Modelling air pollution data by the skew-normal distribution   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

Silvia Bartoletti  Nicola Loperfido 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2010,24(4):513-517

Particulate matter with an aerodynamic equivalent diameter of up 10 μm is commonly referred to as PM₁₀ and its harmful effects on human health are well known. We model annual means of daily concentrations of PM₁₀ in Italy by the skew-normal distribution, giving theoretical as well as empirical motivations for the model’s choice. Its adequacy is checked through Anderson–Darling statistic. The skew-normal distribution gives a very good fit to the data and it is particularly useful in estimating probabilities of high PM₁₀ concentrations.  相似文献   

Study of the Contributions of Non‐Specific and Specific Interactions during Fluoxetine Adsorption onto Activated Carbons     

Silvia Román  João Manuel Valente Nabais  Juan Félix González  Carmen María González‐García  Angel Luis Ortiz 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2012,40(7):698-705

The adsorption of fluoxetine onto activated carbons (ACs) prepared from almond tree pruning by steam and CO₂ activation under different temperature conditions (650–950°C), was studied. In both series increasing the temperature caused an increase in the BET apparent surface area, yielding ACs with S_BET up to 870 and 710 m² g^?1 after steam and CO₂ activation, respectively. Also, a slight widening of the porosity was found in both cases. In order to modify the functionality of the ACs, two of them were impregnated with triethylenediamine (TEDA) prior to the adsorption process, which caused a decrease in the AC apparent surface mainly due to micropore blockage. The fluoxetine adsorption isotherms at 25°C showed maximum adsorption capacities between 110 and 224 mg g^?1. The adsorption isotherms were analyzed using Langmuir and Freundlich models. Although the impregnation reduced the pore volume, it did not cause a decrease in the fluoxetine maximum adsorption capacity, but a modification in the adsorption mechanism was observed.  相似文献   

The different response of apparently identical structures: a far-field lesson from the Mirandola 20th May 2012 earthquake     

Silvia Castellaro  Luis Alberto Padrón  Francesco Mulargia 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2014,12(5):2481-2493

Twin structures, that is structures very similar in terms of geometry, materials, mass distribution etc., founded on the same soil and set at very close distance, are rationally expected to have an identical response to earthquakes. When this does not occur, a role is usually played by factors like the interaction with the surrounding structures or by other anomalies hidden behind the apparent similarity. We present the case of two apparently twin towers that showed a very different response to the 2012 Mirandola (Italy) earthquake ground shaking: one remained perfectly intact while the other had a wide set of fractures on secondary walls. This resulted to be the effect of several contributing factors: the stiffness of the two structures, experimentally measured, provided unexpected differences. This reflected into different modal frequencies for the two towers, with the first and second modes of the damaged tower coincident or very close to the soil resonance. The final result was a coupled soil-structure resonance, implying a much higher displacement of one tower compared to the other, under the same input motion. In Italy, insurance against earthquake damage will probably become compulsory in the near future. This case suggests that the specific soil-structure and structure-structure interaction will have to be carefully evaluated since they can critically affect even apparently identical structures.  相似文献   

The contribution to IHY from the COST296 Action MIERS: Mitigation of Ionospheric Effects on Radio Systems     

Giorgiana De Franceschi  Lucilla Alfonsi  David Altadill  Pal Bencze  Alain Bourdillon  Dalia Buresova  Ljiljana R. Cander  Benito de la Morena  Lefteris Economou  Miguel Herraiz  Kirsti Kauristie  Jan Lastovicka  Silvia Pau  Gracia Rodriguez  Richard Stamper  Iwona Stanislawska 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2009,104(1-4):63-67

The objective of the COST296 Action MIERS (Mitigation of Ionospheric Effects on Radio Systems) is to develop an increased knowledge of the effects imposed by the ionosphere on practical radio systems, and for the development and implementation of techniques to mitigate the deleterious effects of the ionosphere on such systems (http://www.cost296.rl.ac.uk). The COST296 Community contributes to the international efforts of IHY with scientific and outreach activities as well. After the realization of a web site hosted by Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), developed also to promote the ionospheric physics to the open public, the COST296 Community supported an initiative addressed to the pupils of the primary school of several European Countries: the realization of a school-calendar dedicated to the Sun and to the Sun-Earth connections.  相似文献   

