A Simple Temporal and Spatial Analysis of Flow in Complex Terrain in the Context of Wind Energy Modelling   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Keith W. Ayotte  Robert J. Davy  Peter A. Coppin 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2001,98(2):275-295

A simple temporal and spatial analysisis done on wind speed and direction data from a number ofmeteorological towers separated by distances between roughly 1 and 100 kilometres. The analysis is done in the context of expected model error in wind energy calculations. The study first uses single point statistics to show the evolution of mean values with time. It is shown that strong seasonal signals are present and that stable means are achieved only after averaging periods of a year or more. The study then uses discrete Fourier transforms to show that significant amounts of spectral energy reside in modes with periods of a few days to less than a day. Frequency dependent cross correlation values are then derived and used to show how correlation between towers diminishes with increasing frequency. The mechanism responsible for this diminished correlation is shown through the comparison of cross-correlation phase as a function of frequency and its relationship to distance between towers. Error in wind energy estimates are shown to be strongly related to correlation and therefore distance over which the prediction is made. In summary, much of the inaccuracy in modelling flow in the context of wind energy calculations is due to a lack of scale separation between the deterministic part of the flow, which is well modelled, and that part of the flow that is stochastic at the length and time scales modelled.  相似文献   

Broadband synthetic aperture borehole radar interferometry   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

I. Mason  N. Osman  Q. Liu  C. Simmat  M. Li 《Journal of Applied Geophysics》2001,47(3-4)

Trials in mines have established that wideband VHF borehole radars (BHR), working in the 10–100-MHz band, can be used to probe the rockmass between boreholes over ranges from <5 m to as much as 150 m with submeter resolution. There is evidence that ore bodies reflect these radar signals both specularly and diffusely, much as the ground/air interface does when overflown by synthetic aperture radar (SAR). In both SAR and BHR, multiple flight lines, together with diffuse reflections admit the possibility of developing interferometric 3D images of the object. This paper examines the possibility of imaging buried objects in three dimensions by interferometrically combining broadband VHF borehole radar profiles shot in adjacent pairs of boreholes. Broadbanding in BHR has the advantage of releasing the image from 2nπ phase ambiguities, but practically, interferometric borehole radar (InBHR) needs high signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) to avoid noise capture. This means that 3D InBHR is limited to ranges in wavelengths which are less than the rock's attenuation factor Q. Interferometric methods are developed which are capable of mapping ore bodies and other structures in three dimensions. Tangent plane migration methods are developed here in order to reconstruct surfaces that lie in the near-field of sparse interferometric arrays.  相似文献   

Implications of model uncertainty for the mapping of hillslope‐scale soil erosion predictions     

Richard E. Brazier  Keith J. Beven  Steven G. Anthony  John S. Rowan 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2001,26(12):1333-1352

An integrated modelling approach (MIRSED) which utilizes the process‐based soil erosion model WEPP (Water Erosion Prediction Project) is presented for the assessment of hillslope‐scale soil erosion at five sites throughout England and Wales. The methodology draws upon previous uncertainty analysis of the WEPP hillslope soil erosion model by the authors to qualify model results within an uncertainty framework. A method for incorporating model uncertainty from a range of sources is discussed as a first step towards using and learning from results produced through the GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) technique. Results are presented and compared to available observed data, which illustrate that levels of uncertainty are significant and must be taken into account if a meaningful understanding of output from models such as WEPP is to be achieved. Furthermore, the collection of quality, observed data is underlined for two reasons: as an essential tool in the development of soil erosion modelling and also to allow further constraint of model uncertainty. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The sources and composition of mercury in Pacific Ocean rain   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

R. P. Mason  W. F. Fitzgerald  G. M. Vandal 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1992,14(1-4):489-500

Here we report measurements of total Hg (Hg_T), reactive Hg (Hg_R), and methylmercury (MMHg) in precipitation from the equatorial Pacific Ocean, collected during a cruise in January and February 1990, and from a mid-continental location in the rural temperate lacustrine northcentral Wisconsin environs. The concentrations of Hg_T (14.4±6.5 pM), Hg_R (8.9±4.5 pM) and MMHg (<50 fM) found in equatorial Pacific rain were less than the average concentrations found in Wisconsin. In general, the results indicate that although particulate Hg is a small fraction of the total atmospheric Hg burden, it is the major contributor to Hg in precipitation. Furthermore, deposition could be an important source of Hg_R to the equatorial Pacific Ocean. In contrast, deposition is not a significant source of MMHg to either the equatorial Pacific Ocean or the remote seepage lakes of Wisconsin. This implies that methylated mercury is formedin situ in these systems.  相似文献   

