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411.
Noel Carbajal Juan A. Dworak Yovani Montaño-Ley Cristina Noyola-Medrano 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,72(2):429-440
A two-dimensional, vertically integrated, nonlinear numerical model was applied to investigate the tide-driven bed load transport of sediments and morphodynamics in the shallow coastal lagoon of Yavaros, located in the southeastern part of the Gulf of California, Mexico. Satellite imagery exposes strong sediment dynamics in this coastal region. The dynamics in the lagoon were forced by 13 tidal constituents at the open boundary. Tides are of a mixed character and they are predominantly semidiurnal. The calculations showed areas of intense tidal currents and considerable water exchange with the Gulf of California. Numerical experiments revealed an ebb-dominant tidal distortion and a net export of sediment from the lagoon to the Gulf of California. A simulation of 20 years showed that the lagoon exported about 1,600 m3 of sediment; however, the daily oscillating exchange of sediment reached values of around 8 m3. The daily averaged flux of export–import sediments oscillates principally with semiannual, monthly and fortnightly periods. By applying a threshold velocity, a variable friction coefficient and the calculated amplitude of tidal velocities, it was possible to determine that morphological changes occur in zones of sharp topographic gradients and to explain the effect of friction on the export–import process of sediments. A 10-year simulation revealed that accumulation of sediment (~20 cm) occurred in small areas, whereas erosion occurred in larger areas but with less intensity (~8 cm). Besides the importance for the morphodynamics, these kinds of erosion–accretion processes may be relevant for the marine ecology. 相似文献
412.
Andrew S. Rivkin Cristina A. Thomas David E. Trilling Marie-therese Enga Jennifer A. Grier 《Icarus》2011,211(2):1294-1297
A survey of small (<5-10 km diameter) members of the Koronis family shows some objects with visible-wavelength broadband colors consistent with membership in the Q-class (Tholen, D.J. [1984]. Asteroid taxonomy from cluster analysis of photometry. Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Bus, S.J., Binzel, R.P. [2002]. Icarus 158, 146-177). This agrees with an ordinary chondritic composition for this family and suggests the timescale for changing Q-class to S-class spectra in the main belt is roughly comparable to the regolith refresh time in the 2-5 km size range. 相似文献
413.
This paper deals with the quality of two multivariate statistical models based on the Geographical Information System for
shallow landslide susceptibility assessment in a test area at La Pobla de Lillet (Eastern Pyrenees, Spain). The quality, which
was guaranteed by a rigorous methodology based on a suitable diagnosis, validation, and evaluation of the models, ensured
a reliable contrast of the final susceptibility maps. This enables us to transfer the best results to the end user. Landslide
susceptibility models were carried out by logistic regression and discriminant analysis of the significant conditioning factors
related to the characteristics of the slope and the upslope contributing area captured from the digital elevation model and
landslide distribution. The explanatory variables were tested (KS test, principal components and one-way and T-test) to select the most statistically significant ones before being introduced into the logistic and discriminant analyses.
Accuracy statistics and the receiver operating characteristic curve used for diagnosis and validation showed similar prediction
skills and a good fit to the data with more than 85% of unfailed cells properly classified for the two models. The evaluation
of the study area and the correlation function (R
2 = 0.83) between the models revealed that the discriminant model overestimated the susceptibility of the most stable zones
with respect to the logistic model. Different methods of producing susceptibility maps showed marked differences in matching
the models. Substantial spatial agreement (Kappa = 0.741) between binary maps produced by the standard cut-off value descended
moderately (Kappa = 0.540) as a result of superimposing maps with five susceptibility levels defined by landslide percentage.
Despite the fact that the two statistical models are similar in assessing susceptibility in the study area, the implications
for hazard and risk management can be different because of the conservative nature of the discriminant model. 相似文献
414.
Carlos Alberto Galaz-Samaniego M. Cristina Peñalba Francisco Abraham Paz-Moreno Iván Rosario Espinoza-Encinas Kinardo Flores-Castro Rogelio Monreal Carlos Lizárraga-Celaya 《第四纪科学杂志》2023,38(1):76-91
During the last glacial termination, the climate system experienced intense global variations whose causes and impacts are not fully defined, particularly for low latitudes. The northwestern Mexico Sky Islands present a climate-sensitive ideal setting to record palaeoecological and palaeoclimatic changes due to their physiographic complexity and location in the ecotone between temperate and tropical ecosystems. High-resolution pollen analysis and a detailed sedimentological study were conducted at the Ciénega Tonibabi tropical thorn scrub site. The 15 540–0 cal a bp nearly continuous record shows that the North Atlantic Ocean did have a cold and humid climatic influence during the glacial stages of the end of the Pleistocene, including a sharp pulse during the Younger Dryas. However, a shift to the Pacific Ocean influence occurred during the Holocene, which led to the development of the El Niño conditions prevailing today. Colder and warmer phases follow one another with higher or lower winter precipitation, including a sharp Bølling–Allerød and development and intensification of the North American monsoon. They are reflected in hydrological changes as well as in the advances, retreats and intermingling of coniferous forests and tropical thorn scrub. 相似文献