地下结构孕险环境危险性预警的改进SVM模型     

王凤山  戎全兵  张宏军 《工程地质学报》2016,24(2):324-330

针对地震作用下孕险环境样本数据有限、复杂非线性等特点,提出了一种基于最小二乘支持向量机的地下结构孕险环境危险性预警方法。围绕地震后效应的地下工程区域孕险环境危险性预警目标和特征参数,设计孕险环境危险性问题的向量机表示形式,提出孕险环境危险性支持向量机训练工作机制,利用支持向量机结构风险最小化原则和非线性映射特性,建立基于最小二乘支持向量机的地下结构孕险环境危险性预警模型及其算法组件,并利用遗传算法优化其惩罚函数和核函数参数,隐式表达孕险环境危险性与其影响因素之间的非线性关系。结果表明,模型具有有效的小样本学习能力,具有较高的拟合和预测精度,明显优于神经网络等预测模型。  相似文献   

Large scale three-dimensional seepage analysis model test and numerical simulation research on undersea tunnel     

《Applied Ocean Research》2016

During the construction process of Qingdao Jiaozhou Bay Undersea Tunnel, the faults and other unfavorable geological discontinuities were often encountered. To study the water inrush mechanism in the faults, both physical model test and numerical analysis were carried out. The results of crown displacement and hydraulic pressure of the monitoring sections in the physical model and numerical model were analyzed in this paper. It was found that the displacement and hydraulic pressure in the process of tunnel construction are often interacted as both cause and effect, and the lower of hydraulic pressure is often accompanied with the growth of its displacement. The changing of the excavation disturbed zone during the excavation in the undersea tunnel was also studied. The results show that the excavation disturbed zone in fault is larger than that in surrounding rock mass, and the excavation disturbance effects in the filling type fault are both transient and persistent. When the displacement and hydraulic pressure in the undersea tunnel change sharply during excavation, there are relatively slow and continuous change trend of the displacement and hydraulic pressure. For practical purposes, to prevent water inrush in the undersea tunnel, more attentions should also be paid to the undersea tunnel after excavation.  相似文献   

基于海浪谱分解与重构的资料同化试验     

毛科峰  萧中乐  宋海波  钟奕飞 《海洋学报》2016,38(3):15-26

针对有效波高资料提出一种海浪谱分解与重构的资料同化方案:利用历史时段内的有效波高观测资料和模式计算波高场,采用最优插值方法得到分析波高场;在WAVEWATCH-Ⅲ模式的波浪能量密度谱和有效波高分析值之间引入一个变异系数矩阵,描述模式的误差,以此为状态向量构建卡尔曼滤波系统,对分解过的海浪谱进行修正和重构,得到同化后的海浪谱初始场。利用美国阿拉斯加湾北部海域的7个浮标站进行同化和72 h预报试验,对连续1个月的预报结果进行统计表明:采用该同化方案后24 h预报结果的有效波高均方根误差比未同化的结果降低了0.13 m;同化方案对预报效果的影响可持续36 h左右,随着预报时效延长,同化的效果减弱。  相似文献   

基于动态极值理论和Copula函数的极端海平面高度预测建模     

汪杨骏  侯太平  张韧  钱龙霞  王锋  龙强 《海洋工程》2016,34(4):62-70

全球气候变化背景下,海平面上升是一个潜在的重大风险,为防范气候灾害,应对极端气象海洋事件,需客观、定量地对未来极端海平面变化进行科学预测。为此,基于Copula函数和动态极值分析理论,综合考虑平均海平面变化(包括垂直陆地运动和基准的局地变化)与潮、涌、浪等其他气候变化的增水对极端海平面高度的影响,采用DREAM方法改进Bayes推断对动态极值模型的参数空间估计问题,提出一种新的模型对未来极端海平面高度变化进行预测,旨在改进传统模型存在的不确定性问题,并运用该模型对气候变化背景下厦门地区未来35年的海平面变化情景进行了模型应用和实验模拟。  相似文献   