Modelling the cosmological co-evolution of supermassive black holes and galaxies – II. The clustering of quasars and their dark environment     

Silvia Bonoli  Federico Marulli  Volker Springel  Simon D. M. White  Enzo Branchini  Lauro Moscardini 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2009,396(1):423-438

We use semi-analytic modelling on top of the Millennium simulation to study the joint formation of galaxies and their embedded supermassive black holes. Our goal is to test scenarios in which black hole accretion and quasar activity are triggered by galaxy mergers, and to constrain different models for the light curves associated with individual quasar events. In the present work, we focus on studying the spatial distribution of simulated quasars. At all luminosities, we find that the simulated quasar two-point correlation function is fit well by a single power law in the range  0.5 ≲ r ≲ 20  h ⁻¹ Mpc  , but its normalization is a strong function of redshift. When we select only quasars with luminosities within the range typically accessible by today's quasar surveys, their clustering strength depends only weakly on luminosity, in agreement with observations. This holds independently of the assumed light-curve model, since bright quasars are black holes accreting close to the Eddington limit, and are hosted by dark matter haloes with a narrow mass range of a few  10¹²  h ⁻¹ M_⊙  . Therefore, the clustering of bright quasars cannot be used to disentangle light-curve models, but such a discrimination would become possible if the observational samples can be pushed to significantly fainter limits. Overall, our clustering results for the simulated quasar population agree rather well with observations, lending support to the conjecture that galaxy mergers could be the main physical process responsible for triggering black hole accretion and quasar activity.  相似文献   

The variability of European floods since AD 1500     

Rüdiger Glaser  Dirk Riemann  Johannes Schönbein  Mariano Barriendos  Rudolf Brázdil  Chiara Bertolin  Dario Camuffo  Mathias Deutsch  Petr Dobrovolný  Aryan van Engelen  Silvia Enzi  Monika Halíčková  Sebastian J. Koenig  Oldřich Kotyza  Danuta Limanówka  Jarmila Macková  Mirca Sghedoni  Brice Martin  Iso Himmelsbach 《Climatic change》2010,101(1-2):235-256

The paper presents a qualitative and quantitative analysis of flood variability and forcing of major European rivers since AD 1500. We compile and investigate flood reconstructions which are based on documentary evidence for twelve Central European rivers and for eight Mediterranean rivers. Flood variability and underlying climatological causes are reconstructed by using hermeneutic approaches including critical source analysis and by applying a semi-quantitative classification scheme. The paper describes the driving climatic causes, seasonality and variability of observed flood events within the different river catchments covering the European mainland. Historical flood data are presented and recent research in the field of historical flood reconstructions is highlighted. Additionally, the character of the different flood series is discussed. A comparison of the historical flood seasonality in relation to modern distribution is given and aspects of the spatial coherence are presented. The comparative analysis points to the fact that the number of flood events is predominately triggered by regional climatic forcing, with at most only minor influence on neighbouring catchments. The only exceptions are extreme, supra-regional climatic events and conditions such as anomalous cold winters, similar to that of 1784, which affected large parts of Europe and triggered flood events in several catchments as a result of ice-break at the beginning of the annual thaw. Four periods of increased occurrence of flooding, mostly affecting Central European Rivers, have been identified; 1540–1600, 1640–1700, 1730–1790, 1790–1840. The reconstruction, compilation and analysis of European-wide flood data over the last five centuries reveal the complexity of the underlying climatological causes and the high variability of flood events in temporal and spatial dimension.  相似文献   

A GCM study of future climate response to aerosol pollution reductions     

Silvia Kloster  Frank Dentener  Johann Feichter  Frank Raes  Ulrike Lohmann  Erich Roeckner  Irene Fischer-Bruns 《Climate Dynamics》2010,34(7-8):1177-1194

