Simulation des changements climatiques au cours du XXI^e siècle incluant l'ozone stratosphériqueSimulation of climate changes during the 21st century including stratospheric ozone     

Jean-François Royer  Daniel Cariolle  Fabrice Chauvin  Michel Déqué  Hervé Douville  Rong-Ming Hu  Serge Planton  Annie Rascol  Jean-Louis Ricard  David Salas Y Melia  Florence Sevault  Pascal Simon  Samuel Somot  Sophie Tyteca  Laurent Terray  Sophie Valcke 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2002,334(3):147-154

Two climate simulations of 150 years, performed with a coupled ocean/sea-ice/atmosphere model including stratospheric ozone, respectively with and without heterogeneous chemistry, simulate the tropospheric warming associated with an increase of the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide and other trace gases since 1950 and their impact on sea–ice extent, as well as the stratospheric cooling and its impact on ozone concentration. The scenario with heterogeneous chemistry reproduces the formation of the ozone hole over the South Pole from the 1970s and its deepening until the present time, and shows that the ozone hole should progressively fill during the coming decades. To cite this article: J.-F. Royer et al., C. R. Geoscience 334 (2002) 147–154.  相似文献   

Interannual variability and predictability of African easterly waves in a GCM     

Fabrice Chauvin  Jean-François Royer  Hervé Douville 《Climate Dynamics》2005,24(5):523-544

The interannual variability of African Easterly Waves (AEWs) is assessed with the help of spatio-temporal spectral analysis (STSA) and complex empirical orthogonal functions methods applied to the results of ten-member multiyear ensemble simulations. Two sets of experiments were conducted with the Météo-France ARPEGE-Climat GCM, one with interactive soil moisture (control), and the other with soil moisture relaxed towards climatological monthly means calculated from the control. Composites of Soudano–Sahelian AEWs were constructed and associated physical processes and dynamics were studied in the frame of the waves. It is shown that the model is able to simulate realistically some interannual variability in the AEWs, and that this dynamical aspect of the West African climate is potentially predictable (i.e. signal can be extracted from boundary conditions relatively to internal error of the GCM), especially along the moist Guinean coast. Compared with ECMWF 15-year reanalysis (ERA15), the maximum activity of AEWs is located too far to the South and is somewhat too zonal, but the main characteristics of the waves are well represented. The major impact of soil moisture relaxation in the GCM experiments is to reduce the seasonal potential predictability of AEWs over land by enhancing their internal variability.  相似文献   

Present and future Laurentian Great Lakes hydroclimatic conditions as simulated by regional climate models with an emphasis on Lake Michigan-Huron     

Biljana?MusicEmail author  Anne?Frigon  Brent?Lofgren  Richard?Turcotte  Jean-Fran?ois?Cyr 《Climatic change》2015,130(4):603-618

Regional climate modelling represents an appealing approach to projecting Great Lakes water supplies under a changing climate. In this study, we investigate the response of the Great Lakes Basin to increasing greenhouse gas and aerosols emissions using an ensemble of sixteen climate change simulations generated by three different Regional Climate Models (RCMs): CRCM4, HadRM3 and WRFG. Annual and monthly means of simulated hydro-meteorological variables that affect Great Lakes levels are first compared to observation-based estimates. The climate change signal is then assessed by computing differences between simulated future (2041–2070) and present (1971–1999) climates. Finally, an analysis of the annual minima and maxima of the Net Basin Supply (NBS), derived from the simulated NBS components, is conducted using Generalized Extreme Value distribution. Results reveal notable model differences in simulated water budget components throughout the year, especially for the lake evaporation component. These differences are reflected in the resulting NBS. Although uncertainties in observation-based estimates are quite large, our analysis indicates that all three RCMs tend to underestimate NBS in late summer and fall, which is related to biases in simulated runoff, lake evaporation, and over-lake precipitation. The climate change signal derived from the total ensemble mean indicates no change in future mean annual NBS. However, our analysis suggests an amplification of the NBS annual cycle and an intensification of the annual NBS minima in future climate. This emphasizes the need for an adaptive management of water to minimize potential negative implications associated with more severe and frequent NBS minima.  相似文献   

