The nonlinear time lag multivariable grey prediction model based on interval grey numbers and its application     

Xiong  Pingping  Zou  Xia  Yang  Yingjie 《Natural Hazards》2021,107(3):2517-2531

Natural Hazards - The linear relationship of the original grey prediction model is too single, and the original grey prediction model does not consider the time delay of the effect of the current...  相似文献   

Ingress of magmatic Ni-Cu sulphide liquid into surrounding brittle rocks: Physical & structural controls     

《Ore Geology Reviews》2017

Field observations and theoretical considerations suggest that dense magmatic sulphide liquids are injected into and/or passively infiltrate surrounding wall rocks late in the emplacement history of intrusion-hosted magmatic ore systems. Using analogies with other engineering and mineral systems, we evaluate the structural and physical controls on the ingress of sulphide liquid into brittle host rocks. Gravity-driven infiltration of sulphide liquid out of the host igneous intrusion into country rock may be analogous to the behaviour of dense immiscible fluids in groundwater systems (Dense Non Aqueous Phase Liquids; DNAPL), which is controlled by the body force of the liquid itself. Downward penetration of sulphide liquid into micro-fractures may occur once a sufficient thickness of sulphide, known as the critical accumulation height, is reached in the overlying intrusion. Upward and lateral injection of sulphide liquid is a similar process to the behaviour of crustal hydrothermal fluids, where active deformation, fluid pressure and host-rock anisotropy play critical roles. Such physical controls must be considered and integrated with well-established petro-geochemical concepts in order to better understand the genesis of magmatic Ni-Cu-PGE sulphide deposits.  相似文献   

Timing and magnitude of tetrapod extinctions across the Permo-Triassic boundary     

《Journal of Asian Earth Sciences》2010,37(6):491-502

A review of the tetrapod (amphibian and amniote) record across the Permo-Triassic boundary (PTB) indicates a global evolutionary turnover of tetrapods close to the PTB. There is also a within-Guadalupian tetrapod extinction here called the dinocephalian extinction event, probably of global extent. The dinocephalian extinction event is a late Wordian or early Capitanian extinction based on biostratigraphic data and magnetostratigraphy (the extinction precedes the Illawara reversal), so it is not synchronous with the end-Guadalupian marine extinction. The Russian PTB section documents two tetrapod extinction events, one just before the dinocephalian extinction event and the other at the base of the Lystrosaurus assemblage. However, generic diversity across the latter extinction remains essentially the same despite a total evolutionary turnover of tetrapod genera. The Chinese and South African sections document the stratigraphic overlap of Dicynodon and Lystrosaurus. In the Karoo basin, the lowest occurrence of Lystrosaurus is in a stratigraphic interval of reversed magnetic polarity, which indicates it predates the marine-defined PTB, so, as previously suggested by some workers, the lowest occurrence of Lystrosaurus cannot be used to identify the PTB in nonmarine strata. Correlation of the marine PTB section at Meishan, southern China, to the Karoo basin based primarily on magnetostratigraphy indicates that the main marine extinction preceded the PTB tetrapod extinction event. The ecological severity of the PTB tetrapod extinction event has generally been overstated, and the major change in tetrapod assemblages that took place across the PTB was the prolonged and complex “replacement” of therapsids by archosaurs that began before the end of the Permian and was not complete until well into the Triassic. The tetrapod extinctions are not synchronous with the major marine extinctions at the end of the Guadalupian and just before the end of the Permian, so the idea of catastrophic causes of synchronous PTB extinctions on land and sea should be reconsidered.  相似文献   

Multi‐proxy study of Holocene environmental change and human activity in the Central Apennine Mountains,Italy     

A. G. Brown  J. Hatton  K. A. Selby  M. J. Leng  N. Christie 《第四纪科学杂志》2013,28(1):71-82

This paper describes a multi‐proxy palaeoecological investigation undertaken in conjunction with an archaeological survey of the Upper Sangro Valley in the Abruzzo National Park, Central Italy. Despite being a biodiversity hotspot and regarded as a near‐pristine area, the pollen, spore and diatom data all show major changes in the vegetation extending to over 2000 m a.s.l. during the mid to late Holocene. Although there are changes in ecological composition earlier in the Holocene they are different in type and magnitude from the changes which began about 800 cal a BC. The pollen and diatom evidence do not correlate well with regional palaeoclimate data, or on‐site isotopic evidence, but do appear to be related to Samnite (later Iron Age) clearance and upland grazing associated with transhumance and later annexation (and centuriation) of the lower slopes by Roman surveyors. The greatest change in vegetation was during the period c. AD 500–600 and corresponds with the Byzantine–Gothic Wars, and Lombard–Carolingian settlement reorganization into nucleated hilltop settlements which managed upland grazing. This pattern of intensive land use at all altitudes persisted until the early 20th century and only changed following rural depopulation after World War II. These data illustrate how cultural factors had a profound effect on this mountainous region which, in this case, far outweighed the effects of climatic fluctuations which are known to have occurred from both this study area and the region. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A response to Hammett, 2012. W(h)ither South African human geography? Geoforum 43, 937–947     

《Geoforum》2013

  相似文献   

Magmatism in the Gregory Rift, East Africa: Evidence for Melt Generation by a Plume   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

LATIN  DAVE; NORRY  MICHAEL J.; TARZEY  ROBERT J. E. 《Journal of Petrology》1993,34(5):1007-1027

