Targets and technologies for climate control     

Valentina Bosetti  Bob van der Zwaan 《Climatic change》2009,96(3):269-273

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Discrimination test between the Halphen (A and B) and the gamma distributions     

S. El Adlouni  D. Hammami  B. Bobée 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2015,29(1):13-26

Hydrological frequency analysis is the most widely used method to estimate risk for extreme values. The most used statistical distributions to fit extreme value data in hydrology can be regrouped in three classes: class C of regularly varying distributions, class D of sub exponential and class E, Exponential depending on their tail behavior. The Halphen distributions (Halphen type A (HA), Halphen type B (HB)) are separated by the Gamma distribution; these three distributions belong to class D and can be displayed in the (δ₁, δ₂) moment-ratio diagram. In this study, a statistical test for discriminating between HA, HB and the Gamma distribution is developed. The methodology is based on: (1) the generation of N samples of different sizes n around the Gamma curve; (2) the determination of the confidence zones around the Gamma curve for each fixed couple (δ₁, δ₂) moment-ratios and finally; (3) the study of the power of the test developed and the calculation of the type 2 error β and the power of the test which is 1-β for a fixed significance level α. Results showed that the test is powerful especially for high coefficients of skewness. This test will be included in Decision Support System of the HYFRAN-PLUS software.  相似文献   

The concentration of capital in shipping and the optimum size of shipping companies     

Arnljot Strømme Svendsen 《GeoJournal》1978,2(2):163-174

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Manganese fluxes from Mississippi Delta sediments     

John H. Trefry  Bob J. Presley 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1982,46(10):1715-1726

Massive sediment deposition on the Mississippi River Delta establishes reducing conditions sufficient to bring about Mn dissolution in the top millimeters of sediment. As a result, significant fluxes of dissolved Mn pass from the Delta sediments to the overlying water column. This process is examined by study of chemical partitioning of Mn in river particulates and Delta sediments and from interstitial water chemistry. Remobilized Mn is actively transported away from the Delta area with aluminosilicate detritus thereby providing “excess” Mn to the deep Gulf of Mexico at the expense of the Delta sediments.  相似文献   

Thallium: a sensitive indicator of rock/seawater interaction and of sulfur saturation of silicate melts     

Peter J. McGoldrick  Reid R. Keays  Bob B. Scott 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1979,43(8):1303-1311

Radiochemical neutron activation analysis for Tl in a number of young pillow basalts, hydrothermally altered basalts and associated hydrothermal and hydrogenous Mn crusts from the Mid-Atlantic Ridge and adjacent regions of the North Atlantic indicate that Tl is a sensitive indicator of both S saturation of silicate melts and of rock/seawater interactions. Rb-Cs-K-Tl trend lines for fresh MAR basalts (whose melts remained saturated with S during silicate fractionation) are distinctly different to Hawaiian basalts whose melts lost S during or prior to eruption, but were saturated with S at an earlier stage. Varying degrees of Tl enrichment are found in the hydrogenous Mn nodules (91,000 ppb), hydrothermal Mn crusts (2300–32,000 ppb), palagonitized glass (300–2700 ppb), hydrothermally altered basalts (1140–4560 ppb), and even slightly altered pillow interiors (11–45 ppb) relative to the fresh glasses (6–12 ppb). This enrichment has taken place due to incorporation of Tl into secondary silicate phases along with the alkalis and also due to co-precipitation of Tl with ferromanganese oxides and hydroxides. Thallium enrichment in the hydrothermal products is interpreted as being due to cooling and oxidation of hydrothermal fluids as these approached the sea floor. Haloes of Tl-enriched country rock may occur around sulfide deposits in which seawater has acted as the ore fluid.  相似文献   

Spatial Variability of Turbulent Fluxes in the Roughness Sublayer of an Even-Aged Pine Forest   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Gabriel Katul  Cheng-I Hsieh  David Bowling  Kenneth Clark  Narasinha Shurpali  Andrew Turnipseed  John Albertson  Kevin Tu  Dave Hollinger  Bob Evans  Brian Offerle  Dean Anderson  David Ellsworth  Chris Vogel  Ram Oren 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1999,93(1):1-28

