Realisation of a fully‐deterministic microlensing observing strategy for inferring planet populations     

M. Dominik  U.G. Jrgensen  N.J. Rattenbury  M. Mathiasen  T.C. Hinse  S. Calchi Novati  K. Harpse  V. Bozza  T. Anguita  M.J. Burgdorf  K. Horne  M. Hundertmark  E. Kerins  P. Kjrgaard  C. Liebig  L. Mancini  G. Masi  S. Rahvar  D. Ricci  G. Scarpetta  C. Snodgrass  J. Southworth  R.A. Street  J. Surdej  C.C. Thne  Y. Tsapras  J. Wambsganss  M. Zub 《Astronomische Nachrichten》2010,331(7):671-691

Within less than 15 years, the count of known planets orbiting stars other than the Sun has risen from none to more than 400 with detections arising from four successfully applied techniques: Doppler‐wobbles, planetary transits, gravitational microlensing, and direct imaging. While the hunt for twin Earths is on, a statistically well‐defined sample of the population of planets in all their variety is required for probing models of planet formation and orbital evolution so that the origin of planets that harbour life, like and including ours, can be understood. Given the different characteristics of the detection techniques, a complete picture can only arise from a combination of their respective results. Microlensing observations are well‐suited to reveal statistical properties of the population of planets orbiting stars in either the Galactic disk or bulge from microlensing observations, but a mandatory requirement is the adoption of strictly‐deterministic criteria for selecting targets and identifying signals. Here, we describe a fully‐deterministic strategy realised by means of the ARTEMiS (Automated Robotic Terrestrial Exoplanet Microlensing Search) system at the Danish 1.54‐m telescope at ESO La Silla between June and August 2008 as part of the MiNDSTEp (Microlensing Network for the Detection of Small Terrestrial Exoplanets) campaign, making use of immediate feedback on suspected anomalies recognized by the SIGNALMEN anomaly detector. We demonstrate for the first time the feasibility of such an approach, and thereby the readiness for studying planet populations down to Earth mass and even below, with ground‐based observations. While the quality of the real‐time photometry is a crucial factor on the efficiency of the campaign, an impairment of the target selection by data of bad quality can be successfully avoided. With a smaller slew time, smaller dead time, and higher through‐put, modern robotic telescopes could significantly outperform the 1.54‐m Danish, whereas lucky‐imaging cameras could set new standards for high‐precision follow‐up monitoring of microlensing events (© 2010 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)  相似文献   

Probabilistic and fuzzy reliability analysis of a sample slope near Aliano   总被引：13，自引：0，他引：13  

C. I. Giasi  P. Masi  C. Cherubini 《Engineering Geology》2003,67(3-4):391-402

Slope stability assessment is a geotechnical problem characterized by many sources of uncertainty. Some of them, e.g., are connected to the variability of soil parameters involved in the analysis. Beginning from a correct geotechnical characterization of the examined site, only a complete approach to uncertainty matter can lead to a significant result. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate how to model data uncertainty in order to perform slope stability analysis with a good degree of significance.

Once the input data have been determined, a probabilistic stability assessment (first-order second moment and Monte Carlo analysis) is performed to obtain the variation of failure probability vs. correlation coefficient between soil parameters. A first result is the demonstration of the stability of first-order second moment (FOSM) (both with normal and lognormal distribution assumption) and Monte Carlo (MC) solutions, coming from a correct uncertainty modelling. The paper presents a simple algorithm (Fuzzy First Order Second Moment, FFOSM), which uses a fuzzy-based analysis applied to data processing.  相似文献   

Trace-element behavior during weathering of leucite in potassic rocks from the Roccamonfina volcano (Campania, southern Italy) and environmental implications     

B. Giannetti  U. Masi 《Lithos》1989,22(4):317-324

Trace-element contents in leucite and its alteration mineral phases from the Quaternary potassic rocks of the Roccamonfina volcano have been determined. The dominant weathering phase of leucite is analcite. In the early stages of the conversion process, it concentrates mainly Rb and Sr with minor amounts of Ba, Ni, V, Zn, La, Ce and Zr. At more advanced stages of the conversion process, only Rb and Y persist, while all other elements (except Cu and Cr that are essentially immobile) are lost, particularly Zn and to a lesser extent La, Ce and Nd. Besides analcite, leucite may also subordinately alter to halloysite. This probably occurs by interaction of waters of low cation/H⁺ ratio. Halloysite concentrates mainly Sr and, to a lower extent, Ba. Environmental implications are significant only for K, as the release of this element to groundwaters increases greatly the fertility of soils.  相似文献   

Building damage scenarios based on exploitation of Housner intensity derived from finite faults ground motion simulations   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

Leonardo Chiauzzi  Angelo Masi  Marco Mucciarelli  Marco Vona  Francesca Pacor  Giovanna Cultrera  Frantisek Gallovič  Antonio Emolo 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2012,10(2):517-545

