Grid point surface air temperature calculations with a fast turnaround: Combining the results of IMAGE and a GCM     

Matthias Jonas  Katharina Fleischmann  Andrey V. Ganopolski  Jaroslav Krabec  Uta Sauer  Krzysztof Olendrzyński  Vladimir K. Petoukhov  Roderick W. Shaw 《Climatic change》1996,34(3-4):479-512

This paper describes a methodology that combines the outputs of (1) the Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect (IMAGE Version 1.0) of the Netherlands National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection (RIVM) (given a greenhouse gas emission policy, this model can estimate the effects such as global mean surface air temperature change for a wide variety of policies) and (2) ECHAM-1/LSG, the Global Circulation Model (GCM) of the Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany. The combination enables one to calculate grid point surface air temperature changes for different scenarios with a turnaround time that is much quicker than that for a GCM. The methodology is based upon a geographical pattern of the ratio of grid point temperature change to global mean values during a certain period of the simulation, as calculated by ECHAM-1/LSG for the 1990 Scenarios A and D of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). A procedure, based upon signal-to noise ratios in the outputs, enabled us to estimate where we have confidence in the methodology; this is at about 23% to 83% of the total of 2,048 grid points, depending upon the scenario and the decade in the simulation. It was found that the methodology enabled IMAGE to provide useful estimates of the GCM-predicted grid point temperature changes. These estimates were within 0.5K (0.25K) throughout the 100 years of a given simulation for at least 79% (74%) of the grid points where we are confident in applying the methodology. The temperature ratio pattern from Scenario A enabled IMAGE to provide useful estimates of temperature change within 0.5K (0.25K) in Scenario D for at least 88% (68%) of the grid points where we have confidence; indicating that the methodology is transferable to other scenarios. Tests with the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory GCM indicated, however, that a temperature ratio pattern may have to be developed for each GCM. The methodology, using a temperature ratio pattern from the 1990 IPCC Scenario A and involving IMAGE, gave gridded surface air temperature patterns for the 1992 IPCC radiative-forcing Scenarios C and E and the RIVM emission Scenario B; none of these scenarios has been simulated by ECHAM-1/LSG. The simulations reflect the uncertainty range of a future warming.The work reported by the authors was carried out during their stay at the project Forestry and Climate Change of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.  相似文献   

Deep crustal oxygen isotope variations: the Wawa-Kapuskasing crustal transect,Ontario     

H. Li  H. P. Schwarcz  D. M. Shaw 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1991,107(4):448-458

We have studied the oxygen isotopic composition of rocks from a 100 km transect through the central Superior province of Ontario, representing progressively the shallower terrains of the Kapuskasing structural zone (KSZ), the Wawa gneiss terrane (WGT), and the Michipicoten greenstone belt (MGB). These rocks range in age from 2.76 to 2.60 Ga, and correspond to a section through approximately 20 km of crustal thickness. Equivalent lithologic types have similar range of ¹⁸O values at each crustal level: tonalitic to granodioritic rocks: 6.4 to 9.5; dioritic and anorthositic rocks: 5.5 to 7.6; mafic gneisses: group 1 (majority): 5.7 to 7.1; group 2: 8.1 to 9.5. ¹⁸O values exhibit a remarkable correlation with SiO₂ values, similar to that observed in unaltered plutonic rocks of equivalent composition. Paragneisses have significantly higher ¹⁸O values: 9.3 to 12.2. Low-grade metavolcanic and metasedimentary rocks of the MGB are ¹⁸O-enriched compared to their high-grade equivalents in the KSZ and WGT: 7.4 to 13.3 for mafic to felsic metavolcanic rocks; 11.4 to 14.7 for clastic metasediments. Coexisting minerals exhibit ¹⁸O-fractionation consistent with equilibrium, but corresponding to uniform isotopic temperatures about 553 to 584°C across the entire transect, lower than the inferred metamorphic temperatures in the highest-grade (KSZ) terrane. The lack of distinctive isotopic differences between equivalent rock types in the KSZ, WGT and MGB suggests that there is no significant gradient in ¹⁸O with depth in the crust. The majority of mafic gneisses (group 1) appear to have been emplaced either as subaerial extrusives, intrusive sills, or, less likely, as submarine extrusives that were hydrothermally altered at high temperatures. The less abundant group 2 mafic rocks have the ¹⁸O values typical of greenstones that were altered at low temperature by seawater, and isotopically resemble low-grade rocks in the Michipicoten and Abitibi belts. In general, no major changes in whole-rock isotopic composition appear to have occurred during granulite facies metamorphism, implying limited flux of water or CO₂. The continuous linear gradient in ¹⁸O versus SiO₂ in the high-grade rocks cannot be due to differentiation of a mafic source magma. A model involving an association between mantle-derived mafic magma and ¹⁸O-enriched crustal materials is more consistent with the oxygen isotopic and the REE data.McMaster Isotopic, Nuclear and Geochemical Studies Group Publication 163; LITHOPROBE Publication 168.  相似文献   

