The morpho‐textural signature of large bedforms in ephemeral gravel‐bed channels of various planforms          下载免费PDF全文

Yael Storz‐Peretz  Jonathan B. Laronne 《水文研究》2018,32(5):617-635

This study adopts a fresh approach to find the similarities between river planforms in contrast to many previous studies that have presented distinguishing characteristics and thresholds. This new approach links textural and morphological attributes of bedforms, termed morpho‐texture, with process and hydrological regime thereby indicated. The study was carried out in depositional features of ephemeral rivers having a range of planforms and located in the Judean Desert. High‐resolution terrestrial laser scanning was undertaken to extract morphological and textural (roughness) characteristics. Results strongly indicate that bars are statistically coarser grained than the adjacent thalweg or anabranches where depositional processes occur. This suggests universal processes within ephemeral rivers regardless of their planform, where rapid flow recession causes the coarse tail of the bedload to be deposited as bars whereas the finer fractions deposit in the thalweg and thereby prevent the development of bed armour.  相似文献   

Regulatory control of vehicle and power plant emissions: how effective and at what cost?     

Sergey Paltsev  Valerie Karplus  Henry Chen  Ioanna Karkatsouli  John Reilly  Henry Jacoby 《Climate Policy》2013,13(4):438-457

Passenger vehicles and power plants are major sources of GHG emissions. While economic analyses generally indicate that a broader market-based approach to GHG reduction would be less costly and more effective, regulatory approaches have found greater political success. We evaluate a global regulatory regime that replaces coal with natural gas in the electricity sector and imposes technically achievable improvements in the efficiency of personal transport vehicles. Its performance and cost are compared with other scenarios of future policy development including a no-policy world, achievements under the Copenhagen Accord, and a price-based policy to reduce global emissions by 50% by 2050. The assumed regulations applied globally achieve a global emissions reduction larger than projected for the Copenhagen agreements, but they do not prevent global GHG emissions from continuing to grow. The reduction in emissions is achieved at a high cost compared to a price-based policy. Diagnosis of the reasons for the limited yet high-cost performance reveals influences including the partial coverage of emitting sectors, small or no influence on the demand for emissions-intensive products, leakage when a reduction in fossil use in the covered sectors lowers the price to others, and the partial coverage of GHGs. If these regulatory measures are in part correcting other barriers or behavioural limitations consumers face, the benefits of overcoming these could offset at least some of the costs we estimate. The extent of any efficiency gap – the difference between engineering estimates of best practice and what actually happens – is highly contested, and offers an important avenue for future research.

Policy relevance

While analysts concerned with national cost of GHG control have long advocated a GHG pricing policy, by a cap-and-trade system or a tax, covering all emissions sources and gases, governments more often pursue sectoral policies and technology standards. Given these political realities, the regulations represent a more politically practical approach to GHG reductions, focusing on solutions that are within reach and that do not depend on technological breakthroughs. If regulations are imposed as a way to get started on larger emissions reductions, and then combined with a broader GHG pricing policy pursuing a deep global cut in emissions, its requirements will eventually be overtaken by the pricing policy. The remaining higher costs of the regulatory targets become diluted so that in later years the difference in average cost per ton between a least-cost approach and one preceded by a period of regulatory action becomes very small.  相似文献   

Induced Earthquakes: S.K. Guha, Kluver Academic Publishers, ISBN: 0412498707, 2000, XII, 314 pp., price Euro 120.50, US$ 130.00     

Wolf Jacoby 《Journal of Geodynamics》2001,32(4-5)

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One-dimensional modelling of mantle flow     

Wolfgang R. Jacoby 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1978,116(6):1231-1249

A one-dimensional model of flow between a fixed boundary at the bottom and a moving one on top with no net flow through vertical sections is tested for geophysically interesting mantle viscosity-depth functions. Such a model, although simplistic, may help in answering the question to what depth the return flow extends, at least in the case of moving plates measuring many thousand kilometers across, such as the Pacific plate.It the viscosity in the asthenosphere is less than three orders of magnitude smaller than that of the mantle below, the return flow extends to great depth and the asthenosphere is a zone of concentrated shear. If the viscosity contrast is greater, the return flow is concentrated in the asthenosphere. For a wide range of model parameters typical flow velocities below the asthenosphere are about one-tenth of the plate velocity. The pressure gradient required by the mantle flow may be manifest in gravity trends across moving plates, but no excessive gravity anomalies are required by the model if the absolute viscosity values conform to those inferred from post-glacial rebound data. A thinner and lower-viscosity layer is favored over a thicker and more viscous layer if both fit glacial rebound evidence. The present model may not be applicable if down to the core the viscosity is as low as about 10²¹ N s m^–2 with a free-slip bottom boundary.  相似文献   

