Application of periodic autoregressive process to the modeling of the Garonne river flows   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Eugen Ursu  Jean-Christophe Pereau 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2016,30(7):1785-1795

Accurate forecasting of river flows is one of the most important applications in hydrology, especially for the management of reservoir systems. To capture the seasonal variations in river flow statistics, this paper develops a robust modeling approach to identify and to estimate periodic autoregressive (PAR) model in the presence of additive outliers. Since the least squares estimators are not robust in the presence of outliers, we suggest a robust estimation based on residual autocovariances. A genetic algorithm with Bayes information criterion is used to identify the optimal PAR model. The method is applied to average monthly and quarter-monthly flow data (1959–2010) for the Garonne river in the southwest of France. Results show that the accuracy of forecasts is improved in the robust model with respect to the unrobust model for the quarter-monthly flows. By reducing the number of parameters to be estimated, the principle of parsimony favors the choice of the robust approach.  相似文献   

Estimation of effect of unequal secular variation on geomagnetic data reduction     

Eugen Vujić  Mario Brkić 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2016,60(1):162-176

The geomagnetic field components are periodically measured at repeat stations. The main objective of the repeat stations is to provide data for tracing the secular variation of the geomagnetic field components. Secular variation at the repeat station is generally different from that at geomagnetic observatory used in the data reduction. The effect of the secular variation differences on geomagnetic data reduction was estimated for the regions of Europe, North America (below 60°N) and Australia, respectively, during the period of 2000-2010. These estimations were obtained by using the monthly mean values of north, east and vertical components of geomagnetic field, recorded at geomagnetic observatories. The effects were calculated by using observatories pairs, with distances from 350 km (in Europe) to 3100 km (in North America and Australia). The maximal effects were found to be the smallest in east component in Europe and North America, and vertical component in Australia; the effects increase with time from a central reduction epoch and they are not constant during mentioned eleven years; they were less than 1 nT only in Europe, for distances between the observatories up to 1000 km in all three components and for periods spanning ±1 month from a central epoch. It was found that their year to year variability is mostly due to the non-eliminated external field residuals in the observatories monthly means; their effect is up to 3 nT for ±3 months from a central epoch. Further, the real effects were compared to those modeled by IGRF-12 model. The maximal differences between the real and the modeled values are below 4.5 nT in all three components, for ±3 months from a central epoch.  相似文献   

Recent Efforts Toward the Establishment of the Lonjsko Polje Geomagnetic Observatory     

Igor Mandić  Eugen Vujić  Balázs Heilig  Izidor Pelajić  Davorka Herak 《Acta Geophysica》2016,64(5):1311-1339

More than ten years ago, the Geophysical Institute initiated the installation of a geomagnetic observatory in Croatia. Over the past decade, extensive surveys and studies have been conducted in order to determine the proper location for the observatory. Finally, in 2012, the observatory was established in Lonjsko Polje. This paper presents the first data recorded in the period 2012.5-2015.0. Also presented are the technical aspects and data processing techniques of this remotely operated observatory. Analysis of data quality and comparison with data from the surrounding INTERMAGNET observatories is discussed in detail. Although remote observatories cannot provide the ideal environment for magnetometers, the obtained results accentuate the potential of the new observatory to provide high-quality data. The establishment of this observatory paves the way for scientific and professional development of geomagnetism in Croatia.  相似文献   

Spherical Elementary Current Systems Method Applied to Geomagnetic Field Modeling for the Adriatic     

Eugen Vujić  Mario Brkić 《Acta Geophysica》2016,64(4):930-942

The aim of this work was to derive an accurate regional model of geomagnetic components on the Adriatic. Data of north, east and vertical geomagnetic components at repeat stations and ground survey sites enclosing the Adriatic Sea were used to obtain a geomagnetic model at 2010.5 epoch. The core field was estimated by use of the global Enhanced Magnetic Model, while the crustal field by a mathematical technique for expanding vector systems on a sphere into basis functions, known as spherical elementary current systems method. The results of this method were presented and compared to the crustal field estimations by the Enhanced Magnetic Model. The maps of isolines of the regional model are also presented.  相似文献   

Multiple phase transitions of leonite-type compounds: optical, calorimetric, and X-ray data     