We use the global atmospheric GCM aerosol model ECHAM5-HAM to asses possible impacts of future air pollution mitigation strategies on climate. Air quality control strategies focus on the reduction of aerosol emissions. Here we investigate the extreme case of a maximum feasible end-of-pipe abatement of aerosols in the near term future (2030) in combination with increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations. The temperature response of increasing GHG concentrations and reduced aerosol emissions leads to a global annual mean equilibrium temperature response of 2.18 K. When aerosols are maximally abated only in the Industry and Powerplant sector, while other sectors stay with currently enforced regulations, the temperature response is 1.89 K. A maximum feasible abatement applied in the Domestic and Transport sector, while other sectors remain with the current legislation, leads to a temperature response of 1.39 K. Increasing GHG concentrations alone lead to a temperature response of 1.20 K. We also simulate 2–5% increases in global mean precipitation among all scenarios considered, and the hydrological sensitivity is found to be significantly higher for aerosols than for GHGs. Our study, thus highlights the huge potential impact of future air pollution mitigation strategies on climate and supports the need for urgent GHG emission reductions. GHG and aerosol forcings are not independent as both affect and are influenced by changes in the hydrological cycle. However, within the given range of changes in aerosol emissions and GHG concentrations considered in this study, the climate response towards increasing GHG concentrations and decreasing aerosols emissions is additive.  相似文献   

The contribution of satellite SAR-derived displacement measurements in landslide risk management practices     

Raspini  Federico  Bardi  Federica  Bianchini  Silvia  Ciampalini  Andrea  Del Ventisette  Chiara  Farina  Paolo  Ferrigno  Federica  Solari  Lorenzo  Casagli  Nicola 《Natural Hazards》2017,86(1):327-351

Natural Hazards - Landslides are common phenomena that occur worldwide and are a main cause of loss of life and damage to property. The hazards associated with landslides are a challenging concern...  相似文献   

Seismic evidence for the preservation of several stacked Pleistocene coastal barrier/lagoon systems on the Gulf of Valencia continental shelf (western Mediterranean)     

Silvia Albarracín  Javier Alcántara-Carrió  Andrés Barranco  María José Sánchez García  Ángela Fontán Bouzas  Jorge Rey Salgado 《Geo-Marine Letters》2013,33(2-3):217-223

The focus of this study is the analysis of coastal sand barriers and associated coastal lagoons on the inner continental shelf of the Gulf of Valencia (western Mediterranean), based on two W–E seismic profiles recorded seaward of the Albufera de Valencia coastal lagoon. Seismic facies identified include a number of coastal sand barriers with landward lagoons draped by contemporary continental shelf deposits. The barrier systems have been grouped into two sedimentary systems tracts, the older one corresponding to a prograding/aggrading highstand systems tract involving at least four paleo-coastal sand barrier/lagoon systems, followed landward by a transgressive systems tract comprising three such systems. All the systems have been allocated a Tyrrhenian age, the formation of individual barrier systems having been associated with successive sea-level stillstands, and their present-day position being explained by the very high regional subsidence rate. In summary, this study demonstrates that the Quaternary stratigraphic record of the Gulf of Valencia inner continental shelf is composed of littoral sand facies, in particular coastal sand barrier and lagoon deposits. These findings are in agreement with corresponding observations on other continental shelves of the western Mediterranean, showing that the formation of coastal sand barriers was a characteristic feature of this region during the Quaternary.  相似文献   

Araucaria fibrosa,a new name to replace the illegitimate name Araucaria antarctica Césari,Marenssi and Santillana, 2001     

Silvia N. Césari  Sergio A. Marenssi  Sergio N. Santillana 《Cretaceous Research》2009,30(5):1169

Araucaria antarctica Césari et al. is an illegitimate name because it is a later homonym of Araucaria antarctica Gee (fossil Araucariaceae). Hence, a new specific epithet, fibrosa, is proposed to accommodate the species described more recently.  相似文献