Convection experiments and the driving mechanism     

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang R. Jacoby  Dipl.-Geophys. Harro Schmeling 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1981,70(1):207-230

The problem of mantle convection is discussed in light of laboratory and numerical experiments. Since Wegener's time our knowledge of earth behaviour has increased, so that we are in a better position to explain continental drift. The explanation of this phenomenon must inevitably include mantle convection. The problem has three aspects: the physical laws, the boundary conditions, and the material. We find that a likely model is high-Rayleigh number convection in a medium of temperature, pressure, and stress-dependent rheology; in this model we expect a strong and heavy upper thermal boundary layer and a fluid and light lower boundary layer. The upper one consists of the lithospheric plates which highly organize the large-scale circulation, while the lower one at the core-mantle boundary becomes unstable in the form of diapirs, plumes, or blobs in a fashion rather independent of the large-scale circulation. This model has the potential of reconciling the conflicting views of horizontal and vertical tectonics.

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Zusammenfassung Das Problem der Mantelkonvektion wird im Lichte neuer Laboratoriums- und Computerexperimente diskutiert. Seit Wegener haben wir über das Verhalten des Erdkörpers manches hinzugelernt, so daß wir bessere Aussichten haben, die Kontinentalverschiebung zu erklären. Die Erklärung muß den Aspekt der Konvektion einschließen, ihre Form ist jedoch noch offen. Das Problem ist ein dreifaches: es umfaßt die Lösung physikalischer Gleichungen, es beinhaltet unzureichend bekannte Randbedingungen, und es schließt die von der Lösung beeinflußten — nicht a priori vorhersagbaren — Materialeigenschaften mit ein. Ein heute wahrscheinliches Modell ist Konvektion bei hoher Rayleigh-Zahl in einem Medium mit temperatur-, druck- und spannungsabhängiger Rheologie. Es sind thermische Grenzschichten zu erwarten, deren obere durch die kalten hochviskosen bzw. festen und schweren Lithosphärenplatten gebildet wird, während die untere an der Kern-Mantel-Grenze heiß, flüssig und leicht ist. Die Platten sind gravitativ instabil und üben einen stark ordnenden Einfluß auf die großräumige Mantelströmung aus. Die untere Grenzschicht ist ebenfalls instabil und hat die Tendenz, die großräumige Zirkulation diapirartig zu durchbrechen. Durch dieses Modell kann der Konflikt zwischen Horizontal- und Vertikaltektonik gelöst werden.

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Résumé Le probléme de la convection du manteau est discuté à la lumière de nouvelles expériences de laboratoire et à l'ordinateur. Depuis Wegener nous avons appris bien des choses sur le comportement du corps terrestre ce qui nous donne de meilleurs vues pour expliquer le déplacement des continents. L'explication doit comporter l'aspect de la convection, dont la forme reste encore ouverte. Le problème est triple: il comporte la solution d'équations physiques, il implique les conditions à la limite qui ne sont pas assez connues, ainsi que les proprietés des matériaux, qui, non prévisibles a priori, sont influencées par les solutions. Un modèle probable est la convection, dans le cas d'un nombre de Rayleigh élevé, dans un milieu à rhéologie dépendant de la température, de la pression et de la tension. Il faut s áttendre à l'existence de couches-limites thermiques, dont la supérieure consiste dans les plaques lithosphériques froides et denses, visqueuses, voire «consolidées», tandis que l'inférieure, située à la limite du manteau et du noyau, est chaude, liquide et légère. Les plaques sont instables et exercent une forte influence dans l'ordonnance à grande échelle des courants du manteau. La couche limite inférieure est également instable et possède la tendance de pénétrer diapiriquement dans cette grande circulation. Ce modèle donne la possiblité de régler le conflit entre la tectonique horizontale et verticale.

