Eddy-induced upwelling off Cape São Tomé (22°S,Brazil)     

L. Calado  I.C.A. da Silveira  A. Gangopadhyay  B.M. de Castro 《Continental Shelf Research》2010,30(10-11):1181-1188

The regional ocean off southeast Brazil (20°S–28°S) is known as a current-eddy-upwelling region. The proximity of the Brazil Current to the coast in the Cape São Tomé vicinities, as well as of its quasi-stationary unstable meanders, suggests the possibility of background eddy-induced upwelling. Such phenomenon can intensify the prevalent coastal upwelling due to wind and topographic effects. In this paper, with the help of a numerical simulation, we provide evidence that eddy-induced upwelling in the absence of wind is possible in this region. The simulation was conducted with a regional configuration of the 3-D Princeton Ocean Model initialized by a feature-based implementation of the Brazil Current and Cape Frio eddy, blended with climatology.  相似文献   

The impact of spatial scale: exploring urban butterfly abundance and richness patterns using multi-criteria decision analysis and principal component analysis     

Emily C. Hazell  Claus Rinner 《International journal of geographical information science》2020,34(8):1648-1681

ABSTRACT

Modelling changes in biodiversity have become a necessary component of smart urban planning practices. However, concepts such as biodiversity are often evaluated using area-based composite indices, the results of which are heavily reliant on specific parameters chosen. This paper explores the design and implementation of a butterfly biodiversity index by comparing two widely accepted modelling techniques: principal component analysis and spatial multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA). A high degree of scale dependency has been demonstrated in previous studies exploring the use of area-based composite measures. To evaluate the impact of scale, each model was assessed at two different spatial resolutions. The outcomes were analyzed, mapped and compared using ordinary least squares, geographically weighted regression and global Moran’s I to evaluate relative biodiversity patterns across the City of Toronto, Canada. Findings indicate that the impact of spatial scale was significant, whereby the coarser resolution models were found to be more highly correlated with biodiversity, compared to the finer resolution models. The results of this study contribute to a growing body of literature that explores key conceptual questions regarding the robustness of GIS-based MCDA, the impact of scale in urban ecology studies, and the use of composite indices to manage spatial ecological data.  相似文献   

Fifty years of runoff response to conversion of old-growth forest to planted forest in the H. J. Andrews Forest,Oregon, USA     

Emily A. Crampe  Catalina Segura  Julia A. Jones 《水文研究》2021,35(5):e14168

Long-term watershed experiments provide the opportunity to understand forest hydrology responses to past logging, road construction, forest regrowth, and their interactions with climate and geomorphic processes such as road-related landslides. We examined a 50-year record from paired-watershed experiments in the H. J. Andrews Experimental Forest, Oregon, USA in which 125 to 450-year-old conifer forests were harvested in the 1960s and 1970s and converted to planted conifer forests. We evaluated how quickflow and delayed flow for 1222 events in treated and reference watersheds changed by season after clearcutting and road construction, including 50 years of growth of planted forest, major floods, and multi-decade reductions in snowpack. Quickflow runoff early in the water year (fall) increased by up to +99% in the first decade, declining to below pre-harvest levels (−1% to −15%) by the third to fifth decade after clearcutting. Fall delayed flow responded more dramatically than quickflow and fell below pre-treatment levels in all watersheds by the fifth decade, consistent with increased transpiration in the planted forests. Quickflow increased less (+12% to 70%) during the winter and spring but remained higher than pre-treatment levels throughout the fourth or fifth decade, potentially impacted by post-harvest burning, roads, and landslides. Quickflow remained high throughout the 50-year period of study, and much higher than delayed flow in the last two decades in a watershed in which road-related changes in flow routing and debris flows after the flood of record increased network connectivity. A long-term decline in regional snowpack was not clearly associated with responses of treated vs. reference watersheds. Hydrologic processes altered by harvest of old-growth conifer forest more than 50 years ago (transpiration, interception, snowmelt, and flow routing) continued to modify streamflow, with no clear evidence of hydrologic recovery. These findings underscore the importance of continued long-term watershed experiments.  相似文献   

Effects of afforestation on groundwater recharge and water budgets in the western region of Uruguay          下载免费PDF全文

Luis Silveira  Pablo Gamazo  Jimena Alonso  Leticia Martínez 《水文研究》2016,30(20):3596-3608

