The last major earthquakes along the Magallanes–Fagnano fault system recorded by disturbed trees (Tierra del Fuego,South America)     

Antonio Pedrera  Jesús Galindo‐Zaldívar  Ana Ruiz‐Constán  Fernando Bohoyo  Pablo Torres‐Carbonell  Patricia Ruano  Adolfo Maestro  Lourdes González‐Castillo 《地学学报》2014,26(6):448-453

Forests situated above active fault zones may record hillslope evolution, thus holding information about recent seismic events. Lenga trees (Nothofagus pumilio) extend across the Magallanes–Fagnano fault system (MFFS), the active transform boundary between the South American and Scotia plates. Coseismic surface ruptures along the fault scarp tilt trees located uphill. During the interseismic period, tree growth curves the trunks. Annual tree rings from the study area show abrupt changes from concentric to asymmetric, allowing the timing of major historical earthquakes to be established. In this case, tree‐ring analysis suggests rupture on the MFFS fault scarp in 1883 ± 5 and 1941 ± 10, coinciding with the February 1, 1879 (Modified Mercalli Scale, VI) and the December 17, 1949 (Ms 7.8) earthquakes in Tierra del Fuego. Our results provide evidence that this fault system was the source of these earthquakes, which has implications for seismic hazard in the study region.  相似文献   

Humid Pleistocene−Holocene transition and early Holocene in sub‐tropical northern Mexico and possible Gulf of California forcing     

Priyadarsi D. Roy  Jesús D. Quiroz‐Jiménez  Claudia M. Chávez‐Lara  Jose L. Sánchez‐Zavala  Ligia L. Pérez‐Cruz  Gowrappan Muthu Sankar 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2014,43(3):577-587

A new geochemical record from the paaleolake Santiaguillo documents the hydrological variability of sub‐tropical northern Mexico over the last ～14 cal. ka. Summer‐season runoff, lake water salinity and deposition of sediments by aeolian activity were reconstructed from concentrations of K, Ca and Zr/K in bulk sediments. More‐than‐average runoff during c. 12.3–9.3 cal. ka BP represented an interval of enhanced summer precipitation. Arid intervals of c. 14–12.3 cal. ka BP and c. 6–4.3 cal. ka BP were characterized by average and more‐than‐average aeolian activity. Comparison with proxy records of summer as well as winter precipitation from tropical and sub‐tropical North America and sea surface temperatures from the Atlantic and Pacific provides insight into the source of moisture and possible forcing. The wet Pleistocene?Holocene transition and early Holocene was contemporary with warmer conditions in the Gulf of California. We suggest that the Atlantic had minimal influence on the summer precipitation of the western part of sub‐tropical northern Mexico and that the source of moisture was dominantly Pacific.  相似文献   

Spatio-temporal analysis of rockfall pre-failure deformation using Terrestrial LiDAR   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

Manuel Jesús Royán  Antonio Abellán  Michel Jaboyedoff  Joan Manuel Vilaplana  Jaume Calvet 《Landslides》2014,11(4):697-709

We present a long-term spatio-temporal analysis of rock slope evolution using a Terrestrial LiDAR aiming to improve our understanding of the link between pre-failure deformation and the spatial prediction of rockfalls. We monitored the pilot study area located at the Puigcercós cliff (Catalonia, Spain) over a period of 1,705 days and detected the deformation of nine different cliff regions together with a high rockfall activity. An exact match was observed between the progressively deformed areas and the regions recently affected by three of the highest magnitude rockfall events, demonstrating a causal relationship between pre-failure deformation and rockfall occurrence. These findings allowed us to make a forward spatial prediction of future failures, hypothesizing a high probability of failure in the six remaining regions. We observed an exponential acceleration of the deformation close to failure, in accordance with tertiary creep theory. However, the temporal analysis of the deformed areas showed a complex and variable behavior, so no exact prediction of the date of failure can yet be made. Our findings have broadened our understanding of the pre-failure behavior of rockfalls and have clear implications for the future implementation of early warning systems.  相似文献   

Cyclical salt efflorescence weathering: an invisible threat to the recovery of underground mine environment for tourist exploitation     

J. Matías Peñas Castejón  J. Francisco Maciá Sánchez  Mª Pilar Jiménez Medina  Mª Jesús Peñalver Martínez 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,72(6):1901-1913

