A model for the Am (Km) planetary geomagnetic activity index and application to prediction     

Christian Francq  Michel Menvielle 《Geophysical Journal International》1996,125(3):729-746

We studied the existence of dynamical stochastic relations in the evolution of the am index. A first analysis of the autocorrelation functions showed evidence of several seasonalities. We first used linear (ARMA) models, and it was found that these do not account for the whole internal dynamics of the data series. We then used various non-linear models to provide a better fit to reality. The forecast performances of the non-linear models are not significantly different from those of the linear model. We give a tentative explanation for the failure of the non-linear predictions. Finally, ARCH models were used in order to take into account the fact that the confidence interval for the predicted value depends on past observations.  相似文献   

3D geoscience modeling: Computer techniques for geological characterization     

J.T. Christian 《Earth》1996,40(3-4):299-301

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Simulation Of Pumping And Artificial Recharge In A Phreatic Aquifer Near Bucharest,Romania     

Christian Stefanescu  Alain Dassargues 《Hydrogeology Journal》1996,4(3):72-83

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Foliation fields and 3D cartography in geology: Principles of a method based on potential interpolation   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

Christian Lajaunie  Gabriel Courrioux  Laurent Manuel 《Mathematical Geology》1997,29(4):571-584

A modeling method that takes into account known points on a geological interface and plane orientation data such as stratification or foliation planes is described and tested. The orientations data do not necessarily belong to one of the interfaces but are assumed to sample the main anisotropy of a geological formation as in current geological situations. The problem is to determine the surfaces which pass through the known points on interfaces and which are compatible with the orientation data. The method is based on the interpolation of a scalar field defined in the space the gradient in which is orthogonal to the orientations, given that some points have the same but unknown scalar value (points of the same interface), and that scalar gradient is known on the other points (foliations). The modeled interfaces are represented as isovalues of the interpolated field. Preliminary two-dimensional tests carried-out with different covariance models demonstrate the validity of the method, which is easily transposable in three dimensions.  相似文献   

Researching the South African tourism and development nexus   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Gustav Visser  Christian M. Rogerson 《GeoJournal》2004,60(3):201-215

Under apartheid, tourism was essentially anti-developmental in focus and tourism research largely centred on the recreation of white South Africans. Since the 1994 democratic transition tourism has become recognised as an increasingly important sector for South Africa's economy and for achieving the government's goals for reconstruction and development. In this paper a review and critical analysis is presented of the changing directions and foci of tourism scholarship in South Africa. It is shown that South African scholars are beginning to respond to the challenges posed by tourism as a developmental focus. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

Réponse aux commentaires d'Azambre et al. et de Rapaille et al.: [C. R. Geoscience 334 (2002) 197]     

Christian Desreumaux  Bernard Clément  Richard Fabre  Bruno Martins-Campina 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2004,336(2):173-174

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L'accident du Toulourenc : une limite tectonique entre la plate-forme provençale et le Bassin vocontien à l'Aptien–Albien (SE France)     

Christian Montenat  Marie-Christine Janin  Pascal Barrier 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2004,336(14):1301-1310

The WNW–ESE trending Toulourenc Fault Zone (TFZ) is the western segment of the major Ventoux–Lure Fault Zone, which separates the Provençal platform from the Baronnies Vocontian Basin. The TFZ was subject to polyphased Mid-Cretaceous movements, during the Early Aptian and Middle–Late Albian times. The latter faulting episode generated conglomerates and olistoliths resulting from dismantled faultscarps cutting Barremian–Bedoulian limestones. The deformation is related to compressional wrench faulting (NE–SW sinistral faults; dextral component for the TFZ). It induced the uplift of the northwestern corner of the platform, as indicated by a mid-Cretaceous hiatus (Early Aptian pro parte to Early Albian) narrowly delimited in space. The opening of submeridian grabens within the platform favoured the northward transit of channelised coarse-grained Albian sands originating from a southern area. To cite this article: C. Montenat et al., C. R. Geoscience 336 (2004).  相似文献   

Disturbing the solar system—impacts, close encounters, and coming attractions     

Christian Koeberl 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2004,68(4):931

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Intraplate seismicity in SE Brazil: stress concentration in lithospheric thin spots   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Marcelo Assumpção  Martin Schimmel  Christian Escalante  José Roberto Barbosa  Marcelo Rocha  Lucas V. Barros 《Geophysical Journal International》2004,159(1):390-399

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The lacustrine sedimentary records of coal-burning atmospheric pollution     

E. Appel  V. Hoffmann 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2005,48(10)

With the acceleration of industrialization, coal- burning atmospheric pollution is getting more and more serious in many regions in China. However, there are only about ten odd years literature records about pollution in some large and mid-sized cities, where the atmosphere has perhaps been polluted for several decades, and therefore it is difficult to know the process and characteristic of pollution, and diffi-cult to evaluate its damage to environment. Lacustrine sediment, a natural record w…  相似文献