A geomorphological model of susceptibility to the effect of human interventions for environmental licensing determination (SHIELD)     

《地学前缘(英文版)》2022,13(2):101343

Almost every country requires some form of environmental licensing prior to the inception of development projects that may affect the integrity of the environment and its social context. We developed a new conceptual and methodological model to instruct the assessment of the potential impacts posed by proposed projects. Susceptibility to Human Interventions for Environmental Licensing Determination (SHIELD) includes a novel geomorphological interpretation of the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA). It considers the impact of human interventions on geomorphological processes and landscape functioning in the context of the entire ecosystem, going further than the classical concept of vulnerability. Estimated susceptibility of the site informs the screening stage, allowing local conditions to help define the criteria used in the process. Similarly, the level of detail of the environmental baseline is scoped by considering the degree of disturbance of natural processes posed by human intervention. Testing this geomorphological susceptibility model on different kinds of environments would allow shifting the environmental licensing practices from the prevailing anthropocentric and static conception of the environment towards an Ecosystem Approach. SHIELD addresses the need to improve the screening and scoping stages that form the basis of the rest of any EIA. SHIELD introduces several innovations to EIA including the incorporation of fuzzy logic, a preassembled database of contributions form experts, and a shifting of emphasis from the type of proposed intervention to the type of environment and its relative susceptibility.  相似文献   

基于DEM修订的新疆区域气温空间插值精度优化研究     

武鹏飞  张钧泳  谭娇 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2019,13(2):108-114

为研究新疆地区气温的空间变异性,以新疆66个国家气象台站1981—2010年月平均气温和30 m空间分辨率DEM数据为基础,采用传统插值法、基于DEM多元线性回归插值和基于DEM修正的空间插值方法对新疆区域气温数据进行栅格化,并分析年平均气温与海拔的相关关系。通过采用反距离权重法(IDW),普通克里格法(Kriging),样条函数法(Spline)和趋势面分析法(Trend)4种空间插值方法对气象要素进行直接插值、气温多元回归模型残差结果插值、基于DEM修正插值对比分析。通过针对插值方法进行基于MAE和RMSIE的交叉验证,结果表明传统插值方法、基于多元线性回归和基于DEM修正4种空间插值精度均为IDWKrigingSplineTrend。反距离权重(IDW)空间插值方法最优,基于DEM修正IDW插值、基于多元线性回归IDW插值与传统IDW插值精度分别是0.039、0.477、1.038,插值结果客观的表达了新疆区域气温随空间梯度的变化趋势。  相似文献   

2018年冬季海洋天气评述          下载免费PDF全文

王皘  黄彬  聂高臻  王冠岚  曹越男  王慧 《山东气象》2019,39(2):94-105

2018年冬季（2018年12月—2019年2月）大气环流特征为：北半球极涡呈单极型分布,主体位于北冰洋上空偏向亚欧大陆一侧。12月,亚洲中东部中高纬环流经向度较大,利于冷空气南下;2019年1—2月,环流经向度减小,中高纬地区以纬向环流为主,冷空气势力减弱,东部及南部海区海雾过程增多。我国近海出现了17次8级以上大风过程,其中冷空气大风过程有13次,冷空气和温带气旋共同影响的大风过程有2次,冷空气与热带气旋共同影响的大风过程有1次, 温带气旋大风过程有1次。我国近海浪高在2 m以上的海浪过程有14次,2 m以上大浪的天数共计64 d。冬季共有10次比较明显的海雾过程,多在北部湾附近海域,出雾时间集中于夜间至早晨。南北海域海面温度之差为21～28 ℃,海面温度整体呈下降趋势。西北太平洋和南海有3个热带气旋活动。  相似文献   

