Predictive vegetation mapping approach based on spectral data, DEM and generalized additive models     

Chuangye Song  Chong Huang  Huiming Liu 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2013,23(3):331-343

This study aims to provide a predictive vegetation mapping approach based on the spectral data, DEM and Generalized Additive Models (GAMs). GAMs were used as a prediction tool to describe the relationship between vegetation and environmental variables, as well as spectral variables. Based on the fitted GAMs model, probability map of species occurrence was generated and then vegetation type of each grid was defined according to the probability of species occurrence. Deviance analysis was employed to test the goodness of curve fitting and drop contribution calculation was used to evaluate the contribution of each predictor in the fitted GAMs models. Area under curve (AUC) of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to assess the results maps of probability. The results showed that: 1) AUC values of the fitted GAMs models are very high which proves that integrating spectral data and environmental variables based on the GAMs is a feasible way to map the vegetation. 2) Prediction accuracy varies with plant community, and community with dense cover is better predicted than sparse plant community. 3) Both spectral variables and environmental variables play an important role in mapping the vegetation. However, the contribution of the same predictor in the GAMs models for different plant communities is different. 4) Insufficient resolution of spectral data, environmental data and confounding effects of land use and other variables which are not closely related to the environmental conditions are the major causes of imprecision.  相似文献   

Physical State of the Photosphere at the Onset Phase of a Two-Ribbon Solar Flare     

S. N. Chornogor  N. N. Kondrashova 《Solar physics》2008,250(2):303-314

We study the physical state of the photosphere at about 30 minutes before and at the onset of a 2N/M2 two-ribbon solar flare. Semiempirical photospheric models are obtained for two Hα-kernels with the help of the SIR inversion code described by Ruiz Cobo and del Toro Iniesta (Astrophys. J. 398, 375, 1992). The models derived from the inversion reproduce spectral observations in seven Fraunhofer lines. The inferred models show variations in all photospheric parameters both before and at the onset of the flare relative to the quiet-Sun model. The temperature enhancement in the upper photospheric layers is found in the atmospheres in both kernels. The dynamical structure in the models reveals the variations at the onset of the flare relative to the preflaring ones. The inferred atmospheres show some difference in the thermodynamical parameters of two kernels.  相似文献   

IPCC AR5全球气候模式对1996-2005年中国气温模拟精度评价     

孙侦  贾绍凤  吕爱锋  朱文彬  高彦春 《地理科学进展》2015,34(10):1229-1240

本文利用中国660个站点逐日地面温度资料,评估了参与政府间气候变化专门委员会第五次报告(IPCC AR5)的9个全球气候模式(Global Climate Models, GCMs)及多模式集合(Multi-Model Ensemble, MME)对中国地区气温的模拟精度。结果表明：9个IPCC AR5全球气候模式和MME模拟的中国地区1996-2005年日平均气温与气象站点观测值的相关系数都大于0.86,表明相关性较好;气候模式模拟的中国东南部地区1996-2005年日平均气温的模拟精度较高,模拟值的偏差、平均相对误差、平均绝对误差和均方根误差都比较小;而西部地区的模拟效果较差,模拟精度较低。综合考虑模式模拟值与站点观测值的相关系数、偏差、平均相对误差、平均绝对误差和均方根误差发现,MME在中国地区的气温模拟精度优于大部分单个模式。  相似文献   

