Glacial Lake Outburst Floods in the Nepal Himalaya: A Manageable Hazard?   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Kattelmann  Richard 《Natural Hazards》2003,28(1):145-154

Within the past fifteen years, glacial lake outburst floods have become an activetopic of discussion within the development community focused on Nepal. Suchfloods endanger thousands of people, hundreds of villages, and basic infrastructuresuch as trails and bridges. The flood risk is also a major impediment to hydroelectricdevelopment in several river basins. Unlike most other mountain hazards in Nepal,reducing the possibility of outburst floods is technically feasible. The first attemptwithin Nepal to reduce the hazard of one lake by artificially lowering its water levelwas partially completed in June 2000. Completing this task and beginning work onother hazardous lakes will require difficult decisions about risk by downstream residentsand substantial investment from the international aid community.  相似文献   

Petrogenesis of the Greenhills Complex,Southland, New Zealand: magmatic differentiation and cumulate formation at the roots of a Permian island-arc volcano     

Carl J. Spandler  Richard J. Arculus  Stephen M. Eggins  John A. Mavrogenes  Richard C. Price  Anthony J. Reay 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2003,144(6):703-721

A Permian (~265 Ma) intrusive complex which formed as a magmatic feeder reservoir to an immature island-arc volcano is fortuitously exposed in southern New Zealand. Known as the Greenhills Complex, this intrusion was emplaced at shallow crustal levels and consists of two layered bodies which were later intruded by a variety of dykes. Cumulates, which include dunite, olivine clinopyroxenite, olivine gabbro, and hornblende gabbro-norite, are related products of parent-magma fractionation. Both primary (magmatic) and secondary platinum-group minerals occur within dunite at one locality. Using the composition of cumulus minerals, mafic dykes and melt inclusions, we have determined that the parent magmas of the complex were hydrous, low-K island-arc tholeiites of ankaramitic affinities. Progressive magmatic differentiation of this parent magma generated fractionated melt of high-alumina basalt composition which is now preserved only as dykes which cut the Complex. Field evidence and cumulus mineral profiles reveal that the magma chambers experienced turbulent magmatic conditions during cumulate-rock formation. Recharge of the chambers by primitive magma is likely to have coincided with eruption of residual melt at the surface. Similar processes are inferred to account for volcanic-rock compositions in other parts of this arc terrane and in modern island-arc systems.  相似文献   

Foreword     

Richard J. Howarth 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》2003,114(1):1

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Guidance notes for authors     

Richard J. Howarth 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》2003,114(1):2-10

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Evidence for a large surface ablation zone in central East Antarctica during the last Ice Age     

Martin J Siegert  Richard C.A HindmarshGordon S Hamilton 《Quaternary Research》2003,59(1):114-121

Internal isochronous ice sheet layers, recorded by airborne ice-penetrating radar, were measured along an ice flowline across a large (>1 km high) subglacial hill in the foreground of the Transantarctic Mountains. The layers, dated through an existing stratigraphic link with the Vostok ice core, converge with the ice surface as ice flows over the hill without noticeable change to their separation with each other or the ice base. A two-dimensional ice flow model that calculates isochrons and particle flowpaths and accounts for ice flow over the hill under steady-state conditions requires net ablation (via sublimation) over the stoss face for the predicted isochrons to match the measured internal layers. Satellite remote sensing data show no sign of exposed ancient ice at this site, however. Given the lack of exposed glacial ice, surface balance conditions must have changed recently from the net ablation that is predicted at this site for the last 85,000 years to accumulation.  相似文献   

Methane Emission Reduction: An Application of FUND     

Richard S. J. Tol  Roebyem J. Heintz  Petronella E. M. Lammers 《Climatic change》2003,57(1-2):71-98

Methane is, after carbon dioxide, the most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas. Governments plan to abate methane emissions. A crude set of estimates of reduction costs is included in FUND, an integratedassessment model of climate change. In a cost-benefit analysis, methane emission reduction is found to be instrumental in controlling the optimal rate of climate change. In a cost-effectiveness analysis, methane emission reduction largely replaces carbon dioxide emission reduction. Methane emission reduction reinforces the case for international cooperation in climate policy, but complicates the efficient allocation of emission reduction efforts. Methane emission reduction at the short run does not help to achieve the ultimate objective of the Framework Convention on Climate Change.  相似文献   

Book reviews     

Richard Burroughs  Mark S. Peterson  Robert Buchsbaum 《Estuaries and Coasts》1997,20(4):819-821

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Application of discovery process models in estimating petroleum resources at the play level in China     

Zhuoheng Chen  Richard Sinding-Larsen  Xinhua Ma 《Natural Resources Research》1997,6(4):317-328

Discovery process modeling has gained wide acceptance in the Chinese exploration community. In recent years, a variety of discovery process models have been applied to the prediction of undiscovered petroleum resources at the play level in sedimentary basins in China. However, challenging problems have been encountered, particularly when one method alone has been applied to small plays in nonmarine sedimentary basins or in plays with an unusual order of discovery wells. This paper presents results gotten by using the lognormal discovery process model of the Geological Survey of Canada and the geoanchored method for three petroleum plays in basins with different geologic settings. Although the predicted shapes of the parentsize distributions which use these two models, were not always similar, the expected values of the total resources and the number of fields (pools) to be discovered are comparable. The combined use of two discovery process models in the same play compensates for the weaknesses in one method compared with the other and vice versa. Thus, more reliable estimates are the result.  相似文献   

Special issue on quantitative estimates of the geology of large regions and their application to mineralresource assessment     

Richard B. McCammon  W. David Menzie  Lawrence J. Drew  Janet S. Sachs 《Natural Resources Research》1997,6(3):155-155

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Changing People and Places: Editorship of the New Zealand Geographer, 1997–1999     

Richard Bedford  Robyn Longhurst  Robin Peace 《New Zealand geographer》1997,53(1):1-2

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