临沂中尺度数值预报系统及应用   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4  

裴洪芹  邰庆国  吴君  张京英  王庆华 《气象科技》2007,35(4):464-469

介绍了临沂中尺度数值预报系统及预报产品的释用和模式系统应用雷达资料情况,并对2005年6~10月的业务运行结果进行了检验,对小雨和中雨预报效果较好,TS评分较高,对夜间温度预报平均值绝对误差在1.52~2.52℃之间,平均均方根误差在2.01~2.93℃之间。该系统降水预报质量较高,气温预报误差小,准确率高,对定时、定点、定量的精细化预报具有较高的参考价值。应用自主开发的SDAF软件包,对系统的预报产品进行释用,研制了暴雨、空气质量、极端气温、干热风等预报方法。将多普勒雷达回波强度加入模式,改变模式水汽场,明显改进了预报。对径向速度反演降水系统内部风场进入中尺度模式进行了初步试验,得出了一些有益结论。  相似文献   

A multi-gene genetic programming model for estimating stress-dependent soil water retention curves   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Akhil Garg  Ankit Garg  K. Tai 《Computational Geosciences》2014,18(1):45-56

Soil water retention curve (SWRC) is an important parameter required for seepage modelling in unsaturated soil and is used for analysing rainfall-induced slope failures, design of waste contaminant liners and cover, etc. The influence of stress, which is one of constitutive variables that governs unsaturated soil behaviour on the SWRC, has been well recognised by researchers. Stress is essential for study as it drastically alters the soil fabric which includes macropores, minipores and micropores and thus affects the ability of soil to retain water. Various computational modelling techniques that formulate models based on existing databases such as UNSODA, ISRIC and HYPRES for the estimation of SWRC do not take into account the stress influence on soil behaviour. In the present work, three artificial intelligence (AI) methods of support vector regression, artificial neural network and multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP) have been applied to formulate the mathematical relationship between the water content and input variables such as stress and suction (i.e. stress-dependent soil water characteristic curves (SDSWRCs)). The results indicate that the MGGP model outperforms the other two models and is able to extrapolate the water content values satisfactorily along the stress value of 800 kPa. This MGGP model can then be deployed by experts for the estimation of SDSWRCs, thus eliminating the need for conducting costly and time-consuming experiments.  相似文献   

Discharge prediction using hydraulic characteristics of mean velocity equation     

Tai Ho Choo  Soo Kwon Chae  Hyeon Cheol Yoon  Yeon Moon Choo 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,71(2):675-683

Discharge is an important factor in river design for water utilization, water control and hydraulic structures; therefore, an accurate estimation of the discharge is required. At present, a rating curve depicting the relationship between a stage and discharge is used to calculate the discharge from river systems. Although the rating curve has an advantage in that it can predict and use the discharge during the flood season in which the measurement is difficult, there is room for improvement as it does not reflect the hydraulic characteristics of rivers. Therefore, in this study, discharge was predicted using the convenient calculation method with empirical mediating variables of the Manning and Chezy equations which were proposed by the author’s previous research as a new methodology for estimating discharge in an open channel. This was proven, based on the data measured in a meandering open channel system in a lab at the Mississippi River in the US and at the Columbia Del Dique Canal, and an accuracy level at a coefficient of 0.8 was demonstrated. Thus, this method, which reflects the hydraulic characteristics and predicts the discharge in a simple manner, is expected to be convenient in practice.  相似文献   

Evolution of scouring process downstream of grade‐control structures under steady and unsteady flows     

Jau‐Yau Lu  Jian‐Hao Hong  Kai‐Po Chang  Tai‐Fang Lu 《水文研究》2013,27(19):2699-2709

For many incised channels, one of the most common strategies is to install some hard structures, such as grade‐control structures (GCSs), in the riverbed to resist further incision. In this study, a series of experiments, including both steady and unsteady flow conditions, were conducted to investigate the scouring process downstream of a GCS. Three distinct phases, including the initial, developing and equilibrium phases, during the evolution of scour holes were identified. In addition, a semi‐empirical method was proposed to predict the equilibrium scour‐hole profile for the scour countermeasure design. In general, the comparisons between the experimental and simulated results are reasonably consistent. As the studies on temporal variation of the scour depth at GCSs caused by floods are limited, the effect of flood hydrograph shapes on the scour downstream of GCSs without upstream sediment supply was also investigated experimentally in this study. Based on the dimensional analysis and the concept of superposition, a methodology is proposed to simulate the time evolution of the maximum scour depth downstream of a GCS for steady flows. Moreover, the proposed scheme predicts reasonably well the temporal variations of the maximum scour depth for unsteady flows with both single and multiple peak. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Simulation of Tsaoling landslide, Taiwan, based on Saint Venant equations over general topography     

C.Y. Kuo  Y.C. Tai  F. Bouchut  A. Mangeney  M. Pelanti  R.F. Chen  K.J. Chang 《Engineering Geology》2009,104(3-4):181-189

