Bootstrap statistics for velocity tomography: application of a new information criterion1     

Osamu Nishizawa  Harufumi Nero 《Geophysical Prospecting》1995,43(2):157-176

A new information criterion, the extended information criterion (EIC) was applied in order to determine an optimum solution in simultaneous iterative reconstruction technique (SIRT) P-wave velocity tomography. The EIC is derived from information theory and statistics, and it measures the goodness-of-fit between the true (unknown) data distribution and the observed data distribution: the former gives the probability of data realization from the true (unknown) model, whereas the latter gives a probability of data realization calculated from a particular model of which parameters are estimated. The EIC is calculated using bootstrap statistics, a numerical technique for calculating statistical estimators. Bootstrap statistics enables us to obtain the bias between the log likelihood and the expected log likelihood, and then to obtain the expected log likelihood from the log likelihood. Since the EIC is obtained numerically, we can use it for most problems of model parameter estimation without employing the maximum likelihood method. Taking weak anisotropy into account, we reconstructed the P-wave velocity structure of a rock sample during water infiltration under differential stress loading conditions. The results indicate that we can remove unrealistic solutions sometimes encountered when too many iterations are made. In spite of much computation time, the EIC is a promising technique for the near future, prompted by the rapid progress in current computer technology.  相似文献   

台风内核与外围加热对其强度突变的影响   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5  

夏友龙  郑祖光  刘式达 《气象学报》1995,53(4):423-430

采用准动量无辐散模式，考虑非绝热加热过程，探讨了加热、惯性稳定度、层结稳定度以及非热成风等物理因子对台风中的重力惯性波强度变化的影响。进而把台风内核与外围的加热过程加以区别，指出要引起内核强度突变不仅要有非线性动力过程，而且要有非线性加热过程；而要引起外围强度突变则要有非线性动力过程以及定常的加热过程。  相似文献   

The turbulent characteristics in the lowest part of the sea breeze front in the atmospheric surface layer     

Osamu Chiba 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1993,65(1-2):181-195

Tower measurements for the sea breeze front in the surface layer were carried out over the Kochi plain about 2 km inland from Tosa Bay in Shikoku, Japan during the period from August 1986 to October 1987. The study shows that the penetration time of the sea breeze has an annual variation, which is around 0830 JST in summer and 12 JST in winter, and that the width of the sea breeze front depends on the ratio of the sea breeze speed and the opposing flow speed. Moreover, the frontal width also shows a seasonal variation.The characteristics of the vertical winds (w) found just before and just after the passage of the sea breeze front lead to remarkable downdrafts and updrafts, respectively, with relatively large vertical velocities. Such behaviour ofw is shown to be consistent with the flow relative to the head of the front as reviewed by Simpson (1987), influencing the magnitude of the turbulence scale and the turbulent energy dissipation near the ground surface.  相似文献   

Band-limited heterogeneous fractal structure of earthquakes and acoustic-emission events     

Xinglin Lei  Osamu Nishizawa  Kinichiro Kusunose 《Geophysical Journal International》1993,115(1):79-84

  相似文献   

THE SIMULATION OF THE RELATION BETWEEN FRACTAL DIMENSION AND THE SPECTRUM OF TURBULENCE^*          下载免费PDF全文

Lin Zhenshan  Deng Ziwang  Liu Shida 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1994,8(4):474-477

In this paper, we study the relation between the energy spectrum exponent of turbulence and fractal dimension, and give two empirical formulas.  相似文献   

热带气旋的内、外区结构──Ⅰ.正压模式     

刘式适  刘式达 《热带气象学报》1994,(3)

将热带气旋分为内外两区，两区的空间、时间及物理量有不同的尺度，应用尺度分析和摄动法到热带气旋的两个区域，分别在正压模式和斜压模式中求得了这两个区域的控制方程，在两个模式中，还解析地求得了两个区域的流场和气压场，得到的结果与实际热带气旋的结构较为接近。研究表明，热带气旋内区和外区有不同的控制方程，内区受旋转风和一个演化方程制约，而外区受梯度风和另一个演化方程制约。  相似文献   