Uruguay has stimulated the development of its forest sector since the promulgation of Forest Law N° 15 939 in December of 1987. Nevertheless, the substitution of natural grasslands with forest plantations for industrial use has raised concerns regarding hydrological processes of groundwater recharge and water consumption involving evapotranspiration. The purpose of this study is to assess the effects of this substitution approach on water resources. Input data were collected from two small experimental watersheds of roughly 100–200 hectares located in western Uruguay. The watersheds are characterized by Eucalyptus Globulus ssp. Maidenni and natural grasslands for cattle use. Total rainfall, stream discharge, rainfall redistribution, soil water content and groundwater level data were collected. Groundwater recharge was estimated from water table fluctuations and from groundwater contributions to base flows. Seasonal and annual water budgets were computed from October of 2006 to September of 2014 to evaluate changes in the hydrological processes. The data show a decrease in annual specific discharge of roughly 17% for mean hydrological years and no conclusive effects on annual groundwater recharge in the forested watershed relative to the reference pasture watershed. Reduced annual specific discharge is equivalent to the mean annual interception. The computed actual annual evapotranspiration is consistent with international catchment measurements. Reduction rates vary seasonally and according to accumulated rainfall and its temporary distribution. The degree of specific discharge decline is particularly high for drier autumns and winters (32 to 28%) when the corresponding rainfall varies from 275 to 400 mm. These results are of relevance for water resources management efforts, as water uses downstream can be affected. These findings, based on a study period dominated by anomalous wet springs and summers and by dry autumns and winters, oppose earlier results based on 34 years of rainfall and discharge data drawn from Uruguayan large basins. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The Community Economic Impacts of Large Wildfires: A Case Study from Trinity County,California     

Emily Jane Davis  Cassandra Moseley  Max Nielsen-Pincus  Pamela J. Jakes 《社会与自然资源》2014,27(9):983-993

Wildfires are increasing in severity and frequency in the American West, but there is limited understanding of their economic effects at the community level. We conducted a case study of the impacts of large wildfires in 2008 in Trinity County, California, by examining labor market, suppression spending, and qualitative interview data. We found that the 2008 fires had interrelated effects on several economic sectors in the county. Labor market data indicated a decrease in total private-sector employment and wages and an increase in public-sector employment and wages during the summer of 2008 compared to the previous year, while interviews captured more nuanced impacts for individual businesses.  相似文献   

Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jurandir Zullo Jr.  Hilton Silveira Pinto  Eduardo Delgado Assad  Ana Maria Heuminski de ??vila 《Climatic change》2011,109(3-4):535-548

Agriculture appears to be one of the human activities most vulnerable to climatic changes due to its large dependence on environmental conditions. However, the diversity of Brazilian environmental conditions could be of great advantage to adapting this sector to new climatic conditions, which should be assessed as in this study on shifting Arabica coffee cultivation to the extreme south of the country. The methodology applied is the same the one used to define climatic risks in current productive regions of Brazil and their vulnerability to climatic change predicted by IPCC reports. The basic climatic parameters applied were frost probability and annual average temperature, since annual water deficit did not prove to be a restricting factor for Arabica coffee cultivation in the study area. The climatic conditions suitable for coffee production are: annual average temperature between 18??C and 22??C, annual water deficit less than 100?mm and frost probability (risk of lowest annual temperature less than 1??C) less than 25%. An area is said to have ??low climatic risks?? for coffee production when these three climatic conditions are met. Current climatic conditions were used and simulations of four temperature increases between 1??C and 4??C were also performed. The results indicated a substantial increase in the size of low climatic risks areas for the production of Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil, mainly for mean temperature increases of 3??C in the study area in relation to present conditions. Increases of 2??C and 4??C were also favorable, but not as good as those obtained for 3??C. It should be underscored that areas with low climatic risks will be able to be found mainly in the extreme south of the study region, the border with Uruguay and North of Argentina.  相似文献   

Stability of YREE complexes with the trihydroxamate siderophore desferrioxamine B at seawater ionic strength     

Emily A. Christenson 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2011,75(22):7047-7062

