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281.
Climate extremes in South Western Siberia: past and future 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
Degefie T. Degefie Elisa Fleischer Otto Klemm Andrey V. Soromotin Olga V. Soromotina Andrey V. Tolstikov Nikolay V. Abramov 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2014,28(8):2161-2173
In this study, the temporal and spatial trends of ten climate extreme indices were computed based on observed daily precipitation and on daily maximum and minimum temperatures at 26 weather stations in South Western Siberia during the period 1969–2011 and, based on projected daily maximum and minimum temperatures, during 2021–2050. The Mann–Kendall test was employed to analyze the temporal trend and a combination of multiple linear regressions and semivariogram functions were used to evaluate the regional spatial trends and the local spatial variability of climate extremes, respectively. The results show that the temperature-based climate extremes increase at a 0.05 significance level while none of the precipitation-based climate extremes did. Spatially, dominant gradients are observed along latitude: The northern taiga vegetation zone experiences a colder and wetter climate while the southern forest steppe zone is drier and hotter. Over time, a tendency towards homogenization of the regional climate is observed through a decrease of the spatial variability for most climate extreme indices. In the future, the most intense changes are anticipated for the bio-climate indicators “growing season length” and “growing degree days” in the north, while the warming indicators, “warm day” and “warm night” are expected to be high to the south. 相似文献
282.
283.
Perov Veniamin Chernomorets Sergey Budarina Olga Savernyuk Elena Leontyeva Tatiana 《Natural Hazards》2017,88(1):199-235
The total area of debris flow territories of the Russian Federation accounts for about 10% of the area of the country. The highest debris flow activity areas located in Kamchatka-Kuril, North Caucasus and Baikal debris flow provinces. The largest debris flow events connected with volcano eruptions. Maximum volume of debris flow deposits per one event reached 500 × 106 m3 (lahar formed during the eruption of Bezymyanny volcano in Kamchatka in 1956). In the mountains of the Greater Caucasus, the maximum volume of transported debris material reached 3 × 106 m3; the largest debris flows here had glacial reasons. In the Baikal debris flow province, the highest debris flow activity located in the ridges of the Baikal rift zone (the East Sayan Mountains, the Khamar-Daban Ridge and the ridges of the Stanovoye Highland). Spatial features of debris flow processes within the territory of Russia are analyzed, and the map of Debris Flow Hazard in Russia is presented. We classified the debris flow hazard areas into 2 zones, 6 regions and 15 provinces. Warm and cold zones are distinguished. The warm zone covers mountainous areas within the southern part of Russia with temperate climate; rain-induced debris flows are predominant there. The cold zone includes mountainous areas with subarctic and arctic climate; they are characterized by a short warm period, the occurrence of permafrost, as well as the predominance of slush flows. Debris flow events are described for each province. We collected a list of remarkable debris flow events with some parameters of their magnitude and impact. Due to climate change, the characteristics of debris flows will change in the future. Availability of maps and information from previous events will allow to analyze the new cases of debris flows. 相似文献
284.
Popova Elena A. Lushnikov Sergey G. Yakovenchuk Victor N. Krivovichev Sergey V. 《Mineralogy and Petrology》2017,111(6):827-832
Mineralogy and Petrology - The crystal structure of a new structural variety of loparite (Na0.56Ce0.21La0.14Ca0.06Sr0.03Nd0.02Pr0.01)Σ=1.03(Ti0.83Nb0.15)Σ=0.98O3 from the Khibiny alkaline... 相似文献
285.
The interrelation between sudden increases in the solar wind dynamic pressure, auroral proton flashes on the dayside equatorward
of the oval, and geomagnetic pulsations in the Pc1 range is considered on the basis of simultaneous observations of the solar
wind plasma parameters, proton auroras on the IMAGE satellite, and geomagnetic pulsations at the Lovozero Observatory. It
is indicated that proton luminosity flashes were observed in 70% of cases equatorward of the auroral oval during sudden changes
in the solar wind pressure. In this case, flashes of proton auroras were observed in 85% of cases during sudden changes in
the pressure, which were related to interplanetary shocks. Increases in pressure during tangential discontinuities were accompanied
by flashes of proton auroras only in 45% of cases. When the ground station was conjugate to the region occupied by a proton
aurora flash, the appearance or intensification of existent pulsations in the Pc1 range was observed in 96% of cases. When
the ground station was not conjugate to the region of a proton luminosity flash, the response in geomagnetic pulsations was
observed in 32% of events. When a sudden change in the solar wind pressure was not accompanied by a proton luminosity flash,
the response in pulsations in the Pc1 range was hardly observed. 相似文献
286.
