Uncertainties in modelling future hydrological change over West Africa     

T. d’Orgeval  J. Polcher  L. Li 《Climate Dynamics》2006,26(1):93-108

The aim of this paper is to evaluate current knowledge and uncertainties associated with the impact of increasing greenhouse gas and aerosol concentrations on the West African monsoon. For this purpose, coupled and time-slice simulations are used. A global measure of the monsoon changes is defined in order to avoid regional biases and to try and obtain significant results. The position and width of the monsoon in latitude are the main focuses. There is almost no agreement between the Coupled General Circulation models from the Coupled models Inter-Comparison project—Phase II in regard to the impact of climate change on the monsoon. Moreover, very simple discriminations between the models seem inappropriate to get a better signal. The role of the different forcings in time-slice simulations is then investigated. The sea surface temperature (SST) and particularly the pattern of the SST are shown to be the most important forcing. This accounts for the diversity of the results either from the coupled or the forced simulations with different SST changes. With a fixed SST, but of a smaller magnitude in AMJ, there are still uncertainties, coming first from the Atmospheric General Circulation models and the way they balance greenhouse gas and global SST increase. Finally the uncertainty due to the Land Surface models (LSMs) is not negligible. The greenhouse gas and the LSMs are shown to have more impact in August, when the monsoon is at its highest latitude on the continent.  相似文献   

δ~(18)O record and temperature change over the past 100 years in ice cores on the Tibetan Plateau   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Lonnie Thompson 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2006,(1)

1 IntroductionMeteorological stations on the Tibetan Plateau are few in number and uneven in distribution, with a majority concentrated in the east and south. No stations exist so far within the large expanse in the middle or west of the Plateau. Moreover…  相似文献   

Best Article Award 2006     

Naotatsu Shikazono  Chairman  Committee on Awards 《Resource Geology》2007,57(3):351-351

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空心微珠轻质保温帽的研制     

张登和 《江苏地质》1998,22(1):53-55

论述以厚壁空心微珠为基质,研制轻质保温帽。重点阐述原材料的物理化学性质,配料组成的确定,工艺流程。经工业试验,试制出轻质、高强的绝热材料,经济、社会效益显著。为粉煤炭的产品型利用提供新途径。  相似文献   

Atlas of the textural patterns of basic and ultrabasic rocks and their genetic significance: S.S. Augustithis, Walter de Gruyter, Berlin—New York, 1979, 393 pp., DM 255.00     

G.v.d. Kaaden 《Tectonophysics》1980,70(1-2)

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爆炸影响降水的观测分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

大气物理研究所三室原理组 《大气科学》1976,(1):62-67

本文对“炮响雨落”的现象进行了实验验证。初步结果表明:在一定云雨条件下,炮击后可能促使未降水积状云产生降水,也可能促使已降水云的降水参量增大,这些变化发生迅速,但维持时间不长。并指出炮击促进云体降水的作用可能是通过改变支托水滴的气流造成的。在适当条件下,通过炮击影响气流的瞬时作用,可能触发云内不稳定能量释放,造成持续下沉,破坏云的发展,从而防止冰雹灾害。  相似文献   

一次雹暴的特征随时间演变的分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

中国科学院兰州高原大气物理研究所雷达组 《大气科学》1976,(2):62-69

冰雹通常由强烈的积雨,即所谓雹暴中形成。在雹暴的整个生命过程中,无论是外观还是内部特征,都在不停地发生着变化。由于这种变化十分激烈和迅速,大冰雹往往就在某一短时间内(通常不超过30分钟)生长并危害农业。加上此时伴随着闪电大风大雨,要观测它甚为困难。因此,人们至今对其演变的许多方面还缺乏详细和确切的的认识。  相似文献   

夏季青藏高原流场三维结构的模拟实验     

中国科学院大气物理研究所二室模拟组 《大气科学》1977,1(4):247-255

本文用流体模拟实验的方法,研究了我国夏季青藏高原及邻近地区环流的三维结构和成因,主要结果为: 无转动因素时,高原加热作用能引起流体在低层径向地朝高原辐合,在高原上层放射状向周围辐散.高层辐散流体的一部分在高原内部开始下沉,形成高原上空的对流环,在有转动的实验中也观察到.辐散流体中还出现波动. 高原内部经常出现两个对流上升中心,中心附近的温度有较大脉动,两个对流上升区之间有时为下沉运动,构成高原内部独特的对流环. 通过高原中部的南北垂直剖面上,可观察到方向相反的两个对流环,流体在高原中部上升,在南北高原范围内下沉.在高原外部为高原加热引起的下沉运动. 实验表明,包括基本东西风和高原以外热源的环境背景条件,对高原流场有重要作用. 实验结果为解决夏季青藏高原环流的三维结构提供了依据,文中列举了一些说明的现象。  相似文献   

Documents of the International Society for Rock Mechanics     

The Commission on Standardization of Laboratory  Field Tests 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》1977,10(1-2):81-106

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Precipitation water storage capacity in a temperate mixed oak–beech canopy     

Frédéric André  Mathieu Jonard  Quentin Ponette 《水文研究》2008,22(20):4130-4141

The storage capacity of a temperate mixed oak–beech stand was investigated as a function of stand density and species composition. Measurements were performed in selected zones delimited by three neighbouring trees. Three independent approaches were compared: (i) a spraying laboratory experiment to estimate the water storage on foliage before and after dripping; (ii) a mechanistic model describing rainfall partitioning within the forest canopy and providing estimates of foliage storage capacities; and (iii) linear regression analyses to evaluate the canopy (foliage + branches) storage capacity using the relationship between throughfall and rainfall. Good agreement was generally observed between the laboratory experiment and the mechanistic model estimates, while estimations from the regression method tended to exceed those from the other approaches. Storage capacity estimates ranged from 0·22 mm to 0·80 mm for pure oak zones, from 0·24 mm to 1·12 mm for mixed zones and from 0·53 mm to 1·17 mm for pure beech zones. The increase of storage capacity with increasing proportion of beech in the canopy resulted from higher beech LAI compared with oak. Similarly, for mixed and pure beech canopies, storage capacity was higher for high density zones than for low density zones as a result of the increase in LAI with increasing local basal area; in contrast, for pure oak, the storage capacity was not related to basal area because of the lower shade‐tolerance of this species compared with beech. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献