洪水预报中特征值预报的若干数学方法比较   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李致家  孔祥光 《湖泊科学》1997,9(2):117-122

讨论研究了水文特征值预报的数学方法,统计回归模型、神经网络模型和模糊回归模型。三个计处实例表明如果系统的线性关系较好,统计回归模型的结果最好;如果系统的线民生关系差,神经网络模型的结果最好;如果用于率定模型的资料太短,任何一个模型都不可靠。  相似文献   

Comparative Analysis of Mitochondrial Control Region Sequence from Three Flatfish Species （Pleuronectidae）     

YUJianzhong KONGXiaoyu YUZiniu ZHOULishi 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2005,4(1):80-84

The 5‘-end of the mitochondrial control region sequences of three flatfishes (Pleuronectiformes: Pleuronectidae) were amplified and sequenced. These sequences were compared with those of other three Pleuronectids species retrieved from GenBank. A phylogenetic tree was constructed based on the partial control region sequences. The results of phylogenetic analysis are consistent with those of conventional systematics. Compared to previous studies, the structure of the 5‘-end of mitochondrial control region was analyzed. The terminal associated sequence motif and its complementary motif were identified at the 5‘-end of the sequences. A conserved sequence block, named as CM5‘ d, was identified in the 5‘-end of control region sequences in all Pleuronectids. Another central conserved sequence block, named as CSB-F, was detected in the central conserved blocks.  相似文献   

GOES-9云图资料在热带气旋路径相似预报中的应用     

曾黎明  任燕  孔玉寿 《气象》2005,31(11):19-23

利用1996～1999四年的GMS-5红外云图资料、NCEP资料和〈台风年鉴〉给出的热带气旋资料,以及GOES-9红外云图资料,使用逐步相似法对2004年热带气旋进行了路径预报试验.结果表明,GOES-9资料与GMS-5资料可以融合使用,用云图灰度场结合高度场作相似预报的方法可以实现热带气旋移动路径的定量预报,表现了较好的准确性,具有良好应用前景.  相似文献   

节能温度、供热气象指数及供热参数研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

王保民  张德山  汤庆国  李迅  孔玉斌  张姝丽  杨世燕  陈正洪  胡江林  王志斌 《气象》2005,31(1):72-74

对北京市2001～2002年采暖季的室内外气象一热力试验数据进行科学分析,求出实际条件下不同环境温度、风速、辐射等气象条件下的节能温度,提出了供热气象指数及等级划分标准,推算出总供热量、供回水温度差及通过控制回水温度而知供水温度等供热参数,并已在北京市供热作业中投入应用,为实时供热调度提供了参考依据,是节能、增效、减污的基础。  相似文献   

浙江仙居县漂流旅游的气候影响因素探讨   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

孔邦杰  黄敬峰  朱寿燕 《气象科学》2005,25(4):369-375

采用仙居县漂流旅游项目营业开始迄今的客流量和同期的降水、相对湿度、风速和气温等气象资料对仙居县永安溪漂流的气候影响因素进行了研究。分析了当地的人体舒适度指标,统计了月平均舒适天数,同时探讨了降水和高温的影响,得出适宜的气候条件,计算了各指标的距乎百分率,并与客流变化作对比分析。结果表明：5月和10月气候适宜且旅游流量高;4月、7月和9月也为适宜时段,但客流量少,旅游资源有待进一步挖掘。  相似文献   

辽河口邻近海域小型底栖生物的空间分布及季节变化   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

叶晟  孔飞  李宏俊  刘敏  李洪波  邵魁双  樊景凤  郭皓 《海洋学报》2017,39(10):78-89

本文研究了辽河口邻近海域2013年8月、10月和2014年5月3个航次小型底栖生物的种类及其空间分布,分析了小型底栖生物丰度和生物量的季节变化。结果表明,3个航次（夏季、秋季和春季）小型底栖生物的平均丰度分别为（264±83） ind/（10 cm2）、（216±85） ind/（10 cm2）和（227±67） ind/（10 cm2）,平均生物量分别为（272±125）μg/（10 cm2）、（207±89）μg/（10 cm2）和（244±103）μg/（10 cm2）。与其他研究海域相比,辽河口小型底栖的丰度和生物量处于较低水平。共鉴定出了14个小型生物类群,按照丰度排序,线虫是最优势的类群,夏季、秋季和春季3个航次占总丰度的比例分别为94.0%、92.5%和90.8%;其他优势类群为多毛类、桡足类和双壳类。小型底栖生物量的优势类群则为多毛类（41.1%~44.0%）,高于线虫（33.8%~36.5%）,其次是双壳类（2.6%~6.7%）。水平分布的研究表明,调查海域近岸入海口小型底栖生物的丰度和生物量普遍低于近海海域,但是秋季时近岸分布与近海差距不大。垂直分布的研究表明,95.9%的小型底栖生物分布于0~5 cm的表层沉积物中。小型底栖生物的丰度和生物量在夏季时都达到高峰值。与环境因子的相关分析表明,小型底栖生物的数量分布与盐度和水深呈极显著正相关（P<0.01）,与叶绿素a呈显著正相关（P<0.05）。  相似文献   

Effects of temperature and salinity on survival,growth and DNA methylation of juvenile Pacific abalone,Haliotis discus hannai Ino     