In this paper earthquake damage scenarios for residential buildings (about 4200 units) in Potenza (Southern Italy) have been estimated adopting a novel probabilistic approach that involves complex source models, site effects, building vulnerability assessment and damage estimation through Damage Probability Matrices. Several causative faults of single seismic events, with magnitude up to 7, are known to be close to the town. A seismic hazard approach based on finite faults ground motion simulation techniques has been used to identify the sources producing the maximum expected ground motion at Potenza and to generate a set of ground motion time histories to be adopted for building damage scenarios. Additionally, site effects, evaluated in a previous work through amplification factors of Housner intensity, have been combined with the bedrock values provided by hazard assessment. Furthermore, a new relationship between Housner and EMS-98 macroseismic intensity has been developed. This relationship has been used to convert the probability mass functions of Housner intensity obtained from synthetic seismograms amplified by the site effects coefficients into probability mass function of EMS-98 intensity. Finally, the Damage Probability Matrices have been applied to estimate the damage levels of the residential buildings located in the urban area of Potenza. The proposed methodology returns the full probabilistic distribution of expected damage, thus avoiding average damage index or uncertainties expressed in term of dispersion indexes.  相似文献   

Stable isotope systematics in mesozoic granites of Central and Northern California and Southwestern Oregon     

Umberto Masi  James R. O'Neil  Ronald W. Kistler 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1981,76(1):116-126

¹⁸O, D, and H₂O⁺ contents were measured for whole-rock specimens of granitoid rocks from 131 localitics in California and southwestern Oregon. With 41 new determinations in the Klamath Mountains and Sierra Nevada, initial strontium isotope ratios are known for 104 of these samples. Large variations in ¹⁸O (5.5 to 12.4), D (–130 to –31), water contents (0.14 to 2.23 weight percent) and initial strontium isotope ratios (0.7028 to 0.7095) suggest a variety of source materials and identify rocks modified by secondary processes. Regular patterns of variation in each isotopic ratio exist over large geographical regions, but correlations between the ratios are generally absent except in restricted areas. For example, the regular decrease in D values from west to east in the Sierra Nevada batholith is not correlative with a quite complex pattern of ¹⁸O values, implying that different processes were responsible for the isotopic variations in these two elements. In marked contrast to a good correlation between (⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr)_o and ¹⁸O observed in the Peninsular Ranges batholith to the south, such correlations are lacking except in a few areas. D values, on the other hand, correlate well with rock types, chemistry, and (⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr)_o except in the Coast Ranges where few of the isotopic signatures are primary. The uniformly low D values of samples from the Mojave Desert indicate that meteoric water contributed much of the hydrogen to the rocks in that area. Even so, the ¹⁸O values and ¹⁸O fractionations between quartz and feldspar are normal in these same rocks.This reconnaissance study has identified regularities in geochemical parameters over enormous geographical regions. These patterns are not well understood but merit more detailed examination because they contain information critical to our understanding of the development of granitoid batholiths.  相似文献   

Observations of the temperature and polarization anisotropies with Boomerang 2003     

W.C. Jones  P.A.R. Ade  J.J. Bock  J.R. Bond  J. Borrill  A. Boscaleri  P. Cabella  C.R. Contaldi  B.P. Crill  P. de Bernardis  G. De Gasperis  A. de Oliveira-Costa  G. De Troia  G. Di Stefano  E. Hivon  A.H. Jaffe  T.S. Kisner  A.E. Lange  C.J. MacTavish  S. Masi  P.D. Mauskopf  A. Melchiorri  T.E. Montroy  P. Natoli  C.B. Netterfield  E. Pascale  F. Piacentini  D. Pogosyan  G. Polenta  S. Prunet  S. Ricciardi  G. Romeo  J.E. Ruhl  P. Santini  M. Tegmark  M. Veneziani  N. Vittorio   《New Astronomy Reviews》2006,50(11-12):945

The Boomerang experiment completed its final long duration balloon (LDB) flight over Antarctica in January 2003. The focal plane was upgraded to accommodate four sets of 145 GHz polarization sensitive bolometers (PSBs), identical to those to be flown on the Planck HFI instrument. Approximately, 195 hours of science observations were obtained during this flight, including 75 hours distributed over 1.84% of the sky and an additional 120 hours concentrated on a region covering 0.22% of the sky. We derive the angular power spectra of the cosmic microwave background (cmb) temperature and polarization anisotropies from these data. The temperature anisotropies are detected with high signal to noise on angular scales ranging from several degrees to 10 arcminutes. The curl-free (EE) component is detected at 4.8σ, and a two-sigma upper limit on the curl (BB) component of 8.6 μK² is obtained on scales corresponding to 0.5°. Both the temperature and polarization anisotropies are found to be consistent with a concordance ΛCDM cosmology that is seeded by adiabatic density perturbations. In addition to the cmb observations, Boomerang03 surveyed a 300 square degree region centered on the Galactic plane. These observations represent the first light for polarization sensitive bolometers, which are currently operational in two South-Pole based polarimeters, as well as Planck HFI, at frequencies ranging from 100 to 350 GHz (3 mm to 850 μm).  相似文献