The Theoretical Model of Atmospheric Turbulence Spectrum in Surface Layer     

Liu Shi  Liu Shikuo  Xin Guojun  Liang Fuming 《大气科学进展》1994,11(4):408-414

It is shown that the slope of energy spectrum obtained from the velocity solution of Kdv-Burgers equation lies between -5/3 and -2 in the dilogarithmic coordinates paper. The spectrum is very close to one of Kolmogorov’s isotropic turbulence and Frisch’s intermittent turbulence in inertial region. In this paper, the Kdv-Burgers equation to describe atmospheric boundary layer turbulence is obtained. In the equation, the 1 / Re, corresponds to dissipative coefficient v, to dispersive coefficient β, then (v/ 2β)2 corresponds to .We prove that the wave number corresponding to maximum energy spectrum decreases with the decrease of stability (i.e., the increase of in eddy-containing region. And the spectrim amplitude decreases with the increase of (i.e., the decrease of stability). These results are consistent with actual turbulence spectrum of atmospheric surface layer from turbulence data.  相似文献   

正压模式中的非线性波动   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘式适  刘式达 《大气科学》1983,7(2):125-135

本文从非线性大气运动正压模式方程组出发,用我们所设计的将非线性项在平衡点附近作Taylor展开的方法,求得了非线性有限振幅的惯性-重力外波和有辐散的Rossby波,均满足著名的KdV方程,它的解为椭圆余弦波,它包含线性波动,在一定的条件下形成孤立波。对有限振幅的但有辐散的Rossby波,它包含线性的有辐散的Rossby波(即叶笃正波),而且建立了包含叶笃正公式在内的新的色散关系,它含有振幅因子。分析表明:对有限振幅的惯性-重力外波,振幅大、宽度大的波传播越快,但对有限振幅的有辐散的Rossby波,振幅大、宽度大的波传播越慢,阻塞、切断系统可能属于Rossby孤立波。  相似文献   

新疆地区气候与环境变化对沙尘暴的影响研究   总被引：23，自引：25，他引：23  

魏文寿  高卫东  史玉光  Osamu ABE 《干旱区地理》2004,27(2):137-141

根据新疆地区50年来的气候变化以及人类活动的影响，阐述了新疆沙尘暴源区气候与荒漠环境变化。结果表明，新疆地区的气候由暖干向暖湿发展。自20世纪70年代中期以来，暖湿过程非常明显，特别是新疆南疆与北疆的气候变化特点和高山与盆地的气候变化差异以及湖泊其他水域面积的变化，都明显地反映了干旱区域气候变化的敏感性，并且也反映了新疆区域气候与中国中、东部气候变化的差异性。由于气候的波动和人类活动的干扰．使不同地区的荒漠环境受到不同程度影响。干旱地区的降水、大气湿度、下垫面状况等都直接影响着沙尘暴的发生和发展。沙尘暴的发生频率和强度与沙尘源区的状况及其气候与荒漠环境变化以及动力条件(即天气系统)等具有密切的关系。因此，20世纪80年代后期以来，气候变暖是造成干旱区生态环境恶化、自然灾害尤其是风沙灾害和沙尘暴增多的主要原因之一。同时，也反映出内陆干旱区是气候变化的敏感反应区。  相似文献   

半地转近似下的非线性波   总被引：1，自引：4，他引：1  

刘式适  刘式达 《气象学报》1987,45(3):257-266

本文应用半地转的概念分析和求解了正压和斜压的大气运动。指出:(1)在水平无辐散或准地转条件下求单波解无法表现非线性作用的困难,可以应用半地转的假定来解决。为了避开上述困难,不得已仅保留部分非线性项,但为了准确表征大尺度运动,最好应用半地转假定,保留全部非线性项。(2)准地转的假定可以滤去快速波动,半地转的假定同样也可以滤去快速波动,而且半地转条件下的Rossby波具有充分的非线性特征。所以,它为讨论非线性问题提供了一个途径。  相似文献