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931.
Vegetation is known to influence the hydrological state variables, suction \( \left( \psi \right) \) and volumetric water content (\( \theta_{w} \)) of soil. In addition, vegetation induces heterogeneity in the soil porous structure and consequently the relative permeability (\( k_{r} \)) of water under unsaturated conditions. The indirect method of utilising the soil water characteristic curve (SWCC) is commonly adopted for the determination of \( k_{r} \). In such cases, it is essential to address the stochastic behaviour of SWCC, in order to conduct a robust analysis on the \( k_{r} \) of vegetative cover. The main aim of this study is to address the uncertainties associated with \( k_{r} \), using probabilistic analysis, for vegetative covers (i.e., grass and tree species) with bare cover as control treatment. We propose two approaches to accomplish the aforesaid objective. The univariate suction approach predicts the probability distribution functions of \( {\text{k}}_{\text{r}} \), on the basis of identified best probability distribution of suction. The bivariate suction and water content approach deals with the bivariate modelling of the water content and suction (SWCC), in order to capture the randomness in the permeability curves, due to presence of vegetation. For this purpose, the dependence structure of \( \psi \) and \( \theta_{w} \) is established via copula theory, and the \( k_{r} \) curves are predicted with respect to varying levels of \( \psi - \theta_{w} \) correlation. The results showed that the \( k_{r} \) of vegetative covers is substantially lower than that in bare covers. The reduction in \( k_{r} \) with drying is more in tree cover than grassed cover, since tree roots induce higher levels of suction. Moreover, the air entry value of the soil depends on the magnitude of \( \psi - \theta_{w} \) correlation, which in turn, is influenced by the type of vegetation in the soil. \( k_{r} \) is found to be highly uncertain in the desaturation zone of the relative permeability curve. The stochastic behaviour of \( k_{r} \) is found to be most significant in tree covers. Finally, a simplified case study is also presented in order to demonstrate the impact of the uncertainty in \( k_{r} \), on the stability of vegetates slopes. With an increment in the parameter \( \alpha \), factor of safety (FS) is found to decrease. The trend of FS is reverse of this with parameter \( n \). Overall FS is found to vary around 4–5%, for both bare and vegetative slopes.  相似文献   
932.
During the occurrence of earthquake, the shear wave propagates in the rocks present inside/at the Earth’s crust. The propagation of shear wave may lead to the progression of punch present inside the rock medium. As a result of this, substantial stress accumulated at the vicinity of propagating punch inside rock medium which significantly affects the stability of various geological and human-made structure and, hence, may cause failure of structure. Therefore, the analysis of stress concentration at the vicinity of punch moving due to shear wave propagation has become prominent in the area of seismology. In the present paper, an analytical perspective has been employed to discuss the influence of velocity of moving punch associated with the propagation of shear wave on developed dynamic stress concentration (DSC) in three types of pre-stressed vertical transversely isotropic (VTI) poroelastic media viz. granite (an igneous rock); sandstone (a sedimentary rock); and marble (a metamorphic rock). The closed form expression of DSC for the force of constant intensity has been derived with the aid of Weiner-Hopf technique along with Galilean and two-sided Fourier integral transformations. The noticeable influence of different affecting parameters (viz. velocity of moving punch associated with the shear wave propagation, horizontal compressive/tensile initial stresses, vertical compressive/tensile initial stress, porosity, and anisotropy parameter) on dynamic stress concentration has also been reported. Numerical computation and graphical illustrations have been carried out for the aforementioned three different types of porous rocks to investigate the profound impact of affecting parameters on DSC. Moreover, some noteworthy peculiarities have also been derived from the obtained expression of dynamic stress concentration.  相似文献   
933.
Application of minimum relative entropy theory for streamflow forecasting   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
This paper develops and applies the minimum relative entropy (MRE) theory with spectral power as a random variable for streamflow forecasting. The MRE theory consists of (1) hypothesizing a prior probability distribution for the random variable, (2) determining the spectral power distribution, (3) extending the autocorrelation function, and (4) doing forecasting. The MRE theory was verified using streamflow data from the Mississippi River watershed. The exponential distribution was chosen as a prior probability in applying the MRE theory by evaluating the historical data of the Mississippi River. If no prior information is given, the MRE theory is equivalent to the Burg entropy (BE) theory. The spectral density obtained by the MRE theory led to higher resolution than did the BE theory. The MRE theory did not miss the largest peak at 1/12th frequency, which is the main periodicity of streamflow of the Mississippi River, but the BE theory sometimes did. The MRE theory was found to be capable of forecasting monthly streamflow with a lead time from 12 to 48 months. The coefficient of determination (r 2) between observed and forecasted stream flows was 0.912 for Upper Mississippi River and was 0.855 for Lower Mississippi River. Both MRE and BE theories were generally more reliable and had longer forecasting lead times than the autoregressive (AR) method. The forecasting lead time for MRE and BE could be as long as 48–60 months, while it was less than 48 months for the AR method. However, BE was comparable to MRE only when observations fitted the AR process well. The MRE theory provided more reliable forecasts than did the BE theory, and the advantage of using MRE is more significant for downstream flows with irregular flow patterns or where the periodicity information is limited. The reliability of monthly streamflow forecasting was the highest for MRE, followed by BE followed by AR.  相似文献   
934.