Enhancing the value of an underground mine environment for tourist exploitation involves altering the physico-chemical balance of stone materials whose original mechanical properties guaranteed the structural stability of the site’s galleries and chambers. Humidity and temperature changes caused by the public exhibition of this kind of assets are the main causes of such disorders. After the intervention in the Agrupa-Vicenta mine in La Union (Spain) there were still runoff-water leaks into the mine. These water runoffs through the fault and schistosity planes of the enclosing rock mass give rise to salt precipitation over time. Adapting this mine and turning it into a museum have meant a decrease in relative indoors humidity and an increase in temperature. These variations have caused rocks, which were stable in the original conditions, to increase their rate of physico-chemical weathering due to the polycyclic supergene alteration of the metal sulfides they contain. The resulting release of sulfates into the solution and their subsequent precipitation as single and double salt efflorescence causes haloclasty, deteriorating the rock’s mechanical properties and diminishing the structural stability of the operation. This paper presents the results of characterizing the supergene mineral phases of salt efflorescence in the rock bed enclosing an underground sulfide mine value enhanced for tourist exploitation. Dangers for the structural stability of this type of architectural intervention, associated to the formation of efflorescences, are also identified; these efflorescences are caused by the weathering of rocks that make up its supporting structure.  相似文献   

Computational and conceptual issues in the calibration of seawater intrusion models   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Jesús Carrera  Juan J. Hidalgo  Luit J. Slooten  Enric Vázquez-Suñé 《Hydrogeology Journal》2010,18(1):131-145

The inverse problem of seawater intrusion (SWI) is reviewed. It represents a challenge because of both conceptual and computational difficulties and because coastal aquifer models display many singularities: (1) head measurements need to be complemented with density information; (2) salinity concentration data are very sensitive to flow within the borehole. Data problems can be reduced by incorporating the measurement process within model calibration; (3) SWI models are extremely sensitive to aquifer bottom topography; (4) the initial conditions may be far from steady state and depend on the location and type of sea-aquifer connection. Problems with aquifer geometry and initial conditions can be addressed by parameterization, which allows for modification during inversion. The four sets of difficulties can be partly overcome by using tidal response and electrical conductivity data, which are highly informative and provide extensive coverage. Still, SWI inversion is extremely demanding from a computation point of view. Computational improvements are discussed.  相似文献   

Vertical distribution of two sympatric labrid fishes in the Western Mediterranean and Eastern Atlantic rocky subtidal: local shore topography does matter     

Marco Milazzo  Angelo Palmeri  Jesús M. Falcón  Fabio Badalamenti  Jose A. Garcìa‐Charton  Mauro Sinopoli  Renato Chemello  Alberto Brito 《Marine Ecology》2011,32(4):521-531

Changes in the shore topography (e.g. slope) occur at a scale of hundreds of meters in several locations in the Lusitanian and the Mediterranean Sea provinces. We tested whether differences in the bottom inclination might affect the vertical distribution patterns of two sympatric coastal labrid fishes, the rainbow wrasse Coris julis and the ornate wrasse Thalassoma pavo. Visual censuses were used to determine the distribution and abundance of these labrid species in high (≥30°) and low (≤3°) slope rocky substrates covered by brown macroalgae and at two different depths (shallow, 4–7 m, and deep 14–20 m). Pectoral fin aspect ratio was used as an estimate of swimming performance to potentially explain the patterns observed. Despite the intrinsic biogeographical differences in the overall density of T. pavo and C. julis, on steep coasts the ornate wrasse dominated in shallow waters, whereas the two species coexisted both in shallow and deeper depths on gentle slope coasts. These distribution patterns were consistent across locations, and fin aspect ratio was not a good predictor of between‐habitat use for wrasses. We show that, under specific topographical conditions, the depth segregation pattern seems to be an interactive segregation (likely related to resource competition) rather than a result of selective segregation due to morphological differences in the pectoral fin. Significant ecological changes might occur in locations where the density of T. pavo has recently increased as a result of water warming.  相似文献   

Climate changes and human activities recorded in the sediments of Lake Estanya (NE Spain) during the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Mario Morell��n  Blas Valero-Garc��s  Pen��lope Gonz��lez-Samp��riz  Teresa Vegas-Vilarr��bia  Esther Rubio  Maria Rieradevall  Antonio Delgado-Huertas  Pilar Mata  ��scar Romero  Daniel R. Engstrom  Manuel L��pez-Vicente  Ana Navas  Jes��s Soto 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2011,46(3):423-452

