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101.
Tropical cyclones are the most common natural disasters in coastal regions and are the most costly in terms of economic losses.
Economic loss assessment is the basis for disaster prevention and alleviation and for insurance indemnification. We use data
from 1970 to 2008 for Zhejiang Province, China, in this study evaluating economic losses. We convert direct economic losses
from tropical cyclone disasters in Zhejiang Province into indices of direct economic losses. To establish our assessment model,
we process disaster-inducing assessment factors, disaster-formative environments and disaster-affected bodies using the principal
component analysis method, and we abstract the principal component as the input of a BP neural network model. We found in
the actual assessments of five tropical cyclones affecting Zhejiang Province in 2007 and 2008 that the post-disaster loss
assessment values of tropical cyclones were higher than the actual losses, but that for more severe storms, the gap was smaller.
This reflects the beneficial effect of efforts toward disaster prevention and alleviation for severe tropical cyclones. Pre-assessments
based on relatively accurate forecast values of wind and precipitation at the start of a tropical cyclone have been in accordance
with the post-disaster assessment values, while the pre-assessment results using less accurate forecast values have been unsatisfactory.
Therefore, this model can be applied in the actual assessment of direct economic loss from tropical cyclone damage, but increasingly
accurate forecasting of wind and precipitation remains crucial to improving the accuracy of pre-assessments. 相似文献
102.
Pei Sun Loh Chen-Tung Arthur ChenGusti Z. Anshari Jough-Tai WangJiann-Yuh Lou Shu-Lun Wang 《Journal of Asian Earth Sciences》2012,43(1):118-129
In this first study of lignin geochemistry in the world’s longest river on an island, surface sediments were collected along the Kapuas River, three lakes in the upper river, a tributary in the lower river and a separate river during June-July 2007 and December 2007-January 2008. The samples were analyzed for lignin-derived phenols and bulk elemental and stable carbon isotope compositions. Λ values (the sum of eight lignin phenols, expressed as mg/100 mg organic carbon (OC)) ranged from 0.13 to 3.70. Ratios of syringyl/vanillyl (S/V) and cinnamyl/vanillyl (C/V) ranged from 0.34 to 1.18 and 0.28 to 1.40, respectively, indicating the presence of non-woody angiosperm tissues. The high vanillic acid to vanillin (Ad/Al)v (0.71-2.01) and syringic acid to syringaldehyde (Ad/Al)s (0.72-2.12) ratios indicate highly degraded lignin materials. In the upper Kapuas River, highly degraded soil materials discharged from lands that were barren as a result of deforestation activities were detected in the locations directly in those vicinities. The middle Kapuas River showed rapid organic matter degradation, probably due to the presence of fresh terrestrial and phytoplankton organic matter fueling the biogeochemical cycling. The Kapuas Kecil River, one of the two branches in the lower reach of the Kapuas River, showed higher levels and diagenesis of sedimentary organic matter due to input from anthropogenic sources and increased marine organic matter near the mouth. This study shows that different stretches along the river exhibit different levels and composition of sedimentary organic matter, as well as different carbon dynamics, which is directly attributable to the varying landscapes and quality of organic matter. 相似文献
103.
104.
105.
Jay Parker Gregory Lyzenga Charles Norton Cinzia Zuffada Margaret Glasscoe John Lou Andrea Donnellan 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(3-4):497-521
GeoFEST (Geophysical Finite Element Simulation Tool) is a two- and three-dimensional finite element software package for the modeling of solid stress and strain in geophysical and other continuum domain applications. It is one of the featured high-performance applications of the NASA QuakeSim project. The program is targeted to be compiled and run on UNIX systems, and is running on diverse systems including sequential and message-passing parallel systems. Solution to the elliptical partial differential equations is obtained by finite element basis sampling, resulting in a sparse linear system primarily solved by conjugate gradient iteration to a tolerance level; on sequential systems a Crout factorization for the direct inversion of the linear system is also supported. The physics models supported include isotropic linear elasticity and both Newtonian and power-law viscoelasticity, via implicit quasi-static time stepping. In addition to triangular, quadrilateral, tetrahedral and hexahedral continuum elements, GeoFEST supports split-node faulting, body forces, and surface tractions. This software and related mesh refinement strategies have been validated on a variety of test cases with rigorous comparison to analytical solutions. These include a box-shaped domain with imposed motion on one surface, a pair of strike slip faults in stepover arrangement, and two community-agreed benchmark cases: a strike slip fault in an enclosing box, and a quarter-domain circular fault problem. Scientific applications of the code include the modeling of static and transient co- and post-seismic earth deformation, Earth response to glacial, atmospheric and hydrological loading, and other scenarios involving the bulk deformation of geologic media. 相似文献
106.
