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41.
Multivariate analysis of landscape wildfire dynamics in a Mediterranean ecosystem of Greece 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
Kostas D Kalabokidis Nikos Koutsias Pavlos Konstantinidis† Christos Vasilakos‡ 《Area》2007,39(3):392-402
This paper focuses on spatial distribution of long-term fire patterns versus physical and anthropogenic elements of the environment that determine wildfire dynamics in Greece. Logistic regression and correspondence analysis were applied in a spatial database that had been developed and managed within a Geographic Information System. Cartographic fire data were statistically correlated with basic physical and human geography factors (geomorphology, climate, land use and human activities) to estimate the degree of their influence at landscape scale. Land cover types of natural and agricultural vegetation were the most influential factors for explaining landscape wildfire dynamics in conjunction with topography and grazing. 相似文献
42.
In a previous paper (Makropoulos andBurton, 1983) the seismic risk of the circum-Pacific belt was examined using a whole process technique reduced to three representative parameters related to the physical release of strain energy, these are:M
1, the annual modal magnitude determined using the Gutenberg-Richter relationship;M
2, the magnitude equivalent to the total strain energy release rate per annum, andM
3, the upper bound magnitude equivalent to the maximum strain energy release in a region.The risk analysis is extended here using the part process statistical model of Gumbel's IIIrd asymptotic distribution of extreme values. The circum-Pacific is chosen being a complete earthquake data set, and the stability postulate on which asymptotic distributions of extremes are deduced to give similar results to those obtained from whole process or exact distributions of extremes is successfully checked. Additionally, when Gumbel III asymptotic distribution curve fitting is compared with Gumbel I using reduced chi-squared it is seen to be preferable in all cases and it also allows extensions to an upper-bounded range of magnitude occurrences. Examining the regional seismicity generates several seismic risk results, for example, the annual mode for all regions is greater thanm(1)=7.0, with the maximum being in the Japan, Kurile, Kamchatka region atm(1)=7.6. Overall, the most hazardous areas are situated in this northwestern region and also diagonally opposite in the southeastern circum-Pacific. Relationships are established between the Gumbel III parameters and quantitiesm
1(1),X
2 and , quantities notionally similar toM
1,M
2 andM
3 although is shown to be systematically larger thanM; thereby giving a physical link through strain energy release to seismic risk statistics. Inall regions of the circum-Pacific similar results are obtained forM
1,M
2 andM
3 and the notionally corresponding statistical quantitiesm
1(1),X
2 and , demonstrating that the relationships obtained are valid over a wide range of seismotectonic enviroments. 相似文献
43.
In a previous paper (Makropoulos and Burton, 1985) the seismic hazard in Greece was examined in terms of magnitude recurrence using Gumbel's third asymptotic distribution of extreme values and concepts of the physical process of strain energy release. The present study extends the seismic hazard methods beyond magnitude to the estimation of expectations of levels of peak ground acceleration exceedance thus allowing for a direct comparison between these two methodologies as well as establishing information relevant to design and planning criteria.The limited number of strong motion records do not permit regional study of attenuation of ground vibration in Greece. An average formula is derived from eight well known formulae which resulted from worldwide studies, this is: a = 2164 e0.70m (r+20)−1.80 cm s−2 where a is peak ground acceleration, m is earthquake magnitude and r is hypocentral distance in kilometres. This formula agrees with the observed values of peak ground acceleration values recorded in Greece.Acceleration seismic hazard is calculated at each of six chosen cities. Values of maximum acceleration with probability 70% of not been exceeded in the next 25, 50, 100, and 200 years are obtained along with corresponding values of velocity and displacement. The same detailed acceleration evaluation is then applied to the whole area of Greece by dividing it into cells of 0.5° lat × 0.5° long, and the results are illustrated through isoacceleration maps.Differences in magnitude and acceleration hazard maps reflect the fact that in acceleration hazard assessment the focal distance from a particular place in an important factor. The cities of Heraklion and Rodhos have the lowest acceleration hazard although the expected earthquakes may have large magnitude. Intermediate depth earthquakes characterise these two cities. Acceleration estimates, unlike magnitude hazard parameters, refer to a particular place and not to an area around it. Hence, even if two places have similar earthquake depth distributions, the hazards may differ significantly because of the different spatial distribution of the foci. This is observed in the case of Athens and Corinth. These cities have almost the same magnitude hazard, but the acceleration hazard is much lower for Athens where the hazard is mainly due to more distant earthquakes.The isoacceleration maps for Greece as a whole also define areas of high seismic hazard. These are the areas around Cephalonia and Leukas Islands in the Ionian Sea and the eastern Sporadhes, Lesbos Islands and Chalkidiki in the Northern Aegean Sea. At the 70% probability level the maximum acceleration is expected to be around 0.2g within the next 50 years. The areas where the maximum acceleration at the 70% probability level is expected to reach a value of 0.3g in the next 200 years are around Cephalonia and Leukas Islands and near the Dardanelles. 相似文献
44.
