Bridging the climate information gap: a framework for engaging knowledge brokers and decision makers in state climate assessments     

Gillian L. Galford  Julie Nash  Alan K. Betts  Sam Carlson  Sarah Ford  Ann Hoogenboom  Deborah Markowitz  Andrew Nash  Elizabeth Palchak  Sarah Pears  Kristen L. Underwood 《Climatic change》2016,138(3-4):383-395

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Temperature and human thermal comfort effects of street trees across three contrasting street canyon environments     

Andrew M. Coutts  Emma C. White  Nigel J. Tapper  Jason Beringer  Stephen J. Livesley 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2016,124(1-2):55-68

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Reactivation and strain localisation in Bhavani shear zone,South India     

V. Prasannakumar  Andrew McCaig 《Journal of the Geological Society of India》2016,88(4):421-432

Shear markers and shear sense indicators from the Bhavani shear zone, a member of the shear system separating the northern Archaean and southern Pan African granulite terranes of the South Indian shield, with differently exhumed crustal blocks, suggest multiphase reactivation. This is revealed by textural and geochemical characteristics of mylonites which indicate an event of prograde epidote-amphibolite facies metamorphism of the previously retrograded protolith of shear zone rocks. The amphibole varies progressively from an initial magnesio-hornblende to ferrotschermakitic hornblende with increasing Al and K while the plagioclase maintains oligoclase composition (An21-25). P-T estimates suggest metamorphic conditions of 634°C - 720°C at 3.6±0.5 to 5.8±0.5 kbar. Strain partitioning during the reactivation of the shear zone prior to the Pan African event, is responsible for the gradation in the intensity of mylonitic fabric as well as some of the opposing shear sense indicators.  相似文献   

A skeleton model for the MJO with refined vertical structure     

Sulian Thual  Andrew J. Majda 《Climate Dynamics》2016,46(9-10):2773-2786

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Remote tropical and sub-tropical responses to Amazon deforestation   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Andrew M. Badger  Paul A. Dirmeyer 《Climate Dynamics》2016,46(9-10):3057-3066

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Searching for Added Value in Simulating Climate Extremes with a High-Resolution Regional Climate Model over Western Canada     

Charles L. Curry  Bárbara Tencer  Kirien Whan  Andrew J. Weaver  Michel Giguère  Edward Wiebe 《大气与海洋》2016,54(4):364-384

We evaluate the capacity of a regional climate model to represent observed extreme temperature and precipitation events and also examine the impact of increased resolution, in an effort to identify added value in this respect. Two climate simulations of western Canada (WCan) were conducted with the Canadian Regional Climate Model (version 4) at 15 (CRCM15) and 45?km (CRCM45) horizontal resolution driven at the lateral boundaries by data from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) 40-year Reanalysis (ERA-40) for the period 1973–1995. The simulations were evaluated using the spline-interpolated dataset ANUSPLIN, a daily observational gridded surface temperature and precipitation product with a nominal resolution of approximately 10?km. We examine a range of climate extremes, comprising the 10th and 90th percentiles of daily maximum (TX) and minimum (TN) temperatures, the 90th percentile of daily precipitation (PR90), and the 27 core Climate Daily Extremes (CLIMDEX) indices.

Both simulations exhibit cold biases compared with observations over WCan, with the bias exacerbated at higher resolution, suggesting little added value for temperature overall. There are instances, however, of regional improvement in the spatial pattern of temperature extremes at the higher resolution of CRCM15 (e.g., the CLIMDEX index for the annual number of days when TX?>?25°C). The high-resolution simulations also reveal similarly localized features in precipitation (e.g., rain shadows) that are not resolved at the 45?km resolution. With regard to precipitation extremes, although both simulations generally display wet biases, CRCM15 features a reduced bias in PR90 in all seasons except winter. This improvement occurs despite the fact that spatial and interannual variability of PR90 in CRCM15 is significantly overestimated relative to both CRCM45 and ANUSPLIN. We posit that these characteristics are the result of demonstrable differences between corresponding topographical datasets used in the gridded observations and CRCM, the resulting errors propagated to physical variables tied to elevation and the beneficial effect of subsequent spatial averaging. Because topographical input is often discordant between simulations and gridded observations, it is argued that a limited form of spatial averaging may contribute added value beyond that which has already been noted in previous studies with respect to small-scale climate variability.  相似文献   

Use of cartographic images by expert and novice field geologists in planning fieldwork routes     

Kathleen M. Baker  Andrew C. Johnson  Caitlin N. Callahan  Heather L. Petcovic 《制图学和地理信息科学》2016,43(2):176-187