基于风廓线雷达的对流边界层高度的确定     

张哲  师宇  王咏薇  刘磊  胡非 《气象科学》2019,39(3):359-367

大气边界层高度对于天气、气候和大气污染研究是一个至关重要的参量。对流边界层(Convective Boundary Layer,CBL)顶部的夹卷过程造成温度和湿度垂直梯度增强,导致这一层的折射率结构常数C■变高。C■的这种垂直分布特征经常被用来定位出CBL高度Z_i。本文利用2010年7—8月天津大港的风廓线雷达数据推断出CBL高度Z_i,对于多重C■峰值或不明确的C■峰值,本文改进了对Z_i的测定,分别讨论了C■最大后向散射法与C■和垂直速度方差(σ■)相结合的新方法的适用性。研究显示:(1)C■廓线具有单峰时,最大后向散射强度法能正确估计CBL高度,这种情况往往对应的是晴天。CBL上存在的残留层或云层引起的温湿起伏变化导致C■廓线具有双峰甚至多峰时,最大后向散射强度法可能会错误估计CBL高度;(2)C■和σ■结合的方法不仅与晴天时C■最大后向散射法有较好的一致性,而且可以将CBL造成的C■峰值从云层造成的C■峰值中区分出来,从而正确估计CBL高度;(3)一般而言,对流边界层中存在有明显的、破碎或者分散不明显的云时,C■和σ■结合的方法都能较好地识别出CBL对应的C■峰值。但由于边界层中的情况极为复杂,C■和σ■结合法也会因不同的原因而错误估计CBL高度。  相似文献   

合肥一次低空风切变的观测与分析     

赵倩  周后福  单乃超 《气象科学》2019,39(5):704-710

本文基于合肥地面观测、机场自动观测系统(AWOS)、多普勒雷达、探空及FNL 0.25°×0.25°等资料,分析了2015年8月6日合肥一次较强风切变天气过程,并对其形成机理进行研究。结果表明:低空风切变发生前,肥西地区不稳定能量及上升气流较为活跃,有利于对流云团的发展。地面自动气象站的观测资料表明,低空风切变发生时,近地层的风向、风速和温度等气象要素均有突变;风暴的质心高度、最强回波高度和风暴顶高迅速下降,空中气流快速下沉,至近地面向四周辐散,因此该风暴属于下击暴流性质;径向速度图中明显的正负速度对也印证了低空剧烈的风向和风速切变。  相似文献   

浙江省地理参数对地闪的影响     

张祎  姜瑜君  赵伟  李浩 《气象科技》2019,47(3):513-519

利用2007—2016年浙江省地闪数据,数字地形海拔数据、土地覆盖数据和HWSD数据集,定量化分析海拔、坡度、坡向、土地覆盖类型、土壤电导率对该地区地闪的影响。研究结果表明:浙江省地闪主要集中在海拔0～600m、坡度0°～30°;坡向东南地闪次数最高,坡向西地闪次数最低;林地地闪次数最高,湿地地闪次数最低;地闪对应的电导率主要集中在0.1dS/m。单位面积下,地闪次数随海拔、坡度、电导率均呈现先增加后减少的趋势;坡向东、东南地闪次数较多,坡向西、西南地闪次数较少;土地覆盖类型地闪次数最高是城市和建筑区,最低是水体。此外,地闪强度平均值随海拔增加呈现先减小后增加的趋势;陡度平均值随海拔增加而减小。两参数均随坡度增加而减小;随电导率增加呈现先增加后减少的趋势。以5km×5km为网格单元统计网格内各参量平均值进行相关分析发现,浙江地区电流强度、陡度均和海拔、坡度呈现负相关。  相似文献   

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赵德军  徐新强  陈永祥  李帅鑫 《大地测量与地球动力学》2015,35(2):322-325

?????????????????????????????????????????????????????3?????棬??????????????????????????????3????????????????????????GPS/?????????????4?????????????“???????100 km????￡???????澫??±1 cm”????????|??????????????????????????|GOCE????????Ч???????????????????????????????  相似文献   

中国HY-2卫星雷达高度计有效波高真实性检验   总被引：9，自引：5，他引：4  

YE Xiaomin  LIN Mingsen  XU Ying 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(5):60-67