Onur Tan Eleftheria E. Papadimitriou Zumer Pabucçu Vassilis Karakostas Ahmet Yörük Kostas Leptokaropoulos 《Acta Geophysica》2014,62(6):1283-1309
A detailed investigation of microseismicity and fault plane solutions are used to determine the current tectonic activity of the prominent zone of seismicity near Samos Island and Kusadasi Bay. The activation of fault populations in this complex strike-slip and normal faulting system was investigated by using several thousand accurate earthquake locations obtained by applying a double-difference location method and waveform cross-correlation, appropriate for areas with relatively small seismogenic structures. The fault plane solutions, determined by both moment tensor waveform inversions and P-wave first motion polarities, reveal a clear NS trending extension direction, for strike slip, oblique normal and normal faults. The geometry of each segment is quite simple and indicates planar dislocations gently dipping with an average dip of 40–45°, maintaining a constant dip through the entire seismogenic layer, down to 15 km depth. 相似文献
45.
Horst R. Beyer Kostas D. Kokkotas 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1999,308(3):745-750
We present a mathematically rigorous proof that the r-mode spectrum of relativistic stars to the rotational lowest order has a continuous part. A rigorous definition of this spectrum is given in terms of the spectrum of a continuous linear operator. This study verifies earlier results by Kojima concerning the nature of the r-mode spectrum. 相似文献
46.
The paper discusses the seabed shear stresses under random waves, and compares model predictions with results from field measurements near the seabed in the Strait of Juan de Fuca, Washington State, and at EDDA, North Sea. The model predictions as well as the interpretation of data are based on three different representative measures of random wave velocities within 12 minute records: root-mean-square, significant and maximum values. From the two locations the best agreement is found for the Strait of Juan de Fuca data regardless of the random velocity measure used. This agreement is attributed to the absence of suspended sediment at this location. 相似文献
47.
Kostas Glampedakis Lars Samuelsson Nils Andersson 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2007,308(1-4):607-611
The presence of a magnetic field in a neutron star interior results in a dynamical coupling between the fluid core and the
elastic crust. We consider a simple toy-model where this coupling is taken into account and compute the system’s mode oscillations.
Our results suggest that the notion of pure torsional crust modes is not useful for the coupled system, instead all modes
excite Alfvén waves in the core. However, we also show that among a rich spectrum of global MHD modes the ones most likely
to be excited by a fractured crust are those for which the crust and the core oscillate in concert. For our simple model,
the frequencies of these modes are similar to the “pure crustal” frequencies. We advocate the significant implications of
these results for the attempted theoretical interpretation of QPOs during magnetar flares in terms of neutron star oscillations.
相似文献
48.
Nils Andersson & Kostas D. Kokkotas 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,299(4):1059-1068
We present new results for pulsating neutron stars. We have calculated the eigenfrequencies of the modes that one would expect to be the most important gravitational wave sources: the fundamental fluid f mode, the first pressure p mode and the first gravitational wave w mode, for twelve realistic equations of state. From these numerical data we have inferred a set of 'empirical relations' between the mode frequencies and the parameters of the star (the radius R and the mass M ). Some of these relations prove to be surprisingly robust, and we show how they can be used to extract the details of the star from observed modes. The results indicate that, should the various pulsation modes be detected by the new generation of gravitational wave detectors that come online in a few years, the mass and the radius of neutron stars can be deduced with errors no larger than a few per cent. 相似文献