Zinc Speciation in Contaminated Sediments: Quantitative Determination of Zinc Coordination by X-ray Absorption Spectroscopy     

Samuel M. Webb  Jean-François Gaillard 《Aquatic Geochemistry》2015,21(2-4):295-312

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Left-lateral active deformation along the Mosha–North Tehran fault system (Iran): Morphotectonics and paleoseismological investigations     

Shahryar Solaymani Azad  Jean-François Ritz  Mohammad Reza Abbassi 《Tectonophysics》2011,497(1-4):1-14

The Mosha and North Tehran faults correspond to the nearest seismic sources for the northern part of the Tehran megacity. The present-day structural relationships and the kinematics of these two faults, especially at their junction in Lavasanat region, is still a matter of debate. In this paper, we present the results of a morphotectonic analysis (aerial photos and field investigations) within the central part of the Mosha and eastern part of the North Tehran faults between the Mosha valley and Tehran City. Our investigations show that, generally, the traces of activity do not follow the older traces corresponding to previous long-term dip–slip thrusting movements. The recent faulting mainly occurs on new traces trending E–W to ENE–WSW affecting Quaternary features (streams, ridges, risers, and young glacial markers) and cutting straight through the topography. Often defining en-echelon patterns (right- and left-stepping), these new traces correspond to steep faults with either north- or south-dipping directions, along which clear evidences for left-lateral strike–slip motion are found. At their junction zone, the two sinistral faults display a left-stepping en-echelon pattern defining a positive flower structure system clearly visible near Ira village. Further west, the left-lateral strike–slip motion is transferred along the ENE–WSW trending Niavaran fault and other faults. The cumulative offsets associated with this left-lateral deformation is small compared with the topography associated with the previous Late Tertiary thrusting motion, showing that it corresponds to a recent change of kinematics.  相似文献   

The Near-Nuclear Coma of Comet Halley in March 1986     

Szegö  Karoly  Crifo  Jean-François  Rodionov  Alexander V.  Fulle  Marco 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2002,90(1-4):435-443

The cameras carried onboard the flyby missions to comet P/Halleyin 1986 imaged the near nuclear jet activity fromseveral spatial directions. The observed, very structured near nucleardust jets were considered at that timeas the result of dust emission from well localized active surface regions(without supporting 3-D model computations, however).Based on the first, recently developed 3-D gas dynamical model ofP/Halley's activity,we have been shown that jet features can be reproduced assuming ahomogeneous dusty icenucleus surface. The dust in the collisional near nuclear comais concentrated along the gas flow discontinuities resulting from thecomplicated surface orography, creating the visual impression ofdust jets. We present here the results of these calculations forthe near nucleus dust distributions,and we compare them with the direct observations made during thethree Halley flybys (Vega 1, Vega 2, and Giotto).  相似文献   

Formation of albitite-hosted uranium within IOCG systems: the Southern Breccia,Great Bear magmatic zone,Northwest Territories,Canada     

Jean-Fran?ois?MontreuilEmail author  Louise?Corriveau  Eric?G.?Potter 《Mineralium Deposita》2015,50(3):293-325