Kong  Ning  Liu  Xiao  Li  Junyuan  Mu  Wendan  Lian  Jianwu  Xue  Yanjie  Li  Qi 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2017,35(5):1248-1258

Temperature and salinity are two of the most potent abiotic factors infl uencing marine mollusks.In this study,we investigated the individual and combined ef fects of temperature and salinity on the survival and growth of juvenile Pacifi c abalone,Haliotis discus hannai Ino,and also examined the DNA methylation alteration that may underpin the phenotypic variation of abalone exposed to dif ferent rearing conditions.The single-factor data showed that the suitable ranges of temperature and salinity were 16–28°C at a constant salinity of 32,and 24–40 at a constant temperature of 20°C,respectively.The two-factor data indicated that both survival and growth were signifi cantly af fected by temperature,salinity and their interaction.The optimal temperature-salinity combination for juveniles was 23–25°C and 30–36.To explore environment-induced DNA methylation alteration,the methylation-sensitive amplifi ed polymorphism(MSAP)technique was used to analyze the genomic methylation profi les of abalone reared in optimal and adverse conditions.Neither temperature nor salinity induced evident changes in the global methylation level,but 67 and 63 dif ferentially methylated loci were identifi ed in temperature and salinity treatments,respectively.The between-group eigen analysis also showed that both temperature and salinity could induce epigenetic dif ferentiation in H.discus hannai Ino.The results of our study provide optimal rearing conditions for juvenile H.discus hannai Ino,and represent the fi rst step toward revealing the epigenetic regulatory mechanism of abalone in response to thermal and salt stresses.  相似文献   

Geothermal potential evaluation and development prioritization based on geochemistry of geothermal waters from Kangding area,western Sichuan,China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ji Luo  Zhonghe Pang  Yankong Kong  Yingchun Wang 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2017,76(9):343

Kangding geothermal area is located in the western Sichuan, belonging to southeastern margin of Tibetan Plateau. Similar to world-renowned south Tibetan and western Yunnan geothermal belt, western Sichuan has intensive surface thermal manifestations including boiling and hot springs. The emerging temperature of thermal waters ranges from 47 to 79 °C with total dissolved solids lying between 899 and 2550 mg/L. δ²H–δ¹⁸O isotopes indicate a meteoric source for the thermal waters and a significant positive oxygen-18 shift in the southern region. It is suggested that southern thermal waters experienced stronger water–rock interaction and are closer to thermodynamic equilibrium, which is also proved by the water type classification. The reservoir temperature calculated by empirical and theoretical chemical thermometry is 180–225 °C for the north and 225–310 °C for the south. Evidences of hydrogeochemistry, stable isotopes, geothermometry and radiocarbon dating indicate that southern region of Kangding area shows greater geothermal potential than the northern region. In addition, based on the hydrogeochemical modeling of mineral saturation, underlying problem of scaling is likely to occur in the study area. According to the results of reservoir temperature, south Kangding sub-district has greater potential in geothermal power generation and development than northern Kangding. Therefore, further exploration and drilling work should give priority to the south Kangding area.  相似文献   

Simulating research on pressure distribution of floor pore water based on fluid-solid coupling     

Weijia Guo  Jinhai Zhao  Liming Yin  Dezhi Kong 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2017,10(1):5

In terms of the problem that deep coal resources are under the threats of high water pressure, it is necessary to further study the outburst mechanism of working face floor karst water from the view of studying varying patterns of rock mechanical parameters and confined water pressure distribution of floor rock under the mining influence in the process of mining. Through the theoretical research of fluid-solid coupling and rock seepage experiment, the changing rule of the rock porosity and the Young’s modulus is analyzed, the changing law of the floor displacement is obtained by establishing the floor mechanic model, and the relation between elastic energy density and rock mass unit strain is established. Based on the numerical model of fluid-solid coupling analysis by the Comsol Multiphysics software, the changing law of floor displacement corresponds to the theoretical solution, the different variation laws of rock mass of different depths under the actions of ground pressure are acquired by simulation calculation, the distribution characteristics of pore water pressure are discussed, and the elastic energy density of the rock mass under the action of imbalance water pressure before and after mining is comparatively analyzed. Studies show that the distribution of pore water pressure is horizontally different before and after the stress peak line, and it mainly has four distribution patterns vertically. When mining above the confined water, the spatiotemporal position when and where the upper and lower boundaries of the rock mass in the lower water-resisting layer release energy at the same time is critical to the occurrence of water inrush.  相似文献   

Distribution and source of heavy metals in the surface sediments from the near-shore area,north Jiangsu Province,China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Gang Xu  Jian Liu  Shaofeng Pei  Xianghuai Kong  Gang Hu 《Marine pollution bulletin》2014

Samples of surface sediment and vibrocore were collected in the near-shore area of north Jiangsu Province for grain size, elements, ²¹⁰Pb_excess and ¹³⁷Cs analyses. In our study area, the diversity of metal concentration was controlled not by the grain size, but by the source. The element content of the old Yellow River Delta was used as baseline for our study area. Geoaccumulation indexes indicate that no station was polluted by Cu, Pb, Zn and As, but the I_geo values of As were close to zero in some stations. Slight pollution caused by Cd was observed in some stations. Correlation and enrichment factors suggest that Cu, Pb and Zn are lithogenic in origin, while As and Cd are mixed in origin. Especially, in some polluted stations Cd was obviously anthropogenic in origin.  相似文献