Benchmark-based allocations in EU ETS Phase 3: an early assessment     

Oliver Sartor  Clement Pallière  Stephen Lecourt 《Climate Policy》2013,13(4):507-524

Phase 3 of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS; 2013–2020) sees the introduction of new rules governing the free allocations of emissions allowances given to energy-intensive industries. In contrast to Phases 1 and 2, allocations will be based on historical production multiplied by best available emissions technology benchmarks. This article exploits an original database to provide a first analysis of the distributional and economic efficiency implications of the new rules. It is shown empirically that the new allocation rules reduce the scope for windfall gains by EU ETS firms while also effectively mitigating carbon leakage risks, even assuming optimistic forecasts of Phase 3 carbon prices. The example of the cement sector is used to show that benchmarking significantly improves the harmonization of the levels of free allocations to competing firms throughout the EU compared to Phase 2. However, it is also found that the use of ex ante output levels to determine allocations still leaves considerable scope for windfall gains and possible distortions of the internal market.  相似文献   

US public opinion on climate change issues: implications for consensus-building and policymaking     

Carolyn Kousky  Stephen H. Schneider 《Climate Policy》2013,13(4):359-372

While the Conference of the Parties wrangle at an international scale with climate policy, a quiet set of policies and measures is being implemented at a local scale by municipalities across the globe. This study examines the motivation municipalities have for undertaking policies to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions, when the theory of free-ridingwould predict that local administrations should find it difficult to unilaterally reduce their emissions for the benefit of the global climate. Through interviews with officials and/or staff in 23 municipalities in the United States enacting climate policy, data are gathered that suggest local government abatement policies are primarily a top—down decision based on what officials or staff members believe to be “good business” or rational policy choices. They are primarily driven by the potential for realised or perceived cost savings and co-benefits rather than by public pressure. Economic data from some dozen municipal projects are analyzed, finding, while municipalities lack sophisticated accounting techniques, some justification for the often-disputed claim that at least initial reductions in emissions can be made at cost savings. In the United States, with the lack of national abatement policies, it is municipalities that are leading the way in beginning to implement mitigation strategies, even if only for initial reductions.  相似文献   

What causes the spread of model projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing?     

Couldrey  Matthew P.  Gregory  Jonathan M.  Boeira Dias  Fabio  Dobrohotoff  Peter  Domingues  Catia M.  Garuba  Oluwayemi  Griffies  Stephen M.  Haak  Helmuth  Hu  Aixue  Ishii  Masayoshi  Jungclaus  Johann  Köhl  Armin  Marsland  Simon J.  Ojha  Sayantani  Saenko  Oleg A.  Savita  Abhishek  Shao  Andrew  Stammer  Detlef  Suzuki  Tatsuo  Todd  Alexander  Zanna  Laure 《Climate Dynamics》2021,56(1-2):155-187

Sea levels of different atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) respond to climate change forcing in different ways, representing a crucial uncertainty in climate change research. We isolate the role of the ocean dynamics in setting the spatial pattern of dynamic sea-level (ζ) change by forcing several AOGCMs with prescribed identical heat, momentum (wind) and freshwater flux perturbations. This method produces a ζ projection spread comparable in magnitude to the spread that results from greenhouse gas forcing, indicating that the differences in ocean model formulation are the cause, rather than diversity in surface flux change. The heat flux change drives most of the global pattern of ζ change, while the momentum and water flux changes cause locally confined features. North Atlantic heat uptake causes large temperature and salinity driven density changes, altering local ocean transport and ζ. The spread between AOGCMs here is caused largely by differences in their regional transport adjustment, which redistributes heat that was already in the ocean prior to perturbation. The geographic details of the ζ change in the North Atlantic are diverse across models, but the underlying dynamic change is similar. In contrast, the heat absorbed by the Southern Ocean does not strongly alter the vertically coherent circulation. The Arctic ζ change is dissimilar across models, owing to differences in passive heat uptake and circulation change. Only the Arctic is strongly affected by nonlinear interactions between the three air-sea flux changes, and these are model specific.

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Picnic in Siluria,by Paul Olver (producer). A Woolhope Club film,produced by field of vision, 2008. Running time: 26 min.     

Stephen K. Donovan 《Geological Journal》2011,46(6):651-651

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Groundwater-resource governance: Are governments and stakeholders responding to the challenge?     

Stephen Foster  Héctor Garduño 《Hydrogeology Journal》2013,21(2):317-320

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Death, Disease and Deformity; Using Outbreaks in Animals as Sentinels for Emerging Environmental Health Risks     

Craig Stephen  Carl Ribble 《Global Change & Human Health》2001,2(2):108-117

In "Airs, Waters and Places, " Hippocrates taught aspiring physicians that, to understand their patient's illness, they needed to understand their patient's environment. He recognized that people's well-being was linked to their environment. Hippocrates instructed his readers to use observations of the seasons, the water and the orientation of a city to classify the major health problems of the inhabitants. While his causal framework for explaining the pathogenesis of disease may seem rudimentary and misguided in light of today's medical understanding, Hippocrates knew that many health problems arose from our interactions with the environment and he tried to do what we continue to want to do today: to predict the occurrence of disease in order to better care for his patients.  相似文献   

Thermal processing and crystallization of amorphous Mg‐Ca silicates     

Sarah J. Day  Stephen P. Thompson  Aneurin Evans  Julia E. Parker  Leigh D. Connor  Chiu C. Tang 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2013,48(8):1459-1471

