Climatological aspects of convective parameters from the NCAR/NCEP reanalysis   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Harold E. Brooks  Aaron R. Anderson  Kathrin Riemann  Irina Ebbers  Heather Flachs 《Atmospheric Research》2007,83(2-4):294-305

Annual cycles of convectively important atmospheric parameters have been computed for a variety of from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)/National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) global reanalysis, using 7 years of reanalysis data. Regions in the central United States show stronger seasonality in combinations of thermodynamic parameters than found elsewhere in North America or Europe. As a result, there is a period of time in spring and early summer when climatological mean conditions are supportive of severe thunderstorms.The annual cycles help in understanding the large-scale processes that lead to the combination of atmospheric ingredients necessary for strong convection. This, in turn, lays groundwork for possible changes in distribution of the environments associated with possible global climate change.  相似文献   

Progress in NTHMP Hazard Assessment     

Frank I. González  Vasily V. Titov  Harold O. Mofjeld  Angie J. Venturato  R. Scott Simmons  Roger Hansen  Rodney Combellick  Richard K. Eisner  Don F. Hoirup  Brian S. Yanagi  Sterling Yong  Mark Darienzo  George R. Priest  George L. Crawford  Timothy J. Walsh 《Natural Hazards》2005,35(1):89-110

The Hazard Assessment component of the U.S. National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program has completed 22 modeling efforts covering 113 coastal communities with an estimated population of 1.2 million residents that are at risk. Twenty-three evacuation maps have also been completed. Important improvements in organizational structure have been made with the addition of two State geotechnical agency representatives to Steering Group membership, and progress has been made on other improvements suggested by program reviewers.  相似文献   

First recorded eruption of Mount Belinda volcano (Montagu Island), South Sandwich Islands     

Matthew R. Patrick  John L. Smellie  Andrew J. L. Harris  Robert Wright  Ken Dean  Pavel Izbekov  Harold Garbeil  Eric Pilger 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2005,67(5):415-422

The MODVOLC satellite monitoring system has revealed the first recorded eruption of Mount Belinda volcano, on Montagu Island in the remote South Sandwich Islands. Here we present some initial qualitative observations gleaned from a collection of satellite imagery covering the eruption, including MODIS, Landsat 7 ETM+, ASTER, and RADARSAT-1 data. MODVOLC thermal alerts indicate that the eruption started sometime between 12 September and 20 October 2001, with low-intensity subaerial explosive activity from the islands summit peak, Mount Belinda. By January 2002 a small lava flow had been emplaced near the summit, and activity subsequently increased to some of the highest observed levels in August 2002. Observations from passing ships in February and March 2003 provided the first visual confirmation of the eruption. ASTER images obtained in August 2003 show that the eruption at Mount Belinda entered a new phase around this time, with fresh lava effusion into the surrounding icefield. MODIS radiance trends also suggest that the overall activity level increased significantly after July 2003. Thermal anomalies continued to be observed in MODIS imagery in early 2004, indicating a prolonged low-intensity eruption and the likely establishment of a persistent summit lava lake, similar to that observed on neighboring Saunders Island in 2001. Our new observations also indicate that lava lake activity continues on Saunders Island.Editorial responsibility: J. Gilbert  相似文献   

Lengths and hazards from channel-fed lava flows on Mauna Loa, Hawai‘i, determined from thermal and downslope modeling with FLOWGO     

Scott K. Rowland  Harold Garbeil  Andrew J. L. Harris 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2005,67(7):634-647

Using the FLOWGO thermo-rheological model we have determined cooling-limited lengths of channel-fed (i.e. a) lava flows from Mauna Loa. We set up the program to run autonomously, starting lava flows from every 4th line and sample in a 30-m spatial-resolution SRTM DEM within regions corresponding to the NE and SW rift zones and the N flank of the volcano. We consider that each model run represents an effective effusion rate, which for an actual flow coincides with it reaching 90% of its total length. We ran the model at effective effusion rates ranging from 1 to 1,000 m³ s^–1, and determined the cooling-limited channel length for each. Keeping in mind that most flows extend 1–2 km beyond the end of their well-developed channels and that our results are non-probabilistic in that they give all potential vent sites an equal likelihood to erupt, lava coverage results include the following: SW rift zone flows threaten almost all of Mauna Loas SW flanks, even at effective effusion rates as low as 50 m³ s^–1 (the average effective effusion rate for SW rift zone eruptions since 1843 is close to 400 m³ s^–1). N flank eruptions, although rare in the recent geologic record, have the potential to threaten much of the coastline S of Keauhou with effective effusion rates of 50–100 m³ s^–1, and the coast near Anaehoomalu if effective effusion rates are 400–500 m³ s^–1 (the 1859 a flow reached this coast with an effective effusion rate of 400 m³ s^–1). If the NE rift zone continues to be active only at elevations >2,500 m, in order for a channel-fed flow to reach Hilo the effective effusion rate needs to be 400 m³ s^–1 (the 1984 flow by comparison, had an effective effusion rate of 200 m³ s^–1). Hilo could be threatened by NE rift zone channel-fed flows with lower effective effusion rates but only if they issue from vents at 2,000 m or lower. Populated areas on Mauna Loas SE flanks (e.g. Phala), could be threatened by SW rift zone eruptions with effective effusion rates of 100 m³ s^–1.Editorial responsibility: J Donnelly-Nolan  相似文献   

