影响我国北方冬半年气旋的气候特征及年际变率   总被引：4，自引：3，他引：1  

符娇兰  董林  康志明 《大气科学》2013,37(3):679-690

本文首先对气旋进行了客观定义,实现了气旋的自动识别与跟踪算法,利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料建立了近60年(1951～2010)我国北方冬半年气旋活动数据集。对气旋的气候特征与年际变率进行了探讨。结果表明:蒙古国中西部、雅布洛诺夫山脉东麓等为主要气旋源地;蒙古国东南部、内蒙古东南部、松嫩平原是气旋活跃区;内蒙古东南部、东北地区中北部为气旋消亡区与快速填塞区;初春、仲秋季节气旋较活跃,冬季气旋最少;随季节推移,气旋活动区域向南、向东推进;气旋移动以偏东路径居多,其次是东南、东北路径;700 hPa风场对气旋移动趋势具有较好的指示意义;24 h标准加深率大于0.5 Bergeron的快速发展气旋,位于内蒙古东部、东北地区中北部、日本海中部等地;爆发性气旋则主要位于日本海附近,我国大陆极少;极端最强气旋主要集中在1980年代以前的仲秋与初春;1980年代以来,气旋频次相对较少,强气旋有逐渐增加的趋势;气旋频次减少与东亚中高纬度大气低层斜压性减弱有关。  相似文献   

TRMM-retrieved Cloud Structure and Evolution of MCSs over the Northern South China Sea and Impacts of CAPE and Vertical Wind Shear     

LI Xiangshu  GUO Xueliang  FU Danhong 《大气科学进展》2013,30(1):77-88

Cloud structure and evolution of Mesoscale Convective Systems(MCSs) retrieved from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager(TRMM TMI) and Precipitation Radar(PR) were investigated and compared with some pioneer studies based on soundings and models over the northern South China Sea(SCS).The impacts of Convective Available Potential Energy(CAPE) and environmental vertical wind shear on MCSs were also explored.The main features of MCSs over the SCS were captured well by both TRMM PR and TMI.However,the PR-retrieved surface rainfall in May was less than that in June,and the reverse for TMI.TRMM-retrieved rainfall amounts were generally consistent with those estimated from sounding and models.However,rainfall amounts from sounding-based and PR-based estimates were relatively higher than those retrieved from TRMM-TMI data.The Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) modeling simulation underestimated the maximum rain rate by 22% compared to that derived from TRMM-PR,and underestimated mean rainfall by 10.4% compared to the TRMM-TMI estimate,and by 12.5% compared to the sounding-based estimate.The warm microphysical processes modeled from both the WRF and the Goddard Cumulus Ensemble(GCE) models were quite close to those based on TMI,but the ice water contents in the models were relatively less compared to that derived from TMI.The CAPE and wind shear induced by the monsoon circulation were found to play critical roles in maintaining and developing the intense convective clouds over SCS.The latent heating rate increased more than twofold during the monsoon period and provided favorable conditions for the upward transportation of energy from the ocean,giving rise to the possibility of inducing large-scale interactions.  相似文献   

Statistical downscaling of summer temperature extremes in northern China     

范丽军  符淙斌  严中伟 《大气科学进展》2013,30(4):1085-1095

Two approaches of statistical downscaling were applied to indices of temperature extremes based on percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations at Beijing station in summer during 1960-2008. One was to downscale daily maximum and minimum temperatures by using EOF analysis and stepwise linear regression at first, then to calculate the indices of extremes; the other was to directly downscale the percentile-based indices by using seasonal large-scale temperature and geo-potential height records. The cross-validation results showed that the latter approach has a better performance than the former. Then, the latter approach was applied to 48 meteorological stations in northern China. The cross-validation results for all 48 stations showed close correlation between the percentile-based indices and the seasonal large-scale variables. Finally, future scenarios of indices of temperature extremes in northern China were projected by applying the statistical downscaling to Hadley Centre Coupled Model Version 3 (HadCM3) simulations under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 (RCP 4.5) scenario of the Fifth Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). The results showed that the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperatures will increase by about 1.5℃, and the 10th of daily minimum temperatures will increase by about 2℃ during the period 2011-35 relative to 1980-99.  相似文献   

Double-detonation model of type Ia supernovae with a variable helium layer ignition mass     

Wei-Hong Zhou  Bo Wang  Gang Zhao 《中国天文和天体物理学报》2014,(9)

Although Type Ia supernovae(SNe Ia) play an important role in the study of cosmology, their progenitors are still poorly understood. Thermonuclear explosions from the helium double-detonation sub-Chandrasekhar mass model have been considered as an alternative method for producing SNe Ia. By adopting the assumption that a double detonation occurs when a He layer with a critical ignition mass accumulates on the surface of a carbon–oxygen white dwarf(CO WD), we perform detailed binary evolution calculations for the He double-detonation model, in which a He layer from a He star accumulates on a CO WD. According to these calculations, we obtain the initial parameter spaces for SNe Ia in the orbital period and secondary mass plane for various initial WD masses. We implement these results into a detailed binary population synthesis approach to calculate SN Ia birthrates and delay times. From this model,the SN Ia birthrate in our Galaxy is ～0.4- 1.6 × 10-3yr-1. This indicates that the double-detonation model only produces part of the SNe Ia. The delay times from this model are ～ 70- 710 Myr, which contribute to the young population of SNe Ia in the observations. We found that the CO WD + sdB star system CD-30 11223 could produce an SN Ia via the double-detonation model in its future evolution.  相似文献   