Topographic maps and aerial photographs are particularly useful when geoscientists are faced with fieldwork tasks such as selecting paths for observation, establishing sampling schemes, or defining field regions. These types of images are crucial in bedrock geologic mapping, a cognitively complex field-based problem-solving task. Geologic mapping requires the geologist to correctly identify rock types and three-dimensional bedrock structures from often partial or poor-quality outcrop data while navigating through unfamiliar terrain. This paper compares the walked routes of novice to expert geologists working in the field (n = 66) with the results of a route planning and navigation survey of a similar population of geologists (n = 77). Results show clearly that those geologists with previous mapping experience make quick and decisive determinations about field areas from available imagery and maps, regardless of whether they are or not physically present in the field area. Recognition of geologic features enabled experts to form and verbalize a specific plan for travel through a landscape based on those features. Novices were less likely to develop specific travel route plans and were less likely to identify critical landscape cues from aerial photographs.  相似文献   

Modeling the risk of spread and establishment for Asian longhorned beetle (Anoplophora glabripennis) in Massachusetts from 2008-2009     

Andrew J. Shatz  Florencia Sangermano  Jennifer Miller  Arthur Elmes 《国际地球制图》2016,31(8):813-831

Land managers responsible for invasive species removal in the USA require tools to prevent the Asian longhorned beetle (Anoplophora glabripennis) (ALB) from decimating the maple-dominant hardwood forests of Massachusetts and New England. Species distribution models (SDMs) and spread models have been applied individually to predict the invasion distribution and rate of spread, but the combination of both models can increase the accuracy of predictions of species spread over time when habitat suitability is heterogeneous across landscapes. First, a SDM was fit to 2008 ALB presence-only locations. Then, a stratified spread model was generated to measure the probability of spread due to natural and human causes. Finally, the SDM and spread models were combined to evaluate the risk of ALB spread in Central Massachusetts in 2008–2009. The SDM predicted many urban locations in Central Massachusetts as having suitable environments for species establishment. The combined model shows the greatest risk of spread and establishment in suitable locations immediately surrounding the epicentre of the ALB outbreak in Northern Worcester with lower risk areas in suitable locations only accessible through long-range dispersal from access to human transportation networks. The risk map achieved an accuracy of 67% using 2009 ALB locations for model validation. This model framework can effectively provide risk managers with valuable information concerning the timing and spatial extent of spread/establishment risk of ALB and potential strategies needed for effective future risk management efforts.  相似文献   

Wind-wave prediction equations for probabilistic offshore hurricane hazard analysis     

Vahid Valamanesh  Andrew T. Myers  Sanjay R. Arwade  Jerome F. Hajjar  Eric Hines  Weichiang Pang 《Natural Hazards》2016,83(1):541-562

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Limited differences among habitats in deep‐sea macro‐infaunal communities off New Zealand: implications for their vulnerability to anthropogenic disturbance          下载免费PDF全文

Daniel Leduc  Ashley A. Rowden  Malcolm R. Clark  David A. Bowden  Andrew R. Thurber 《Marine Ecology》2016,37(4):845-866

The spread of human activities into the deep sea may pose a high risk to benthic communities and affect ecosystem integrity. The deep sea is characterized by physical and biological heterogeneity and different habitat types are likely to differ in their vulnerability to anthropogenic impacts. However, across‐habitat comparisons are rare, and no comprehensive ecological risk assessment has yet been developed. To address this gap in our knowledge, we compared macro‐infaunal community structure in four habitats (slope, canyons, seamounts and methane seeps) at depths between 700 and 1500 m in the Hikurangi Margin and Bay of Plenty regions off New Zealand. The most striking contrast in community structure was between the two study regions, due to an order of magnitude difference in macro‐infaunal abundance that we believe was caused by differences in surface productivity and food availability at the sea bed. We found differences in structural and functional attributes of macro‐infaunal communities among some habitats in the Hikurangi Margin (slope, canyon and seep), but not in the Bay of Plenty. We posit that differences between canyon and slope communities on the Hikurangi Margin are due to enhanced food availability inside canyons compared with adjacent slope habitats. Seep communities were characterized by elevated abundance of both symbiont‐bearing and heterotrophic taxa, and were the most distinct, and variable, among the habitats that we considered on the Hikurangi Margin. Communities of seamounts were not distinct from slope or canyon communities on the Hikurangi Margin, probably reflecting similar environmental conditions in these habitats. The communities of deep‐sea canyon and seep habitats on the Hikurangi Margin were sufficiently dissimilar from each other and from slope habitats to warrant separate management consideration. By contrast, the low dissimilarity between communities of canyon and slope habitats in the Bay of Plenty suggests that habitat‐based management is not required in this region, for macro‐infauna at least. Although the two study regions share similar species pools, populations of the Hikurangi Margin region may be less vulnerable than the sparser populations of the Bay of Plenty due to the higher availability of potential colonizers and faster population growth. Thus regions, and habitats in some regions, should be subject to separate ecological risk assessment to help identify the key risks and consequences of human activities, and to inform options for reducing or mitigating impacts.  相似文献