Impact of imperfect rainfall knowledge on the efficiency and the parameters of watershed models   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Vazken Andrassian  Charles Perrin  Claude Michel  Iolanda Usart-Sanchez  Jacques Lavabre 《Journal of Hydrology》2001,250(1-4):206-223

It is crucial to analyze the sensitivity of watershed (rainfall-runoff) models to imperfect knowledge of rainfall input, in order to judge whether or not they are reliable and robust, especially if they are to be used for operational purposes. In this paper, a new approach to sensitivity analysis is proposed, based on a comparison between the efficiency ratings and parameter values of the models and the quality of rainfall input estimate (GORE and BALANCE indexes, assessing the quality of rainfall time distribution and the total depth respectively). Data from three watersheds of increasing size (71, 1120, and 10700 km²), are used to test three watershed models of varying complexity (three-parameter GR3J model and six-parameter modified versions of TOPMODEL and IHACRES).

These models are able to cope with imperfect rainfall input estimates, and react to improvements in rainfall input accuracy by better performance and reduced variability of efficiency. Two different types of model behavior were identified: the models either benefit from improved rainfall data by producing more consistent parameter values, or they are unable to take advantage of the improvements. Although the watershed size seems to be immaterial, the smaller watersheds appear to need more precise areal rainfall estimates (a higher concentration of raingages) to ensure good modeling results.  相似文献   

Absolute palaeointensity of Oligocene (28–30 Ma) lava flows from the Kerguelen Archipelago (southern Indian Ocean)     

G. Plenier  P. Camps  R. S. Coe  M. Perrin 《Geophysical Journal International》2003,154(3):877-890

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Terminologie des grandeurs et instruments de mesure du rayonnement en météorologie     

R. Dogniaux  Ch. Perrin de Brichambaut 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》1962,12(2):224-240

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Interferometry: The tool to study giant, supergiant and Mira stars     

Guy Perrin 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2003,286(1-2):197-212

Late-type giant stars have been traditional targets for infrared interferometers. They are bright and big and are therefore easy targets to resolve and to detect. Considerable progress has been and is being made on the spatial structure of these objects thanks to existing interferometers. Beyond the classical measurement of their diameters, pulsations have been directly detected, spatial intensity distributions are more and more understood and more important, consistent scenarios for both spectroscopic and interferometric measurements are on the verge to be validated. All this has been possible with prototype instruments having a small number of baselines and very limited spectral capabilities. AMBER and MIDI will surely open a new era with high spectral resolution, high efficiency and imaging capabilities. This is not an exhaustive review of all the work done in the field but rather a presentation of the context. A recent review of Mira star observations with interferometers was recently written (Scholz, 2003).A brief science case is first introduced in this paper. Achievements with high angular resolution single-telescope techniques are presented. The contributions of optical and infrared interferometers are then explained. Eventually, some hints about the possible progress with VLTI are discussed. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

PEGASE, an infrared interferometer to study stellar environments and low mass companions around nearby stars     

M. Ollivier  O. Absil  F. Allard  J.-P. Berger  P. Bordé  F. Cassaing  B. Chazelas  A. Chelli  O. Chesneau  V. Coudé du Foresto  D. Defrère  P. Duchon  P. Gabor  J. Gay  E. Herwats  S. Jacquinod  P. Kern  P. Kervella  J.-M. Le Duigou  A. Léger  B. Lopez  F. Malbet  D. Mourard  D. Pelat  G. Perrin  Y. Rabbia  D. Rouan  J.-M. Reiss  G. Rousset  F. Selsis  P. Stee  J. Surdej 《Experimental Astronomy》2009,23(1):403-434

PEGASE is a mission dedicated to the exploration of the environment (including habitable zone) of young and solar-type stars (particularly those in the DARWIN catalogue) and the observation of low mass companions around nearby stars. It is a space interferometer project composed of three free flying spacecraft, respectively featuring two 40 cm siderostats and a beam combiner working in the visible and near infrared. It has been proposed to ESA as an answer to the first “Cosmic Vision” call for proposals, as an M mission. The concept also enables full-scale demonstration of space nulling interferometry operation for DARWIN.

M. OllivierEmail:

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Classifying airborne radiometry data with Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering: A tool for geological mapping in context of rainforest (French Guiana)     

G. Martelet  C. TruffertB. Tourlière  P. LedruJ. Perrin 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2006

In highly weathered environments, it is crucial that geological maps provide information concerning both the regolith and the bedrock, for societal needs, such as land-use, mineral or water resources management. Often, geologists are facing the challenge of upgrading existing maps, as relevant information concerning weathering processes and pedogenesis is currently missing. In rugged areas in particular, where access to the field is difficult, ground observations are sparsely available, and need therefore to be complemented using methods based on remotely sensed data.  相似文献   

Arsenic in groundwater of the Bengal Basin, Bangladesh: Distribution, field relations, and hydrogeological setting     

Peter Ravenscroft  William G. Burgess  Kazi Matin Ahmed  Melanie Burren  Jerome Perrin 《Hydrogeology Journal》2005,13(5-6):727-751