Organic complexation of yttrium and the rare earth elements (YREEs), although generally believed to be important, is an understudied aspect of YREE solution speciation in the open ocean. We report the first series of stability constants for complexes of YREEs (except Ce and Pm) with the trihydroxamate siderophore desferrioxamine B (DFOB), representing a class of small organic ligands that have an extraordinary selectivity for Fe(III) and are found in surface seawater at low-picomolar concentrations. Constants were measured by potentiometric titration of DFOB (pH 3-10) in the presence of single YREEs, in simple media at seawater ionic strength (NaClO₄ or NaCl, I = 0.7 M). Under these circumstances, the terminal amine of DFOB does not deprotonate. The four acid dissociation constants of the siderophore were determined separately by potentiometric titration of DFOB alone.Values for the bidentate (log β₁), tetradentate (log β₂), and hexadentate (log β₃) complexes of La-Lu range from 4.88 to 6.53, 7.70 to 11.27, and 10.09 to 15.19, respectively, while Y falls between Gd and Tb in each case. Linear free-energy relations of the three stability constants with the first YREE hydrolysis constant, log , yield regression coefficients of >0.97. On the other hand, plots of the constants vs. the radius of the inner hydration sphere display an increasing deviation from linearity for the lightest REEs (La > Pr > Nd). This may signify steric constraints in DFOB folding around bulkier cations, a larger mismatch in coordination number, or a substantial degree of covalence in the YREE-hydroxamate bond.Complexes of the YREEs with DFOB are many orders of magnitude more stable than those with carbonate, the dominant inorganic YREE ligand in seawater. Speciation modeling with MINEQL indicates that, for an average seawater composition, the hexadentate complex could constitute as much as 28% of dissolved Lu at free DFOB concentrations as low as 10⁻¹³ M. Such conditions might occur when DFOB or other siderophores are present in excess over metals for which they have high affinity, like Fe(III) and Co(III), for example during plankton blooms. Even if it turns out that trihydroxamate siderophores are not the dominant organic YREE ligand in seawater, our results establish a benchmark for producing effects on YREE solution speciation comparable to that of DFOB: the free concentration of any weaker organic ligand L must exceed that of DFOB by a factor β₃/_Lβ₁, assuming its first order complex is formed in greatest abundance.  相似文献   

Is denitrification kinetically-limited or transport-limited in tidal freshwater marshes?     

Emily Seldomridge  Karen Prestegaard 《Applied Geochemistry》2011

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Isotopic Determination of Food Web Origins in Restoring and Ancient Estuarine Wetlands of the San Francisco Bay and Delta   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Emily R. Howe  Charles A. Simenstad 《Estuaries and Coasts》2011,34(3):597-617

We compared the extent to which ancient and restoring wetlands in three estuary regions of San Francisco Bay support estuarine ecosystems through food web contributions. In comparison to mature marshes, we hypothesized that food webs of increasingly younger restoration sites would display increased dependency upon allochthonous subsidies due to nominal internal production. Using multiple stable isotopes (δ¹³C, δ¹⁵N, δ³⁴S) in a mixing model, we traced links among primary producers and estuarine consumers. Results indicate that food webs of estuarine marshes are heavily dependent upon autochthonous marsh materials (76 ± 17%), even within the youngest restoration marshes (11 years). Nearly all sampled organisms relied upon autochthonous marsh materials, with the exception of Neomysis kadiakensis, a mysid shrimp, which derived the majority of its support from freshwater-produced phytoplankton. Marsh-derived organic matter (OM) support was consistent both temporally throughout the year and spatially along the three estuary regions, but evidence suggests that the specific type of OM supporting estuarine consumers depends on position along the estuarine gradient and on seasonal shifts in freshwater flow. These results indicate that wetland restoration rapidly provides important contributions to marsh consumers and potentially bolsters food web linkages in shallow-water ecosystems.  相似文献   

CFSv2 ensemble prediction of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation     

Emily E. Riddle  Amy H. Butler  Jason C. Furtado  Judah L. Cohen  Arun Kumar 《Climate Dynamics》2013,41(3-4):1099-1116

Lagged ensembles from the operational Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) seasonal hindcast dataset are used to assess skill in forecasting interannual variability of the December–February Arctic Oscillation (AO). We find that a small but statistically significant portion of the interannual variance (>20 %) of the wintertime AO can be predicted at leads up to 2 months using lagged ensemble averages. As far as we are aware, this is the first study to demonstrate that an operational model has discernible skill in predicting AO variability on seasonal timescales. We find that the CFS forecast skill is slightly higher when a weighted ensemble is used that rewards forecast runs with the most accurate representations of October Eurasian snow cover extent (SCE), hinting that a stratospheric pathway linking October Eurasian SCE with the AO may be responsible for the model skill. However, further analysis reveals that the CFS is unable to capture many important aspects of this stratospheric mechanism. Model deficiencies identified include: (1) the CFS significantly underestimates the observed variance in October Eurasian SCE, (2) the CFS fails to translate surface pressure anomalies associated with SCE anomalies into vertically propagating waves, and (3) stratospheric AO patterns in the CFS fail to propagate downward through the tropopause to the surface. Thus, alternate boundary forcings are likely contributing to model skill. Improving model deficiencies identified in this study may lead to even more skillful predictions of wintertime AO variability in future versions of the CFS.  相似文献