Chinese Haiyang-2(HY-2) satellite is the first Chinese marine dynamic environment satellite. The dual-frequency(Ku and C band) radar altimeter onboard HY-2 has been working effective to provide operational significant wave height(SWH) for more than three years(October 1, 2011 to present).We validated along-track Ku-band SWH data of HY-2 satellite against National Data Buoy Center(NDBC) in-situ measurements over a time period of three years from October 1, 2011 to September 30, 2014, the root mean square error(RMSE) and mean bias of HY-2SWH is 0.38 m and(–0.13±0.35) m, respectively. We also did cross validation against Jason-2 altimeter SWH data,the RMSE and the mean bias is 0.36 m and(–0.22±0.28) m, respectively. In order to compare the statistical results between HY-2 and Jason-2 satellite SWH data, we validated the Jason-2 satellite radar altimeter along-track Ku-band SWH data against NDBC measurements using the same method. The results demonstrate the validation method in this study is scientific and the RMSE and mean bias of Jason-2 SWH data is 0.26 m and(0.00±0.26) m,respectively. We also validated both HY-2 and Jason-2 SWH data every month, the mean bias of Jason-2 SWH data almost equaled to zero all the time, while the mean bias of HY-2 SWH data was no less than –0.31 m before April2013 and dropped to zero after that time. These results indicate that the statistical results for HY-2 altimeter SWH are reliable and HY-2 altimeter along-track SWH data were steady and of high quality in the last three years. The results also indicate that HY-2 SWH data have greatly been improved and have the same accuracy with Jason-2SWH data after April, 2013. SWH data provided by HY-2 satellite radar altimeter are useful and acceptable for ocean operational applications.  相似文献   

北欧海比容高度及其与卫星高度计海表面高度异常的比较   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

邵秋丽  赵进平 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(7):32-37

In this study the steric height anomaly which is calculated from the hydrological data(EN3) is compared with the sea level anomaly derived from satellite altimetry in the Nordic Seas. The overall pattern of steric height is that it is higher in the margin area and lower in the middle area. The extreme values of steric height linear change from1993 to 2010 occur in the Lofoten Basin and off the Norwegian coast, respectively. Such a distribution may be partly attributed to the freshening trend of the Nordic Seas. The correlation between SLA(sea level anomaly) and SHA(steric height anomaly) is not uniform over the Nordic Seas. The time series of SLA and SHA agree well in the Lofoten Basin and northern Norwegian Basin, and worse in the northern Norwegian Sea, implying that the baroclinic effect plays a dominant role in most areas in the Norwegian Sea and the barotropic effect plays a dominant role in the northern Norwegian Sea. The weaker correlations between SLA and SHA in the Greenland and Iceland Seas lead a conclusion that the barotropic contribution is significant in these areas. The area-mean SHA over the entire Nordic Seas has similar amplitudes compared with the SLA during 1996–2002, but SHA has become lower than SLA, being less than half of SLA since 2006.  相似文献   

利用C波段RADARSAT-2单极化SAR图像的方位向截断波长估计有效波高   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

任林  杨劲松  郑罡  王隽 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(12):93-101

This paper proposes two simple models, look-up table(LUT) model and empirical model, to directly retrieve significant wave height(Hs) using synthetic aperture radar(SAR) azimuth cutoff(λc). Both models aim at C-band VV, HH, VH, and HV single-polarization SAR images. The LUT model relates Hs to λc, while the empirical model relates Hs to both λc and SAR range-to-velocity(β). The LUT model coefficients are derived by simulation under different sea states and observation conditions, which depend on incidence angle(θ), wave direction(dw), and βbut are independent of polarization. The empirical model coefficients are obtained by fitting the collocated data,which only depend on polarization. To fit empirical model coefficients and validate the two models, C-band RADARSAT-2 fine quad-polarization(VV+HH+VH+HV) single-look complex(SLC) SAR images and collocated buoy data are collected. Retrieved Hs, using Yang model and the two models proposed in this paper from four kinds of polarization SAR data, are compared with buoy Hs. Results show that both LUT and empirical models have the capacity of retrieving Hs from C-band RADARSAT-2 co-polarization SAR data, while Yang model is not suitable for these kinds of SAR data. Moreover, the empirical model is also valid for cross-polarization SAR data showing clear ocean wave stripes.  相似文献