Experimental research on the effect of slope morphology on bank collapse in mountain reservoir     

Ji  Feng  Shi  Yuchuan  Zhou  Huixing  Liu  Haiming  Liao  Yi 《Natural Hazards》2017,87(1):165-184

Farmers along the Amazon River each year face multiple natural hazards that threaten crop production and limit the potential for agricultural development of the expansive floodplain and active channel. In this paper we report the findings of a study of natural hazard-related risk associated with rice production on silt bars in the active channel of the Amazon River near Iquitos, Peru. Data were gathered in four rice producing communities in 2014 using household surveys (n = 83 households), focus group discussions, surveying of land elevations along the Amazon River, and interpretation of remote sensing imagery. The probability, extent, and severity of rice crop shortfalls were estimated for recent production years and the economic losses to farming households were also assessed. Our findings point to a very high risk of crop shortfalls due to natural hazards, suggesting that a good year brings rice farmers bounty and a bad year, near penury. River stage reversals (repiquetes) and edaphic conditions were found to be more problematic than the often cited hazard of high and/or early floods. Also surprisingly, farmers’ perceptions of hazards and risk diverged markedly from actual shortfalls experienced during the production years studied. Our results provide the first quantitative estimates of risk due to the multiple natural hazards along the Amazon River and point to the need to assist lowland farmers with risk mitigation so as to unlock the considerable potential of Amazon floodlands for agricultural production.  相似文献   

Modeling coastal tsunami hazard from submarine mass failures: effect of slide rheology,experimental validation,and case studies off the US East Coast     

Grilli  Stéphan T.  Shelby  Mike  Kimmoun  Olivier  Dupont  Guillaume  Nicolsky  Dmitry  Ma  Gangfeng  Kirby  James T.  Shi  Fengyan 《Natural Hazards》2017,86(1):353-391

Natural Hazards - We perform numerical simulations to assess how coastal tsunami hazard from submarine mass failures (SMFs) is affected by slide kinematics and rheology. Two types of two-layer SMF...  相似文献   

广东锡坪钼铜多金属矿床辉钼矿Re-Os同位素定年及其地质意义   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

郑伟  欧阳荷根  赵海杰  赵财胜  于晓飞  罗大略  黄华谷  欧阳志侠 《岩石学报》2017,33(3):843-858

广东锡坪钼铜多金属矿床位于钦杭成矿带的西南端,为一大型的斑岩型矿床。本文利用辉钼矿Re-Os同位素定年方法对锡坪钼铜多金属矿床4件辉钼矿样品进行了成矿年代学测定,获得的模式年龄为85.15~88.34Ma,加权平均值为86.1±2.3Ma,对应的等时线年龄为89.9±3.4Ma,模式年龄和等时线年龄结果在误差范围内基本一致,指示锡坪钼铜多金属矿床的成矿时限为晚白垩世。锡坪钼铜多金属矿辉钼矿样品的Re含量较低,表明其成矿物质可能主要来自于壳源。钦杭成矿带成岩成矿作用以中生代燕山期为主,存在180~150Ma、110~80Ma两个爆发期,两期成岩成矿作用可能均与太平洋板块的俯冲有一定的关系。锡坪钼铜多金属矿床是在岩石圈伸展减薄环境下发生的大规模成矿作用的产物。  相似文献   

磨刀门河口洪季波生流及其泄洪影响          下载免费PDF全文

刘诚  梁燕  王其松  彭石 《水科学进展》2017,28(5):770-779

磨刀门已由"径流型"向"径流-波浪型"河口转变,波浪已是该河口主要动力之一,但波浪对河口洪季水流及泄洪的影响缺少研究。在2-D潮流数学模型中添加随潮位实时变化的波浪辐射应力,建立波浪潮流耦合数学模型;波浪求解采用缓坡方程,背景水深由潮流模型实时提供,可通过比较考虑和未考虑波浪影响的河口流场来分析波浪对泄洪的影响。在年均常浪作用下,磨刀门河口洪季涨落潮阶段均有明显的波生环流结构。由于波浪作用方向向陆,波生流减弱了浅滩区的向海余流,增大了浅滩向陆余流;受浅滩向海余流减弱影响,河口动力自调整后形成归槽水流,促使深槽内向海余流增大。波浪有顶托河口泄洪之势,可改变滩槽泄洪分配比例;年均常浪的波高较小,其对潮流及泄洪的影响区域限制在浅水区,故对泄洪的负面影响有限。  相似文献   

稳健总体最小二乘Helmert方差分量估计     

陶武勇  鲁铁定  许光煜  杨世安 《大地测量与地球动力学》2017,37(11):1193-1197

对于总体最小二乘而言,经常需要处理不同精度或者不同类型的观测数据,根据先验方差来定权往往不准确,同时观测数据中可能含有粗差。针对这两个问题,提出稳健总体最小二乘Helmert方差分量估计,将稳健估计和Helmert方差分量估计同时应用于总体最小二乘中。最后通过两个实验的计算结果表明,该方法是可行的、有效的。  相似文献   

Sources of uncertainty in exploring rangeland phenology: A case study in an alpine meadow on the central Tibetan Plateau     