The spatial variability of turbulent flow statistics in the roughness sublayer (RSL) of a uniform even-aged 14 m (= h) tall loblolly pine forest was investigated experimentally. Using seven existing walkup towers at this stand, high frequency velocity, temperature, water vapour and carbon dioxide concentrations were measured at 15.5 m above the ground surface from October 6 to 10 in 1997. These seven towers were separated by at least 100m from each other. The objective of this study was to examine whether single tower turbulence statistics measurements represent the flow properties of RSL turbulence above a uniform even-aged managed loblolly pine forest as a best-case scenario for natural forested ecosystems. From the intensive space-time series measurements, it was demonstrated that standard deviations of longitudinal and vertical velocities (_u, _w) and temperature (_T) are more planar homogeneous than their vertical flux of momentum (u_* ²) and sensible heat (H) counterparts. Also, the measured H is more horizontally homogeneous when compared to fluxes of other scalar entities such as CO₂ and water vapour. While the spatial variability in fluxes was significant (>15 %), this unique data set confirmed that single tower measurements represent the canonical structure of single-point RSL turbulence statistics, especially flux-variance relationships. Implications to extending the moving-equilibrium hypothesis for RSL flows are discussed. The spatial variability in all RSL flow variables was not constant in time and varied strongly with spatially averaged friction velocity u_*, especially when u_* was small. It is shown that flow properties derived from two-point temporal statistics such as correlation functions are more sensitive to local variability in leaf area density when compared to single point flow statistics. Specifically, that the local relationship between the reciprocal of the vertical velocity integral time scale (I_w) and the arrival frequency of organized structures (/h) predicted from a mixing-layer theory exhibited dependence on the local leaf area index. The broader implications of these findings to the measurement and modelling of RSL flows are also discussed.  相似文献   

Eutrophication and some European waters of restricted exchange   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Paul Tett  Linda Gilpin  Harald Svendsen  Carina P. Erlandsson  Ulf Larsson  Susanne Kratzer  Eric Fouilland  Carol Janzen  Jae-Young Lee  Christian Grenz  Alice Newton  Joo Gomes Ferreira  Teresa Fernandes  Serge Scory 《Continental Shelf Research》2003,23(17-19):1635

Regions of Restricted Exchange (RREs) are an important feature of the European coastline. They are historically preferred sites for human settlement and aquaculture and their ecosystems, and consequent human use, may be at risk from eutrophication. The OAERRE project (EVK3-CT1999-0002) concerns ‘Oceanographic Applications to Eutrophication in Regions of Restricted Exchange’. It began in July 2000, and studies six sites. Four of these sites are fjords: Kongsfjorden (west coast of Spitzbergen); Gullmaren (Skagerrak coast of Sweden); Himmerfjärden (Baltic coast of Sweden); and the Firth of Clyde (west coast of Scotland). Two are bays sheltered by sand bars: Golfe de Fos (French Mediterranean); and Ria Formosa (Portuguese Algarve). Together they exemplify a range of hydrographic and enrichment conditions. The project aims to understand the physical, biogeochemical and biological processes, and their interactions, that determine the trophic status of these coastal marine RRE through the development of simple screening models to define, predict and assess eutrophication. This paper introduces the sites and describes the component parts of a basic screening model and its application to each site using historical data. The model forms the starting point for the OAERRE project and views an RRE as a well-mixed box, exchanging with the sea at a daily rate E determined by physical processes, and converting nutrient to phytoplankton chlorophyll at a fixed yield q. It thus uses nutrient levels to estimate maximum biomass; these preliminary results are discussed in relation to objective criteria used to assess trophic status. The influence of factors such as grazing and vertical mixing on key parameters in the screening model are further studied using simulations of a complex ‘research’ model for the Firth of Clyde. The future development of screening models in general and within OAERRE in particular is discussed. In addition, the paper looks ahead with a broad discussion of progress in the scientific understanding of eutrophication and the legal and socio-economic issues that need to be taken into account in managing the trophic status of RREs.  相似文献   

A Sensitivity Analysis of Timing and Costs of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Reyer Gerlagh  Bob van der Zwaan 《Climatic change》2004,65(1-2):39-71

This paper analyses the optimal timing and macro-economic costs of carbon emission reductions that mitigate the global average atmospheric temperature increase. We use a macro-economic model in which there are two competing energy sources, fossil-fuelled and non-fossil-fuelled. Technological change is represented endogenously through learning curves, and niche markets exist implying positive demand for the relatively expensive non-fossil-fuelled energy source. Under these conditions, with a temperature increase constraint of 2 ° C, early abatement is found to be optimal, and, comparedto the results of many existing top-down models, the costs of this strategy prove to be low. We perform an extensive sensitivity analysis of our results regarding the uncertainties that dominate various economic and technological modeling parameters. Uncertainties in the learning rate and the elasticity of substitution between the two different energy sources most significantly affect the robustness of our findings.  相似文献   

Tourist Organisations     

Bob Garnham 《New Zealand geographer》1995,51(1):62-62

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Some properties of decorrelation techniques in the ambiguity space     

Jon Glenn Gjevestad Svendsen 《GPS Solutions》2006,10(1):40-44

The most recent contributions to ambiguity resolution techniques have mainly focused on resolution in the ambiguity domain. Two techniques utilizing a decorrelation approach are compared. These techniques are the least-squares ambiguity decorrelation adjustment method and the lattice basis reduction. The latter is also known as the LLL method. The main focus in this article is on the decorrelation performance of these state-of-the-art techniques, which are aiming at ambiguity space decorrelation through unimodular transformations. The performances of the two-decorrelation techniques are compared through their ability in making the ambiguity space as orthogonal as possible.  相似文献