Adsorption of aqueous Pb(II), Cu(II), Zn(II) ions by amorphous tin(VI) hydrogen phosphate: an excellent inorganic adsorbent     

C. Zhu  X. Dong  Z. Chen  R. Naidu 《International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology》2016,13(5):1257-1268

Amorphous tin(VI) hydrogen phosphate (ATHP) was synthesized using the liquid phase precipitation method and served as an adsorbent to remove Pb(II), Cu(II), and Zn(II) from aqueous solutions. The ATHP was characterized by powder X-ray diffraction (XRD), transmission electron microscopy (TEM), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), and nitrogen adsorption–desorption techniques. Adsorption properties were evaluated as a function of pH, reaction time, concentration of reactants, and salinity. Their equilibrium adsorption data were modeled using Freundlich, Langmuir, and Dubinin–Kaganer–Radushkevich isotherms, respectively. The results revealed that adsorption equilibrium reached within 180 min. ATHP indicated good adsorption even below the pH_ZPC, and best adsorption at pH 5 for Pb(II) and Cu(II) and at pH 5.5 for Zn(II) was observed. Equilibrium data fitted better to the Langmuir model for Pb(II) and Cu(II) and fitted better to the Freundlich model for Zn(II). The saturated adsorption capacities deduced from the Langmuir model were 2.425, 1.801, and 0.600 mmol/g for Cu(II), Pb(II), and Zn(II), respectively, indicating an adsorption affinity order of Cu > Pb > Zn. There is a negative correlation between the concentration of NaCl and adsorption capacity of ATHP, yet ATHP still exhibited excellent adsorption having an adsorption capacity of 19.35, 15.16, 6.425 mg/g when the concentration of NaCl was 0.6 mol/L. The free energy (E) was 12.33, 10.70, and 14.74 kJ/mol for Pb(II), Cu(II), and Zn(II), respectively. An adsorption mechanism based on ion exchange between heavy metal ions and H⁺ in the ATHP is proposed. Furthermore, the used ATHP was regenerated by HCl solution and the adsorbent was used repeatedly.  相似文献   

Hybrid N-order Lagrangian Interpolation Eulerian?Lagrangian Method for Salinity Calculation     

吴炎成  朱首贤  周林  游小宝  张文静 《海洋工程》2016,(2):283-295

The Eulerian?Lagrangian method (ELM) has been used by many ocean models as the solution of the advection equation, but the numerical error caused by interpolation imposes restriction on its accuracy. In the present study, hybrid N-order Lagrangian interpolation ELM (LiELM) is put forward in which the N-order Lagrangian interpolation is used at first, then the lower order Lagrangian interpolation is applied in the points where the interpolation results are abnormally higher or lower. The calculation results of a step-shaped salinity advection model are analyzed, which show that higher order (N=3?8) LiELM can reduce the mean numerical error of salinity calculation, but the numerical oscillation error is still significant. Even number order LiELM makes larger numerical oscillation error than its adjacent odd number order LiELM. Hybrid N-order LiELM can remove numerical oscillation, and it significantly reduces the mean numerical error when N is even and the current is in fixed direction, while it makes less effect on mean numerical error when N is odd or the current direction changes periodically. Hybrid odd number order LiELM makes less mean numerical error than its adjacent even number order LiELM when the current is in the fixed direction, while the mean numerical error decreases as N increases when the current direction changes periodically, so odd number of N may be better for application. Among various types of Hybrid N-order LiELM, the scheme reducing N-order directly to 1st-order may be the optimal for synthetic selection of accuracy and computational efficiency.  相似文献   

基于航迹线追踪的TERPM定位算法          下载免费PDF全文

刘现鹏  张立华  王涛  曹鸿博 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2018,43(2):219-226