Historic storms of the North Sea, British Isles and Nortwest Europe : H. Lamb, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1991. xi + 204 pp., hardcover, £55 (US$95), ISBN 0-521-37522-3     

Keith Weston 《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》1992,16(6)

  相似文献   

Geochemistry of waters in the Valley of Ten Thousand Smokes region, Alaska     

T.E.C. Keith  J.M. Thompson  R.A. Hutchinson  L.D. White 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》1992,49(3-4)

Meteoric waters from cold springs and streams outside of the 1912 eruptive deposits filling the Valley of Ten Thousand Smokes (VTTS) and in the upper parts of the two major rivers draining the 1912 deposits have similar chemical trends. Thermal springs issue in the mid-valley area along a 300-m lateral section of ash-flow tuff, and range in temperature from 21 to 29.8°C in early summer and from 15 to 17°C in mid-summer. Concentrations of major and minor chemical constituents in the thermal waters are nearly identical regardless of temperature. Waters in the downvalley parts of the rivers draining the 1912 deposits are mainly mixtures of cold meteoric waters and thermal waters of which the mid-valley thermal spring waters are representative. The weathering reactions of cold waters with the 1912 deposits appear to have stabilized and add only subordinate amounts of chemical constituents to the rivers relative to those contributed by the thermal waters. Isotopic data indicate that the mid-valley thermal spring waters are meteoric, but data is inconclusive regarding the heat source. The thermal waters could be either from a shallow part of a hydrothermal system beneath the 1912 vent region or from an incompletely cooled, welded tuff lens deep in the 1912 ash-flow sheet of the upper River Lethe area.Bicarbonate-sulfate waters resulting from interaction of near-surface waters and the cooling 1953–1968 southwest Trident plug issue from thermal springs south of Katmai Pass and near Mageik Creek, although the Mageik Creek spring waters are from a well-established, more deeply circulating hydrothermal system. Katmai caldera lake waters are a result of acid gases from vigorous drowned fumaroles dissolving in lake waters composed of snowmelt and precipitation.  相似文献   

Nant-y-moch grassland improvement study,A. M. Roberts,J. A. Hudson and G. Roberts,Institute of Hydrology,Report No. 104, 1990. No. of pages: 85. Price: £7.00. ISBN 0-948540-16-8     

Keith Richards 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1992,17(6):635-635

  相似文献   

Procedures in sedimentary petrology: E. Carver (Editor). Wiley,New York,N.Y., 1971, 653 pp., £ 11.75.     

Keith A.W. Crook 《Sedimentary Geology》1972

  相似文献   

Proceedings of the third conference on origins of life-planetary astronomy: edited by Lynn Margulis. Springer-Verlag,New York (1973) 268 pp. $14–80     

Keith A Kvenvolden 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1973,37(12):2707-2708

  相似文献   

Reply to Discussion of “Perceptual models of uncertainty for socio-hydrological systems: a flood risk change example”*     

Ida K. Westerberg  Giuliano Di Baldassarre  Keith J. Beven  Gemma Coxon  Tobias Krueger 《水文科学杂志》2020,65(Z2):2001-2003

ABSTRACT

Ertsen discusses the representation of reality and uncertainty in our paper, raising three critical points. In response to the first, we agree that discussion of different interpretations of the concept of uncertainty is important when developing perceptual models – making different uncertainty interpretations explicit was a key motivation behind our method. Secondly, we do not, as Ertsen suggests, deny anyone who is not a “certified” scientist to have relevant knowledge. The elicitation of diverse views by discussing perceptual models is a basis for open discussion and decision making. Thirdly, Ertsen suggests that it is not useful to treat socio-hydrological systems as if they exist. We argue that we act as “pragmatic realists” in most practical applications by treating socio-hydrological systems as an external reality that can be known. But the uncertainty that arises from our knowledge limitations needs to be recognized, as it may impact on practical decision making and associated costs.  相似文献