全球海气系统年代际突变时空特征的模拟评估   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

肖栋  李建平  周秀骥  赵平 《气象学报》2010,68(6):763-778

文中评估了5个耦合模式对1880年至今全球海气系统的年平均年代际突变时空特征的模拟能力。19世纪80年代—20世纪90年代,评估了耦合模式对海表温度(SST)和海平面气压(SLP)的年代际突变水平分布的模拟能力;20世纪70—90年代,评估了耦合模式对70、80和90年代这3次年代际突变大气的四维时空特征的模拟。结果表明,在上述2个时段中,5个耦合模式对SST场中年代际突变分布最主要的空间分布型——太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)没有抓住,可能导致了对SST年代际突变的空间分布的模拟能力较差,也没有模拟出SLP年代际突变的行星及其以上尺度的空间结构。20世纪70—90年代,在对流层中,UKMO-HadGEM1模式较好地模拟出了70年代的热带地区500 hPa气温和位势高度,80年代极地SLP,90年代南、北副热带气温和500 hPa气温的年代际突变的空间分布。GFDL-CM2.1模式部分模拟出了90年代的SST和500 hPa温度场突变的水平分布。其余模式中也有行星及以上尺度的年代际突变发生,虽然所模拟出来的突变的时间和空间分布与实际差异都较大,但说明这些模式可以模拟出大尺度气候系统年代际突变,其中包含的物理过程还有待于进一步的研究。在平流层,肖栋(2008年)指出1994年平流层的降温突变可能是1991年Pinatubo火山爆发所造成的臭氧减少导致的。其中,GFDL-CM2.1和ECHAM5/MPI-OM模式较好地模拟出了平流层在1994年的降温突变,CCSM3和UKMO-HadGEM1模式部分模拟出了平流层的变冷突变,而FGC)ALS-g1.0模式没有模拟出来。分析表明,这可能是FGOALS-g1.0模式没有考虑火山灰或者臭氧的作用所致。  相似文献   

Long-Term and Short-Term Variations of Sea Level in Eastern Canada: A Review     

Karim Hilmi  Tad Murty  Mohammed I. El Sabh  Jean-Pierre Chanut 《Marine Geodesy》2013,36(1-2):61-78

This is a review of sea level data performed at three selected stations (Québec-Lauzon, Harrington Harbour,and Halifax) in eastern Canada in order to investigate the seasonal trends and other long-term and short-term changes which occurred since the beginning of the 20th century. Stations situated in riverine or estuarine regions (e.g., Québec-Lauzon) are significantly affected by freshwater flow in their annual cycle of sea level changes and exhibit a definite maximum in spring and minimum in autumn-winter. Other stations situated in the eastern half of the Gulf of St. Lawrence (e.g., Harrington Harbour) or near the open Atlantic coast (Halifax) mainly follow the general cycle of subarctic regions, with lows in spring-summer and highs in autumn-winter. Such seasonal variations appear to be related to the atmospheric pressure and baroclinic current variations. Secular trends in mean sea level in eastern Canadian waterbodies show a mean rise of about 2.56 mm/yr -1 due to tectonic motions, that is, land subsidence. At several stations in eastern Canada, evidence is found for the influence of the nodal tide (18.6 years), the sunspot cycle (10.8 years), the lunar perigee (8.47 years), the pole tide (14.5 months), the annual cycle (12 months), and semiannual tidal cycle (6 months) in sea level records. Beside long-term oscillations with periods of more than one year, evidence is found for high energetic semidiurnal and diurnal tides where they contribute largely (from 90-95%) to short term variability of sea level. In the residual signal (variations of sea level--tidal variations), short-term variations between 2 to 30 days can be attributed to meterological forcing (atmospheric pressure and winds), longitudinal seiches (2-10 h), atmospheric tides (12 h and 24 h) and inertial oscillations (16-18 h). A regressive model showed that the water discharge from the St. Lawrence River contributes 29% to the monthly residual sea level at Québec-Lauzon. The atmospheric pressure and winds contribute respectively 8.1% and 8.9% at this station. They contribute 52.1% and 7.7% at Harrington Harbour and 41.8% and 14.3% at Halifax. The regression coefficients of residual sea level on atmospheric pressure are respectively estimated to be -1.507 cm. ( hPa ) -1 ( - 0.345 cm. ( hPa ) -1 ), -0.776 cm. ( hPa ) -1 ( - 0.112 cm. ( hPa ) -1 ) and -0.825 cm. ( hPa ) -1 ( - 0.008 cm. ( hPa ) -1 ) at the three stations. Compared to the coefficient of the inverted barometer, estimated to be -1 cm. ( hPa ) -1 , these effects of the atmospheric pressure on sea level variations seem to be amplified at Que´bec-Lauzon by the wind effects (and water discharge) while they are reduced at Harrington Harbour and Halifax.  相似文献   