针对TERCOM（terrain contour matching）算法定位精度对航向误差敏感和算法普适性差等不足,提出了一种基于航迹线追踪的TERPM（terrain profile matching locating algorithm）定位算法。利用INS（inertial navigation system）提供的速度和航向信息对UV（underwater vehicles）的航迹进行追踪,在遍历基准地形时考虑航向误差对数据选取的影响,组合最优匹配的判别方法,提高定位算法的抗噪性。实验结果表明:TERPM定位算法适用于机动UV的精确定位且定位精度对航向误差不敏感;与已有的TERCOM改进算法相比,新算法具有更高的定位精度和更好的抗噪性能。  相似文献   

基于微纳气泡示踪的拖曳法ADCP流速测试   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

韩继伟  邵军  符伟杰  赵士伟  毛春雷  房照娟 《水文》2021,41(2):63-68

声学多普勒剖面流速仪(ADCP)设备在水文领域保有量大、应用广,但如何对其进行量值溯源,确保现场测量数据准确可靠是用户非常关注的问题。分析ADCP的测试现状,阐述ADCP的6个测试参数,分析出流速测试是核心;利用微纳气泡作为示踪粒子,尝试解决静止水体无反射粒子的问题,为ADCP流速测试提供支撑;以TRDI的WHR600-1型ADCP为例,说明ADCP流速测试过程和试验数据处理方法。得出微纳米气泡是ADCP拖曳水槽水跟踪测试较好的示踪物质,进而实现ADCP水跟踪流速测试。为拖曳水槽ADCP测试改造建设提供技术思路,并给出实验室测试建议。  相似文献   

不同定义的湿位涡分析及在台风中的诊断     

刘赛赛  张立凤  赵艳玲 《大气科学》2019,43(3):565-576

本文对不同定义的湿位涡做了理论分析,并利用1522号台风“彩虹”的数值模拟结果对各种湿位涡进行了诊断。主要结论有:经典湿位涡、广义湿位涡和改进湿位涡的差异主要是由不同定义的位温造成的,相当位温、广义位温和修改位温的构成均是在位温基础上添加一显含水汽的附加量;经典湿位涡、广义湿位涡和改进湿位涡的构成均能分为干、湿分量两部分,其干分量表达式相同,都与Ertel干位涡的定义一样,水物质相变潜热的影响隐含在位温中;不同定义湿位涡的本质差异表现在不同的湿分量上,湿分量的表达式中显含了水物质的作用。对台风的诊断分析发现,改进湿位涡分布与Ertel干位涡非常相似,呈现中空分布的位涡塔结构,大值区对应眼墙内侧,改进湿位涡湿分量与经典湿位涡的湿分量分布相似,只是湿分量的绝对值更小,这反映了改进湿位涡既能保持干位涡的分布特征,其分布和演变可反映台风的结构和演变,又能合理地体现水汽分布的影响,所以在台风诊断中有更广泛的应用前景。经典湿位涡在低层表现为负值,这与水汽梯度的分布关系很大,但与垂直速度、潜热加热大值区等都没有很好的匹配关系,用其分析台风结构和演变具有一定局限性;广义湿位涡其形式较复杂,仅在近饱和区域才能发挥其诊断优势。  相似文献   

一次梅雨暴雨的动能谱特征分析及收支诊断     

尹韩笑  张立凤  王羱  张明阳  余世旺 《大气科学》2019,43(5):1143-1157

利用WRF模式和NCEP再分析资料,对一次梅雨暴雨个例进行了数值模拟,基于高分辨率的模拟结果计算了水平动能谱、涡旋动能谱及辐散动能谱,诊断了动能收支谱方程。结果表明:在暴雨发展阶段,各个高度上都有中尺度动能增长,其显著增加始于中尺度低端,这导致了在中尺度波段出现谱转折特征,但在不同高度转折尺度不同;对流层高层涡旋动能大于辐散动能,平流层低层反之;不同降水阶段、不同高度和不同尺度上动能的来源不同,对流层高层,中尺度动能倾向由非线性项和气压项贡献;平流层低层,气压项的作用更为明显。  相似文献