Uranium and polymetallic U mineralization hosted within brecciated albitites occurs one kilometer south of the magnetite-rich Au–Co–Bi–Cu NICO deposit in the southern Great Bear magmatic zone (GBMZ), Canada. Concentrations up to 1 wt% U are distributed throughout a 3 by 0.5 km albitization corridor defined as the Southern Breccia zone. Two distinct U mineralization events are observed. Primary uraninite precipitated with or without pyrite–chalcopyrite?±?molybdenite within magnetite–ilmenite–biotite–K-feldspar-altered breccias during high-temperature potassic–iron alteration. Subsequently, pitchblende precipitated in earthy hematite–specular hematite–chlorite veins associated with a low-temperature iron–magnesium alteration. The uraninite-bearing mineralization postdates sodic (albite) and more localized high-temperature potassic–iron (biotite–magnetite ± K-feldspar) alteration yet predates potassic (K-feldspar), boron (tourmaline) and potassic–iron–magnesium (hematite ± K-feldspar ± chlorite) alteration. The Southern Breccia zone shares attributes of the Valhalla (Australia) and Lagoa Real (Brazil) albitite-hosted U deposits but contains greater iron oxide contents and lower contents of riebeckite and carbonates. Potassium, Ni, and Th are also enriched whereas Zr and Sr are depleted with respect to the aforementioned albitite-hosted U deposits. Field relationships, geochemical signatures and available U–Pb dates on pre-, syn- and post-mineralization intrusions place the development of the Southern Breccia and the NICO deposit as part of a single iron oxide alkali-altered (IOAA) system. In addition, this case example illustrates that albitite-hosted U deposits can form in albitization zones that predate base and precious metal ore zones in a single IOAA system and become traps for U and multiple metals once the tectonic regime favors fluid mixing and oxidation-reduction reactions.  相似文献   

Problèmes de la biostratigraphie dans le Paléozoïque supérieur continental (Stéphanien – Autunien) du Massif Central     

Jean-François Becq-Giraudon 《Geodinamica Acta》2013,26(4):219-224

Résumén

La coexistence de flores à cachet autunien et de flores à cachet Stéphanien dans une même formation et dans plusieurs bassins limniques du Paléozoïque supérieur du Massif central est attribuée.à des variations de paléoenvironnement : les flores “autuniennes” sont des flores méso- à xérophiles poussant sur les reliefs bordiers des bassins ou dans les zones hautes de ces derniers, alors que les flores “stéphaniennes” sont des flores hygrophiles des plaines d’inondation des zones basses. Le changement climatique qui marque le passage du Carbonifère au Per-mien, et qui se traduit par une certaine aridification, amène une évolution radicale de la composition des flores, les ensembles floristiques méso- et xérophiles devenant prédominants. Ceci démontre l’importance des conditions paléoécologiques sur la répartition et la succession des flores permocarbonifères. Il découle de tout ceci que la stratigraphie du Paléozoïque supérieur du Massif central, basée sur les successions de flores, n’est pas en mesure de fournir un cadre chronologique précis aux événements structuraux de l’époque.  相似文献   

The interplay between collapse structures,hydrothermal systems,and magma intrusions: the case of the central area of Piton de la Fournaise volcano   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Jean-François Lénat  Patrick Bachèlery 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2012,74(2):407-421

We explore the possible relationships between a structural heterogeneity, the hydrothermal system, and the intrusive activity at Piton de la Fournaise volcano. Geological and geophysical data show that as the result of repeated collapses (the last one in 2007), a cylinder of faulted, fractured, and crumbled rocks must exist between the surface and the top of a magma reservoir at about sea level. This structure constitutes a major geological heterogeneity. An obvious spatial correlation exists between this column of fractured and brecciated rock and the location of (1) most of the seismic activity, (2) a low-resistivity dome, (3) a huge self-potential anomaly, (4) thermal evidence of hydrothermal activity, and (5) the root of magma intrusions. The dominant factors that make this structural heterogeneity a trap for the activity are probably its higher permeability and its weaker mechanical strength. Evidence exists for the presence of an active hydrothermal system confined in this permeable zone. The long-term stability of the activated zone above sea level and the similarity of the pre-eruptive crises, in spite of the inferred large perturbation of the magmatic system in 1998, suggest a common triggering mechanism for all the eruptions since at least the first data recorded by the observatory in 1980. This mechanism can be purely magmatic, resulting from the pressurization of a reservoir, but we also propose that the hydrothermal system may play a role in the development of volcanic instabilities. A qualitative model is proposed to explain the triggering of magma intrusions by hydrothermal processes, and its speculative aspects are discussed. This work represents a first attempt to integrate the structural and dynamic information in a unified framework at Piton de la Fournaise.  相似文献   

Effects of macrophytes and terrestrial inputs on fluorescent dissolved organic matter in a large river system   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Jean-François Lapierre  Jean-Jacques Frenette 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》2009,71(1):15-24

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