B. Hertweck  T. Armbruster  E. Libowitzky 《Mineralogy and Petrology》2002,75(3-4):245-259

Summary Low-temperature phase transitions of leonite-type compounds, K₂Me²⁺(SO₄)₂ · 4H₂O (Me = Mg, Mn, Fe), are investigated by temperature dependent measurements of single-crystal X-ray reflection intensities and lattice parameters. The transition temperatures and the progress of the transitions are determined by birefringence data and differential scanning calorimetry. The cause for the phase transitions of leonite-type compounds is a dynamic disorder of sulphate groups at room temperature (C2/m), that freezes in to an ordered structure (I2/a) at −4(1) °C in leonite, K₂Mg(SO₄)₂ · 4H₂O. At −153(1) °C the crystal structure switches to another ordered phase (P2₁/a). The Mn analogue shows the same succession with transition temperatures at −68(1) °C and −104(1) °C. The disordered room temperature structure of the isotypic mineral mereiterite, K₂Fe(SO₄)₂ · 4H₂O, transforms directly to the ordered P2₁/a structure at 3(2) °C. Analysis of X-ray intensities and of excess birefringence reveals that the displacive I2/a ⇔ P2₁/a phase transition of leonite and Mn-leonite is first order. According to Landau theory the C2/m ⇔ I2/a (leonite, Mn-leonite) and C2/m ⇔ P2₁/a (mereiterite) order-disorder transitions are almost tricritical. Received March 7, 2001; revised version accepted June 27, 2001  相似文献   

Preface – Special Issue: Mineral Spectroscopy     

E. Libowitzky  A. Beran 《Mineralogy and Petrology》2005,85(1-2):1-2

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Jankovićite,Tl5Sb9(As,Sb)4S22, a new TI-sulfosalt from Allchar,Macedonia     

Lj. Cvetković  V. A. Boronikhin  M. K. Pavićević  D. Krajnović  I. Gržetić  E. Libowitzky  G. Giester  E. Tillmanns 《Mineralogy and Petrology》1995,53(1-3):125-131

Summary A hitherto unknown TI-sulfosalt, containing antimony and arsenic, was discovered by ore microscopy (including quantitative reflectance measurements) and electron microprobe analysis in samples from the Allchar TI-Sb-As sulfide ore deposit (Macedonia). The chemical formula is TI₅Sb₉(As,Sb)₄S₂₂, X-ray single crystal and powder diffration data gave the lattice parameters _o = 7.393(4) Å, b₀ = 8.707(2) Å, c_o = 17.584(3) Å, = 103.81(1)°, = 91.79(1)°, = 109.50(1)°; space group , Z = 1. The new mineral and the new mineral naine jankoviéite have been approved by the IMA/CNMMN.

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Jankoviit, Tl₅Sb₉(As,Sb)₄S₂₂, ein neues TI-Sulfosalz aus Allehar, Macedonien

Zusammenfassung Ein bislang unbekanntes Thallium-Antimon-Arsen-Sulfosalz wurde mittels Erzmikroskopie (inklusive quantitativer Reflexionsmessungen) und Elektronenstrahl-Mikrosonde in Proben aus der TI-Sb-As-Sulfid-Lagerstätte Allchar in Macedonien entdeckt. Die chemische Formel lautet Tl₅Sb₉(As,Sb)₄S₂₂, aus Röntgen-Einkristallaufnahmen und Pulverdiffraktogrammen konnten folgende Gitterkonstanten bestimmt werden: a_o = 7.393(4) Å, b_o = 8.707(2) _Å, c_o = 17.584(3) Å, a = 103.81(1)°, = 91.79(1)°, = 109.50(1)°; Raumgruppe , Z = 1. Das neue Mineral, sowie der neue Mineralname Jankoviit wurden durch die IMA/CNMMN anerkannt.

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Die Oberfläche des Mondes nach Aufnahmen mit Ranger 9     

Prof. Dr. Eugen Seibold 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1966,55(3):549-551

Ohne Zusammenfassung  相似文献   

Neue Bücher und Zeitschriften     

H. Murawski  Eugen Seibold  R. Teichmüller  H. W. Quitzow  G. Knetsch  H. Murawski  Sigismund Kienow  Eugen Seibold 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1959,46(2):651-663

Ohne Zusammenfassung  相似文献   

Fossil sulphate-reducing bacteria in the Bleiberg lead-zinc deposit, Austria   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Henryk Kucha  Erich Schroll  Eugen F. Stumpfl 《Mineralium Deposita》2005,40(1):123-126

Polished ore samples from the world-class Bleiberg lead-zinc deposit in Austria were studied by Field Emission Scanning Electron Microscopy (FESEM) at magnifications in the range of 10⁵–10⁶. The zinc ore shows nano-sized sphalerite filaments and spherules which are morphologically similar to recent biofilms of sulphate-reducing bacteria. The activity of sulphate-reducing bacteria is suggested by a large ³⁴S difference of ~40 between coeval seawater sulphate (+16 ) and sulphide sulphur (< –25 ) in the Bleiberg ores, and by variable sulphur valences. Peloids of sphalerite, Zn-bearing calcite and pyrite have features typical of bacterial colonies. Combined with geological and mineralogical evidence, a significant role of bacteria during ore deposition at Bleiberg is likely.Eugen F. Stumpfl deceasedEditorial handling: B. Lehmann  相似文献