Chloride retention in forest soil by microbial uptake and by natural chlorination of organic matter   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

David Bastviken  Frida Thomsen  Susanne Karlsson  George Shaw  Gunilla Öberg 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2007,71(13):3182-3192

Inorganic chlorine (i.e. chloride; Cl_in) is generally considered inert in soil and is often used as a tracer of soil and ground water movements. However, recent studies indicate that substantial retention or release of Cl_in can occur in soil, but the rates and processes responsible under different environmental conditions are largely unknown. We performed ³⁶Cl tracer experiments which indicated that short-term microbial uptake and release of Cl_in, in combination with more long-term natural formation of chlorinated organic matter (Cl_org), caused Cl_in imbalances in coniferous forest soil. Extensive microbial uptake and release of Cl_in occurred over short time scales, and were probably associated with changes in environmental conditions. Up to 24% of the initially available Cl_in within pore water was retained by microbial uptake within a week in our experiments, but most of this Cl_in was released to the pore water again within a month, probably associated with decreasing microbial populations. The natural formation of Cl_org resulted in a net immobilization of 4% of the initial pore water Cl_in over four months. If this rate is representative for the area where soil was collected, Cl_org formation would correspond to a conversion of 25% of the yearly wet deposition of Cl_in. The study illustrates the potential of two Cl_in retaining processes in addition to those previously addressed elsewhere (e.g. uptake of chloride by vegetation). Hence, several processes operating at different time scales and with different regulation mechanisms can cause Cl_in imbalances in soil. Altogether, the results of the present study (1) provide evidence that Cl_in cannot be assumed to be inert in soil, (2) show that microbial exchange can regulate pore water Cl_in concentrations and (3) confirm the controversial idea of substantial natural chlorination of soil organic matter.  相似文献   

Ethical Sourcing in the Global Food System - Edited by Stephanie Barrientos and Catherine Dolan     

Hillary  Shaw 《The Geographical journal》2007,173(2):192-192

  相似文献   

Evaluation of an ensemble of Arctic regional climate models: spatiotemporal fields during the SHEBA year     

A. Rinke  K. Dethloff  J. J. Cassano  J. H. Christensen  J. A. Curry  P. Du  E. Girard  J.-E. Haugen  D. Jacob  C. G. Jones  M. Køltzow  R. Laprise  A. H. Lynch  S. Pfeifer  M. C. Serreze  M. J. Shaw  M. Tjernström  K. Wyser  M. Žagar 《Climate Dynamics》2006,27(4):433-435

  相似文献   

Large-eddy Simulation of Turbulent Flow Across a Forest Edge. Part I: Flow Statistics   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

Bai Yang  Michael R. Raupach  Roger H. Shaw  Kyaw Tha Paw U  Andrew P. Morse 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,120(3):377-412

The statistics of turbulent flow across a forest edge have been examined using large-eddy simulation, and results compared with field and wind-tunnel observations. The moorland-to-forest transition is characterized by flow deceleration in the streamwise direction, upward distortion of the mean flow, formation of a high pressure zone immediately in front of the edge, suppression of the standard deviations and covariance of velocity components, and enhancement of velocity skewnesses. For the selected forest density, it is observed that the maximum distortion angle is about 8 degrees from the horizontal. Instead of approaching a downwind equilibrium state in a monotonic manner, turbulence (standard deviations and covariances of velocity components) and mean streamwise velocity undershoot in the transition zone behind the edge. Evolution of flow statistics clearly reveals the growth of an internal boundary layer, and the establishment of an equilibrium layer downwind of the edge. It is evident that lower-order moments generally adjust more quickly over the new rough surface than do higher-order moments. We also show that the streamwise velocity standard deviation at canopy height starts its recovery over the rough surface sooner than does the vertical velocity standard deviation, but completes full adjustment later than the latter. Despite the limited domain size upstream of the edge, large-eddy simulation has successfully reproduced turbulent statistics in good agreement with field and wind-tunnel measurements.  相似文献   

Concentrations of 222 Rn, Its Short-Lived Daughters And 212 Pb And Their Ratios Under Complex Atmospheric Conditions And Topography     

