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71.
Temperature and precipitation fluctuations in the Czech Republic during the period of instrumental measurements 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Rudolf Brázdil Pavel Zahradní?ek Petr Pi?oft Petr ?těpánek Monika Bělínová Petr Dobrovolny 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2012,110(1-2):17-34
The history of early meteorological observations using instruments in the Czech Lands is described (the longest temperature series for Prague-Klementinum starts in 1775, precipitation series for Brno in 1803). Using the PRODIGE method, long-term monthly temperature and precipitation series from selected secular stations were homogenised (for 10 and 12 stations, respectively). All the seasonal and annual temperature series for the common period 1882–2010 show a significant positive linear trend with accelerated warming from the 1970s onwards. No significant linear trends were disclosed in the series of seasonal and annual precipitation totals. Correlation coefficients between the Czech series analysed decrease as distances between measuring stations increase. A sharper decrease of correlations for precipitation totals displays much weaker spatial relationships than those for mean temperatures. The highest correlations between all stations appeared in 1921–1950, the lowest in 1891–1920 (temperature) and 1981–2010 (precipitation). Wavelet analysis reveals that very distinct annual cycles as well as the slightly weaker semi-annual ones are better expressed for temperature series than for precipitation. Statistically significant cycles longer than 1?year are temporally unstable and sporadic for precipitation, while in the temperature series cycles of 7.4–7.7 and 17.9–18.4?years were recorded as significant by all stations in 1882–2010 (quasi-biennial cycle of 2.1–2.2?years for half the stations). Czech homogenous temperature series correlate best with those of the Northern Hemisphere for annual, spring and summer values (with significant correlation coefficients between 0.60 and 0.70), but this relation is temporally unstable. Circulation indices, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAOI) and the Central European Zonal Index (CEZI), may explain the greater part of Czech temperature variability, especially from December to March and for the winter; however, this relationship is much weaker, or even random, for precipitation series. Further, relationships with the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) are weak and random. Relatively weak coincidences exist between statistically significant cycles in the Czech series and those detected in NAOI, CEZI and SOI series. 相似文献
72.
塔里木盆地克拉2气田白垩系储层沉积相 总被引:19,自引:6,他引:13
克拉2气田是我国陆上勘探发现的最大气田,它的发现奠定了塔里木盆地做为我国 “西气东输” 重要天然气基地的资源基础。克拉2气田产层主要为下白垩统巴什基奇克组砂岩、下第三系库姆格列木群底砂岩和白云岩,其中下白垩统巴什基奇克组砂岩储层厚度为220.3-285.2m,孔隙度为1.1-22.4%,平均12.83%;渗透率为0.004-1770.1×10-3μm2,平均51.46×10-3μm2。砂岩储层以剩余原生粒间孔为主。通过钻井和露头剖面沉积相对比,克拉2气田巴什基奇克组第三段为扇三角洲前缘沉积,主要微相有水下分流河道、水下重力流和浅湖泥等,岩性以砂砾岩、含砾砂岩和褐色泥岩为主;第二段为辫状河三角洲前缘沉积,主要有水下辫状河道、河口砂坝和分流间湾等微相,以棕褐色中细砂岩夹薄层泥岩为主;第一段为辫状河三角洲平原沉积,主要有远端辫状河道和分流间湾微相,以棕褐色中细砂岩为主。巴什基奇克组沉积时期,古气候以干旱炎热为主,北部发育多个扇体,在平面上相互连接、叠置形成多个物源出口,形成了一系列由辫状河道组成的辫状河三角洲,而非单一辫状河流形成的沉积体,从而形成大面积分布的稳定砂体。沉积微相对比表明,巴什基奇克组储层是由互相切割的多个辫状河道砂体叠置而成,各段微相在横向上分布十分稳定,各砂体互相连通、连续性好,泥岩夹层薄、不连续,空间上具有厚度大、分布广、连续性好、物性好和隔夹层少的特点,为一套优质天然气储层。 相似文献
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76.
基本地震烈度、饱和砂土振动液化的可能性、土体允许承载力和压缩模量及洪水威胁性等,是影响洞庭湖区工程地质环境质量的5个主要参评因子,据此本文运用模糊综合评判方法,对洞庭湖区的工程地质环境质量进行了综合评价。 相似文献
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78.
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Uwe Ulbrich Tim brücher Dariusz Graczyk Andreas Krüger Gregor C. Leckebusch Lucas Menzel Iwona Pińskwar Maciej Radziejewski Małgorzata Szwed 《Natural Hazards》2005,36(1-2):165-189
In Central Europe, river flooding has been recently recognized as a major hazard, in particular after the 1997 Odra /Oder flood, the 2001 Vistula flood, and the most destructive 2002 deluge on the Labe/Elbe. Major recent floods in central Europe are put in perspective and their common elements are identified. Having observed that flood risk and vulnerability are likely to have grown in many areas, one is curious to understand the reasons for growth. These can be sought in socio-economic domain (humans encroaching into floodplain areas), terrestrial systems (land-cover changes – urbanization, deforestation, reduction of wetlands, river regulation), and climate system. The atmospheric capacity to absorb moisture, its potential water content, and thus potential for intense precipitation, are likely to increase in a warmer climate. The changes in intense precipitation and high flows are examined, based on observations and projections. Study of projected changes in intense precipitation, using climate models, for several areas of central Europe, and in particular, for drainage basins of the upper Labe/Elbe, Odra/Oder, and Vistula is reported. Significant changes have been identified between future projections and the reference period, of relevance to flood hazard in areas, which have experienced severe recent floodings. 相似文献
79.
An ionospheric model is used to simulate total electron content (TEC) disturbance events observed at middle and lower latitude sites near 75○W and 7○E longitudes. Within this longitudinal range, daytime TEC disturbances show patterns that are correlated with substrom activity seen in both auroral electrojet and ring current behavior. In modeling studies of the observed ionospheric effects, both electric field and neutral wind perturbations are examined as possible mechanisms. The morphological features of the required electric field perturbations near drawn and dusk are compared with those at other times to examine the local time characteristics of magnetospheric influence. Large-scale traveling atmospheric disturbances (TADs), an alternative candidate for the disturbance source, are also characterized and compared with known thermospheric behavior. 相似文献
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