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61.
J.L. Elliot  J. Veverka 《Icarus》1976,27(3):359-386
The characteristics of spikes observed in the occultation light curves of β Scorpii by Jupiter are reviewed and discussed. Using a model in which the refractivity (density) gradients in the Jovian atmosphere are parallel to the local gravitational field, the spikes are shown to yield information about (i) the [He]/-[H2] ratio in the atmosphere, (ii) the fine scale density structure of the atmosphere and (iii) high-resolution images of the occulted stars. The spikes also serve as indicators for ray crossing. Observational limits are placed on the magnitude of horizontal refractivity gradients; these appear to be absent on scales of a few kilometers at altitudes corresponding to number densities less than 2 × 1014 cm?3. Spikes are produced by atmospheric density variations, perhaps due to atmospheric layers, density waves or turbulence. To discriminate among these possibilities, future occultation observations should be made from a number of observation sites at two or more wavelengths simultaneously with high time resolution techniques. Given a large telescope and suitable observing techniques, useful information about Jupiter's atmosphere can be obtained from future occultations of early-type stars as faint as V ~ + 6–7.  相似文献   
62.
Local ozone production and loss rates for the arctic free troposphere (58–85° N, 1–6 km, February–May) during the TroposphericOzone Production about the Spring Equinox (TOPSE) campaign were calculated using a constrained photochemical box model. Estimates were made to assess the importance of local photochemical ozone production relative to transport in accounting for the springtime maximum in arctic free tropospheric ozone. Ozone production and loss rates from our diel steady-state box model constrained by median observations were first compared to two point box models, one run to instantaneous steady-state and the other run to diel steady-state. A consistent picture of local ozone photochemistry was derived by all three box models suggesting that differences between the approaches were not critical. Our model-derived ozone production rates increased by a factor of 28 in the 1–3 km layer and a factor of 7 in the 3–6 kmlayer between February and May. The arctic ozone budget required net import of ozone into the arctic free troposphere throughout the campaign; however, the transport term exceeded the photochemical production only in the lower free troposphere (1–3 km) between February and March. Gross ozone production rates were calculated to increase linearly with NOx mixing ratiosup to 300 pptv in February and for NOx mixing ratios up to 500 pptv in May. These NOx limits are an order of magnitude higher thanmedian NOx levels observed, illustrating the strong dependence ofgross ozone production rates on NOx mixing ratios for the majority of theobservations. The threshold NOx mixing ratio needed for netpositive ozone production was also calculated to increase from NOx 10pptv in February to 25 pptv in May, suggesting that the NOx levels needed to sustain net ozone production are lower in winter than spring. This lower NOx threshold explains how wintertime photochemical ozone production can impact the build-up of ozone over winter and early spring. There is also an altitude dependence as the threshold NOx neededto produce net ozone shifts to higher values at lower altitudes. This partly explains the calculation of net ozone destruction for the 1–3 km layerand net ozone production for the 3–6 km layer throughout the campaign.  相似文献   
63.
Spatially and temporally distributed modeling of landslide susceptibility   总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8  
Mapping of landslide susceptibility in forested watersheds is important for management decisions. In forested watersheds, especially in mountainous areas, the spatial distribution of relevant parameters for landslide prediction is often unavailable. This paper presents a GIS-based modeling approach that includes representation of the uncertainty and variability inherent in parameters. In this approach, grid-based tools are used to integrate the Soil Moisture Routing (SMR) model and infinite slope model with probabilistic analysis. The SMR model is a daily water balance model that simulates the hydrology of forested watersheds by combining climate data, a digital elevation model, soil, and land use data. The infinite slope model is used for slope stability analysis and determining the factor of safety for a slope. Monte Carlo simulation is used to incorporate the variability of input parameters and account for uncertainties associated with the evaluation of landslide susceptibility. This integrated approach of dynamic slope stability analysis was applied to the 72-km2 Pete King watershed located in the Clearwater National Forest in north-central Idaho, USA, where landslides have occurred. A 30-year simulation was performed beginning with the existing vegetation covers that represented the watershed during the landslide year. Comparison of the GIS-based approach with existing models (FSmet and SHALSTAB) showed better precision of landslides based on the ratio of correctly identified landslides to susceptible areas. Analysis of landslide susceptibility showed that (1) the proportion of susceptible and non-susceptible cells changes spatially and temporally, (2) changed cells were a function of effective precipitation and soil storage amount, and (3) cell stability increased over time especially for clear-cut areas as root strength increased and vegetation transitioned to regenerated forest. Our modeling results showed that landslide susceptibility is strongly influenced by natural processes and human activities in space and time; while results from simulated outputs show the potential for decision-making in effective forest planning by using various management scenarios and controlling factors that influence landslide susceptibility. Such a process-based tool could be used to deal with real-dynamic systems to help decision-makers to answer complex landslide susceptibility questions.  相似文献   
64.
