Dynamic adjustment of training sets (‘moving-window’ reconstruction) by using transfer functions in paleolimnology—a new approach   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Thomas Hübener  Mirko Dreßler  Anja Schwarz  Kirsten Langner  Sven Adler 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2008,40(1):79-95

This paper presents a new method (moving-windows) that optimizes diatom-based paleolimnological reconstructions of past environmental conditions from supra-regional training sets. The moving-window method identifies the best number of nearest neighbours (window size) from a merged supra-regional EDDI and local (MV) training set (n = 429) for each fossil diatom assemblage and the best type of transfer function (ML, WA-PLS) based on the error statistic of each transfer function (highest cross-validated R ², lowest cross-validated average bias, maximum bias and RMSEP). At first we evaluated the moving-window approach by comparing measured TP-values with inferred TP-values using both the moving-window approach and the WA-PLS method. The relative errors of the moving-window approach were not significantly different for 208 samples that had an error <15 μg/l TP using the WA-PLS method. However, for the remaining 221 samples with errors >>15 μg/l TP using the WA-PLS method, the moving window approach significantly reduced the relative error of the inferred TP levels. Secondly, the moving- window approach was used to reconstruct epilimnetic total phosphorous (TP) for Lake Dudinghausen, Lake Rugensee, Lake Tiefer See and Lake Drewitzer See (Northern Germany) using both the supra-regional EDDI training set and a local training set from Northern Germany (MV training set). The moving-window inferred TP-levels of the four study lakes were compared with published reconstructed TP-values and with inferred TP-values based on the local MV training set. Overall, the moving-window and the published TP-trends agree well with each other. However, the moving-window reconstructions generally indicated lower TP-levels throughout the past ∼5,000 to 12,000 years, including past maxima. Thus, the moving-window method seems to generate more realistic absolute TP levels due to the optimized window size (highest number of modern analogues, best error statistics). The identification of more realistic absolute historic TP-values is important for the validation of reference conditions for inland waters. This study also demonstrates that a robust local training set may, similar to moving-window training sets, also lead to reliable reconstructions, if the geological settings of the local training set lakes and the study lakes are similar.  相似文献   

Quantifying the error of 2D bulk chondrule analyses using a computer model to simulate chondrules (SIMCHON)     

Dominik C. HEZEL  Ralf KIEßWETTER 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2010,45(4):555-571

Bulk chondrule compositions are important to many questions in cosmochemistry, however, the number of available bulk chondrule data sets is still small. A main reason for this is the difficulties of determining bulk chondrule compositions. A commonly used technique is to obtain 2D bulk chondrule compositions from meteorite sections. This technique has an error that we quantify here for the first time using a mathematical model of a chondrule called SIMCHON. The theoretically calculated errors are compared to errors that we determined from serial sectioning of eight Efremovka chondrules. The errors obtained from both approaches are in excellent agreement, proving that our mathematical model produces reliable errors that can be assigned to 2D bulk chondrule compositions. These errors allow a much better interpretation of 2D bulk chondrule data. We provide a table that contains typical errors for 2D bulk compositions of porphyritic chondrules. The errors are in the range of ±<1–30 relative‐%. This should be acceptable for many problems in cosmochemistry. The effect of a chemical layering inside chondrules and the occurrence of a rim around them, as well as the occurrence of opaque and other accessory phases have been studied. A spreadsheet is provided that enables the calculation of errors for any desired chondrule mineral composition. BO chondrules have a negligible error, but it is impossible to provide reasonable error estimates for BO chondrules with an igneous rim. Radial pyroxene chondrules have negligible errors.  相似文献   

Influence of solar activity,especially and high altitudes,on theTakata-flocculation-reaction in serum of normal persons     

Kurt R. Reißmann  Konrad Buettner  Elaine A. Topka 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》1953,5(1):103-111

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