方斑东风螺两种养殖模式的比较     

黄海立  周银环符韶  梁飞龙刘定 《广东海洋大学学报》2006,26(3):8-12

在室内水泥池，利用沙层自净养殖模式和直接铺沙养殖模式对不同规格的方斑东风螺（Babylonia areolata Link）进行了高密度养殖的研究。结果表明，沙层自净养殖模式养殖小螺、中螺、大螺组日均增重分别为0．031、0．088、0．098g／d，沙层NH4^＋-N最高含量ω分别为1．3、2．1、3．1mg,／L,H2S最高含量ω分别为0．03、0．07、0．14mg／L．各规格组东风螺保持正常生长和活动，成活率92．9％以上；直接铺沙养殖模式养殖小螺、中螺、大螺日均增重分别为：0．023、0．051、0．068g／d．成活率分别为95．2％、86．7％、84．9％，沙层NH4^＋-N最高含量ω达到13．7mg／L，H2S最高含量ω达到0．47mg／L，沙层底质恶化，东风螺活动异常、不摄食。可见，沙层自净养殖模式对方斑东风螺的生长、成活率、沙层水质控制效果显著，在一定程度上克服了直接铺沙养殖底质恶化问题。  相似文献   

中国淡水和近海鱼类的生态对策研究     

陈刚 《广东海洋大学学报》1996,(2)

通过渐近体长（Ｌ∞），渐近体重（Ｗ∞）、生长系数（Ｋ）、初次性成熟年龄（Ｔｍ）、最大年龄（Ｔｍａｘ）、瞬时自然死亡率（Ｍ）和种群繁殖力（ＰＦ）等七个生态学参数的比较，研究１９种淡水鱼类和１５种近海鱼类的生态对策。根据ｒ—选择和ｋ—选择的典型特征以及各参数间相互关系的显著性，３种鲟鱼类属ｋ—选择；牙鲆等５种近海鱼类偏向ｋ—选择；青鱼、勒氏笛鲷等９种鱼类偏向ｒ—选择；鲤、黄鲫等１７种鱼类为ｒ—选择。对ｒ－ｋ选择的资源特征及其对捕捞的反应做了分析，只有合理控制捕捞强度和起捕年龄，才能保护资源，获得较好的经济效益。  相似文献   

Automatic Normalization and Equivalent-Width Measurement of High-Resolution Stellar Spectra     

Jing-Kun Zhao  Gang Zhao  Yu-Qin Chen  Jian-Rong Shi  Yu-Juan Liu  Ju-Yong Zhang National Astronomical Observatories  Chinese Academy of Sciences  Beijing 《中国天文和天体物理学报》2006,6(6):689-696

It is well known that normalization, radial velocity correction and equivalent-width measurement of high-resolution stellar spectra are time-consuming work. In order to improve the efficiency we present an automatic method for these routines. The continuum is determined by fitting the 'high points' in the spectrum. After continuum normalization, the program automatically searches for the position of the Ha line and obtains a rough radial velocity, then computes an accurate radial velocity by cross-correlation between the given spectrum and the solar spectrum. In this method, the equivalent-width is automatically measured using Gaussian fitting. A comparison between our results and those from traditional analysis shows that the typical error for equivalent width is around 3.8% in our method. Developing such automatic routines does not mean to replace the interactive reduction method: it is just for a quick extraction of information from the spectra, especially those obtained in large sky surveys.  相似文献   

Constraining non-gaussianities in WMAP1 and WMAP2     

Istvn Szapudi  Gang Chen 《New Astronomy Reviews》2006,50(11-12):896

We measure the 2-1 cumulant correlator power spectrum, a degenerate three-point statistic or integrated bispectrum, from the WMAP first and three year data releases (WMAP1 and WMAP2, respectively). We present a method of estimating these statistics using the pseudo-C_l-based SpICE estimator. We interpret the measurements in a maximum likelihood framework using theoretical predictions based on the simplest f_NL model. All calculations are repeated on Monte Carlo simulations to obtain covariance matrices of our measurements. Application of the theory of random matrices revealed that the experimental covariances are consistent with a random matrix approximation. Finally, our χ² analysis yields f_NL = 22 ± 52(1σ) from WMAP2.  相似文献   

我国海水养殖珍珠业存在的问题及对策   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

邓陈茂  黄海立符韶 《广东海洋大学学报》2006,26(5):5-9

在详细分析我国海水珍珠养殖业存在问题的基础上，提出了统一规划海区，定量、低密度和开展外海深水海区珍珠养殖；加速大型珍珠贝全人工养殖与育珠的研究，丰富养殖品种；建立良种场、实行马氏珠母贝种质复壮；加强技术推广，延长育珠期、提高珍珠质量；抓好珍珠深加工、开拓珍珠产业链；建立龙头企业，带动珍珠业向集约型发展等可持续发展对策。  相似文献   

星系的恒星速度弥散度的归算方法     

傅承启  侯金良 《天文学进展》2006,24(3):244-259

星系的恒星视向速度分布是星系动力学模型的重要观测约束,其特征参数包括速度弥散度、分布轮廓以及红移。这些参数对研究星系的动力学、结构和演化以及中央黑洞的质量等都具有重要的价值。该文全面总结了从星系光谱归算星系的恒星视向速度分布及其弥散度的各种方法,以及对观测和处理的一些要求。这些方法都假设星系谱线可看作是模板星光谱经多普勒位移并加宽后的线性叠加。提取尽可能多的星系内部恒星运动信息、减少模板星失配的影响、简化误差分析,是这些方法追求的目标。  相似文献