An empirical modeling of road related and non‐road related landslide hazard for a large geographical area using logistic regression in tandem with signal detection theory is presented. This modeling was developed using geographic information system (GIS) and remote sensing data, and was implemented on the Clearwater National Forest in central Idaho. The approach is based on explicit and quantitative environmental correlations between observed landslide occurrences, climate, parent material, and environmental attributes while the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are used as a measure of performance of a predictive rule. The modeling results suggest that development of two independent models for road related and non‐road related landslide hazard was necessary because spatial prediction and predictor variables were different for these models. The probabilistic models of landslide potential may be used as a decision support tool in forest planning involving the maintenance, obliteration or development of new forest roads in steep mountainous terrain.  相似文献   
65.
Surface observations of several nitrogen oxides in the Canadian high Arctic during the period March-April 1988 are reported. These include data on NO2, the inorganic nitrates HNO3 and particulate nitrate, and the organic nitrates PAN and C3–C7 alkyl-nitrates. It is found that the organic nitrates make up 70–80% of the sum of the measured nitrogen oxides. Based on concurrently measured sulphur oxides, the period of observation was divided into two halves with the first half representing less polluted, more aged air than the second. The preponderance of the organic nitrates was less in the first period than the second. In contrast, there was little difference in the inorganic nitrates and NO2 concentrations. The dominant inorganic nitrate shifted from particulate nitrate in the first period towards gaseous HNO3 in the second. No correlation between the nitrates (inorganic or organic) and O3 was observed; although some indication of a positive correlation between NO2 and O3 has been reported earlier (Bottenheimet al., 1990). Possible explanations for these observations are proposed. A survey of other potential nitrogen oxides that may be present in the Arctic air but not measured in these experiments suggests that the nitrogen oxides not measured here constitute a minor fraction of the total reactive nitrogen (NO y ).Paper submitted to the 7th International Symposium of the Commission for Atmospheric Chemistry and Global Pollution on the Chemistry of the Global Atmosphere held in Chamrousse, France, from 5 to 11 September 1990.  相似文献   
66.
Conventional K-Ar ages of tholeiitic basalts of the Ferrar Group in the central Transantarctic Mountains indicate significant loss of radiogenic 40Ar from this unit over much of its outcrop area. Argon loss varies inversely with amount of devitrified matrix in the basalts, which have not been thermally or tectonically disturbed since extrusion. 40Ar/19Ar age-spectra of these tholeiites are generally discordant and indicate significant inhomogeneity in the distribution of radiogenic 40Ar with respect to 39Ar, but are distinctly different from release patterns of thermally disturbed samples. Amounts of argon redistribution vary directly with amounts of devitrification and are reflected in progressive modification of the age spectra. A model of redistribution of radiogenic 40Ar by devitrification of originally glassy matrix is suggested that is consistent with disturbance of the conventional K-Ar systematics as well as the 40Ar/39Ar age-spectra. Samples with substantial redistribution but minor loss of radiogenic argon yield age spectra whose apparent ages decrease from low-temperature to high-temperature steps, similar to those reported for some lunar basalts, breccias, and soils. Modification of all the age spectra is attributed to redistribution of radiogenic 40Ar during progressive devitrification, although 39Ar-recoil effects suggested by Turner and Cadogan (1974) may be a factor in some cases. Where devitrification involves most potassium sites within the basalt, 40Ar/39Ar age-plateaux may be formed that have no geologic significance.  相似文献   
67.