A multi-proxy study of short sediment cores recovered in small, karstic Lake Estanya (42°02?? N, 0°32?? E, 670 m.a.s.l.) in the Pre-Pyrenean Ranges (NE Spain) provides a detailed record of the complex environmental, hydrological and anthropogenic interactions occurring in the area since medieval times. The integration of sedimentary facies, elemental and isotopic geochemistry, and biological proxies (diatoms, chironomids and pollen), together with a robust chronological control, provided by AMS radiocarbon dating and ²¹⁰Pb and ¹³⁷Cs radiometric techniques, enabled precise reconstruction of the main phases of environmental change, associated with the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), the Little Ice Age (LIA) and the industrial era. Shallow lake levels and saline conditions with poor development of littoral environments prevailed during medieval times (1150?C1300 AD). Generally higher water levels and more dilute waters occurred during the LIA (1300?C1850 AD), although this period shows a complex internal paleohydrological structure and is contemporaneous with a gradual increase of farming activity. Maximum lake levels and flooding of the current littoral shelf occurred during the nineteenth century, coinciding with the maximum expansion of agriculture in the area and prior to the last cold phase of the LIA. Finally, declining lake levels during the twentieth century, coinciding with a decrease in human pressure, are associated with warmer climate conditions. A strong link with solar irradiance is suggested by the coherence between periods of more positive water balance and phases of reduced solar activity. Changes in winter precipitation and dominance of NAO negative phases would be responsible for wet LIA conditions in western Mediterranean regions. The main environmental stages recorded in Lake Estanya are consistent with Western Mediterranean continental records, and show similarities with both Central and NE Iberian reconstructions, reflecting a strong climatic control of the hydrological and anthropogenic changes during the last 800 years.  相似文献   

Implementation of the European water framework directive from the Basque country (northern Spain): a methodological approach   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Borja A  Franco J  Valencia V  Bald J  Muxika I  Belzunce MJ  Solaun O 《Marine pollution bulletin》2004,48(3-4):209-218

The European Water Framework Directive provides a challenge in the development of new and accurate methodologies. It addresses assessment of Ecological Quality Status within European rivers, lakes, groundwaters, estuaries and coasts. Although this directive is simple and flexible in its concept, it is necessary to develop an approach based upon scientific knowledge; however, at the same time it should be as simple as possible, in order to achieve both requirements and comparability of results throughout European waters. This contribution presents the first methodological approach to the problem, as used for estuaries and coasts of the Basque Country (northern Spain), in: selecting typologies and reference conditions; determining biological quality and ecological status; and identifying some problems in implementing the WFD. As such, the present paper could serve as the basis for a discussion document for other regions and countries, throughout Europe.  相似文献   

Construction of the maximal solution of Backus’ problem in geodesy and geomagnetism     

Gregorio Díaz  Jesús I. Díaz  Jesús Otero 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2011,55(3):415-440

The (simplified) Backus’ Problem (BP) consists in finding a harmonic function u on the domain exterior to the three dimensional unit sphere S, such that u tends to zero at infinity and the norm of the gradient of u takes prescribed values g on S. Except for a change of sign, the solution is not unique in general. However, there is uniqueness of solutions in the class of functions with the additional property that the radial component of the gradient of u on S is nonpositive. This is the geodetically relevant case. If a solution u with this property exists, then u is the maximal solution of the problem (and -u the minimal one). In this paper we propose a method of successive approximations to get this particular solution of BP and prove the convergence for functions g close to a constant function.  相似文献   

Classifying wave forecasts with model-based Geostatistics and the Aitchison distribution   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Raimon Tolosana-Delgado  Juan Jos�� Egozcue  Agust��n S��nchez-Arcilla  Jes��s G��mez 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2011,25(8):1091-1100

This paper proposes a non-parametric method of classification of maps (i.e., variable fields such as wave energy maps for the Western Mediterranean Sea) into a set of D typical regimes (calm, E-, SW- or N/NW-wind dominated storms, the 4 synoptic situations more often occurring in this region). Each map in the training set is described by its values at P measurement points and one of these regime classes. A map is thus identified as a labelled point in a P-dimensional feature space, and the problem is to find a discrimination rule that may be used for attaching a classification probability to future unlabelled maps. The discriminant model proposed assumes that some log-contrasts of these classification probabilities form a Gaussian random field on the feature space. Then, available data (labelled maps of the training set) are linked to these latent probabilities through a multinomial model. This model is quite common in model-based Geostatistics and the Gaussian process classification literature. Inference is here approximated numerically using likelihood based techniques. The multinomial likelihood of labelled features is combined in a Bayesian updating with the Gaussian random field, playing the role of prior distribution. The posterior corresponds to an Aitchison distribution. Its maximum posterior estimates are obtained in two steps, exploiting several properties of this family. The first step is to obtain the mode of this distribution for labelled features, by solving a mildly non-linear system of equations. The second step is to propagate these estimates to unlabelled features, with simple kriging of log-contrasts. These inference steps can be extended via Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to a hierarchical Bayesian problem. This MCMC sampling can be improved by further exploiting the Aitchison distribution properties, though this is only outlined here. Results for the application case study suggest that E- and N/NW-dominated storms can be successfully discriminated from calm situations, but not so easily distinguished from each other.  相似文献