The structural evolution of sol–gel‐produced amorphous Mg_(x)Ca_(1–x)SiO₃ silicates is investigated. Mid‐IR Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy and synchrotron X‐ray diffraction are used to confirm the amorphous nature of the as‐prepared silicates, while subsequent in situ synchrotron X‐ray powder diffraction measurements are used to study the evolution of crystalline mineral phases as a function of annealing temperature. Multiple silicate phases, including diopside, enstatite, forsterite, and SiO₂, are identified, while Rietveld (i.e., structure) refinement of the diffraction data is used to quantify phase change relationships. Investigated as possible analogs for the refractory dust grain materials likely to have been present in the early solar nebula, the likely relevance of these investigations to the observed silicate compositions of chondritic meteorites and cometary bodies and the processing of their precursor materials is discussed.  相似文献   

Measurement requirements for a Near-Earth Asteroid impact mitigation demonstration mission   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Stephen D. Wolters  Andrew J. Ball  Nigel Wells  Christopher Saunders  Neil McBride 《Planetary and Space Science》2011,59(13):1506-1515

A concept for an Impact Mitigation Preparation Mission, called Don Quijote, is to send two spacecrafts to a Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA): an Orbiter and an Impactor. The Impactor collides with the asteroid while the Orbiter measures the resulting change in the asteroid's orbit, by means of a Radio Science Experiment (RSE) carried out before and after the impact. Three parallel Phase A studies on Don Quijote were carried out for the European Space Agency: the research presented here reflects the outcomes of the study by QinetiQ. We discuss the mission objectives with regard to the prioritisation of payload instruments, with emphasis on the interpretation of the impact. The Radio Science Experiment is described and it is examined how solar radiation pressure may increase the uncertainty in measuring the orbit of the target asteroid. It is determined that to measure the change in orbit accurately a thermal IR spectrometer is mandatory, to measure the Yarkovsky effect. The advantages of having a laser altimeter are discussed. The advantages of a dedicated wide-angle impact camera are discussed and the field-of-view is initially sized through a simple model of the impact.  相似文献   

Solitons and other solutions to the quantum Zakharov-Kuznetsov equation     

Ghodrat Ebadi  Aida Mojaver  Daniela Milovic  Stephen Johnson  Anjan Biswas 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2012,341(2):507-513

In this paper, we present G′/G-expansion method, exp-function method, modified F-expansion method as well as the traveling wave hypothesis for finding the exact traveling wave solutions of the quantum Zakharov-Kuznetsov equation which arises in quantum magneto-plasmas. By these methods, rich families of exact solutions have been obtained, including soliton solutions. This work continues to reinforce the idea that the proposed methods, with the help of symbolic computation, provide a powerful mathematical tool for solving nonlinear partial differential equations.  相似文献   

PheniX: a new vision for the hard X-ray sky     

Jean-Pierre Roques  Elisabeth Jourdain  Loredana Bassani  Angela Bazzano  Renaud Belmont  A. J. Bird  E. Caroli  M. Chauvin  D. Clark  N. Gehrels  U. Goerlach  F. Harrisson  P. Laurent  J. Malzac  P. Medina  A. Merloni  S. Paltani  J. Stephen  P. Ubertini  J. Wilms 《Experimental Astronomy》2012,34(2):489-517

We are proposing a mission devoted to high energy X-ray astronomy that is based on a focusing telescope operating in the 1?C200?keV energy range but optimized for the hard X-ray range. The main scientific topics concern: Physics of compact objects: The proximity of compact objects provides a unique laboratory to study matter and radiation in extreme conditions of temperature and density in strong gravitational environment. The emission of high energy photons from these objects is far from being understood. The unprecedented sensitivity in the high energy domain will allow a precise determination of the non-thermal processes at work in the vicinity of compact objects. The full 1?C200?keV energy coverage will be ideal to disentangle the emission processes produced in the spacetime regions most affected by strong-gravity, as well as the physical links: disk?Cthermal emission?Ciron line?Ccomptonisation?Creflection?Cnon-thermal emission?Cjets. Neutron stars?Cmagnetic field?Ccyclotron lines: Time resolved spectroscopy (and polarimetry) at ultra-high sensitivity of AXP, milliseconds pulsars and magnetars will give new tools to study the role of the synchrotron processes at work in these objects. Cyclotron lines?Cdirect measurement of magnetic filed?Cequation of state constraints?Cshort bursts?Cgiant flares could all be studied with great details. AGN: The large sensitivity improvement will provide detailed spectral properties of the high energy emission of AGN??s. This will give a fresh look to the connection between accretion and jet emission and will provide a new understanding of the physical processes at work. Detection of high-redshift active nuclei in this energy range will allow to introduce an evolutionary aspect to high-energy studies of AGN, probing directly the origin of the Cosmic X-ray Background also in the non-thermal range (> 20?keV). Element formation?CSupernovae: The energy resolution achievable for this mission (<0.5?keV) and a large high energy effective area are ideally suited for the 44Ti line study (68 and 78?keV). This radioactive nuclei emission will give an estimate of their quantities and speed in their environment. In addition the study of the spatial structure and spectral emission of SNR will advance our knowledge of the dynamics of supernovae explosions, of particles acceleration mechanisms and how the elements are released in the interstellar medium. Instrumental design: The progress of X-ray focusing optics techniques allows a major step in the instrumental design: the collecting area becomes independent of the detection area. This drastically reduces the instrumental background and will open a new era. The optics will be based on depth-graded multi-layer mirrors in a Wolter I configuration. To obtain a significant effective area in the hundred of keV range a focal length in the 40?C50 meters range (attainable with a deployable mast) is needed. In addition such a mission could benefit from recent progress made on mirror coating. We propose to cover the 1?C200?keV energy range with a single detector, a double-sided Germanium strip detector operating at 80?K. The main features will be: (a) good energy resolution (.150?keV at 5?keV and <.5?keV at 100?keV), (b) 3 dimensional event localization with a low number of electronic chains, (c) background rejection by the 3D localization, (d) polarisation capabilities in the Compton regime.  相似文献