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Über die Entwicklung des Helgoländer Gebietes und die Karten von Johannes Mejer     

Gustav Jacoby 《Ocean Dynamics》1956,9(4):165-174

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Secular trends in high northern latitude temperature reconstructions based on tree rings   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Rosanne D. D'Arrigo  Gordon C. Jacoby 《Climatic change》1993,25(2):163-177

Boreal tree-ring records from high latitude North America, Scandinavia and Russia provide baseline data reflecting long-term trends in Arctic annual temperature. Reconstructions from 1682–1968 indicate the latter part and termination of the Little Ice Age and that the northern regions are now warmer by comparison. The resulting high-resolution, extended temperature time series allows examination of underlying causes of climatic change not possible using only the instrumental record. The recent recorded data for the Arctic show recovery from the cooling in the 1950's–1960's. The overall evaluation confirms that the high northern latitudes are now in an anomalously warm state relative to the past three centuries.  相似文献   

Reconstructed summer degree days in central Alaska and northwestern Canada since 1524     

Gordon C. Jacoby  Edward R. Cook  Linda D. Ulan 《Quaternary Research》1985,23(1):18-26

Three time series based on precisely dated annual tree-ring widths have been used to reconstruct June plus July degree days for the central Alaska and northwestern Canada region. The time series are the longest recently developed chronologies for the area and represent 57 core samples from 27 trees. The degree-day reconstruction, extending back to A.D. 1524, exhibits much year-to-year variation and extended warming and cooling trends including a general warming trend from about 1840 to 1960. The reconstruction is in agreement with some subaretic glacial information and with data of percentage melting from arctic ice cores. This and similar reconstructions can provide quantitative information to compare with general circulation and energy budget models for longer time periods than are available in recorded meteorological data.  相似文献   

Rise and Fall of an Egyptian Oasis: Artesian Flow,Irrigation Soils,and Historical Agricultural Development in El‐Deir,Kharga Depression,Western Desert of Egypt     

Jean‐Paul Bravard  Ashraf Mostafa  Romain Garcier  Gaëlle Tallet  Pascale Ballet  Yael Chevalier  Herv Tronchre 《Geoarchaeology》2016,31(6):467-486

The present study examines the geoarchaeological history of an oasis in Kharga Depression in central Egypt. El‐Deir is renowned for its Ptolemaic temple and Roman fortress on the road from former Hibis (Kharga) to the Nile Valley. During the survey, spring mounds and irrigation soils belonging to an ancient agricultural zone were discovered, and further documented by ceramics found on the site. Our methodology combines the geomorphological interpretation of landforms (especially yardangs) with ceramics and ¹⁴C‐dated charcoal to distinguish and date former agricultural areas in El‐Deir. The results show that the oasis experienced several phases of soil accretion and destruction through time. Playa sediments were deposited in the humid early Holocene and severely eroded by deflation before the onset of irrigated agriculture between Pharaonic and Persian times. Very fast vertical soil accretion occurred in the Ptolemaic period, but irrigation soils were later destroyed during the Roman period by a combination of wind deflation and flash floods (second to fourth century A.D.), suggesting a period of climate instability. The case of El‐Deir invites reevaluation of constructive agencies for the development of irrigated land and destructive agencies as limiting factors for the sustainability of agricultural practices in late antiquity.  相似文献   

Temporal Gravity Variations near Shrinking Vatnajökull Ice Cap, Iceland     

Wolfgang R. Jacoby  Oliver Hartmann  Herbert Wallner  Peter L. Smilde  Stefan Bürger  Lars E. Sjöberg  Sigurdur Erlingsson  Detlef Wolf  Volker Klemann  Ingo Sasgen 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2009,166(8-9):1283-1302

Repeated gravity measurements were carried out from 1991 until 1999 at sites SE of Vatnajökull, Iceland, to estimate the mass flow and deformation accompanying the shrinking of the ice cap. Published GPS data show an uplift of about 13 ± 5 mm/a near the ice margin. A gravity decrease of –2 ± 1 μGal/a relative to the Höfn base station, was observed for the same sites. Control measurements at the Höfn station showed a gravity decrease of –2 ± 0.5 µGal/a relative to the station RVIK 5473 at Reykjavík (about 250 km from Höfn). This is compatible, as a Bouguer effect, with a 10 ± 3 mm/a uplift rate of the IGS point at Höfn and an uplift rate of ~20 mm/a near the ice margin. Although the derived gravity change rates at individual sites have large uncertainties, the ensemble of the rates varies systematically and significantly with distance from the ice. The relationship between gravity and elevation changes and the shrinking ice mass is modelled as response to the loading history. The GPS data can be explained by 1-D modelling (i.e., an earth model with a 15-km thick elastic lithosphere and a 7·10¹⁷ Pa·s asthenosphere viscosity), but not the gravity data. Based on 2-D modelling, the gravity data favour a low-viscosity plume in the form of a cylinder of 80 km radius and 10¹⁷ to 10¹⁸ Pa·s viscosity below a 6 km-thick elastic lid, embedded in a layered PREM-type earth, although the elevation data are less well explained by this model. Strain-porosity-hydrology effects are likely to enhance the magnitude of the gravity changes, but need verification by drilling. More accurate data may resolve the discrepancies or suggest improved models.  相似文献