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21.
Oceanology - Research regarding the conditions and processes of paleo- and modern sedimentation with an assessment of particles and pollution fluxes, with determination of the rates of...  相似文献   
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Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - The response of Northern Hemisphere storm tracks (North Atlantic and North Pacific) to climate change and to the strengthening and weakening of the...  相似文献   
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Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - Variations in the equilibrium sensitivity of the INM-CM4-8 climate model to a quadrupling of the CO2 concentration are considered if changes in the...  相似文献   
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The results of joint analysis of temperature variations near mesopause from long-term measurements at the Zvenigorod Scientific Station of the Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS in 1960–2015 and variations of surface air temperature characterizing global climate change. Together with variations of temperature at the mesopause T ms from measurements of the hydroxyl emissions we analyzed the temperature variations near mesopause T m reduced to the same level of solar activity. The observed strong decrease in temperature near mesopause during last decades, particularly in winter, with its tendency to slow down since the 1980’s is was detected against the background of general increase in the surface air temperature of the Northern Hemisphere T NHs and the Earth as a whole. It was revealed a sharp drop in winter temperature near mesopause in 1970s. and its synchronicity with the shift in climatic features at the surface associated with changes in formation of El Nino events and their impact on the global climate. The general significant negative correlation of temperature variations near mesopause and T NHs detected from 56-year observational data was not accompanied by any significant coherence between the most long-period temperature variations from the cross-wavelet analysis. To assess the possible manifestation of this coherence the results of numerical simulations with a global climate model were used. According to model simulations for the 20–21 centuries taking into account anthropogenic forcings for significant coherence between long-term variations T m and T NHs the prolonged observations are required for temperature near mesopause–about a century or more.  相似文献   
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The atmosphere-ocean general circulation model with the carbon cycle is coupled to a model of methane evolution, in which methane sources in the soil of wetlands and methane evolution in the atmosphere are calculated. A numerical experiment on the simulation of climate and methane-cycle changes in 1860–2100 has been conducted with the model forced by methane emissions prescribed from scenario A1B. The distribution of the sources of methane from soil agrees with the available estimates and amounts to about 240 Mt/year in the 20th century. The methane flux from soil increases to 340 Mt/year by the end of the 21st century. The model adequately reproduces an increase in the atmospheric methane concentration from 800 ppb in 1860 to about 1800 ppb in 2000, but does not produce the observed stabilization of methane concentration in the early 21st century. By 2060, the methane concentration in the model attains 2700 ppb. The increase in atmospheric methane concentration is due mainly to anthropogenic emissions. A similar numerical experiment with fixed sources of methane from soil at the 1860–1900 level suggests that the maximum methane concentration in the model in this case could amount to 2400 ppb. A temperature increase at the end of the 21st century relative to the 19th century is 3.5° for a simulated change in the methane flux from soil and 0.25° less for a fixed methane flux.  相似文献   
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Sergei V.  Volodin 《Marine Ecology》1996,17(1-3):549-559
Abstract. From 1987–1992 nearly 4000 specimens of Merlangius merlangus euxinus were collected from most Black Sea areas. Biological parameters such as weight, standard length, sex, and age were studied. Seven meristic and twenty-four morphometric parameters were analyzed from 756 specimens. Data were processed employing discriminant and cluster analyses; they indicate the existence of several populations or sub-populations of the Black Sea whiting. The findings are supported by biological data and the general circulation pattern of the Black Sea.  相似文献   
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The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) of intraannual evolution of temperature averaged along the circle of latitude in the 0-60-km layer is calcul ated using the data of the 500-year preindustrial experiment with the climate model of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics of Russian Academy of Sciences (INM RAS). It is shown that the first EOF represents temperature anomalies which propagate downward from the upper stratosphere during December-April. Such anomalies are preceded by the anomaly of the meridional heat flux in the polar upper stratosphere in December. Using the ensemble of numerical experiments with the climate model, it was demonstrated that it is possible to predict the projection of temperature anomaly corresponding to the first EOF in December-April, to the first mode according to initial data for December 1.  相似文献   
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Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - The amplitude of natural climate variability is considered in several versions of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences...  相似文献   
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