Effects of climate change on annual streamflow using climate elasticity in Poyang Lake Basin, China   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Shanlei Sun  Haishan Chen  Weimin Ju  Jie Song  Hao Zhang  Jie Sun  Yujie Fang 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2013,112(1-2):169-183

Hydrological processes depend directly on climate conditions [e.g., precipitation, potential evapotranspiration (PE)] based on the water balance. This paper examines streamflow datasets at four hydrological stations and meteorological observations at 79 weather stations to reveal the streamflow changes and underlying drivers in four typical watersheds (Meigang, Saitang, Gaosha, and Xiashan) within Poyang Lake Basin from 1961 to 2000. Most of the less than 90th percentile of daily streamflow in each watershed increases significantly at different rates. As an important indicator of the seasonal changes in the streamflow, CT (the timing of the mass center of the streamflow) in each watershed shows a negligible change. The annual streamflow in each watershed increases at different rates, with a statistically significant trend (at the 5 % level) of 9.87 and 7.72 mm year^?1, respectively, in Meigang and Gaosha watersheds. Given the existence of interactions between precipitation and PE, the original climate elasticity of streamflow can not reflect the relationship of streamflow with precipitation and PE effectively. We modify this method and find the modified climate elasticity to be more accurate and reasonable using the correlation analysis. The analyses from the modified climate elasticity in the four watersheds show that a 10 % increase (decrease) in precipitation will increase (decrease) the annual streamflow by 14.1–16.3 %, while a 10 % increase (decrease) in PE will decrease (increase) the annual streamflow by ?10.2 to ?2.1 %. In addition, the modified climate elasticity is applied to estimate the contribution of annual precipitation and PE to the increasing annual streamflow in each watershed over the past 40 years. Our result suggests that the percentage attribution of the increasing precipitation is more than 59 % and the decreasing in PE is less than 41 %, indicating that the increasing precipitation is the major driving factor for the annual streamflow increase for each watershed.  相似文献   

Variation of Surface Temperature during the Last Millennium in a Simulation with the FGOALS-g1 Climate System Model     

ZHANG Jie  Laurent LI  ZHOU Tianjun  XIN Xiaoge 《大气科学进展》2013,30(3)

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冬季北太平洋风暴轴异常及其与东亚大气环流的关系   总被引：9，自引：5，他引：4  

顾沛澍  朱伟军  刘鸣彦  高洁  曾鼎文 《气象科学》2013,33(6):610-618

利用NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料,应用滤波方差、相关分析、合成分析等研究了1963年冬季至2011年冬季北太平洋风暴轴的时空演变特征,并探讨了风暴轴活动强弱与东亚—北太平洋大气环流的关系。结果表明：与1980s后期风暴轴活动显著增强相比,近10 a来风暴轴活动又进入较气候平均水平偏低的阶段,且风暴轴主体位置有着向东北、西南两侧的振荡现象。风暴轴活动强（弱）年,东亚地区近地面温度偏高（低）、对流层低层阿留申低压和西伯利亚高压偏弱（强）、中国东部及日本上空850 hPa北风减弱（加强）;对流层中层东亚大槽减弱北缩（加深南进）、对流层高层西风急流减弱（加强）。风暴轴活动与冬季影响中国的冷空气活动次数相关关系显著。  相似文献   

用于风电场功率预测的逐时风速预报   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

白龙  吴息  丁宇宇  丁杰  江燕如 《气象科技》2013,41(4):777-783

为满足风电场精细化风速预报的需要,利用MM5模式的格点输出数值预报产品以及福建沿海地区两座海上测风塔的逐时气象资料,采用逐步回归的统计方法,将MM5数值预报产品与测风塔实测气象资料要素指标值共同引入回归方程,拟合两座测风塔特定高度的逐小时风速预报方程,详细介绍了该方法的实现过程.通过一年的预报效果指标以及15日的独立样本效果检验,结果表明该方法对于逐小时风速的预报有一定的应用价值.  相似文献   