Toshio Kataoka  Eiji Yunoki  Mitsuo Shimizu  Tadashige Mori  Osamu Tsukamoto  Satoshi Takahashi  Hironori Fudeyasu  Yukitaka Ohashi  Ken Sahashi  Toshihiko Maitani  Koh'ichi Miyashita  Toru Iwata  Takayuki Sasaki  Yoko Fujikawa  Akira Kudo  Roger H. Shaw 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2003,107(1):219-249

Atmospheric activity concentrations of ²¹²Pb and short-lived ²²²Rndaughters, together with meteorological elements, have been observed continuously atthree sites at Kamisaibara Village in Japan. In addition, atmospheric activity concentrationof ²²²Rn, equilibrium-equivalent concentration of ²²²Rn and conditionsof the lower atmosphere were observed for three intensive observation periods at Akawase,one of the three sites in Kamisaibara Village. The equilibrium-equivalent concentration of²²²Rn is almost the same as the atmospheric activity concentration of short-lived²²²Rn daughters.The activity concentrations of ²¹²Pb and the short-lived ²²²Rn daughtersand their ratio were low in the daytime owing to convective mixing, and high at nightowing to the surface-based inversion during periods of no precipitation. Their variationshave several patterns corresponding to the scale of the drainage wind or weak mixing.Mechanical mixing due to strong winds through both day and night during the first andsecond observation periods made the atmospheric activity concentrations of ²¹²Pb and the short-lived ²²²Rn daughters continuously low. However, their ratios werecontinuously high during the first period yet continuously low during the second period.This difference can be explained by the effect ofextraction of ²²⁰Rn and ²²²Rndue to strong winds and snow cover. There were also cases in which the ratio of theatmospheric activity concentration of ²¹²Pb to that of the short-lived ²²²Rndaughters at night was equal to or less than the ratio in the daytime. Thisinverse trend, asin the periods of no precipitation mentioned above, is considered to be due to near-neutralconditions on these nights.We find a difference in the ratio of the equilibrium-equivalent concentration of²²²Rn (the activity concentration of short-lived ²²²Rn daughters) tothe activity concentration of ²²²Rn during the first observation period and thatduring the second. The difference can be explained by snow cover on the ground. Wealso find differences among the ratios of the activity concentration of the short-lived²²²Rn daughters to that of ²²²Rn during the three observation periods.These differences can be explained by the submergence of paddy fields.  相似文献   

Late Pleistocene glacial chronology of the Taylor Valley,Antarctica, and the global climate     

C.H. Hendy  T.R. Healy  E.M. Rayner  J. Shaw  A.T. Wilson 《Quaternary Research》1979,11(2):172-184

Carbonate-rich lacustrine and deltaic deposits, containing thin beds of finely laminated carbonates and thick beds of silt, crop out at several sites in the Taylor Valley and have been encountered in cores obtained by the Dry Valley Drilling Project (DVDP). Fragments of the more indurated carbonate beds have widespread occurrence as part of the desert “lag gravel” which covers much of the valley floor. Analysis of the carbonates suggests that they were deposited as algal limestones from waters derived from the East Antarctic Ice Sheet via the Taylor Glacier at times which correspond to the previous three global interglacial periods, as evidenced by the ice volumes deduced from oxygen-isotopic analysis of oceanic cores. The lacustrine carbonates have been found up to 30 km beyond the present terminus of the Taylor Glacier, and up to 100 m above the level of Lake Bonney, into which the Taylor Glacier at present discharges. It is concluded that the Taylor Glacier has advanced during each of the previous three interglaciations, and it is suggested that this has been caused by a thickening of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet during the interglaciations.  相似文献   

Trace and major element models of granitoid genesis in the Pampean Ranges,Argentina     

Carlos W. Rapela  Denis M. Shaw 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1979,43(7):1117-1129

  相似文献   

Lithium in spilites     

Denis M Shaw  Nicole Vatin-Pérignon 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1977,41(11):1601-1607

During spilitisation the abundance of Li increases from about 12 ppm in normal basaltic rocks to an average of 75 ppm, with some spilites containing up to 190 ppm. This is relatively far greater than the increase of <50% in Na. Also the ratio CaO/Al₂O₃ decreases from about 1.0 to <0.1 and the H₂O content increases markedly.Alteration of this kind requires waters rich in both Na and Li, with the material added having a ratio 10⁵ Li/Na of about 750: the ratio for seawater is 1.8 but most subsurface waters have higher ratios and are more likely agents of spilitisation.Volcanic hydrothermal brines have suitable Li and Na abundances and are known to have reacted with fresh basalts to produce spilitic alteration: in cases of spilitisation of volcanogenic sediments, reaction with non-volcanic brines may have occurred. In both cases the waters must initially have high CO₂ and low Ca activities.  相似文献