Modeling hydrothermal fluid circulation and gravity signals at the Phlegraean Fields caldera     

Micol Todesco  Giovanna Berrino 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》2005,240(2):328-338

The Phlegraean Fields caldera is an active volcanic system where episodes of ground deformation are accompanied by significant changes in geochemical and geophysical parameters monitored at the surface. These changes derive from a complex interaction between magmatic system and hydrothermal fluid circulation. We calculate the gravity changes associated with the variable density of hydrothermal fluids. We simulate the multi-phase and multi-component fluid circulation triggered by a pulsating magma degassing, periodically increasing the discharge of CO₂-enriched fluids into the shallow hydrothermal system. The simulated evolution of the hydrothermal system successfully reproduces the observed composition of gas discharged at the surface. At the same time, results indicate that changes in average fluid density generate a detectable gravity signal that is of the same order of magnitude of the observed changes. This contribution to gravity changes can explain the peculiar behavior of gravity data collected at Solfatara, where surface hydrothermal phenomena are present. Simultaneous fitting of two independent sets of monitoring data (gas composition and gravity changes) confirms the conceptual model proposed for the hydrothermal system at Solfatara, and it provides new insights for the interpretation of gravity data.  相似文献   

澜沧江中下游斜坡变形破坏与危害特征     

朱静 《云南地理环境研究》1995,7(1):48-57

本文划分出澜沧江中下游斜坡结构类型并分析了各斜坡类型的基本特征、变形机制和演化方式，阐述了斜坡变形破坏对该地区人类经济活动的影响，为评价预测澜沧江中下游斜坡稳定性奠定了基础。  相似文献   

地形描绘方法在黄土丘陵沟壑地区的应用     

彭望琭 《遥感学报》1989,(1)

本文探讨了地形描绘方法在地学中的应用效果。通过在山西黄土丘陵沟壑地区描绘河流沟网分布的多种比较计算可知,利用数字高程模型,用离散余弦变换进行小分面拟合以及导数分析,并注意选择适当小的拟合分面和在可能条件下提高信息源的分辨率,就可以得到较好的结果。这项工作对于产生地理信息系统数字地形模型的派生数据源是有意义的。  相似文献   

青藏高原东缘数字高程剖面及其对晚新生代河流 下切深度和下切速率的约束^*   总被引：7，自引：12，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

李勇  A.L.Densmore  周荣军  M.A.Ellis  张毅  黎兵 《第四纪研究》2006,26(2):236-243

文章利用数字高程剖面将青藏高原东缘分为4个大尺度地貌单元,即青藏高原地貌区、龙门山高山地貌区、山前冲积平原区(成都盆地)和四川盆地东部隆起区。根据数字高程剖面中的最高海拔高程点剖面与最低海拔高程点剖面之间的高差,定量计算了该地区河流下切深度;结合成都盆地岷江最古老冲积扇沉积物提供的青藏高原东缘河流形成的时间(3.6MaB.P.),定量计算了河流下切速率为1.29mm/a;在约束局部侵蚀基准面和气候变化对河流下切速率控制作用的基础上,建立了青藏高原东缘河流下切速率与表面隆升速率之间的定量关系,结果表明河流下切速率约为表面隆升速率的4倍。基于龙门山在表面隆升速率和下切速率等方面均大于青藏高原内部,认为青藏高原东缘的边缘山脉是剥蚀隆升和构造隆升两者叠加的产物。  相似文献   

1∶10000DEM精细化处理方法及其应用效果分析     

张腾腾 《北京测绘》2021,35(2):212-216

以研究区1∶10 000DEM和DLG数据为基础,分别提出基于DLG数据和DEM数据的精细化处理方法,并对比分析了最近邻域法、双线性内插法以及三次卷积法三种重采样方法对DEM精细化处理效果的影响,结果表明:双线性内插法在时间效率、数据精度以及图像效果方面均适中,故决定采用双线性内插法将研究区5m格网DEM数据通过重采样生成为2m格网DEM数据,最后通过可视化和检查点法验证了精细化处理的精度均满足相关要求。相关研究成果可为地形特征等数据的提取提供精度较高的基础数据。  相似文献