Isotopic (Nd and Sr) and chemical compositions of the 177 Ma Kirkpatrick Basalt and Ferrar Dolerite from north Victoria Land, Antarctica, are examined in order to address the role of crustal assimilation and the characteristics of their mantle source. Results for the Scarab Peak chemical type (SPCT) that constitutes the flow unit capping the lava sequence [Mg-number, Mg/(Mg+Fe+2)=24, MgO=2.4%, SiO2=57.1%, initial87Sr/86Sr=0.7087–0.7097, (εNd=−4.3) conform previous reports that attribute variations in the concentrations of the more mobile elements and calculated initial87Sr/86Sr to mid-Cretaceous alteration and elevated δ18O to low-temperature interaction with meteoric water. The underlying lavas and the sills that are of the Mt. Fazio chemical type (MFCT) display a much wider range of both chemical and isotopic compositions (Mg-number=40–65, MgO=3.7 7.5%; SiO2=52.6–58.3%, initial87Sr/86Sr=0.7087–0.7117, εNd=−5.6 to −4.8). The effects of rock alteration on apparent initial87Sr/86Sr are demonstrated by large differences between the initial ratio of mineral separates or leached fractions and whole rocks. Cretaceous alteration produced Rb and Sr redistribution within the lava sequence that results in erroneous calculated initial87Sr/86Sr ratios. These effects are responsible for the large initial87Sr/86Sr variations previousl7 proposed which, combined with the large range in whole-rock δ18O, were purported to show very large degrees of crustal assimilation. The variations in εNd are restricted and indicate much smaller degrees of assimilation. The least altered of the MFCT rocks show good chemical and isotopic correlations that can be integrated into a model involving fractionation of pyroxene and plagioclase coupled with assimilation of material similar to early Paleozoic basement. The lower87Sr/86Sr and higher εNd of the SPCT suggest that they were derived by extensive fractionation of a more primitive, less contaminated, precursor of the MFCT. The most isotopically primitive Ferrar rocks from the region still have a high initial87Sr/86Sr and low initial143Nd/144Nd; this may reflect either earlier assimilation or an enriched source. The chemical and isotopic similarities, as well as the close geographic correspondence of the Ferrar Group to granitoids produced during the early Paleozoic Ross Orogeny suggest that in either case Ross-type material may have been involved in the development of the enriched isotopic signature. Editorial responsibility: I. Parsons  相似文献   
68.
Six-color photometric observations made during Saturn's 1972/73 opposition enable us to separate the solar phase and orbital phase contributions to the observed light variations of Iapetus, Titan, Rhea, Dione and Tethys. Titan shows no orbital variations, but has phase coefficients which range from negligible values in the infrared to 0.014mag/deg in the ultraviolet. Rhea has a bright leading side, a light curve amplitude of about 0.2mag, which increases toward short wavelengths, and surprisingly large phase coefficients, which increase from 0.025mag/deg in the red to 0.037mag/deg in the ultraviolet. Combined with other available information, this behavior suggests a very porous, texturally complex surface layer. Dione also has a leading side which is a few tenths of a magnitude brighter than the trailing side, but the light curve amplitude has little wavelength dependence and the phase coefficients are significantly smaller than those of Rhea, suggesting a less intricate surface texture. The leading side of Tethys is probably a few tenths of a magnitude brighter than the trailing side. Our Iapetus observations generally supplement the earlier work by Millis. The phase coefficients of the bright (trailing) side are typically ~0.03mag/deg and are not strongly wavelength dependent; the dark (leading) side coefficients are large (~0.05 mag/deg) and increase at shorter wavelengths, indicating a very porous and intricate surface texture. The light curve amplitude shows a slight increase at shorter wavelengths, suggesting an increasing contrast between the dark and bright materials. The spectral reflectance curves we derive for the satellites are in agreement with the spectrophotometry of McCord, Johnson, and Elias.  相似文献   
69.
Chemical and isotopic (Sr, O, H) variations have been examined in an iron-rich lava flow of the Kirkpatrick Basalt from the Mesa Range in north Victoria Land, Antarctica. The flow is homogeneous with respect to the less mobile elements, whereas variations observed in K, Na, Si, Fe, and Rb result largely from alteration of glassy matrix material. Whole-rock Rb–Sr isotope data fall along a poorly-defined 103 Ma array attributed to secondary mobilization of Rb during the mid-Cretaceous. Alteration at that time is suggested by paleomagnetic data and would also account for discordant K–Ar dates. Whole-rock 18O values vary from +5.8 to +8.2 and a plagioclase separate has a 18O value of +5.6, reflecting the original composition of the magma. The range of 18O values for the whole-rock samples results from low-temperature alteration occurring primarily in the Jurassic and/or mid-Cretaceous. Whole-rock D values (-201 to -243) are markedly depleted, approaching equilibrium with modern meteoric water. In light of these data, variable Sr and O isotopic ratios in the underlying sequence of flows, previously interpreted in terms of an assimilation-fractionation model, may largely reflect post-magmatic alteration.  相似文献   
70.
A location of the Viking 1 Lander on the surface of Mars has been determined by correlating topographic features in the lander pictures with similar features in the Viking orbiter pictures. Radio tracking data narrowed the area of search for correlating orbiter and lander features and an area was found on the orbiter pictures in which there is good agreement with topographic features on the lander pictures. This location, when plotted on the 1:250,000 scale photomosaic of the Yorktown Region of Mars (U.S. Geological Survey, 1977) is at 22.487°N latitude and 48.041°W longitude.  相似文献   
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