The 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake triggered the catastrophic Tsaoling landslide in Taiwan. The geomorphological change measured from the data of the 1989 and 2000 aerial photos reveals that the scar and deposit volumes are about 0.126 km³ and 0.15 km³ respectively. The debris material ran over a distance of 1.6 km with 500 m descent in elevation. In this paper, we use the continuum model of hydraulic flow, SHALTOP^2D, based on the equations of Bouchut and Westdickenberg to simulate numerically the landslide dynamics. When the mass is moving, the flow is assumed hydrostatic with a basal Coulomb friction. The best fit is obtained using the basal friction angle equal to 6°, the only parameter of the simulation, uniformly applied in the calculation domain. The landslide front reaches the Chinshui river valley, the foothill of the slope, within only about 25 s after initiation and the motion settles in about 113 s. The maximum speed is estimated 75 m/s. The spreading of the deposit agrees well with the field measurement.  相似文献   

Python脚本在湖南省第三次国土调查数据库自检中的应用     

张泰  郭双仁  全思湘  马心念 《国土资源导刊(湖南)》2021,18(1):16-20

第三次国土调查数据库是第三次国土调查工作的主要成果,是支撑未来自然资源管理各项工作的关键,其质量必须得到充分重视。对数据库进行充分自检并依据自检问题逐一修改,是减少后期工作量、保障第三次国土调查数据库质量的重要手段。本文通过对湖南省第三次国土调查数据库自检内容和方法的分析,梳理了第三次国土调查数据库自检工作存在的不足,探索了通过Python脚本快速实现数据批量化检查的方法,提高了数据库自检工作的自动化和准确性。  相似文献   

临汾地震台垂直摆倾斜观测资料阶变异常分析     

张红秀  罗振东  邰垣东  郭国祥 《地震地磁观测与研究》2018,39(4):154-157

对临汾地震台垂直摆倾斜观测资料中记录到的阶变型异常图像进行分析,对异常成因进行探讨,希望对观测数据异常判断、数据预处理及地震预测预报的应用研究,提供一定参考。  相似文献   

浅析有色金属浮选尾矿排放工艺与选矿生产用水重复利用率的关系     

邰阳  杨耀  王永平  银晓瑞 《内蒙古气象》2010,(3):20-22

随着有色金属采选建设项目的增加,选矿生产的耗水量日渐为公众及管理部门所关注,在整个生产过程中,除精矿粉中会带走精矿重量约10%的水分外,绝大部分排放水是尾矿矿浆经输送至尾矿库澄清后排出的。因此从环境保护及提高水的利用率角度考虑,选矿废水应回用,而尾矿的排放方式又对生产用水回用率有着很大的影响。  相似文献   

The tunnel seismic advance prediction method with wide illumination and a high signal-to-noise ratio     

Xinglin Lu  Xian Liao  Yao Wang  Guimei Wang  Zhihong Fu  HengMing Tai 《Geophysical Prospecting》2020,68(8):2444-2458

Tunnel seismic prediction is widely used in the field of tunnel seismic advance detection. The illumination of the target and the signal-to-noise ratio of the data are two key factors affecting the precision of data interpretation. Current seismic prospecting has shortcomings on sites: (1) The lighting shots are solely towards one side of the tunnel wall, (2) the geophones are placed far away from the tunnel face and (3) the surface waves from the tunnel wall dominate over the reflection waves, lowering the signal-to-noise ratio of the data at the tunnel wall. This paper proposes a tunnel symmetrical geometry to tackle the above challenges. The arrangement is to place 12 sources uniformly on each side of the tunnel wall and six geophones on the tunnel wall and face. Results of simulated data and measured data show that the proposed method enables (1) broad illumination of the target body, (2) the enhancement of illumination energy of the target body, and (3) higher data signal-to-noise ratio. The proposed symmetrical geometry method provides better interpretation in terms of broader coverage, higher quality and greater distance of investigation.  相似文献   

最近13万年以来洛川黄土剖面中固定铵态氮的古气候意义   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

饶文波  罗泰义  高振敏  李晓彪 《地球化学》2004,33(2):185-190

对13万年以来洛川黄土-古土壤序列中固定铵态氮进行了分析.末次间冰期S1古土壤中固定铵态氮含量最高,其次为冰后期S0古土壤,末次冰期形成的马兰黄土最低;而且,固定铵态氮的分布在马兰黄土中也能体现出三次小的低-高值的波动特征.洛川黄土13万年以来固定铵态氮的分布与磁化率和<2μm组分的分布相似.在此基础上,利用马兰黄土中粒度与固定铵态氮的相关关系,计算了S1古土壤中固定铵的分布,并与实测结果进行了对比,推测S1古土壤中固定铵态氮有轻微的损失,尽管如此,S1古土壤中固定铵态氮含量仍然高于黄土.鉴于黄土-古土壤序列中固定铵态氮的分布与粉尘粒度有密切的关系,能与气候变化较好地对应,它可视为反映黄土高原区东亚冬季风强-弱周期性变化较好的替代性指标.  相似文献