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51.
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Mikołaj Piniewski Abdelkader Mezghani Tomasz Okruszko Iwona Pińskwar Ignacy Kardel Øystein Hov Mateusz Szcześniak Małgorzata Szwed Rasmus E. Benestad Paweł Marcinkowski Dariusz Graczyk Andreas Dobler Eirik J. Førland Joanna O’Keefe Adam Choryński Kajsa M. Parding Jan Erik Haugen 《Acta Geophysica》2018,66(6):1509-1523
The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish–Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971–2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well. 相似文献
52.
Ryszard Błażejewski Jakub Nieć Sadżide Murat-Błażejewska Paweł Zawadzki 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(11):1707-1716
ABSTRACTGuidelines for the design of infiltration trenches of rectangular cross-section are compared. Four concepts of infiltration into a native soil from linear soakaways of rectangular cross-section are discussed. The results of calculations using analytical equations are compared with numerical two-dimensional (2D) simulations using HYDRUS computer code and field measurements. Satisfactory agreement is achieved for Kozeny’s concept of infiltration and the free-surface approach, applied to a trench in a highly saturated sandy loam. Theoretical solutions, neglecting matric potential, suggest that the mean infiltration rate along the wetted perimeter of a rectangular trench varies in the range 1.0 to 1.5 of the value of saturated hydraulic conductivity. 相似文献
53.
One-dimensional model for vertical profiles of longitudinal velocities in open-channel flows is verified against laboratory data obtained in an open channel with artificial plants. Those plants simulate Canadian waterweed which in nature usually forms dense stands that reach all the way to the water surface. The model works particularly well for densely spaced plants. 相似文献
54.
The Mylliem granite is one of many igneous bodies within the basement complex of the Meghalaya Plateau, northeast India. Although relatively small in size at c. 90 km2, it is very diverse geomorphologically and shows a range of distinctive landscapes within its limits. Relict flat watershed ridges and topographic basins characterize the northern and eastern part of the pluton, whereas to the southwest the relief becomes higher, with steeper hillslopes and deeply incised valleys. Deep weathering and thick saprolites are abundant, as are residual landforms resulting from stripping of the saprolite: domes, tors and boulders. The major reason behind the diversity of granite landscape of the Mylliem pluton is the progress of headward erosion, initiated at the Dauki fault in the south of the Meghalaya. Headward erosion enhances local relief and hence, weathering systems. Multi‐concave morphology is gradually transformed into multi‐convex one, which is hypothesized to be the specific mode of plateau evolution and scarp retreat in granite bedrock. 相似文献
55.
56.
It is often assumed in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis that the magnitude distribution has an upper limit M
max, which indicates a limitation on event size in specific seismogeneic conditions. Accurate estimation of M
max from an earthquake catalog is a matter of utmost importance. We compare bias, dispersion and computational properties of
four popular M
max estimators, introduced by Kijko and others (e.g., Kijko and Sellevoll 1989, Kijko and Graham 1998, Kijko 2004) and we recommend the ones which can be the most fruitful in
practical applications. We provide nomograms for evaluation of bias and standard deviation of the recommended estimators for
combinations of sample sizes and distribution parameters. We suggest to use the bias nomograms to correct the M
max estimates. The nomograms of standard deviation can be used to determine minimum sample size for a required accuracy of M
max. 相似文献
57.
Paweł Kotas Robert Twardosz Zenon Nieckarz 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2013,114(3-4):615-623
The paper discusses the frequency, persistence and succession sequence of six types of air mass during the period 1951–2010. The study, which relied on a calendar of air masses in southern Poland published by T. Nied?wied?, concludes that there is no simple relationship between the persistence and the frequency of specific air masses in the region. The study found that there was a great variety in the persistence of specific types of air mass and that persistence depended more on the direction of air mass advection than on their frequency of occurrence. The study also failed to identify any strict overall rule of succession, as any air mass could follow after any other, but certain finer-grained patterns emerged. In winter and summer, arctic air (A) never followed directly after tropical air (T) or vice versa. Also, the most frequent succession sequence identified was from Polar maritime fresh air (mPf) to Polar maritime old and it accounted for the vast majority of successions from mPf into any other air mass (63 % annually and 76 % in summer). 相似文献
58.