The Institute of Biology investigations of morphological diversity of bacteriae with the aid of electronic microscopy are used for the purposes of ecological monitoring. The results obtained allow to recommend this method to be widely applied.It has been demonstrated that for oligotrophic lake Baikal microflora consists mainly from ultra-microscopic cocci. Where the river Selenga inflows into Baikal morphological diversity of bacteriae is much wider. Bacterioplankton of Irkutsk reservoir by morphological characteristics is very similar to one of lake Baikal In meso-eutrophic Bratsh reservoir bacteriuplankton is more morphologically diversified. There are flexibacteriae, vibrios. Caulobacter sp. cells occurring in its water body.In the places of waste waters'' income to river. Angara morphological diversity of bacteriae is high and various forms with projections etc. can be observed. 相似文献
287.
288.
A streamflow drought climatology was developed over the Central Andes of Argentina, a semi-arid region highly vulnerable to climatic variations, based on the analysis of daily historical streamflow records. A threshold level approach was applied on a daily basis for three different severity levels in order to depict the main characteristics of droughts – number of drought events, mean duration and mean severity – over the period 1957–2014. Based on three annual indices that summarize the frequency of drought events, their duration and severity, we identified the main regional dry periods and the main modes of variability through an empirical decomposition. These modes are linked to La Niña conditions on inter-annual time scales and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation for the decadal variations, showing the influence of the tropical Pacific Ocean in the development of streamflow drought conditions and its relevance for potential predictability of hydroclimatic variations over the region. 相似文献
289.
Yeugeniy M. Gusev Vladimir A. Semenov Olga N. Nasonova Evgeny E. Kovalev 《水文科学杂志》2017,62(8):1181-1199
Assessments of hydrological response to climatic changes are characterized by different types of uncertainties. Here, the uncertainty caused by weather noise associated with the chaotic character of atmospheric processes is considered. A technique for estimating such uncertainty in simulated water balance components based on application of the land surface model SWAP and the climate model ECHAM5 is described. The technique is applied for estimating the uncertainties in the simulated water balance components (precipitation, river runoff and evapotranspiration) of some northern river basins of Russia. It is shown that the larger the area of a basin the less the uncertainty. This dependency is smoothed by differences in natural conditions of the basins. Analysis of the spectral densities of water balance components shows that a river basin filters out high-frequency harmonics of spectral density of precipitation (corresponding to synoptic or sub-seasonal scale) during its transformation into evapotranspiration and especially into runoff.
EDITOR D. KoutsoyiannisASSOCIATE EDITOR H. Kreibich 相似文献
290.
Laura Tuomi Olga Vähä-Piikkiö Pekka Alenius Jan-Victor Björkqvist Kimmo K. Kahma 《Ocean Dynamics》2018,68(1):17-33
The Stokes drift is an important component in the surface drift. We used the wave model WAM to evaluate the mean values and exceedance probabilities of the surface Stokes drift in the Baltic Sea. As there is no direct way to verify the accuracy of the modelled Stokes drift, we compared the bulk parameters calculated by the wave model against buoy measurements to ensure the quality of the wave hindcast. Furthermore, we evaluated the surface Stokes drift from measured wave spectra to assess the accuracy of the modelled surface Stokes drift. The importance of the Stokes drift as a component of the total surface drift was evaluated by calculating the hindcast mean values and percentiles of the surface Stokes drift. The mean values were between 0.08 and 0.10 ms?1 in the open sea areas, thus being of the same order of magnitude as the mean wind shear currents. The highest values of the surface Stokes drift were slightly larger than 0.6 ms?1. The comparison of modelled Stokes drift values to estimates obtained from measured spectra suggests that the mean values are well represented by the model. However, the higher modelled values are most likely slightly too large because the wave energy was overestimated during high wind situations in some of the sub-basins, such as the Gulf of Finland. A comparison to a drifter experiment showed that use of the Stokes drift improves the estimate of both the drift speed and the direction in the Gulf of Finland. Parameterised methods to evaluate the Stokes drift that are used, e.g. in currently available Baltic Sea drift models, overestimate the smaller values (under 0.3 ms?1) and underestimate the larger values of the Stokes drift compared to the values calculated by the wave model. The modelled surface Stokes drift direction mostly followed the forcing wind direction. This was the case even in the Gulf of Finland, where the direction of the wind and the waves can differ considerably. 相似文献