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941.
系统收集了中国大陆走滑活动断裂带上障碍体(阶区)与地震破裂的资料,探讨了障碍体止裂尺度与地震破裂的关系及其分段意义。统计分析表明,走滑活动断裂带上地震的震级与障碍体的阶距、阶距与次级段长度具有较好的线性关系。障碍体的阶距可以作为判定地震破裂止裂尺度的极重要标志,是进行破裂分段的前提和基础。 相似文献
942.
分析丹东地震台地倾斜资料与周围地区中强地震的对应关系时,发现震中位于鸭绿江断裂北西盘上的地震异常反映比较突出。 相似文献
943.
地震短期预测的概率方法浅议 总被引:8,自引:1,他引:7
和天气预报相比,地震预测,特别是地震的短临预测更为困难。概率方法真实地反映了地震发生的随机性,真实地反映了人类对于地震认识的局限性,加快短期预测的概率方法研究与应用是十分必要的。概率预测是经验预测、统计预测和物理预测的综合,各类地震预测方法特别是物理预测方法的发展还很不充分,目前仍处于探索阶段。从目前我国地震预测的现状来看,应大力发展统计预测方法。地震目录可为我们提供对背景地震发生率的估计,而前兆的出现使我们可以得到地震发生率大大高于背景发生率的时段,其增益越强,时段越短,越接近于理想预测。前兆和地震之间的关系的统计检验对于概率预测起着十分重要的作用。该文提出,应按实用化的要求逐步规范各种地震预测方法。这对地震预测研究的健康发展是至关重要的。 相似文献
944.
Ghassem Habibagahi 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1998,17(1):53-56
Estimation of the magnitude of reservoir induced seismicity is essential for seismic risk analysis of dam sites. Different geological and empirical methods dealing with the mechanism or magnitude of such earthquakes are available in the literature. In this study, a method based on an artificial neural network utilizing radial basis functions (RBF network) was employed to analyze the problem. The network has only two input neurons, one representing the maximum depth of the reservoir and the other being a comprehensive parameter representing reservoir geometry. Magnitudes of the induced earthquakes predicted using the RBF network were compared with the actual recorded data. Compared with the conventional statistical approach, the proposed method gives a better prediction, both in terms of coefficients of correlation and error rates. 相似文献
945.
Kai-Wu Li 《地震学报(英文版)》1998,11(5):637-644
Studies by many scientists show that Hebei, China is an area with strong correlation between the tidal force and the occurrences
of major earthquakes, the Xingtai earthquake of 1966, the Hejian earthquake of 1967 and the Tangshan earthquake of 1976 were
triggered by the tidal force, in this paper the study on the common characteristics of their occurrence times confirms these
facts. The computed times of maximum horizontal of the semi diurnal solid tide tidal force show that the occurrence times
of the above mentioned earthquakes were close to the times of maximum horizontal tidal force of the semi diurnal solid tide
at new moon or full moon. The Longyao earthquake of M=6.8, the Ningjin earthquake of M=7.2 and the Hejian earthquake of M=6.3 occurred tens of minutes after the maximum horizontal tidal force of the semi diurnal solid tides, and the Tangshan earthquake
of M=7.8 occurred 16 minutes before the maximum horizontal tidal force. The tidal forces were directed to the west. This is their
temporal characteristic. It is generally accepted that the 1969 Bohai earthquake of M=7.4 and the 1975 Haicheng earthquake were not triggered by the tidal force. These events did not show such characteristics.
The temporal characteristics of the earthquakes indicate that the occurrences of these events were not random, but were controlled
by the tidal force from the sun and the moon, and triggered by the tidal force. These facts agree with the triggering mechanism
of the tidal force, are evidences of earthquakes triggered by tidal force. 相似文献
946.
A nonlinear magnitude frequency equation has been derived in this paper on the assumption that all seismicity systems hold
fractal characteristics, and according to the differences of relevant coefficients in the equation, seismicity systems are
classified into two types: type I, the whole earthquake activity is controlled by only one great unified system; type II,
the whole earthquake activity is controlled by more than one great system. One type of seismicity system may convert to the
other type, generally. For example, a type I system will change to a type II system prior to the occurrence of a strong earthquake
in North China. This change can be regarded as an index for earthquake trend estimation. In addition, the difference between
b value in nonlinear magnitude frequency equation and that in linear equation and the term dΔM related to the coefficients of nonlinear terms obtained in this paper are proved to be a pair of available parameters for
medium short term earthquake prediction. 相似文献
947.
Through analysis we found that some mesoscale anomalous regions (101–102 km) of meteorological parameters such as the special drought areas, unusual warm areas, the largest snowfall center, low
pressure area together with the epicenter area of M
S=6.2 Zhangbei earthquake on January 10, 1998 are located at the same area, i.e. there appears the “Five areas corresponding”
phenomenon. Meanwhile, three times of low pressure evolution are generated and develop in the earthquake area in five days
after the occurrence of the earthquake. The abnormal variation of the lower limit of frozen soil layer shows indirectly that
unusual warm in earthquake areas are related to the upward thermal conduction from the deeper layer of earth surface. 相似文献
948.
The M=7.2 southern Hyogo prefecture earthquake, which occurred on January 17, 1995, destroyed the region severely. Further researches
are necessary to explain the problems obtained from this earthquake. We have discussed some characteristics correlating with
this earthquake, such as distribution of aftershocks and disaster, relationship between fault and generation of inland shallow
earthquakes, strong motion and so on. The tectonic movements of surface faults may be different from those of deep faults.
Earthquakes may not be restricted directly by the tectonic movements of surface faults. The strong motion zone is often appeared
in the region a little away from the both ends or from the single side of a fault instead of the region of a focal fault.
Some mechanisms of strong motion have also been discussed. 相似文献
949.
地震前兆场的演化和能量非线性聚集的关系 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3
运用非均匀介质中“非线性振动的局域能量聚集”过程,模拟唐山7.8级和大同6.1级地震的前兆场演化,发现地震孕育过程中出现的诸多前兆特征与地壳内构造能量的非线性聚集有关。 相似文献
950.
元代及其前历史强震目录增补与讨论(续) 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
在综合处理元代及其前地震震后救灾,减灾措施及社会影响的基础上,通过对比研究,对缺乏震害描述的地震进行了参数厘定,并对部分疑难地震进行了讨论,弥补了这一时期研究的不足。 相似文献