Pawe? Wajer 《Icarus》2009,200(1):147-153
We study the dynamical evolution of Asteroid 2002 AA29. This object moves in the co-orbital region of the Earth and is the first known asteroid which experiences recurrent horseshoe-quasi-satellite transitions. The transitions between the HS and QS states are unique among other known Earth co-orbital asteroids and in the QS state 2002 AA29 remains very close to Earth (within 0.2 AU for several decades [Connors, M., Chodas, P., Mikkola, S., Wiegert, P., Veillet, C., Innanen, K., 2002. Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 37, 1435-1441]). Based on results obtained analytically by Brasser et al. [Brasser, R., Heggie, D.C., Mikkola, S., 2004b. Celest. Mech. Dynam. Astron. 88, 123-152] we developed a simple analytical method to describe and analyze the motion of 2002 AA29. We distinguish a few moments in time crucial for understanding its dynamics. Near 2400 and 2500 this object will be close to going through the maxima of the averaged disturbing function and it will either change its co-orbital regime by transition from the HS into QS state, or leave the librating mode. These approaches generate instability in the motion of 2002 AA29. By means of 66 observations, covering a two-year interval, we extend the analysis of the long term evolution of this object presented by Connors et al. [Connors, M., Chodas, P., Mikkola, S., Wiegert, P., Veillet, C., Innanen, K., 2002. Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 37, 1435-1441] and Brasser et al. [Brasser, R., Innanen, K.A., Connors, M., Veillet, C., Wiegert, P., Mikkola, S., Chodas, P.W., 2004a. Icarus 171, 102-109]. Our analysis is based on a sample of 100 cloned orbits. We show that the motion of 2002 AA29 is predictable in the time interval [−2600,7100] and outside of this interval the past and future orbital history can be studied using statistical methods. 相似文献
59.
Wolfgang Dörr Andrzej Żelaźniewicz Paweł Bylina Janina Schastok Wolfgang Franke Udo Haack Cyprian Kulicki 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2006,95(2):341-349
The Odra Fault Zone of southwestern Poland is a NW-trending horst marked by gravimetric and magnetic anomalies and composed of high- to low-grade metamorphic and igneous rocks which are only known from boreholes. This zone embraces a concealed border between Variscan internides and externides. It also contains an array of several I-type, metaluminous to peraluminous, high potassic granitoid bodies which intruded earlier metamorphosed rocks. Except for one case, they remain unfoliated and undeformed, and presumably play a role of stitching plutons at the suture between two obliquely colliding terranes. U–Pb TIMS dating of single zircons from one foliated and one unfoliated granitoid samples yielded identical concordant ages of 344±1 Ma (Tournaisian). They resemble a Pb–Pb age of 350±5 Ma obtained for S-type granitoids from the Luckau area further west in Germany, which is generally regarded as an eastern segment of the Mid-German Crystalline High. Carboniferous granitic intrusions in the high are generally younger (340–290 Ma). Correlations of the the Odra Fault Zone with the Mid-German Crystalline High appear plausible, but by no means certain and require further confirmation. 相似文献
60.
Tadeusz Andrzej Przylibski Krystian Mroczkowski Adam Zebrowski Paweł Filbier 《Environmental Geology》2001,40(4-5):429-439
Radon is a significant component of the groundwaters that discharge in the springs of Szczawno Zdrój and are recognized as
medicinal. However, among the five exploited springs adjoining each other, it is only in Marta Spring that radon occurs in
large concentrations (up to 325.6 Bq/dm3). Therefore, the authors have made an attempt to describe and clarify this fact. They found out from their own research and
archival data that 222Rn dissolves in the waters of Marta Spring after acidulous waters of deep circulation have mixed with poorly mineralized shallow
waters in their outflow zone. The genesis of the gas is determined by the content of its parent nuclide, 226Ra, in the sandstones in the vicinity of the intake. The volume of the rocks providing radon to the waters of this intake
has been estimated at several hundred cubic metres. No seasonal fluctuations in radon concentration have been observed and
222Rn concentration changes do not seem to be influenced by changes in the concentration of other chemical components of the
waters or by the discharge of the intake. The process of dissolving 222Rn in the medicinal groundwaters of Marta Spring is the last, the shortest, and the most local of the processes that form
the chemical composition and the physical properties of these waters.
Received: 7 January 2000 · Accepted: 12 August 2000 相似文献