Unger Andreas Matzarakis 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2011,105(3-4):521-527
The sky view factor (SVF) describes the surface geometry and is a commonly used and important measure in urban climate investigations whose aim is the exploration of effects of a complex urban surface on climatological processes in built-up areas. A selection of methods and models for calculating the SVF was compared. For this purpose, fish eye images were taken at several locations in the city of Szeged, southern Hungary. The fish eye images equidistantly follow linear transects to cover a range of SVF values and to analyze the reaction of the methods to a continuously changing environment. The fish eye pictures were evaluated by three methods: the method according to Steyn (Atmos-Ocean 18(3):245?C258, 1980) implemented in a GIS-Script, the ??Edit free sky view factor?? tool of the RayMan model and BMSkyView. The SVF values at the coordinates of the fish eye pictures were calculated with three numerical models (SkyHelios, ArcView SVF extension, and SOLWEIG) with a 3D building data base as input. After comparing the results of the first run, a deviation occurs. The deviation disappears after implementing an option to include a weighting factor in some of the models. 相似文献
946.
Social identity, perception and motivation in adaptation to climate risk in the coffee sector of Chiapas, Mexico 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Most investigation into climate adaptation to date has focused on specific technological interventions and socio-economic aspects of adaptive capacity. New perspectives posit that socio-cognitive factors may be as or more important in motivating individuals to take adaptive actions. Recent research indicates that incorporating insights from motivation theory can enhance theorization of adaptive capacity. Yet unexplored, and what we propose here, is the addition of social identity to models of adaptive capacity and adaptation. To apply this conceptual framework, the first author undertook in-depth interviews with a sample of farmers who had participated in broader surveys the previous year to explore their perceptions of their social identity, climate-related information and its sources, and climate risk. These interviews elicited compelling evidence that social identity mediates between risk perception and adaptation through its influence on motivation. Interviews revealed significant links between social identity and perception of information, risk perception and adaptation, of which the most salient were the relative credibility and legitimacy of information sources (related to us vs. them social group differentiation); the role of coffee organizations; and ethnicity and geographic marginalization. Strong in-group identity and perceptions of potentially influential out-groups such as the scientific community appear to particularly influence perception and use of information. These findings have rich policy implications for adaptation management and merit further investigation to identify how, where and why social identity plays a role in climate-risk perception, motivation and adaptation in other geographic areas of vulnerability worldwide. 相似文献
947.
The vital role of forests in limiting the likelihood of dangerous climate change has precipitated renewed interest in debt-for-nature swaps. This article uses evidence on past debt-for-nature deals and similar debt mechanisms to assess a recent second wave of such swaps. It outlines five typical shortcomings of this form of financial transaction: that they often fail to deliver additional resources to the debtor country and/or debtor government budget; often fail to deliver more resources for conservation/climate purposes; often have a negligible effect on overall debt burdens (and, as such, do not generate more ‘indirect’ benefits); and are often in conflict with principles of alignment with government policy and alignment with government systems (these two last shortcomings being important elements within the new aid delivery paradigm). Our analysis is applied to a recent debt-for-nature swap between the United States and Indonesia. We show that this case, which we consider a litmus test for current swap practice, performs unevenly across the five shortcomings. First, although the US-Indonesian swap does increase available resources to Indonesia at the country level, it does not generate extra budgetary room for the Indonesian government. Second, the extent to which the resources provided by the swap are additional to other donor support and reserved domestic budget lines for conservation goals is unclear. Third, the swap is too insignificant to create indirect (positive) economic effects. Regarding alignment issues, fourth, the swap is very much in line with current national policy, but, fifth, appears at odds with the new aid delivery paradigm's insistence on system alignment. We argue that if a second generation of debt-for-nature swaps is to be pursued then they need to avoid the common pitfalls associated with this form of finance. Moreover, there is a need to debate broader ways of linking debt service repayments to climate mitigation and adaptation. 相似文献
948.
949.
Gegar Prasetya John Beavan Xiaoming Wang Martin Reyners William Power Kate Wilson Biljana Lukovic 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2011,168(11):1973-1987
We undertake detailed near-field numerical modelling of the tsunami generated by the 15 July 2009 earthquake (Mw 7.8) in Fiordland,
New Zealand. High resolution bathymetry and topography data at Breaksea and Dusky Sounds, and Chalky and Preservation Inlets
are derived mostly from digitised New Zealand nautical charts, Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM) 3 arc-second data,
and General Bathymetric Chart of the Ocean (GEBCO) 30 s data. A combination of continuous and campaign Global Positioning
System (GPS), satellite radar (ALOS/PALSAR InSAR images) and seismology data are used to constrain the seafloor deformation
for the initial tsunami condition. This source model, derived independently of DART observations, provides an excellent fit
to observed tsunami elevations recorded by DART buoy 55015. The model results in the near field show maximum tsunami elevations
in the range 0.5–2.0 m inside the sounds and inlets with maximum flow speeds of 3.0 m/s. Along the open coast, maximum tsunami
elevations reach 2.0 m. The high flow speeds through the inlets may change the inlet stratifications and water mass inside
the sounds. Media reports and field reconnaissance data show some tsunami evidence at Cormorant Cove, Duck and Goose Coves,
and Passage Point. 相似文献
950.
Juliet G. Crider David Frank Stephen D. Malone Michael P. Poland Cynthia Werner Jacqueline Caplan-Auerbach 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2011,73(2):175-189
Mount Baker volcano displayed a short interval of seismically-quiescent thermal unrest in 1975, with high emissions of magmatic
gas that slowly waned during the following three decades. The area of snow-free ground in the active crater has not returned
to pre-unrest levels, and fumarole gas geochemistry shows a decreasing magmatic signature over that same interval. A relative
microgravity survey revealed a substantial gravity increase in the ~30 years since the unrest, while deformation measurements
suggest slight deflation of the edifice between 1981–83 and 2006–07. The volcano remains seismically quiet with regard to
impulsive volcano-tectonic events, but experiences shallow (<3 km) low-frequency events likely related to glacier activity,
as well as deep (>10 km) long-period earthquakes. Reviewing the observations from the 1975 unrest in combination with geophysical
and geochemical data collected in the decades that followed, we infer that elevated gas and thermal emissions at Mount Baker
in 1975 resulted from magmatic activity beneath the volcano: either the emplacement of magma at mid-crustal levels, or opening
of a conduit to a deep existing source of magmatic volatiles. Decadal-timescale, multi-parameter observations were essential
to this assessment of magmatic activity. 相似文献