107.
河南商城—固始地区石炭系沉积环境及其构造意义 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
根据沉积相分析,同时综合分析区域地质资料,笔者提出河南商城-固始地区石炭系及安徽金寨地区梅山群为典型前陆磨拉石含煤建造,其沉积相主要为滨海、潮坪、泻湖、局限台地及砾质辫状河-冲积扇相,代表了统一的石炭纪一二叠纪合肥弧后前陆盆地的南部边缘相,说明大别地块(北大别弧)于早古生代晚期-晚古生代早期即与华北板块碰扪结成一体。 相似文献
108.
Longwave breaking is the agent for many important upper ocean layer processes including the transfer of horizontal momentum.
In a previous study on the process of longwave breaking, only linear bottom friction was considered. In this paper, we discuss
the longwave breaking phenomena in the more general case ofnth power bottom friction. Using the theory of blowup of solution, the criterion for the time and location of the longwave
breaking can be obtained.
Contribution No. 2559 from the Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences.
This project was supported by NSFC (No. 49376254). 相似文献
109.
110.
Rapid PPP ambiguity resolution using GPS+GLONASS observations 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Integer ambiguity resolution (IAR) in precise point positioning (PPP) using GPS observations has been well studied. The main challenge remaining is that the first ambiguity fixing takes about 30 min. This paper presents improvements made using GPS+GLONASS observations, especially improvements in the initial fixing time and correct fixing rate compared with GPS-only solutions. As a result of the frequency division multiple access strategy of GLONASS, there are two obstacles to GLONASS PPP-IAR: first and most importantly, there is distinct code inter-frequency bias (IFB) between satellites, and second, simultaneously observed satellites have different wavelengths. To overcome the problem resulting from GLONASS code IFB, we used a network of homogeneous receivers for GLONASS wide-lane fractional cycle bias (FCB) estimation and wide-lane ambiguity resolution. The integer satellite clock of the GPS and GLONASS was then estimated with the wide-lane FCB products. The effect of the different wavelengths on FCB estimation and PPP-IAR is discussed in detail. We used a 21-day data set of 67 stations, where data from 26 stations were processed to generate satellite wide-lane FCBs and integer clocks and the other 41 stations were selected as users to perform PPP-IAR. We found that GLONASS FCB estimates are qualitatively similar to GPS FCB estimates. Generally, 98.8% of a posteriori residuals of wide-lane ambiguities are within \(\pm 0.25\) cycles for GPS, and 96.6% for GLONASS. Meanwhile, 94.5 and 94.4% of narrow-lane residuals are within 0.1 cycles for GPS and GLONASS, respectively. For a critical value of 2.0, the correct fixing rate for kinematic PPP is only 75.2% for GPS alone and as large as 98.8% for GPS+GLONASS. The fixing percentage for GPS alone is only 11.70 and 46.80% within 5 and 10 min, respectively, and improves to 73.71 and 95.83% when adding GLONASS. Adding GLONASS thus improves the fixing percentage significantly for a short time span. We also used global ionosphere maps (GIMs) to assist the wide-lane carrier-phase combination to directly fix the wide-lane ambiguity. Employing this method, the effect of the code IFB is eliminated and numerical results show that GLONASS FCB estimation can be performed across heterogeneous receivers. However, because of the relatively low accuracy of GIMs, the fixing percentage of GIM-aided GPS+GLONASS PPP ambiguity resolution is very low. We expect better GIM accuracy to enable rapid GPS+GLONASS PPP-IAR with heterogeneous receivers. 相似文献