The Palmer indices (PIs) that have been most widely used for drought monitoring and assessment are criticized for two main drawbacks: coarse hydrological accounting processes with a simplified two-stage bucket soil water balance model and arbitrary rules for defining drought properties and standardizing index values through limited calibration and comparison. In this study, we introduce a new proposal of the VIC hydrologic model-based Palmer drought scheme, where traditional PIs (e.g. PDSI) can readily be calculated on the basis of distributed finescale hydrologic simulations. Moreover, recent variants of PI (i.e., SPDI and SPDI-JDI) also provide a preferable standardization strategy that allows probabilistic invariability and better spatio-temporal comparability of computed drought indices. Using gridded meteorological forcing, soil and vegetation data to drive the three-layer VIC model, both non-VIC and VIC-based PIs are investigated to examine their performances for drought characterization and detection. Results indicate that VIC hydrologic model would allow for adjustments in statistical properties of computed PDSI and VIC-based SPDI is also preferable to PDSI for better statistical robustness and spatio-temporal consistency/comparability. Moreover, the joint SPDI-JDI has the strength of integrating multi-scale probabilistic properties and drought information released by individual SPDI, providing overall drought conditions that take into account the onset, persistence and termination of droughts. At proposed 0.25° grid scale, the VIC-based SPDI-JDI indicates high frequency and long total time of drought condition in the Yellow River basin (YRB), China. Although no significant temporal trends are found in identified drought duration and severity, both the seasonal and annual drought index values demonstrate a downward trend (higher drought intensity) for considerable proportions of the YRB. These findings imply high drought risk and potential drying stress for this region. The new framework of hydrologic model-based PIs can help to strengthen our knowledge and/or practices in regional drought monitoring and assessment.  相似文献   
935.
Forecasting monthly precipitation using sequential modelling   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
In the hydrological cycle, rainfall is a major component and plays a vital role in planning and managing water resources. In this study, new generation deep learning models, recurrent neural network (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM), were applied for forecasting monthly rainfall, using long sequential raw data for time series analysis. “All-India” monthly average precipitation data for the period 1871–2016 were taken to build the models and they were tested on different homogeneous regions of India to check their robustness. From the results, it is evident that both the trained models (RNN and LSTM) performed well for different homogeneous regions of India based on the raw data. The study shows that a deep learning network can be applied successfully for time series analysis in the field of hydrology and allied fields to mitigate the risks of climatic extremes.  相似文献   
936.
The available models for eff ective periods of site and structure are reviewed in context of frequency tuning in the inelastic seismic response of soil-structure system. The eff ect of seismic intensity and ductility demand, on the eff ective periods, is investigated, and inelastic site amplifi cation is shown to be strongly correlated to the normalized eff ective period. Two non-dimensional parameters, analogous to the conventional site amplifi cation factors in codes, are defi ned to quantify the inelastic site amplifi cation. It is shown that the inelastic site amplifi cation factor (i.e. ratio of constant ductility spectral ordinates at soil site to those at rock outcrop) is able to represent the site eff ects more clearly, as compared to the inelastic site amplifi cation ratio (i.e. ratio of inelastic spectral ordinates at soil site to the corresponding elastic spectral ordinates at rock outcrop). Further, the peak in the amplifi cation factor corresponding to the eff ective site period diminishes rapidly with increasing ductility demand.  相似文献   
937.
938.
