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31.
The modern analogue technique (MAT) was applied to six pollen sequences from the Belledonne Massif (northwestern French Alps) to estimate the effect of altitude and local parameters on pollen‐based climate reconstruction during the Lateglacial and the early Holocene. The six sites (Le Vivier (345 m a.s.l.), Les Etelles (700 m a.s.l.), La Coche (980 m a.s.l.), Montendry (1330 m a.s.l.), Le Grand Leyat (1660 m a.s.l.), La Gouille (1800 m a.s.l.)) are located in different vegetation belts (mixed deciduous woods, conifer woods, alpine pastures with maple). The main vegetation changes in the past are recorded at each site. The evolution of four climate parameters (coldest month temperature, warmest month temperature, mean annual temperature, annual precipitation) was quantitatively inferred from pollen data using MAT. The curves obtained were compared to the Les Etelles site, which was the least affected by non‐local pollen transport. The results show consistent trends for the climate parameters reconstructed at the different sites. However, the reconstruction does not indicate a decrease in temperature values related to the increasing elevation. Difficulties in reconstructing the altitudinal variations of climate parameters from pollen data during the periods studied are discussed and perspectives for improvement are considered. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
32.
The application of computer technology has permitted more and more problems of dynamical astronomy to be solved more easily, quickly, and accurately. In this area, numerical integration is often very efficient, and sometimes essential. There is often, however, a temptation to choose numerical integration simply because it is the easiest way to attack the problem. Sometimes this works to the detriment of a satisfactory understanding of the physics of the problem under study. It is particularly the case for the free, or Eulerian, oscillations. The forces that create such a motion are not of gravitational origin and are not even conservative. The theory can only specify the frequencies of oscillation, not their amplitudes nor phases. The case is complicated when the free oscillations interact with gravitationally-forced oscillations, a situation that is almost inevitable, since nothing is isolated in the Universe. The first author has particularly studied this problem in the case of the rotation of the Moon, and published the first credible determinations of the lunar free libration. In this kind of problem, the observations have to be used and care must to be taken to create no spurious free librations in the results by using numerical integrations to describe the other related motions. A differential correction of the starting conditions to fit the observations does not necessarily give any valid information on the real free oscillation contained in the data. An analytical model is necessary, if the goal of the research is to understand the origins and characteristics of an Eulerian oscillation in such a system.  相似文献   
33.
Among the lunar laser range measurements obtained during the past six years at McDonald Observatory, those available cover the period August 1969-November 1974, being 1377 normal observations made on the three Apollo reflectors and that of Lunokhod II. The fit of these data led to a rms residual of 55 cm. In this study, a large number of parameters have been resolved, including the geocentric coordinates of the telescope, the selenocentric coordinates of each of the reflectors, as well as orbital elements of the Moon. In addition, the interest has been directed more specially towards the study of the rotational motion of the Moon and particularly the problem of its free librations. The performed resolutions give the evidence of the three modes of free oscillations. The determined amplitudes arise to 1.7 in longitude and 0.5 and 8.7 in latitude, with the respective periods of 2.9 years, 27.3 days and 75 years. In connection with these parameters, the fittings determined also the most of part of elements of lunar gravitational field: the moment of inertia parameters and, and a number of the third degree harmonics. These new results should now permit a research on the implications of these oscillations effects, concerning the impact history of the Moon and the properties of its internal structure. On the basis of the amplitudes determined here, one can already estimate an order of the magnitude for theQ dissipation coefficient comparable with that determined from seismic studies of the Moon.  相似文献   
34.
The natural river water certified reference material SLRS-4 (NRC-CNRC, National Research Council-Conseil National de Recherches Canada) has been routinely analysed for major and trace elements by six French laboratories. Most measurements were made using inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry. For silicon and thirty one trace elements (rare earth elements, Ag, B, Br, Cs, Ga, Ge, Li, P, Pd, Rb, Se, Th, Ti, Tl, W, Y and Zr), no certified values are assigned by NRC-CNRC. We propose some compilation values and related uncertainties according to the results obtained by the different laboratories.  相似文献   
35.
The high topographic complexity of the Alpine region is the origin of important climate differences that characterise the different areas of the Alps. These differences might have had a strong influence on vegetation and on migrations of human populations in the past. Based on an improved database containing about 3000 modern pollen samples, the standard “Modern Analogue Technique” has been applied to five pollen sequences from the subalpine belt of the South-western Italian Alps (Laghi dell’Orgials, 2240 m, Lago delle Fate, 2130 m, Torbiera del Biecai, 1920 m, Rifugio Mondovì, 1760 m, Pian Marchisio, 1624 m) to provide quantitative climate estimates for the Lateglacial and Holocene periods. Consistent climate trends are reconstructed for the different sequences. Sites recorded in detail the climate variations when they were located at the limit of two ecotones. Sites above the tree line recorded lower temperature values and less important variations. Climate was cold and dry during the Oldest and Younger Dryas and close to present-day values during the Bølling/Allerød interstadial. At the beginning of the Holocene, climate changed to warmer and moister conditions; a high number of climate fluctuations are recorded at several sites. A climate optimum is recorded in the Atlantic period, which caused a development of fir above its present-day altitudinal distribution. Climatic differences recorded at the various sites are discussed taking into account the limits of the method.  相似文献   
36.
Abstract

This paper examines implementation of the Kyoto Protocol without Russia. It concludes that implementation without Russia is possible, although it requires political will on the part of the countries that wish to proceed with the Protocol. It would lead to higher compliance costs for Annex B buyer regions, but other regions, except Russia, would benefit financially. Russia would forego revenue of at least $20 billion for the first commitment period. Implementation without Russia could improve the environmental performance of the Protocol. It would reduce reliance on Annex B sinks, use of surplus assigned amount units (AAUs) for compliance, and the quantity of Kyoto units banked for subsequent commitment periods. Actual emissions by Kyoto Protocol Parties would fall, but the reduction may be offset by leakage to the US and Russia.  相似文献   
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