Evolutionary Characteristics of Total Solar Irradiance     

XIANG Nan-bin 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》2014

The significant periods of total solar irradiance are 35 d and 26 d in the 23rd and 24th solar activity cycles, respectively. It is inferred that the solar quasi-rotation periods are also 35 d and 26 d in the 23rd and 24th solar activity cycles, respectively. The value of total solar irradiance around the 24th solar activity minimum may be close to the value of Maunder minimum. On the timescales from one solar rotation period to several months, sunspots are the main reason to cause the variation of total solar irradiance, but not the unique one, and the variation of total solar irradiance are not correlated with the Mg II index on the timescales from a few days to one solar rotation period.  相似文献   

SUSTAINABLE RURAL LIVELIHOOD AND ECOLOGICAL SHELTER CONSTRUCTION IN UPPER REACHES OF CHANGJIANG RIVER ——Case Study of Zhaotong of Yunnan Province     

SHENG Ke-rong FAN Jie MA Hai-long 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2006,16(1):32-40

1INTRODUCTION Ecological shelter construction (ESC) in the upper reaches of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River has been an important component of Development Program of West- ern China. In recent years, most of the literatures dis- cussing the meanings and goals of ESC have been fo- cused on the macro-level, and the scholars have concep- tualized it as a comprehensive strategy to promote the sustainable development of regional economy, society and environment, in which forestry's construc…  相似文献   

Distribution of biomass of heterotrophic bacterioplankton in the Bohai Sea     

白洁李岿然  张经李正炎  高会旺张昊飞 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2005,23(4):427-432

Distribution, variation and impact factors of biomass of bacterioplankton from April to May 1999 in Bohai Sea were studied in DAPI method with epifluorescence microscopy. The biomass in surface waters showed a small day-night variation, varying from 0.13 to 2.51μg/dm^3 with an average of 0.84μg/dm^3. The biomass in bottom waters showed, however, a large variation, changing from 0.15 to 4.18μg/dm^3 with an average of 1.36μg/dm^3. The peak values occurred at 5 and 11 a.m. The bottom water biomass showed a significant correlation with particulate organic carbon （r=0.639, P〈0.05）. Heterotrophic bacterioplankton biomass was high in nearshore waters and low in offshore areas with a high biomass zone around Huanghe （Yellow） River mouth, showing the same distribution of nutrients. In vertical distribution, heterotrophic bacteria biomass in bottom waters was higher than that in surface water.  相似文献   

利用Landsat TM6数据反演大亚湾海水表层温度   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

于杰  李永振  陈丕茂  黄洪辉  杜飞雁  陈国宝 《国土资源遥感》2009,(3):24-29

基于Landsat TM6数据,采用覃志豪单窗算法(MW)、Jiménez-Mu(n)oz单通道算法(SC)和Weng算法计算了大亚湾海域的海表温度(Sea Surface Temperature,SST),分析比较了3种算法反演的海温空间分布特征,并选取12个样本点与实测数据进行了比较.结果表明:3种算法反演的海温分布特征基本一致,在3幅海温图像上可以清晰地观察到大亚湾核电站的热废水扩散特征;反演温度与实测温度的差值平均值分别为-2.21℃、0.19℃和-4.68℃,以SC算法误差最小.  相似文献   

对我国数字城镇建设的几点思考   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈军  周旭  蒋捷  王丹  王浒 《地理信息世界》2006,4(5):6-9,16

我国城镇化快速发展迫切需要在全国大中小城市和小城镇加快实施信息化战略,建设具有中国特色的“数字城镇”。本文从“数字城镇”技术构成出发,分析了我国“数字城镇”发展现状及其面临的主要科技问题,提出要加强对“数字城镇”数据平台、综合信息服务平台、业务应用平台构建等关键技术问题的研究,以从整体上提升我国城镇信息化的水平。  相似文献   

Brew平台上应用程序中断和恢复的处理   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

向慧  罗惠琼 《成都信息工程学院学报》2005,20(3):261-264

介绍了手机软件开发的应用BREW平台。主要阐述了运用于手持设备的应用程序在开发时所做的中断和恢复处理。  相似文献