The geochemistry of a dying continental arc: the Incapillo Caldera and Dome Complex of the southernmost Central Andean Volcanic Zone (~28°S)     

A. R. Goss  S. M. Kay  C. Mpodozis 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2011,161(1):101-128

The Pleistocene Incapillo Caldera and Dome Complex (5,570 m) marks the southernmost siliceous center of the Andean Central Volcanic Zone (~28°S), where the steeply dipping (~30°) segment of the subducting Nazca plate transitions into the Chilean “flatslab” to the south. The eruption of the Incapillo Caldera and Dome Complex began with a 3–1 Ma effusive phase characterized by ~40 rhyodacitic dome eruptions. This effusive phase was terminated by an explosive “caldera-forming” event at 0.51 Ma that produced the 14 km³ Incapillo ignimbrite. Distinctive and virtually identical chemical signatures of the domes and ignimbrites (SiO₂ = 67–72 wt%; La/Yb = 37–56; Ba/La = 16–28; La/Ta = 30–50; ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr = 0.70638–0.70669; ε _Nd = −4.2 to −4.6) indicate that all erupted lavas originated from the same magma chamber and that differentiation effects between units were minor. The strong HREE depletion (Sm/Yb = 6–8) that distinguishes Incapillo magmas from most of the large ignimbrites of the Altiplano–Puna plateau can be explained by the extent and degree of partial melting at lower crustal depths (>40 km) in the presence of garnet. At upper crustal depths, this high-pressure residual geochemical signature, also common to adjacent late Miocene/Pliocene Pircas Negras andesites, was partially overprinted by shallow-level assimilation and fractional crystallization processes. Energy-constrained AFC modeling suggests that incorporation of anatectic upper crustal melts into a fractionated “adakite-like” dacitic host best explains the petrogenesis of Incapillo magmas. The diminution of the sub-arc asthenospheric wedge during Nazca plate shallowing left the Incapillo magma chamber unreplenished by both mafic mantle-derived and lower crustal melts and thus stranded at shallow depths within the Andean crust. Based on its small size and distinctive high-pressure chemical signature, the Incapillo Caldera and Dome Complex provides an endmember model for an Andean caldera erupting within a waning magmatic arc over a shallowing subduction zone.  相似文献   

Climate change and river flooding: Part 2 sensitivity characterisation for british catchments and example vulnerability assessments   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

Christel Prudhomme  Alison L. Kay  Sue Crooks  Nick Reynard 《Climatic change》2013,119(3-4):949-964

This paper is the second of a series describing a scenario-neutral methodology to assess the sensitivity and vulnerability of British catchments to changes in flooding due to climate change. In paper one, nine flood sensitivity types were identified from response surfaces generated for 154 catchments. The response surfaces describe changes in 20-year return period flood peaks (RP20) in response to a large set of changes in precipitation, temperature and potential evapotranspiration. In this paper, a recursive partitioning algorithm is used to link families of sensitivity types to catchment properties, via a decision tree. The tree shows 85 % success characterising the four sensitivity families, using five properties and nine paths. Catchment annual average rainfall is the primary partitioning factor, with drier catchments having a more variable response to climate (precipitation) change than wetter catchments and higher catchment losses and permeability being aggravating factors. The full sensitivity-exposure-vulnerability methodology is illustrated for two catchments: sensitivity is estimated by using the decision tree to identify the sensitivity family (and its associated average response surface); exposure is defined from a set of climate model projections and combined with the response surface to estimate the resulting impacts (changes in RP20); vulnerability under a range of adaptive capacity thresholds is estimated from the set of impacts. Even though they are geographically close, the two catchments show differing vulnerability to climate change, due to their differing properties. This demonstrates that generalised response surfaces characterised by catchment properties are useful screening tools to quantify the vulnerability of catchments to climate change without the need to undertake a full climate change impact study.  相似文献   

Understanding the evolution of syn-depositional folds: Coupling decompaction and 3D sequential restoration     