Phytoplankton index of biotic integrity for Chesapeake Bay and its tidal tributaries     

Richard V. Lacouture  Jacqueline M. Johnson  Claire Buchanan  Harold G. Marshall 《Estuaries and Coasts》2006,29(4):598-616

A Phytoplankton Index of Biotic Integrity (P-IBI) was developed from data collected during 18 yr 91985–2002) of the Chesapeake Bay Water Quality Monitoring Program. Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), orthophosphate (PO₄), and Secchi depth were used to characterize phytoplankton habitat conditions. Low DIN and PO₄ concentrations and high Secchi depths characterized least-impaire conditions. Thirty-eight phytoplankton metrics were tested for their ability to discriminate between impaired and least-impaired habitat conditions. Twelve discriminatory metrics were chosen, and different combinations of these twelve metrics were scored and used to create phytoplankton community indexes for spring and summer in the four salinity regimes in Chesapeake Bay. The scoring criteria for each metric were based on the distribution of the metric’s values in least-impaired conditions relative to the distribution in impaired conditions. An independent data set and jackknife validation procedure were used to examine P-IBI performance. The P-IBI correctly classified 70.0–84.4% of the impaired and least-impaired samples, grouped by season and salinity, in the calibration data set. The P-IBI is a management tool to assess phytoplankton community status relative to estuarine nutrient and light conditions.  相似文献   

The Arctic observatory CD-ROM: An interactive approach to access and demonstrate scientific data and information     

Harold A. Geller  Farzad Mahootian 《Marine pollution bulletin》1997,35(7-12):384-385

This paper is an introduction to the Arctic Observatory CD-ROM that accompanies this special issue. The data and information upon which this CD-ROM is based was derived from a prototype geographical information system (GIS). A simple graphical user interface (GUI) was developed specifically for the presentation of the GIS data and information in an educational environment. However, the utility of efficient access to a large volume of browse data of multiple parameters extends beyond the educational context. This effort is an example of how researchers can place their data and information in a format that is available for examination by others in the field, non-experts, and students interested in the field of study. To demonstrate the utility of the Arctic Observatory CD-ROM for research purposes, we analyzed a specific anomaly in ice concentration values which came to our attention during our tests of the GUI.  相似文献   

Preliminary mariner 9 report on the geology of Mars     

J.F. McCauley  M.H. Carr  J.A. Cutts  W.K. Hartmann  Harold Masursky  D.J. Milton  R.P. Sharp  D.E. Wilhelms 《Icarus》1972

Mariner 9 pictures indicate that the surface of Mars has been shaped by impact, volcanic, tectonic, erosional and depositional activity. The moonlike cratered terrain, identified as the dominant surface unit from the Mariner 6 and 7 flyby data, has proven to be less typical of Mars than previously believed, although extensive in the mid- and high-latitude regions of the southern hemisphere. Martian craters are highly modified but their size-frequency distribution and morphology suggest that most were formed by impact. Circular basins encompassed by rugged terrain and filled with smooth plains material are recognized. These structures, like the craters, are more modified than corresponding features on the Moon and they exercise a less dominant influence on the regional geology. Smooth plains with few visible craters fill the large basins and the floors of larger craters; they also occupy large parts of the northern hemisphere where the plains lap against higher landforms. The middle northern latitudes of Mars from 90 to 150† longitude contain at least four large shield volcanoes each of which is about twice as massive as the largest on Earth. Steep-sided domes with summit craters and large, fresh-appearing volcanic craters with smooth rims are also present in this region. Multiple flow structures, ridges with lobate flanks, chain craters, and sinuous rilles occur in all regions, suggesting widespread volcanism. Evidence for tectonic activity postdating formation of the cratered terrain and some of the plains units is abundant in the equatorial area from 0 to 120° longitude.Some regions exhibit a complex semiradial array of graben that suggest doming and stretching of the surface. Others contain intensity faulted terrain with broader, deeper graben separated by a complex mosaic of flat-topped blocks. An east-west-trending canyon system about 100–200 km wide and about 2500 km long extends through the Coprates-Eos region. The canyons have gullied walls indicative of extensive headward erosion since their initial formation. Regionally depressed areas called chaotic terrain consist of intricately broken and jumbled blocks and appear to result from breaking up and slumping of older geologic units. Compressional features have not been identified in any of the pictures analyzed to data. Plumose light and dark surface markings can be explained by eolian transport. Mariner 9 has thus revealed that Mars is a complex planet with its own distinctive geologic history and that it is less primitive than the Moon.  相似文献   

Estimation of Small Changes in a Function     

Harold Sir  Jeffreys 《Geophysical Journal International》1966,12(1):111-111

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The use of artificial satellites for geodesy     

Harold D. Black 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1973,8(1):149-149

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Inelastic Processes in the Shell     

Sir  Harold Jeffreys 《Geophysical Journal International》1967,14(1-4):1-4

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