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131.
Geostatistical models should be checked to ensure consistency with conditioning data and statistical inputs. These are minimum
acceptance criteria. Often the first and second-order statistics such as the histogram and variogram of simulated geological
realizations are compared to the input parameters to check the reasonableness of the simulation implementation. Assessing
the reproduction of statistics beyond second-order is often not considered because the “correct” higher order statistics are
rarely known. With multiple point simulation (MPS) geostatistical methods, practitioners are now explicitly modeling higher-order
statistics taken from a training image (TI). This article explores methods for extending minimum acceptance criteria to multiple
point statistical comparisons between geostatistical realizations made with MPS algorithms and the associated TI. The intent
is to assess how well the geostatistical models have reproduced the input statistics of the TI; akin to assessing the histogram
and variogram reproduction in traditional semivariogram-based geostatistics. A number of metrics are presented to compare
the input multiple point statistics of the TI with the statistics of the geostatistical realizations. These metrics are (1)
first and second-order statistics, (2) trends, (3) the multiscale histogram, (4) the multiple point density function, and
(5) the missing bins in the multiple point density function. A case study using MPS realizations is presented to demonstrate
the proposed metrics; however, the metrics are not limited to specific MPS realizations. Comparisons could be made between
any reference numerical analogue model and any simulated categorical variable model. 相似文献
132.
Amir H. Hosseini Clayton V. Deutsch Kevin W. Biggar Carl A. Mendoza 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2010,24(5):735-749
The spatial distribution of residual light non-aqueous phase liquid (LNAPL) is an important factor in reactive solute transport
modeling studies. There is great uncertainty associated with both the areal limits of LNAPL source zones and smaller scale
variability within the areal limits. A statistical approach is proposed to construct a probabilistic model for the spatial
distribution of residual NAPL and it is applied to a site characterized by ultra-violet-induced-cone-penetration testing (CPT–UVIF).
The uncertainty in areal limits is explicitly addressed by a novel distance function (DF) approach. In modeling the small-scale
variability within the areal limits, the CPT–UVIF data are used as primary source of information, while soil texture and distance
to water table are treated as secondary data. Two widely used geostatistical techniques are applied for the data integration,
namely sequential indicator simulation with locally varying means (SIS–LVM) and Bayesian updating (BU). A close match between
the calibrated uncertainty band (UB) and the target probabilities shows the performance of the proposed DF technique in characterization
of uncertainty in the areal limits. A cross-validation study also shows that the integration of the secondary data sources
substantially improves the prediction of contaminated and uncontaminated locations and that the SIS–LVM algorithm gives a
more accurate prediction of residual NAPL contamination. The proposed DF approach is useful in modeling the areal limits of
the non-stationary continuous or categorical random variables, and in providing a prior probability map for source zone sizes
to be used in Monte Carlo simulations of contaminant transport or Monte Carlo type inverse modeling studies. 相似文献
133.
The ocean has been shielding the earth from the worst effects of rapid climate change by absorbing excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. This absorption of CO2 is driving the ocean along the pH gradient towards more acidic conditions. At the same time ocean warming is having pronounced impacts on the composition, structure and functions of marine ecosystems. Warming, freshening (in some areas) and associated stratification are driving a trend in ocean deoxygenation, which is being enhanced in parts of the coastal zone by upwelling of hypoxic deep water. The combined impact of warming, acidification and deoxygenation are already having a dramatic effect on the flora and fauna of the oceans with significant changes in distribution of populations, and decline of sensitive species. In many cases, the impacts of warming, acidification and deoxygenation are increased by the effects of other human impacts, such as pollution, eutrophication and overfishing. 相似文献
134.
We present a theoretical weakly nonlinear analysis of the dynamics of an inviscid flow submitted to both rotation and precession of an unbounded cylindrical container, by considering the coupling of two Kelvin (inertial) waves. The parametric centrifugal instability known for this system is shown to saturate when one expands the Navier–Stokes equation to higher order in the assumed small precession parameter (ratio of precession to rotation frequencies) with the derivation of two coupled Landau equations suitable to describe the dynamics of the modes. It is shown that an azimuthal mean flow with differential rotation is generated by this modes coupling. The time evolution of the associated dynamical system is studied. These theoretical results can be compared with water experiments and also to some numerical simulations where viscosity and finite length effects cannot be neglected. 相似文献
135.