Pauline Durand-Riard  Lise Salles Mary Ford  Guillaume Caumon Jeanne Pellerin 《Marine and Petroleum Geology》2011,28(8):1530-1539

The analysis of basin dynamics and burial evolution requires a good understanding of sediment compaction. Classically, decompaction of sediments is performed in one dimension at a well location, using either a simple compaction/depth relationship or more complex elasto-plastic models. This paper presents a new approach combining sequential decompaction with 3D restoration to allow for a true 3D basin analysis. Decompaction is performed in 3D after each restoration step, thus taking into account possible tectonic events and lateral thickness variations. Care is taken to apply decompaction to ensure volume continuity especially around faults. This approach is particularly suitable for syn-depositional folds whose growth strata constrain tectonic evolution through time.The proposed approach is applied to the sand-rich turbiditic reservoir analogue of Annot (SE France) where two fictitious wells are used to compare the new 3D technique to a well decompaction analysis. Coupling restoration and decompaction leads to an improved assessment of the basin history: an uplift of the underlying units is identified, which was not detected using decompaction on wells only. Such differences may have a significant impact on possible hydrocarbon maturation models of the basin. Moreover, the geometry of the restored and decompacted models can better constrains the basin history, and influence our understanding of potential hydrocarbon migration pathways.  相似文献   

The impact of galaxy formation on X-ray groups     

Scott T. Kay  Peter A. Thomas  Tom Theuns 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,343(2):608-618

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A search for X-ray variability in the open cluster NGC 2516     

Gavin Ramsay  Louise Harra  Hilary Kay 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,341(4):1388-1392

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Coffee growth,pest and yield responses to free-air CO2 enrichment     

Raquel Ghini  André Torre-Neto  Anamaria F. M. Dentzien  Oliveiro Guerreiro-Filho  Regiane Iost  Flávia R. A. Patrício  Jeanne S. M. Prado  Roberto A. Thomaziello  Wagner Bettiol  Fábio M. DaMatta 《Climatic change》2015,132(2):307-320

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Occurrence of phthalate diesters in rivers of the Paris district (France)     

Marie‐Jeanne Teil  Martine Blanchard  Cendrine Dargnat  Karen Larcher‐Tiphagne  Marc Chevreuil 《水文研究》2007,21(18):2515-2525

The occurrence and fate of six phthalate esters were investigated in the River Seine and two tributaries in the Paris area, at six sites from upstream to downstream, throughout different seasons, with special attention given to a flood episode. At all sites, except the River Marne, whatever the period, diethylhexyl phthalate (DEHP) displayed the highest concentration (0·323–0·779 µg l^?1 as mean values), followed by di‐n‐butyl phthalate (DnBP; 0·211–0·526 µg l^?1 as mean values), which is consistent with the production pattern. High phthalate concentrations appeared to be related to population density and industrial distribution. The strongest values were located downstream from wastewater treatment plant effluent inputs. Seasonal variations were closely related to river flow and air and water temperature. The annual evolution of phthalates was linked to the hydrological conditions. During the flood episode at Paris, the DEHP concentration displayed a sharp increase (260 to 1123 ng l^?1) occurring 9 days before the flood peak. The simultaneous fluctuations of NH₄, typical of domestic origin, and of DEHP suggests a similar origin from combined sewer overflows for both compounds. Other elevated values corresponded to the highest precipitation amounts, and demonstrated the contribution of non‐point‐source runoff and wastewater overflow to DEHP inputs. The DEHP concentration relationship with river flow displayed a clockwise hysteresis loop, corresponding to a ‘first‐flush’ effect in which the finite supplies are swept along in the early stage of the flood. Annual fluxes for 2004 at Paris were 2257 kg of DEHP and 1613 kg of DnBP. The flood period seemed to have a minor impact on annual phthalate transport (29·5% and 41% of the total for DEHP and for DnBP, respectively), which is contrary to annual suspended solids transport (69%). Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The importance of population,climate change and CO2 plant physiological forcing in determining future global water stress     