The volume and composition of volcanic rocks associated withthe Gregory rift are interpreted in the light of inversionsperformed on the REE concentrations of the most magnesian basalts.When the estimated volume of salic rock ({small tilde}88 000km³) is converted into basalt ({small tilde}792 000 km³) thetotal volume of basaltic melt generated over the last 30 Myis at least 924 000 km³, corresponding to an average rate ofmelt production of {small tilde}0•03 km³/yr and an averagemelt thickness of between 7 and 26 km everywhere beneath therift. The mean compositions of the basaltic magmas erupted withinthe rift and on the rift flanks during the Upper Oligocene andMiocene, the Pliocene, and the Quaternary are taken to be representativeof the average compositions of melts produced by fractionalmelting in the asthenospheric mantle. When the REE concentrationsof the observed average compositions are inverted they suggestthat much of the melt was produced in the depth and temperaturerange of the transition from garnet to spinel peridotite. Fora mantle potential temperature of {small tilde}1500C the topof the melting region predicted from the inversions is at {smalltilde}70 km beneath the rift axis and {small tilde}80 km beneaththe rift flanks. Within the rift zone the predicted thicknessof melt increases from the Upper Oligocene and Miocene to thePliocene and is always greater than that predicted for the riftflanks, and the timeaveraged thickness of melt predicted is0/5 km. To generate the observed volume of melt the asthenosphericmantle must continually upwell through the melting region (extendingfrom 70 to 150 km) with a vertical velocity of between 40 and140 mm/yr. The results suggest that, volumetrically and compositionally,magmatic activity associated with the Gregory rift is quantitativelyconsistent with a model of a mantle plume upwelling beneaththinned continental lithosphere. Predictions made by such amodel are in broad agreement with geophysical observations. ^* Present address/reprint requests to: B.P. Exploration, 4/5 Long Walk, Stockley Park, Uxbridge UB11 1BP, UK  相似文献   

Ionospheric convection during the magnetic storm of 20–21 March 1990     

J. R. Taylor  T. K. Yeoman  M. Lester  M. J. Buonsanto  J. L. Scali  J. M. Ruohoniemi  J. D. Kelly 《Annales Geophysicae》1994,12(12):1174-1191

We report on the response of high-latitude ionospheric convection during the magnetic storm of March 20–21 1990. IMP-8 measurements of solar wind plasma and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF), ionospheric convection flow measurements from the Wick and Goose Bay coherent radars, EISCAT, Millstone Hill and Sondrestrom incoherent radars and three digisondes at Millstone Hill, Goose Bay and Qaanaaq are presented. Two intervals of particular interest have been identified. The first starts with a storm sudden commencement at 2243 UT on March 20 and includes the ionospheric activity in the following 7 h. The response time of the ionospheric convection to the southward turning of the IMF in the dusk to midnight local times is found to be approximately half that measured in a similar study at comparable local times during more normal solar wind conditions. Furthermore, this response time is the same as those previously measured on the dayside. An investigation of the expansion of the polar cap during a substorm growth phase based on Faraday’s law suggests that the expansion of the polar cap was nonuniform. A subsequent reconfiguration of the nightside convection pattern was also observed, although it was not possible to distinguish between effects due to possible changes in B_y and effects due to substorm activity. The second interval, 1200–2100 UT 21 March 1990, included a southward turning of the IMF which resulted in the B_z component becoming -10 nT. The response time on the dayside to this change in the IMF at the magnetopause was approximately 15 min to 30 min which is a factor of \sim2 greater than those previously measured at higher latitudes. A movement of the nightside flow reversal, possibly driven by current systems associated with the substorm expansion phases, was observed, implying that the nightside convection pattern can be dominated by substorm activity.  相似文献   

Biased estimation: a simple framework for inversion and uncertainty analysis with prior information   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Max A. Meju 《Geophysical Journal International》1994,119(2):521-528

  相似文献   

Tectonic framework of the Precambrian of Madagascar and its Gondwana connections: a review and reappraisal     

B. F. Windley  A. Razafiniparany  T. Razakamanana  D. Ackermand 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1994,83(3):642-659

The Precambrian of Madagascar is divided into two sectors by the north-west trending sinistral Ranotsara shear zone, which continues in the Mozambique belt, probably as the Surma shear zone, and in Southern India as the Achankovil shear zone. South of Ranotsara six north-south trending tectonic belts are recognized that consist largely of granulite and high amphibolite facies paragneisses, phlogopite diopsidites, concordant granites and granulites. North of Ranotsara the central-northern segment is traversed by a north-trending axial 100–150 km wide dextral shear zone of probable Pan-African age, which was metamorphosed under granulite and high amphibolite facies conditions and which has reworked older basement. This shear zone continues across southern India as the Palghat-Cauvery shear zone. Major stratiform basic -ultrabasic complexes occur in the axial zone and in the basement to the west. Well preserved low grade continental margin-type sediments (quartzites, mica schists and stromatolitic marbles) of Kibaran age are present in western Madagascar. Two partly greenschist grade sedimentary groups lie unconformably on high grade basement in north-east Madagascar. Isotopic age data suggest the presence in Madagascar of Archaean, Early and Mid-Proterozoic crustal material that was extensively reworked in Pan-African times.  相似文献   

Field meetings to the Western USA 1981 & 1982     

K.L. Duff  T.D. Ford 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》1984,95(2):97-148

  相似文献