Arsenic contaminates groundwater across much of southern, central and eastern Bangladesh. Groundwater from the Holocene alluvium of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna Rivers locally exceeds 200 times the World Health Organisation (WHO) guideline value for drinking water of 10 µg/l of arsenic. Approximately 25% of wells in Bangladesh exceed the national standard of 50 µg/l, affecting at least 25 million people. Arsenic has entered the groundwater by reductive dissolution of ferric oxyhydroxides, to which arsenic was adsorbed during fluvial transport. Depth profiles of arsenic in pumped groundwater, porewater, and aquifer sediments show consistent trends. Elevated concentrations are associated with fine-sands and organic-rich sediments. Concentrations are low near the water table, rise to a maximum typically 20–40 m below ground, and fall to very low levels between about 100 and 200 m. Arsenic occurs mainly in groundwater of the valley-fill sequence deposited during the Holocene marine transgression. Groundwater from Pleistocene and older aquifers is largely free of arsenic. Arsenic concentrations in many shallow hand-tube wells are likely to increase over a period of years, and regular monitoring will be essential. Aquifers at more than 200 m below the floodplains offer good prospects for long-term arsenic-free water supplies, but may be limited by the threats of saline intrusion and downward leakage of arsenic.

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Resumen El arsénico ha contaminado gran parte de las aguas subterráneas en el Sur, centro y Este de Bangla Desh. Su concentración en las aguas subterráneas del aluvial Holoceno de los ríos Ganges, Brahmaputra y Meghna supera localmente en un factor 200 el valor guía del arsénico en el agua potable, establecido por la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) en 10 µg/L. Aproximadamente, el 25% de los pozos de Bangla Desh superan el estándar nacional de 50 µg/L, afectando al menos a 25 millones de personas. El arsénico ha llegado a las aguas subterráneas por la disolución reductora de hidróxidos férricos a los que se adsorbe durante el transporte fluvial. Los perfiles del arsénico en las aguas subterráneas bombeadas, agua de poro y sedimentos del acuífero muestran tendencias coherentes. Las concentraciones elevadas están asociadas a arenas finas y sedimentos ricos en materia orgánica. Las concentraciones de arsénico son bajas cerca del nivel freático, se incrementan hasta un máximo que se localiza generalmente a entre 20 y 40 m bajo la cota del terreno, y disminuyen a valores muy pequeños entre alrededor de 100 y 200 m. El arsénico se encuentra sobretodo en las aguas subterráneas existentes en la secuencia de sedimentación que tuvo lugar en el valle durante la transgresión marina del Holoceno. Las aguas subterráneas del Pleistoceno y acuíferos más antiguos están mayoritariamente libres de arsénico. Es probable que las concentraciones de arsénico aumenten en los próximos años en muchos pozos de tipo tubo perforados manualmente, por lo que será esencial efectuar un muestreo regular. Los acuíferos ubicados a más de 200 m bajo las llanuras de inundación ofrecen buenas perspectivas de abastecimiento a largo plazo sin problemas de arsénico, pero pueden estar limitados por las amenazas de la intrusión salina y de la precolación de arsénico desde niveles superiores.

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Résumé Larsenic contamine les eaux souterraines dans la plus grande partie du sud, du centre et de lest du Bangladesh. Les eaux des nappes alluviales holocènes du Gange, du Brahmapoutre et de la Meghna dépassent localement 200 fois la valeur guide donnée par lOMS pour leau de boisson, fixée à 10 µg/l darsenic. Environ 25% des puits du Bangladesh dépassent la valeur standard nationale de 50 µg/l, affectant au moins 25 millions de personnes. Larsenic a été introduit dans les nappes par la dissolution par réduction doxy-hydroxydes ferriques sur lesquels larsenic était adsorbé au cours du transport fluvial. Des profils verticaux darsenic dans leau souterraine pompée, dans leau porale et dans les sédiments des aquifères montrent des tendances convergentes. Les concentrations élevées sont associées à des sédiments à sable fin et riches en matières organiques. Les concentrations sont faibles au voisinage de la surface de la nappe, atteignent un maximum typiquement entre 20 et 40 m sous le sol, puis tombent à des niveaux très bas entre 100 et 200 m. Larsenic est surtout présent dans les eaux souterraines de la séquence de remplissage de vallée déposée au cours de la transgression marine holocène. Les eaux souterraines des aquifères pléistocènes et plus anciens sont très largement dépourvus darsenic. Les concentrations en arsenic dans de nombreux puits creusés à la main doivent probablement augmenter au cours des prochaines années ; aussi un suivi régulier est essentiel. Les aquifères à plus de 200 m sous les plaines alluviales offrent de bonnes perspectives pour des alimentations en eau sans arsenic à long terme, mais ils peuvent être limités par les risques dintrusion saline et la drainance descendante de larsenic.

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NRM intensity of altered oceanic basalts across the MAR (21°N, 0–1.5 Ma): a record of geomagnetic palaeointensity variations?     

Morgane Ravilly  Hélène Horen  Mireille Perrin  Jérôme Dyment  Pascal Gente  Hervé Guillou 《Geophysical Journal International》2001,145(2):401-422

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