Andrew Wiltshire  Jemma Gornall  Ben Booth  Emily Dennis  Pete Falloon  Gillian Kay  Doug McNeall  Carol McSweeney  Richard Betts 《Global Environmental Change》2013,23(5):1083-1097

Future levels of water stress depend on changes in several key factors including population, climate-change driven water availability, and a carbon dioxide physiological-forcing effect on evaporation and run-off. In this study we use an ensemble of the HadCM3 climate model forced with a range of future emissions scenarios combined with a simple water scarcity index to assess the contribution of each of these factors to the projected population living in water stress over the 21st century.Population change only scenarios increase the number of people living in water stress such that at peak global population 65% of people experience some level of water stress. Globally, the climate model ensemble projects an increase in water availability which partially offsets some of the impacts of population growth. The result is 1 billion fewer people living in water stress by the 2080s under the high end emissions scenarios than if population increased in the absence of climate change.This study highlights the important role plant-physiological forcing has on future water resources. The effect of rising CO₂ is to increase available water and to reduce the number of people living in high water stress by around 200 million compared to climate only projections. This effect is of a similar order of magnitude to climate change.  相似文献   

Statistics of the Sunyaev–Zel'dovich effect power spectrum     

Michael W. Peel  Richard A. Battye  Scott T. Kay 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2009,397(4):2189-2207

Using large numbers of simulations of the microwave sky, incorporating the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and the Sunyaev–Zel'dovich (SZ) effect due to clusters, we investigate the statistics of the power spectrum at microwave frequencies between spherical multipoles of 1000 and 10 000. From these virtual sky maps, we find that the spectrum of the SZ effect has a larger standard deviation by a factor of 3 than would be expected from purely Gaussian realizations, and has a distribution that is significantly skewed towards higher values, especially when small map sizes are used. The standard deviation is also increased by around 10 per cent compared to the trispectrum calculation due to the clustering of galaxy clusters. We also consider the effects of including residual point sources and uncertainties in the gas physics. This has implications for the excess power measured in the CMB power spectrum by the Cosmic Background Imager (CBI) and Berkeley–Illinois–Maryland Association (BIMA) experiments. Our results indicate that the observed excess could be explained using a lower value of σ₈ than previously suggested, however the effect is not enough to match  σ₈= 0.825  . The uncertainties in the gas physics could also play a substantial role. We have made our maps of the SZ effect available online.  相似文献   

Groundwater overexploitation: why is the red flag waved? Case study on the Kairouan plain aquifer (central Tunisia)     

Sylvain?MassuelEmail author  Jeanne?Riaux 《Hydrogeology Journal》2017,25(6):1607-1620

In many parts of the world, groundwater users regularly face serious resource-depletion threat. At the same time, “groundwater overexploitation” is massively cited when discussing groundwater management problems. A kind of standard definition tends to relegate groundwater overexploitation only as a matter of inputs and outputs. However, a thorough state-of-the-art analysis shows that groundwater overexploitation is not only a matter of hydrogeology but also a qualification of exploitation based on political, social, technical, economic or environmental criteria. Thus, an aquifer with no threat to groundwater storage can rightly be considered as overexploited because of many other prejudicial aspects. So, why is groundwater overexploitation so frequently only associated with resource-depletion threat and so rarely related to other prejudicial aspects? In that case, what really lies behind the use of the overexploitation concept? The case of the Kairouan plain aquifer in central Tunisia was used to analyze the way that the overexploitation message emerges in a given context, how groundwater-use stakeholders (farmers, management agencies and scientists) each qualify the problem in their own way, and how they see themselves with regard to the concept of overexploitation. The analysis shows that focusing messages on overexploitation conceals the problems encountered by the various stakeholders: difficulties accessing water, problems for the authorities in controlling the territory and individual practices, and complications for scientists when qualifying hydrological situations. The solutions put forward to manage overexploitation are at odds with the problems that arise locally, triggering tensions and leading to misunderstandings between the parties involved.  相似文献