Urban stream features can be used to promote nutrient retention; however, their interactions with different hydrological regimes impact nutrient cycling, decrease their retention capacity, and inhibit stream ecosystem functioning. This study analysed the temporal and spatial dynamics of the uptake of three nutrients (nitrate, ammonium, and phosphorus) in an urban drainage stream during high flows. In particular, we studied variations in net uptake along the right margin (with native vegetation and a roots mat) comparatively to the left margin (a non‐rooted grassy bank). Applying the spiralling approach within each subreach on either side, we determined nutrient subreach (sr) retention metrics: uptake rate coefficients , mass transfer rates , and areal uptake rates . Our results showed nitrate (NO3) and ammonium (NH4) net uptakes on the right side were higher and more frequent along subreaches where the root mat was more abundant ( [μg m?2 s?1] = 22.80 ± 1.13 for NO3 and 10.50 ± 0.81 for NH4), whereas on the left side both nutrients showed patchy and inconsistent net uptake patterns despite the homogeneous grass distribution. Net uptake for filtered reactive phosphorus (FRP) was not observed on either side at any flow rate. The impact of hydrological factors such as discharge, travel time, water depth, and concentration, on uptake metrics was studied. Despite increases in travel time as the flow decreased, there was a reduction in net uptake rates, and , on either side. This was attributed to a reduction in water level with declining flows, which decreased hydrologic connectivity with the stream banks, combined with a decrease in water velocity and a reduction in nutrient concentrations. We concluded the rooted bank acted as an effective retention area by systematically promoting net uptake resulting in a twofold increased dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) retention relative to the non‐rooted side where net uptake was spatially localized and highly dynamic. Overall, this work emphasized the importance of strategically sampling close to biologically active surfaces to more accurately determine areas where gross uptake surpasses release process.  相似文献   
939.
Shallow aquifers typically have greater hydrologic connectivity and response to recharge and changes in surface water management practices than deeper aquifers and are therefore often managed to reduce the risk of flooding. Quantification of the water table elevation response under different management scenarios provides valuable information in shallow aquifer systems to assess indirect influences of such modifications. The episodic master recession method was applied to the 15‐min water table elevation and NEXRAD rainfall data for 6 wells to identify water table response and individual rainfall events. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the effects of rainfall, water table elevation, canal stage, site‐specific characteristics, and canal structure modification/water management practice on the fluctuations in water table elevations using multiple/stepwise multiple linear regression techniques. With the modification of canal structure and operation adjustment, significant difference existed in water table response in the southern wells due to its relative downstream position regarding the general groundwater flow direction and the structural modification locations. On average, water table response height and flood risk were lower after than before the structure modification to canals. The effect of rainfall event size on the height of water table response was greater than the effect of antecedent water table elevation and canal stage on the height of water table response. Other factors including leakance of the canal bed sediment, specific yield, and rainfall on i  ? 1 day had significant effects on the height of water table response as well. Antecedent water table elevation and canal stage had greater and more linear effects on the height of water table response after the management changes to canals. Variation in water table response height/rainfall event size ratio was attributed to difference in S y , antecedent soil water content, hydraulic gradient, rainfall size, and run‐off ratio. After the structure modification, water table response height/rainfall event size ratio demonstrated more linear and proportional relationship with antecedent water table elevation and canal stage.  相似文献   
940.
Peatlands provide a setting that is well suited for cranberry agriculture in the Northeastern United States. However, misconceptions exist about the amounts and forms of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) export from cranberry farms. In this study, we report inorganic and organic forms of N and P export from five peatlands cultivated for cranberry production in southeastern, Massachusetts, United States. We then compare N loading rates among cranberry farms in southeastern Massachusetts, row crop farms in the Midwestern United States, and uncultivated peatlands in the United States and United Kingdom. Based on a fluvial mass balance analysis, we find that nonriparian cranberry farms export 2.56 kg of P ha−1 year−1of total P and 12.1 kg of N ha−1 year−1of total N. Total N export from riparian or “flow through” farms is two times higher than nonriparian farms due to less retention of N fertilizer in the vadose zone of riparian farms. Gross total N export from riparian and nonriparian cranberry farms consists of 35% particulate organic N, 26% dissolved organic N, 31% ammonium (NH4+), and 8% nitrate (NO3). The low proportions of NO3 export (13% of total dissolved N [TDN]) for cranberry farms differ from NO3 export for row crop farms (75% of TDN; p < .001) but not for uncultivated peatlands (17% of TDN; p = .61). Despite being highly modified by fertilizers and artificial drainage, low NO3 export (2.2 kg of N ha−1 year−1) from cranberry farms is consistent with field measurements of rapid N turnover in uncultivated peatlands. This finding suggests that state-funded wetland restoration efforts to restore denitrification in retired cranberry farms may be limited by NO3 rather than soil moisture or organic matter.  相似文献   
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