Guang-shuai Zhao  Pei-li Shi 《山地科学学报》2017,14(9):1827-1838

Global climate change has been found to substantially influence the phenology of rangeland, especially on the Tibetan Plateau. However, there is considerable controversy about the trends and causes of rangeland phenology owing to different phenological exploration methods and lack of ground validation. Little is known about the uncertainty in the exploration accuracy of vegetation phenology. Therefore, in this study, we selected a typical alpine rangeland near Damxung national meteorological station as a case study on central Tibetan Plateau, and identified several important sources influencing phenology to better understand their effects on phenological exploration. We found man-made land use was not easily distinguished from natural rangelands, and therefore this may confound phenological response to climate change in the rangeland. Change trends of phenology explored by four methods were similar, but ratio threshold method (RTM) was more suitable for exploring vegetation phenology in terms of the beginning of growing season (BGS) and end of growing season (EGS). However, some adjustments are needed when RTM is used in extreme drought years. MODIS NDVI/EVI dataset was most suitable for exploring vegetation phenology of BGS and EGS. The discrimination capacities of vegetation phenology declined with decreasing resolution of remote sensing images from MODIS to GIMMS AVHRR datasets. Additionally, distinct trends of phenological change rates were indicated in different terrain conditions, with advance of growing season in high altitudes but delay of season in lower altitudes. Therefore, it was necessary to eliminate interference of complex terrain and man-made land use to ensure the representativeness of natural vegetation. Moreover, selecting the appropriate method to explore rangelands and fully considering the impact of topography are important to accurately analyze the effects of climate change on vegetation phenology.  相似文献   

Influence of white spot syndrome virus infection on hepatopancreas gene expression of ‘Huanghai No. 2’ shrimp (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Fenneropenaeus chinensis</Emphasis>)     

Xianhong Meng  Xiaoli Shi  Jie Kong  Sheng Luan  Kun Luo  Baoxiang Cao  Ning Liu  Xia Lu  Xupeng Li  Kangyu Deng  Jiawang Cao  Yingxue Zhang  Hengheng Zhang 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2017,16(5):863-872

To elucidate the molecular response of shrimp hepatopancreas to white spot syndrome virus (WSSV) infection, microarray was applied to investigate the differentially expressed genes in the hepatopancreas of ‘Huanghai No. 2’ (Fenneropenaeus chinensis). A total of 59137 unigenes were designed onto a custom-made 60K Agilent chip. After infection, the gene expression profiles in the hepatopancreas of the shrimp with a lower viral load at early (48–96 h), peak (168–192 h) and late (264–288 h) infection phases were analyzed. Of 18704 differentially expressed genes, 6412 were annotated. In total, 5453 differentially expressed genes (1916 annotated) expressed at all three phases, and most of the annotated were either up- or down-regulated continuously. These genes function diversely in, for example, immune response, cytoskeletal system, signal transduction, stress resistance, protein synthesis and processing, metabolism among others. Some of the immune-related genes, including antilipopolysaccharide factor, Kazal-type proteinase inhibitor, C-type lectin and serine protease encoding genes, were up-regulated after WSSV infection. These genes have been reported to be involved in the anti-WSSV responses. The expression of genes related to the cytoskeletal system, including β-actin and myosin but without tubulin genes, were down-regulated after WSSV infection. Astakine was found for the first time in the WSSV-infected F. chinensis. To further confirm the expression of differentially expressed genes, quantitative real-time PCR was performed to test the expression of eight randomly selected genes and verified the reliability and accuracy of the microarray expression analysis. The data will provide valuable information to understanding the immune mechanism of shrimp’s response to WSSV.  相似文献   

GRACE卫星观测到的与汶川M_s8.0地震有关的重力变化   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

王武星  石耀霖  顾国华  张晶  陈石 《地球物理学报》2010,53(8):1767-1777

利用GRACE卫星重力资料,计算了中国大陆及周边的卫星重力时变场和地表密度变化分布,获取了具有代表性的点位区域的每月重力变化时间序列.同时获得了WUSH、LHAS、KUNM、LUZH站相对于区域参考框架的GPS位移时间序列.卫星重力观测结果显示喜马拉雅弧形带的重力在2004年苏门答腊M_w9.3地震后快速下降, 2006~2008年尤为明显,西域地块西北边界带上震后重力下降也较为显著;而沿青藏高原北至东边界2007年出现明显的重力上升沿构造边界的弧形分布,且2008年南北地震带中南段重力上升变化显著.这些苏门答腊地震后的重力变化趋势到汶川地震发生后才开始改变.GPS位移结果显示四个台站均记录到苏门答腊大地震的同震信号,震后WUSH、LHAS、KUNM站水平位移向量出现明显的运动趋势改变,且一直持续到2008年汶川M_s8.0地震的发生.GRACE卫星揭示的青藏高原及周边地表质量的变化为解释汶川地震的动力机制提供了新的观测途径和资料.本文结合区域构造运动的特点和GPS位移,对GRACE观测的时变重力场特征及汶川地震的动力机制进行了初步解释和讨论.  相似文献   

中国二氧化碳地区间排放差异分析及减排政策建议   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

杨刚  唐志海  石海霞  王占军 《气候变化研究进展》2011,7(1):35-40

利用统计数据,参照政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）的方法,对2008年我国各省区CO₂的排放情况进行了计算分析,并对东西部地区进行对比得出：东部发达地区在人均排放量和排放密度等方面均高于西部欠发达地区,但东部地区的排放强度却明显低于西部地区。国家经济战略,东、西部地区技术、经济社会发展水平差异是造成这一趋势的主要原因。提出了我国实现温室气体减排目标、分解减排任务的建议。  相似文献   

利用重力多尺度分解资料反演青藏高原东北缘地壳厚度   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

吴立辛  杨明芝  赵卫明  傅容珊  朱良保  施行觉 《大地测量与地球动力学》2011,31(1):19-23

通过重力异常分解模型,选用小波基函数“bior3.7”,分解得出青藏高原东北缘布格重力异常资料的小波4阶近似成分,利用其主要由莫霍面产生的布格重力异常,以6条人工地震剖面信息做初始控制条件,反演得出青藏高原东北缘的地壳厚度。  相似文献