Motivated by our puzzling high-resolution radar observations of surface vortices in the nearly rectangular Gulf of Eilat/Aqaba, northern Red Sea, we propose and explore the driven cavity approach to this geophysical phenomenon. While the lid-driven cavity has long been considered a benchmark problem in computational fluid dynamics, its oceanographic context has not been considered. Despite the additional effects of rotation and stratification, our modeling demonstrates that when the fluid within a cavity geometrically similar to the Gulf of Eilat is driven by the external current, an interior vortex can develop as in our observations. Furthermore, the Eilat vortices appear only under relatively calm conditions, adding evidence to the intriguing possibility of their simple shear-driven origin. 相似文献
136.
North China Plain (Huabei Plain) is one of the most densely populated regions on earth. Due to excessive underground water extraction, the North China Plain has been experiencing severe ground deformation over the last three decades. Therefore, for the purpose of hazard mitigation, it is necessary to monitor the ground displacement occurred in this region. As an extension of the differential radar interferometry (DInSAR) technique, advanced DInSAR techniques involving multiple images have demonstrated the potential to effectively map ground displacement. Such techniques are able to measure the temporal evolution of ground deformation with millimetre-level accuracy by using a stack of differential interferograms. In this study, the ALOS PALSAR data acquired over the North China Plain, which cover an area of approximately 16,000 km $^2$ , were processed based on the concept of advanced DInSAR techniques. Because of the large size of the PALSAR images, a targeted processing strategy was designed. This strategy is able to reduce required disk storage space and I/O operations, leading to the improvement of the computational efficiency. The resulting mean deformation velocity map demonstrates that a large portion of the area covered by the data was affected by various degrees of ground deformation between January 2007 and April 2010. The ground deformation is mostly distributed in rural areas, while the downtown areas are generally stable. 相似文献
137.
Use of LIDAR in landslide investigations: a review 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
Michel Jaboyedoff Thierry Oppikofer Antonio Abellán Marc-Henri Derron Alex Loye Richard Metzger Andrea Pedrazzini 《Natural Hazards》2012,61(1):5-28
This paper presents a short history of the appraisal of laser scanner technologies in geosciences used for imaging relief
by high-resolution digital elevation models (HRDEMs) or 3D models. A general overview of light detection and ranging (LIDAR)
techniques applied to landslides is given, followed by a review of different applications of LIDAR for landslide, rockfall
and debris-flow. These applications are classified as: (1) Detection and characterization of mass movements; (2) Hazard assessment
and susceptibility mapping; (3) Modelling; (4) Monitoring. This review emphasizes how LIDAR-derived HRDEMs can be used to
investigate any type of landslides. It is clear that such HRDEMs are not yet a common tool for landslides investigations,
but this technique has opened new domains of applications that still have to be developed. 相似文献
138.
The increasing use of unstructured grids for reservoir modeling motivates the development of geostatistical techniques to
populate them with properties such as facies proportions, porosity and permeability. Unstructured grids are often populated
by upscaling high-resolution regular grid models, but the size of the regular grid becomes unreasonably large to ensure that
there is sufficient resolution for small unstructured grid elements. The properties could be modeled directly on the unstructured
grid, which leads to an irregular configuration of points in the three-dimensional reservoir volume. Current implementations
of Gaussian simulation for geostatistics are for regular grids. This paper addresses important implementation details involved
in adapting sequential Gaussian simulation to populate irregular point configurations including general storage and computation
issues, generating random paths for improved long range variogram reproduction, and search strategies including the superblock
search and the k-dimensional tree. An efficient algorithm for computing the variogram of very large irregular point sets is developed for
model checking. 相似文献
139.
140.